scholarly journals Cognition-Mortality Associations Are Stronger When Estimated Jointly in Longitudinal and Time-to-Event Models

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 308-309
Author(s):  
Stephen Aichele ◽  
Sezen Cekic ◽  
Patrick Rabbitt ◽  
Paolo Ghisletta
Keyword(s):  
Cognitive Decline ◽  
Adult Development ◽  
Mortality Risk ◽  
Repeated Measures ◽  
Joint Estimation ◽  
Longitudinal Change ◽  
Joint Models ◽  
Modeling Framework ◽  
Crystallized Abilities ◽  
Aging Populations

Abstract Objectives With aging populations worldwide, there is growing interest in links between cognitive decline and elevated mortality risk—and, by extension, analytic approaches to further clarify these associations. Toward this end, some researchers have compared cognitive trajectories of survivors vs. decedents while others have examined longitudinal changes in cognition as predictive of mortality risk. A two-stage modeling framework is typically used in this latter approach; however, several recent studies have used joint longitudinal-survival modeling (i.e., estimating longitudinal change in cognition conditionally on mortality risk, and vice versa). Methodological differences inherent to these approaches may influence estimates of cognitive decline and cognition-mortality associations. These effects may vary across cognitive domains insofar as changes in broad fluid and crystallized abilities are differentially sensitive to aging and mortality risk. Methods We applied each of the above analytic approaches to data from a large-sample repeated-measures study of older adults (N = 5,954, of whom 4,453 deceased; ages 50–87 years at assessment). Results Cognitive trajectories indicated worse performance in decedents and when estimated jointly with mortality risk, but this was attenuated after adjustment for health-related covariates. Better cognitive performance predicted lower mortality risk, and, importantly, cognition-mortality associations were stronger when estimated in joint models. Associations between mortality risk and crystallized abilities only emerged under joint estimation, confirming the greater power of this statistical approach. Discussion These results suggest that joint estimation of cognition-mortality associations may be beneficial for research in cognitive epidemiology and cognitive reserve in adult development.

scholarly journals Cognition-Mortality Associations Are More Pronounced When Estimated Jointly in Longitudinal and Time-to-Event Models

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen Aichele ◽  
Sezen Cekic ◽  
Patrick Rabbitt ◽  
Paolo Ghisletta
Keyword(s):  
Cognitive Decline ◽  
Mortality Risk ◽  
Repeated Measures ◽  
Later Life ◽  
Joint Estimation ◽  
Longitudinal Change ◽  
Survival Models ◽  
Joint Models ◽  
Modeling Framework ◽  
Crystallized Abilities

With aging populations worldwide, there is growing interest in links between cognitive decline and elevated mortality risk—and, by extension, analytic approaches to further clarify these associations. Toward this end, some researchers have compared cognitive trajectories of survivors vs. decedents while others have examined longitudinal changes in cognition as predictive of mortality risk. A two-stage modeling framework is typically used in this latter approach; however, several recent studies have used joint longitudinal-survival modeling (i.e., estimating longitudinal change in cognition conditionally on mortality risk, and vice versa). Methodological differences inherent to these approaches may influence estimates of cognitive decline and cognition-mortality associations. These effects may vary across cognitive domains insofar as changes in broad fluid and crystallized abilities are differentially sensitive to aging and mortality risk. We compared these analytic approaches as applied to data from a large-sample, repeated-measures study of older adults (N = 5,954; ages 50–87 years at assessment; 4,453 deceased at last census). Cognitive trajectories indicated worse performance in decedents and when estimated jointly with mortality risk, but this was attenuated after adjustment for health-related covariates. Better cognitive performance predicted lower mortality risk, and, importantly, cognition-mortality associations were more pronounced when estimated in joint models. Associations between mortality risk and crystallized abilities only emerged under joint estimation. This may have important implications for cognitive reserve, which posits that knowledge and skills considered well-preserved in later life (i.e., crystallized abilities) may compensate for declines in abilities more prone to neurodegeneration, such as recall memory and problem solving. Joint longitudinal-survival models thus appear to be important (and currently underutilized) for research in cognitive epidemiology.

scholarly journals Longitudinal Change of Mental Health among Active Social Media Users in China during the COVID-19 Outbreak

Healthcare ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 833
Author(s):  
Tianli Liu ◽  
Sijia Li ◽  
Xiaochun Qiao ◽  
Xinming Song
Keyword(s):  
Mental Health ◽  
Social Media ◽  
Repeated Measures ◽  
Mainland China ◽  
Longitudinal Change ◽  
Symptom Checklist ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Online Data ◽  
Repeated Measures Analysis ◽  
Machine Learning Models

During the COVID-19 pandemic, every day, updated case numbers and the lasting time of the pandemic became major concerns of people. We collected the online data (28 January to 7 March 2020 during the COVID-19 outbreak) of 16,453 social media users living in mainland China. Computerized machine learning models were developed to estimate their daily scores of the nine dimensions of the Symptom Checklist—90 (SCL-90). Repeated measures analysis of variance (ANOVA) was used to compare the SCL-90 dimension scores between Wuhan and non-Wuhan residents. Fixed effect models were used to analyze the relation of the estimated SCL-90 scores with the daily reported cumulative case numbers and lasting time of the epidemic among Wuhan and non-Wuhan users. In non-Wuhan users, the estimated scores for all the SCL-90 dimensions significantly increased with the lasting time of the epidemic and the accumulation of cases, except for the interpersonal sensitivity dimension. In Wuhan users, although the estimated scores for all nine SCL-90 dimensions significantly increased with the cumulative case numbers, the magnitude of the changes was generally smaller than that in non-Wuhan users. The mental health of Chinese Weibo users was affected by the daily updated information on case numbers and the lasting time of the COVID-19 outbreak.

scholarly journals Cognitive reserve in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS): a population-based longitudinal study

2021 ◽  
pp. jnnp-2020-324992
Author(s):  
Emmet Costello ◽  
James Rooney ◽  
Marta Pinto-Grau ◽  
Tom Burke ◽  
Marwa Elamin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis ◽  
Cognitive Impairment ◽  
Cognitive Decline ◽  
Cognitive Reserve ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Protective Role ◽  
Drop Out ◽  
Longitudinal Change ◽  
Activity Data ◽  
Lateral Sclerosis

BackgroundAmyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is often associated with cognitive and/or behavioural impairment. Cognitive reserve (CR) may play a protective role in offsetting cognitive impairment. This study examined the relationship between CR and longitudinal change in cognition in an Irish ALS cohort.MethodsLongitudinal neuropsychological assessment was carried out on 189 patients over 16 months using the Edinburgh cognitive and behavioural ALS screen (ECAS) and an additional battery of neuropsychological tests. CR was measured by combining education, occupation and physical activity data. Joint longitudinal and time-to-event models were fitted to investigate the associations between CR, performance at baseline and decline over time while controlling for non-random drop-out.ResultsCR was a significant predictor of baseline neuropsychological performance, with high CR patients performing better than those with medium or low CR. Better cognitive performance in high CR individuals was maintained longitudinally for ECAS, social cognition, executive functioning and confrontational naming. Patients displayed little cognitive decline over the course of the study, despite controlling for non-random drop-out.ConclusionsThese findings suggest that CR plays a role in the presentation of cognitive impairment at diagnosis but is not protective against cognitive decline. However, further research is needed to examine the interaction between CR and other objective correlates of cognitive impairment in ALS.

scholarly journals Cognitive decline and alcohol consumption adjusting for functional status over a 3-year period in French speaking community living older adults

2018 ◽  
Vol 41 (2) ◽  
pp. e177-e184 ◽  
Author(s):  
Helen-Maria Vasiliadis ◽  
Marie-Christine Payette ◽  
Djamal Berbiche ◽  
Sébastien Grenier ◽  
Carol Hudon
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Alcohol Consumption ◽  
Cognitive Decline ◽  
Functional Status ◽  
Repeated Measures ◽  
Service Use ◽  
High Functioning ◽  
French Speaking ◽  
Changing Patterns

AbstractBackgroundThe effect of alcohol consumption on cognitive decline is not clear. We aimed to study the association between alcohol consumption and cognitive functioning controlling for functional heath status.MethodsA total of 1610 older adults with a score ≥26 on the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) were followed to assess the change in scores at the 3-year follow-up. Information on alcohol consumption as well as socio-demographic, lifestyle, psychosocial and clinical factors, as well as health service use were assessed at baseline and 3-year follow-up interviews. Linear mixed models with repeated measures were used stratifying by functional status.ResultsClose to 73% reported consuming alcohol in the past 6 months, of which 11% were heavy drinkers (≥11 and ≥16 drinks for women and men). A significant decrease in MMSE scores was observed in low functioning non-drinkers (−1.48; 95% CI: −2.06, −0.89) and light to moderate drinkers (−0.99; 95% CI: −1.54, −0.44) and high functioning non-drinkers (−0.51; 95% CI: −0.91, −0.10).ConclusionsAlcohol consumption did not contribute to cognitive decline. Cognitive decline was greater in individuals reporting low functional status. Research should focus on the interaction between changing patterns of alcohol consumption and social participation in individuals with low and high functioning status.

scholarly journals Psychosocial Telephone Counseling for Survivors of Cervical Cancer: Results of a Randomized Biobehavioral Trial

2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (10) ◽  
pp. 1171-1179 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lari Wenzel ◽  
Kathryn Osann ◽  
Susie Hsieh ◽  
Jo A. Tucker ◽  
Bradley J. Monk ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cervical Cancer ◽  
Repeated Measures ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Multivariable Analysis ◽  
Telephone Counseling ◽  
Longitudinal Change ◽  
Categorical Variables ◽  
Patient Reported ◽  
Cytokine Levels ◽  
Cancer Experience

Purpose Survivors of cervical cancer experience quality-of-life (QOL) disruptions that persist years after treatment. This study examines the effect of a psychosocial telephone counseling (PTC) intervention on QOL domains and associations with biomarkers. Patients and Methods We conducted a randomized clinical trial in survivors of cervical cancer, who were ≥ 9 and less than 30 months from diagnosis (n = 204), to compare PTC to usual care (UC). PTC included five weekly sessions and a 1-month booster. Patient-reported outcomes (PROs) and biospecimens were collected at baseline and 4 and 9 months after enrollment. Changes in PROs over time and associations with longitudinal change in cytokines as categorical variables were analyzed using multivariable analysis of variance for repeated measures. Results Participant mean age was 43 years; 40% of women were Hispanic, and 51% were non-Hispanic white. Adjusting for age and baseline scores, participants receiving PTC had significantly improved depression and improved gynecologic and cancer-specific concerns at 4 months compared with UC participants (all P < .05); significant differences in gynecologic and cancer-specific concerns (P < .05) were sustained at 9 months. Longitudinal change in overall QOL and anxiety did not reach statistical significance. Participants with decreasing interleukin (IL) -4, IL-5, IL-10, and IL-13 had significantly greater improvement in QOL than those with increasing cytokine levels. Conclusion This trial confirms that PTC benefits mood and QOL cancer-specific and gynecologic concerns for a multiethnic underserved population of survivors of cancer. The improvement in PROs with decreases in T-helper type 2 and counter-regulatory cytokines supports a potential biobehavioral pathway relevant to cancer survivorship.

scholarly journals The Effects of Longitudinal White Matter Hyperintensity Change on Cognitive Decline and Cortical Thinning over Three Years

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (8) ◽  
pp. 2663
Author(s):  
Seung Joo Kim ◽  
Dong Kyun Lee ◽  
Young Kyoung Jang ◽  
Hyemin Jang ◽  
Si Eun Kim ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cognitive Impairment ◽  
White Matter ◽  
Cognitive Decline ◽  
Dynamic Change ◽  
Surrogate Marker ◽  
Brain Magnetic Resonance Imaging ◽  
Longitudinal Change ◽  
White Matter Hyperintensity ◽  
Cortical Thinning ◽  
Automated Method

White matter hyperintensity (WMH) has been recognised as a surrogate marker of small vessel disease and is associated with cognitive impairment. We investigated the dynamic change in WMH in patients with severe WMH at baseline, and the effects of longitudinal change of WMH volume on cognitive decline and cortical thinning. Eighty-seven patients with subcortical vascular mild cognitive impairment were prospectively recruited from a single referral centre. All of the patients were followed up with annual neuropsychological tests and 3T brain magnetic resonance imaging. The WMH volume was quantified using an automated method and the cortical thickness was measured using surface-based methods. Participants were classified into WMH progression and WMH regression groups based on the delta WMH volume between the baseline and the last follow-up. To investigate the effects of longitudinal change in WMH volume on cognitive decline and cortical thinning, a linear mixed effects model was used. Seventy patients showed WMH progression and 17 showed WMH regression over a three-year period. The WMH progression group showed more rapid cortical thinning in widespread regions compared with the WMH regression group. However, the rate of cognitive decline in language, visuospatial function, memory and executive function, and general cognitive function was not different between the two groups. The results of this study indicated that WMH volume changes are dynamic and WMH progression is associated with more rapid cortical thinning.

scholarly journals Joint Modeling of Longitudinal Change and Survival

GeroPsych ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (4) ◽  
pp. 177-185 ◽  
Author(s):  
Graciela Muniz Terrera ◽  
Andrea M. Piccinin ◽  
Fiona Matthews ◽  
Scott M. Hofer
Keyword(s):  
Repeated Measures ◽  
Memory Performance ◽  
Joint Modeling ◽  
Disease Diagnosis ◽  
Careful Consideration ◽  
Survival Model ◽  
Longitudinal Change ◽  
Survival Models ◽  
Time Data ◽  
Aging Research

Joint longitudinal-survival models are useful when repeated measures and event time data are available and possibly associated. The application of this joint model in aging research is relatively rare, albeit particularly useful, when there is the potential for nonrandom dropout. In this article we illustrate the method and discuss some issues that may arise when fitting joint models of this type. Using prose recall scores from the Swedish OCTO-Twin Longitudinal Study of Aging, we fitted a joint longitudinal-survival model to investigate the association between risk of mortality and individual differences in rates of change in memory. A model describing change in memory scores as following an accelerating decline trajectory and a Weibull survival model was identified as the best fitting. This model adjusted for random effects representing individual variation in initial memory performance and change in rate of decline as linking terms between the longitudinal and survival models. Memory performance and change in rate of memory decline were significant predictors of proximity to death. Joint longitudinal-survival models permit researchers to gain a better understanding of the association between change functions and risk of particular events, such as disease diagnosis or death. Careful consideration of computational issues may be required because of the complexities of joint modeling methodologies.

Abstract 22: Visit-to-Visit Variability in Blood Pressure is Related to Late-Life Cognitive Decline

Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 131 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Bo Qin ◽  
Anthony J Viera ◽  
Linda S Adair ◽  
Brenda L Plassman ◽  
Lloyd J Edwards ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Older Adults ◽  
Cognitive Function ◽  
Cognitive Decline ◽  
Verbal Memory ◽  
Repeated Measures ◽  
Community Dwelling ◽  
Cognitive Testing ◽  
Cognitive Test ◽  
Nutrition Survey

Introduction: Recent studies suggest higher visit-to-visit variability of blood pressure (BP) is associated with worse cognitive function, but evidence based on longitudinal cognitive testing has not been reported. Hypothesis: We assessed the hypothesis that higher visit-to-visit variability in BP, but not mean BP, would be associated with faster decline in cognitive function among community-dwelling older adults. Methods: This prospective cohort study comprised 1213 adults who had two or more waves of BP measurements as part of the China Health and Nutrition Survey from 1991, up to their first cognitive tests, and completed a cognitive screening test at two or more waves in 1997, 2000 or 2004. Mean (SD) age at first cognitive test was 64 (6) y. Outcomes were repeated measures of global cognitive scores (baseline mean ± SD: 19 ± 6 points), standardized composite cognitive and verbal memory scores (standardized units [SU]). Visit-to visit BP variability was expressed as the standard deviation [SD] or as the variation independent of mean (SD/mean^x, with x derived from curve fitting) in BP measures obtained at a mean interval of 3.6 years. Multivariable-adjusted linear mixed-effects models were used to determine the association of changes in cognitive scores with visit-to visit BP variability. Results: Higher visit-to-visit variability in systolic BP, but not mean systolic BP, was associated with a faster decline of cognitive function (adjusted mean difference [95% CI] for high vs. low tertile of SD in variability (Figure): global score -0.23 points/y [-0.41 to -0.04], composite scores -0.029 SU/y [-0.056 to -0.002] and verbal memory -0.044 SU/y [-0.075 to -0.012]). Higher visit-to-visit variability in diastolic BP was associated with a faster decline of global cognitive function only among adults 55-64 years, independent of mean diastolic BP. Conclusion: Higher long-term BP visit-to-visit variability predicted a faster rate of cognitive decline among older adults.

Association of Low-Level Ozone with Cognitive Decline in Older Adults

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ekaterina Galkina Cleary ◽  
Manuel Cifuentes ◽  
Georges Grinstein ◽  
Doug Brugge ◽  
Thomas B. Shea
Keyword(s):  
Cognitive Decline ◽  
Environmental Protection Agency ◽  
Repeated Measures ◽  
Prolonged Exposure ◽  
Fine Particulate Matter ◽  
Ground Level ◽  
Ambient Air ◽  
Ground Level Ozone ◽  
Mixed Regression ◽  
Airborne Pollutant

Increasing evidence points to an association of airborne pollutant exposure with respiratory, cardiovascular, and neurological pathology. We examined whether or not ground-level ozone or fine particulate matter ≤ 2.5 μm in diameter (PM2.5) was associated with accelerated cognitive decline. Using repeated measures mixed regression modeling, we analyzed cognitive performance of a geographically diverse sampling of individuals from the National Alzheimer’s Coordinating Center between 2004–2008. Ambient air concentrations of ozone and PM2.5 were established using a space-time Hierarchical Bayesian Model that statistically merged air monitor data and modeled air quality estimates. We then compared the ambient regional concentrations of ozone and PM2.5 with the rate of cognitive decline in residents within those regions. Increased levels of ozone correlated with an increased rate of cognitive decline, following adjustment for key individual and community-level risk factors. Furthermore, individuals harboring one or more APOE4 alleles exhibited a faster rate of cognitive decline. The deleterious association of ozone was confined to individuals with normal cognition who eventually became cognitively impaired as opposed to those who entered the study with baseline impairment. In contrast to ozone, we did not observe any correlation between ambient PM2.5 and cognitive decline at regulatory limits set by the Environmental Protection Agency. Our findings suggest that prolonged exposure to ground-level ozone may accelerate cognitive decline during the initial stages of dementia development.

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