scholarly journals Coupling Disease-Progress-Curve and Time-of-Infection Functions for Predicting Yield Loss of Crops

2000 ◽  
Vol 90 (8) ◽  
pp. 788-800 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. V. Madden ◽  
G. Hughes ◽  
M. E. Irwin

A general approach was developed to predict the yield loss of crops in relation to infection by systemic diseases. The approach was based on two premises: (i) disease incidence in a population of plants over time can be described by a nonlinear disease progress model, such as the logistic or monomolecular; and (ii) yield of a plant is a function of time of infection (t) that can be represented by the (negative) exponential or similar model (ζ(t)). Yield loss of a population of plants on a proportional scale (L) can be written as the product of the proportion of the plant population newly infected during a very short time interval (X′(t)dt) and ζ(t), integrated over the time duration of the epidemic. L in the model can be expressed in relation to directly interpretable parameters: maximum per-plant yield loss (α, typically occurring at t = 0); the decline in per-plant loss as time of infection is delayed (γ; units of time-1); and the parameters that characterize disease progress over time, namely, initial disease incidence (X0), rate of disease increase (r; units of time-1), and maximum (or asymptotic) value of disease incidence (K). Based on the model formulation, L ranges from αX0 to αK and increases with increasing X0, r, K, α, and γ-1. The exact effects of these parameters on L were determined with numerical solutions of the model. The model was expanded to predict L when there was spatial heterogeneity in disease incidence among sites within a field and when maximum per-plant yield loss occurred at a time other than the beginning of the epidemic (t > 0). However, the latter two situations had a major impact on L only at high values of r. The modeling approach was demonstrated by analyzing data on soybean yield loss in relation to infection by Soybean mosaic virus, a member of the genus Potyvirus. Based on model solutions, strategies to reduce or minimize yield losses from a given disease can be evaluated.

Author(s):  
Victor Birman ◽  
Sarp Adali

Abstract Active control of orthotropic plates subjected to an impulse loading is considered. The dynamic response is minimized using in-plane forces or bending moments induced by piezoelectric stiffeners bonded to the opposite surfaces of the plate and placed symmetrically with respect to the middle plane. The control forces and moments are activated by a piece-wise constant alternating voltage with varying switch-over time intervals. The magnitude of voltage is bounded while the switch-over time intervals are constantly adjusted to achieve an optimum control. Numerical examples presented in the paper demonstrate the effectiveness of the method and the possibility of reducing the vibrations to very small amplitudes within a short time interval which is in the order of a second.


Author(s):  
K. K. Tam

AbstractA model governing the combustion of a material is considered. The model consists of two non-linear coupled parabolic equations with initial and boundary conditions. An approximation for the rate of reactant consumption is made to enable the system to the treated by laplace transform. Three simple geometries are considered; namely, an infinite slab, an infinite circular and a sphere. The results obtained are then compared with numerical solutions for spme specific values of the parameters. There is good agreement over time duration for which numerical work was performed.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikita Nikitin ◽  
Stanislav Minin ◽  
James Stirrup ◽  
Evgeny Pokushalov ◽  
Alexander Romanov

Abstract Background. To evaluate global and regional ventricular and atrial cardiac iodine-123 meta-iodobenzylguanidine ( 123 I-mIBG) uptake and consistency over time in healthy individuals using co-registered SPECT and CT imaging. Fifteen healthy individuals (median age 31 years [26; 41]) were included in the study. All participants underwent CT and subsequent baseline 123 I -mIBG SPECT imaging (early and late acquisition) using a dedicated cardiac solid-state gamma camera. The heart-to-mediastinum (H/M) ratio, wash out rate (WR), summed 123 I-mIBG defect score (SDS) as well as presence and patterns of left atrium (LA) discrete 123 I-mIBG uptake areas were assessed. Follow-up SPECT imaging was acquired 5-7 days after initial procedure. Results. At baseline median H/M ratio on the early and late acquisitions were 1.61 [1.57; 1.71] and 1.68 [1.65; 1.71] respectively, the WR was 22.5% [18.8; 22.8]. Areas of reduced 123 I-mIBG uptake were detected in 60% (9/15) of cases and the median SDS was 1 [0; 2]. No significant changes were observed in global and regional 123 I-mIBG cardiac uptake between baseline and follow-up studies. At baseline 36 discrete uptake areas (DUA) were identified, 16 (44%) of which (median per individual 1 [1;1]) had moderate-high confidence score (CS). 5/16, 4/16, 4/16 and 3/16 moderate-high CS DUAs were located around the left sided-, right sided- PV ostia, LA walls, right atrium (RA) or superior vena cava (SVC), respectively. At follow-up 33 DUAs were identified, 16 (48%) of which (median per individual 1 [1;1], p=0.5 vs baseline) had moderate-high CS. Moderate-high CS discrete uptake areas had generally the same location as on the baseline procedure. Conclusion. Co-registered 123 I-mIBG SPECT and CT imaging demonstrated no significant changes in the global and regional 123 I-mIBG cardiac uptake (ventricular and atrial) over a short time interval in healthy individuals.


2001 ◽  
Vol 123 (4) ◽  
pp. 370-372
Author(s):  
Gerald M. Saidel and ◽  
Erin H. Liu

For a spatially distributed model describing the transient temperature response of a thermistor-tissue system, Wei et al., [J. Biomech. Eng., 117:74–85, 1995] obtained an approximate transformation for fast analysis of the temperature response at the tissue surface. This approximate transformation reduces the model to a single ordinary differential equation. Here, we present an exact transformation that yields a single differential-integral equation. Numerical solutions from the approximate and exact transformations were compared to evaluate the differences with several sets of parameter values. The maximum difference between the exact and approximate solutions did not exceed 15 percent and occurred for only a short time interval. The root-mean-square error of the approximate solution was no more than 5 percent and within the level of experimental noise. Under the experimental conditions used by Wei et al., the approximate transformation is justified for estimating model parameters from transient thermal responses.


Plant Disease ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. PDIS-05-20-1088
Author(s):  
Jay W. Pscheidt ◽  
Stephanie Heckert

Hazelnut kernel mold, caused by a number of fungal species, has been a chronic problem in Pacific Northwest hazelnut production areas for many years. Two highly susceptible breeding selections and two commercial cultivars were used to investigate kernel mold development over time and possible correlations with rainfall. Nuts were allowed to naturally fall onto orchard soil, regularly collected, cracked open, and evaluated for kernel mold. Disease progress for each selection or cultivar was evaluated each year with both linear and exponential models. The general progression of kernel mold was similar for the two breeding selections and cultivars Ennis and Lewis, where kernel mold increased slowly during the nut dropping period but more rapidly after normal harvest. An exponential model described disease progress better than a linear model for 8 of the 10 significant disease progress curves examined. Although some years had significantly higher estimated rates of disease increase, this parameter was inversely related to the area under the disease progress curve (AUDPC). The incidence of kernel mold did not significantly increase over time for 8 of the 18 disease progress curves examined, including 6 of 8 curves for commercial cultivars. The relationship between initial kernel mold incidence and AUDPC was described well with a simple linear model indicating that initial disease incidence appeared to be a good predictor of AUDPC. The longer nuts remained on the ground, especially after harvest, the higher the incidence of kernel mold. Kernel mold incidence was not significantly correlated with rainfall totals for any period of time from flowering to harvest. Multiple harvests ending shortly after all nuts have fallen should result in lower incidence of kernel mold for growers.


Author(s):  
O. S. Galinina ◽  
S. D. Andreev ◽  
A. M. Tyurlikov

Introduction: Machine-to-machine communication assumes data transmission from various wireless devices and attracts attention of cellular operators. In this regard, it is crucial to recognize and control overload situations when a large number of such devices access the network over a short time interval.Purpose:Analysis of the radio network overload at the initial network entry stage in a machine-to-machine communication system.Results: A system is considered that features multiple smart meters, which may report alarms and autonomously collect energy consumption information. An analytical approach is proposed to study the operation of a large number of devices in such a system as well as model the settings of the random-access protocol in a cellular network and overload control mechanisms with respect to the access success probability, network access latency, and device power consumption. A comparison between the obtained analytical results and simulation data is also offered. 


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (14) ◽  
pp. 2739
Author(s):  
Huizhong Zhu ◽  
Jun Li ◽  
Longjiang Tang ◽  
Maorong Ge ◽  
Aigong Xu

Although ionosphere-free (IF) combination is usually employed in long-range precise positioning, in order to employ the knowledge of the spatiotemporal ionospheric delays variations and avoid the difficulty in choosing the IF combinations in case of triple-frequency data processing, using uncombined observations with proper ionospheric constraints is more beneficial. Yet, determining the appropriate power spectral density (PSD) of ionospheric delays is one of the most important issues in the uncombined processing, as the empirical methods cannot consider the actual ionosphere activities. The ionospheric delays derived from actual dual-frequency phase observations contain not only the real-time ionospheric delays variations, but also the observation noise which could be much larger than ionospheric delays changes over a very short time interval, so that the statistics of the ionospheric delays cannot be retrieved properly. Fortunately, the ionospheric delays variations and the observation noise behave in different ways, i.e., can be represented by random-walk and white noise process, respectively, so that they can be separated statistically. In this paper, we proposed an approach to determine the PSD of ionospheric delays for each satellite in real-time by denoising the ionospheric delay observations. Based on the relationship between the PSD, observation noise and the ionospheric observations, several aspects impacting the PSD calculation are investigated numerically and the optimal values are suggested. The proposed approach with the suggested optimal parameters is applied to the processing of three long-range baselines of 103 km, 175 km and 200 km with triple-frequency BDS data in both static and kinematic mode. The improvement in the first ambiguity fixing time (FAFT), the positioning accuracy and the estimated ionospheric delays are analysed and compared with that using empirical PSD. The results show that the FAFT can be shortened by at least 8% compared with using a unique empirical PSD for all satellites although it is even fine-tuned according to the actual observations and improved by 34% compared with that using PSD derived from ionospheric delay observations without denoising. Finally, the positioning performance of BDS three-frequency observations shows that the averaged FAFT is 226 s and 270 s, and the positioning accuracies after ambiguity fixing are 1 cm, 1 cm and 3 cm in the East, North and Up directions for static and 3 cm, 3 cm and 6 cm for kinematic mode, respectively.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Christiane Schön ◽  
Claudia Reule ◽  
Katharina Knaub ◽  
Antje Micka ◽  
Manfred Wilhelm ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The assessment of improvement or maintenance of joint health in healthy subjects is a great challenge. The aim of the study was the evaluation of a joint stress test to assess joint discomfort in subjects with activity-related knee joint discomfort (ArJD). Results Forty-five subjects were recruited to perform the single-leg-step-down (SLSD) test (15 subjects per group). Subjects with ArJD of the knee (age 22–62 years) were compared to healthy subjects (age 24–59 years) with no knee joint discomfort during daily life sporting activity and to subjects with mild-to-moderate osteoarthritis of the knee joint (OA, Kellgren score 2–3, age 42–64 years). The subjects performed the SLSD test with two different protocols: (I) standardization for knee joint discomfort; (II) standardization for load on the knee joint. In addition, range of motion (ROM), reach test, acute pain at rest and after a single-leg squat and knee injury, and osteoarthritis outcome score (KOOS) were assessed. In OA and ArJD subjects, knee joint discomfort could be reproducibly induced in a short time interval of less than 10 min (200 steps). In healthy subjects, no pain was recorded. A clear differentiation between study groups was observed with the SLSD test (maximal step number) as well as KOOS questionnaire, ROM, and reach test. In addition, a moderate to good intra-class correlation was shown for the investigated outcomes. Conclusions These results suggest the SLSD test is a reliable tool for the assessment of knee joint health function in ArJD and OA subjects to study the improvements in their activities. Further, this model can be used as a stress model in intervention studies to study the impact of stress on knee joint health function.


Author(s):  
Stephanie Kirschbaum ◽  
Thilo Kakzhad ◽  
Fabian Granrath ◽  
Andrzej Jasina ◽  
Jakub Oronowicz ◽  
...  

Abstract Purpose This study aimed to evaluate both publication and authorship characteristics in Knee Surgery, Sports Traumatology, Arthroscopy journal (KSSTA) regarding knee arthroplasty over the past 15 years. Methods PubMed was searched for articles published in KSSTA between January 1, 2006, and December 31st, 2020, utilising the search term ‘knee arthroplasty’. 1288 articles met the inclusion criteria. The articles were evaluated using the following criteria: type of article, type of study, main topic and special topic, use of patient-reported outcome scores, number of references and citations, level of evidence (LOE), number of authors, gender of the first author and continent of origin. Three time intervals were compared: 2006–2010, 2011–2015 and 2016–2020. Results Between 2016 and 2020, publications peaked at 670 articles (52%) compared with 465 (36%) published between 2011 and 2016 and 153 articles (12%) between 2006 and 2010. While percentage of reviews (2006–2010: 0% vs. 2011–2015: 5% vs. 2016–2020: 5%) and meta-analyses (1% vs. 6% vs. 5%) increased, fewer case reports were published (13% vs. 3% vs. 1%) (p < 0.001). Interest in navigation and computer-assisted surgery decreased, whereas interest in perioperative management, robotic and individualized surgery increased over time (p < 0.001). There was an increasing number of references [26 (2–73) vs. 30 (2–158) vs. 31 (1–143), p < 0.001] while number of citations decreased [30 (0–188) vs. 22 (0–264) vs. 6 (0–106), p < 0.001]. LOE showed no significant changes (p = 0.439). The number of authors increased between each time interval (p < 0.001), while the percentage of female authors was comparable between first and last interval (p = 0.252). Europe published significantly fewer articles over time (56% vs. 47% vs. 52%), whereas the number of articles from Asia increased (35% vs. 45% vs. 37%, p = 0.005). Conclusion Increasing interest in the field of knee arthroplasty-related surgery arose within the last 15 years in KSSTA. The investigated topics showed a significant trend towards the latest techniques at each time interval. With rising number of authors, the part of female first authors also increased—but not significantly. Furthermore, publishing characteristics showed an increasing number of publications from Asia and a slightly decreasing number in Europe. Level of evidence IV.


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