The external impacts of historic landmarks and buildings on townhouse prices in Vietnam

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Doan Nguyen ◽  
Thu Hong Thi Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Historic Preservation ◽  
Spatial Regression ◽  
Housing Prices ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Market Transparency ◽  
Property Prices ◽  
Property Data ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Global Moran’S I

Purpose This paper aims to explore the external spillover effects of landmarks and buildings with historic preservation designation in Vietnam, a country marked with a unique property right regime and market transparency. The study contributes to the existing debate over the impact of distance to historic preservation sites and landmarks and property prices. Design/methodology/approach The study examines property data of 274 attached townhouses in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam and estimates the spillover effects of historic preservation on property prices collected during 2018–2019. The authors test for spatial autocorrelation by using the Global Moran’s I and Lagrange Multiplier diagnostics and deploy different spatial regression models including SAR, SEM and SDM. Findings The authors find that there is a premium on the prices of townhouses near formally designated landmarks and buildings. This premium decreases monotonically away from the historic sites. However, this paper also demonstrates that there is a non-linear (U-shape) relationship between housing premium and the distance to the nearest historic building. Originality/value This study is the first to take advantage of the surveyed property data to study the external impacts of historic preservation designation on housing prices in Vietnam. The study also contributes to the ongoing scholarly debate over the direction of the impacts. The study suggests that similar to other amenities, the price effect of designation tends to fade away after a certain distance.

Spatial spillover effects of technological innovation on total factor energy efficiency: taking government environment regulations into account for three continents

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Syed Zeeshan Zafar ◽  
Qiao Zhilin ◽  
Haider Malik ◽  
Ayman Abu-Rumman ◽  
Ata Al Shraah ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Energy Efficiency ◽  
Technological Innovation ◽  
Environmental Regulations ◽  
Evaluation Studies ◽  
Spatial Regression ◽  
Clean Energy ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Low Carbon ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Impact

PurposeThe discussion on energy efficiency has been increasing due to the increasing population, emissions of degradable and harmful pollutants, and clean energy substitutes are being developed in order to manage and control the energy requirements all over the world. Against this backdrop, the factors of technological innovation and environmental regulations have been determined as key indicators for the evaluation of sustainable developments and practices in the energy efficiency evaluation studies.Design/methodology/approachA two-stage analysis process has been configured for evaluation of the energy efficiency. The first stage includes the estimation of the Total factor energy efficiency scores using the data envelopment Multiplier input-oriented methodology, while the second stage includes the exploration of the impact of technological innovation and government environmental regulations on the Total factor energy efficiency scores obtained in the first step through the application of a spatial regression model.FindingsThis paper highlights the link between the need for and impact of energy efficiency innovations and shows that the energy efficiency goal can be fulfilled by incorporating laws on sustainability and incorporating strict regulations that allow for the use of clean energy, low carbon energy technologies.Originality/valueThe present study, furthermore, provides evidence from 15 countries, five from three different continents, i.e. Asia, Europe and Africa so that a cross-country performance of these factors can be evaluated. The main contribution of the present study is the evaluation of the technological innovation on energy efficiency. There have been studies evaluating various factors on the development of energy-efficient practices; however, the focus on the role of technological innovation and governmental regulations has been scarce.

Bankruptcy filings, flooding, real estate prices and Leading Index

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Billie Ann Brotman
Keyword(s):  
Housing Prices ◽  
The United States ◽  
Flood Insurance ◽  
Single Family ◽  
Personal Bankruptcy ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Flooding Event ◽  
Flooding Events ◽  
The Impact

PurposeFlood damage to uninsured single-family homes shifts the entire burden of costly repairs onto the homeowner. Homeowners in the United States and in much of Europe can purchase flood insurance. The Netherlands and Asian countries generally do not offer flood insurance protection to homeowners. Uninsured households incur the entire cost of repairing/replacing properties damaged due to flooding. Homeowners’ policies do not cover damage caused by flooding. The paper examines the link between personal bankruptcy and the severity of flooding events, property prices and financial condition levels.Design/methodology/approachA fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) regression model is developed which uses personal bankruptcy filings as its dependent variable during the years 2000 through 2018. This time-series model considers the association between personal bankruptcy court filings and costly, widespread flooding events. Independent variables were selected that potentially act as mitigating factors reducing bankruptcy filings.FindingsThe FMOLS regression results found a significant, positive association between flooding events and the total number of personal bankruptcy filings. Higher flooding costs were associated with higher bankruptcy filings. The Home Price Index is inversely related to the bankruptcy dependent variable. The R-squared results indicate that 0.65% of the movement in the dependent variable personal bankruptcy filings is explained by the severity of a flooding event and other independent variables.Research limitations/implicationsThe severity of the flooding event is measured using dollar losses incurred by the National Flood Insurance program. A macro-case study was undertaken, but the research results would have been enhanced by examining local areas and demographic factors that may have made bankruptcy filing following a flooding event more or less likely.Practical implicationsThe paper considers the impact of the natural disaster flooding on bankruptcy rates filings. The findings may have implications for multi-family properties as well as single-family housing. Purchasing flood insurance generally mitigates the likelihood of severe financial risk to the property owner.Social implicationsNatural flood insurance is underwritten by the federal government and/or by private insurers. The financial health of private property insurers that underwrite flooding and their ability to meet losses incurred needs to be carefully scrutinized by the insured.Originality/valuePrior studies analyzing the linkages existing between housing prices, natural disasters and bankruptcy used descriptive data, mostly percentages, when considering this association. The study herein posits the same questions as these prior studies but used regression analysis to analyze the linkages. The methodology enables additional independent variables to be added to the analysis.

Analysis of risk spillover effect of copper option in China

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wuyi Ye ◽  
Yiqi Wang ◽  
Jinhai Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Value At Risk ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Spillover Effect ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Futures Market ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Conditional Autoregressive ◽  
Derivative Markets ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Risk Spillover Effects

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to compare the changes in the risk spillover effects between the copper spot and futures markets before and after the issuance of copper options, analyze the risk spillover effects between the three markets after the issuance of the options and can provide effective suggestions for regulators and investors who hedge risks. Design/methodology/approach The MV-CAViaR model is an extended form of the vector autoregressive model (VAR) to the quantile model, and it is also a special form of the MVMQ-CAViaR model. Based on the VAR quantile model, this model has undergone continuous promotion of the Conditional Autoregressive Value-at-Risk Model (CAViaR) and the Multi-quantile Conditional Autoregressive Value-at-Risk Model (MQ-CAViaR), and finally got the current form of the model. Findings The issuance of options has led to certain changes in the risk spillover effect between the copper spot and its derivative markets, and the risk aggregation effect in the futures market has always been significant. Therefore, when supervising the copper product market and investors using copper derivatives to avoid market risks, they need to pay attention to the impact of futures on the spot market, the impact of options on the futures market and the risk spillover effects of spot and futures on the options market. Practical implications The empirical results of this paper can be used to hedge market risk investment strategies, and the changes in market relationships also provide an effective basis for the supervision of the copper product market by the supervisory authority. Originality/value It is the first literature research to discuss the risk and the impact of spillover effects of copper options on China copper market and its derivative markets. The MV-CAViaR model can capture the mutual risk influence between markets by modeling multiple markets simultaneously.

Modelling sectoral spillovers in the USA (1992–2015)

2020 ◽  
Vol 47 (3) ◽  
pp. 561-595
Author(s):  
Konstantinos N. Konstantakis ◽  
Panayotis G. Michaelides ◽  
Theofanis Papageorgiou ◽  
Theodoros Daglis
Keyword(s):  
Information Technology ◽  
General Equilibrium ◽  
Methodological Approach ◽  
Robustness Analysis ◽  
Autoregressive Process ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Us Economy ◽  
The Us ◽  
The Impact

PurposeThis research paper uses a novel methodological approach to investigate the spillover effects among the key sectors of the US economy.Design/methodology/approachThe paper links the US sectors via a node theoretic scheme based on a general equilibrium framework, whereas it estimates the general equilibrium equation as a Global Vector Autoregressive process, taking into consideration the potential existence of dominant units.FindingsBased on our findings, the dominant sector in the US economy, for the period 1992–2015, is the sector of information technology, finance and communications, a fact that gives credence to the view that the US economy is a service-driven economy. In addition, the US economy seems to benefit by the increased labour mobility across knowledge-intensive sectors, thus avoiding the ‘employment trap’ which in turn enabled the US economy to overcome the financial crisis of 2007.Originality/valueFirstly, the paper models by means of a network approach which is based on a general equilibrium framework, the linkages between the US sectors while treating the sector of information, technology, communications and finance as dominant, as dictated by its degree of centrality in the network structure. Secondly, the paper offers a robustness analysis regarding both the existence and the identification of dominant sectors (nodes) in the US economy. Thirdly, the paper studies a wide period, namely 1992–2015, fully capturing the recent global recession, while acknowledging the impact of the global crisis through the introduction of the relevant exogenous dummy variables; Lastly and most importantly, it is the first study to apply the GVAR approach in a network general equilibrium framework at the sectoral level.

Spatial analysis of Twitter sentiment and district-level housing prices

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 173-189
Author(s):  
Christopher Hannum ◽  
Kerem Yavuz Arslanli ◽  
Ali Furkan Kalay
Keyword(s):  
News Media ◽  
Housing Prices ◽  
District Level ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Scoring Method ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Property Prices ◽  
Price Appreciation

Purpose Studies have shown a correlation and predictive impact of sentiment on asset prices, including Twitter sentiment on markets and individual stocks. This paper aims to determine whether there exists such a correlation between Twitter sentiment and property prices. Design/methodology/approach The authors construct district-level sentiment indices for every district of Istanbul using a dictionary-based polarity scoring method applied to a data set of 1.7 million original tweets that mention one or more of those districts. The authors apply a spatial lag model to estimate the relationship between Twitter sentiment regarding a district and housing prices or housing price appreciation in that district. Findings The findings indicate a significant but negative correlation between Twitter sentiment and property prices and price appreciation. However, the percentage of check-in tweets is found to be positively correlated with prices and price appreciation. Research limitations/implications The analysis is cross-sectional, and therefore, unable to answer the question of whether Twitter can Granger-cause changes in housing markets. Future research should focus on creation of a property-focused lexicon and panel analysis over a longer time horizon. Practical implications The findings suggest a role for Twitter-derived sentiment in predictive models for local variation in property prices as it can be observed in real time. Originality/value This is the first study to analyze the link between sentiment measures derived from Twitter, rather than surveys or news media, on property prices.

scholarly journals The impact of epidemics on agricultural production and forecast of COVID-19

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 409-425 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shurui Zhang ◽  
Shuo Wang ◽  
Lingran Yuan ◽  
Xiaoguang Liu ◽  
Binlei Gong
Keyword(s):  
Indirect Effects ◽  
Agricultural Production ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
Growth Accounting ◽  
Direct And Indirect Effects ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Dynamic Panel Model ◽  
The Impact

PurposeThis article investigates the mechanism of the direct and indirect effects of epidemics on agricultural production and projects the impact of COVID-19 on agricultural output in China.Design/methodology/approachThis article first adopts a dynamic panel model and spatial Durbin model to estimate the direct and indirect effects, followed by a growth accounting method to identify the channels by which epidemics affect agriculture; finally, it projects the overall impact of COVID-19 on agriculture.FindingsThe incidence rate of epidemics in a province has a negative impact on that province's own agricultural productivity, but the increase in the input factors (land, fertilizer and machinery) can make up for the loss and thus lead to insignificant direct effects. However, this “input-offset-productivity” mechanism fails to radiate to the surrounding provinces and therefore leads to significant indirect/spillover effects. It is projected that COVID-19 will lower China's agricultural growth rate by 0.4%–2.0% in 2020 under different scenarios.Research limitations/implicationsIt is crucial to establish a timely disclosure and sharing system of epidemic information across provinces, improve the support and resilience of agricultural production in the short run and accelerate the process of agricultural modernization in the long run.Originality/valueConsidering the infectivity of epidemics, this article evaluates the mechanism of the direct and indirect effects by introducing a spatial dynamic model into the growth accounting framework. Moreover, besides the impact on input portfolio and productivity, this article also investigates whether epidemics reshape agricultural production processes due to panic effects and control measures.

Estimating umbrella-branding spillovers: a retailer perspective

2017 ◽  
Vol 51 (9/10) ◽  
pp. 1695-1712 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mouna Sebri ◽  
Georges Zaccour
Keyword(s):  
Market Share ◽  
Focal Point ◽  
Spillover Effect ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Brand Performance ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Umbrella Branding ◽  
Share Model ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The starting conjecture is that the market share of a brand in one category benefits from its performance in another category, and vice versa. The purpose of this paper is to assess the umbrella-branding spillovers by investigating the presence of synergy effect between categories when a retailer and/or a manufacturer decide to adopt/use the same name for his products. In fact, besides the cross-category dependency due to substitutability or complementarity, products can also be linked through their brand name in presence of an umbrella-branding strategy. Design/methodology/approach The authors propose an extended market-share model to account for the spillover effect at the brand level. The spillover is modeled to be generated by the brand's performance and not specific to marketing instruments, as done in the literature. They adopt a multiplicative competitive interaction (MCI) form for the attraction function. Based on aggregated data of two complementary oral-hygiene categories, the authors estimate the umbrella-branding spillover parameters using the iterate three-stage least squares (I3SLS) method. They contrast the results in three scenarios: no spillover, brand-constant spillover and brand-specific spillover. Findings The ensuing results indicate that umbrella-branding spillover is (i) significant and positive, i.e. the brand performance is boosted by its performance in a related category, through the so-called brand-attraction multiplier; (ii) asymmetric, i.e. the spillover is not equal in both directions; and associated to the market strength of each competing brand; (iii) variable across brands. The results show that not accounting for umbrella-branding spillover leads to misestimating the parameters and has a considerable impact on price-elasticities computation. Research limitations/implications Because store brands and some national brands exist in many categories, and thus because consumers make inferences when they face a large number of brands in different categories, spillover effects cannot be labelled as simply complementary or substitution-related. Future research may provide insight about the spillover phenomenon in a more general framework that would consider the spillover occurring between more than two categories. Practical implications Providing accurate assessment for umbrella-branding spillovers governing the competing brands, the results offer a relevant and straightforward method for decision makers to precisely assess the impact of a marketing effort in one category on the retailer's global performance. The findings provide better forecasts of market response in terms of sales and profit, within a cross-category perspective. Originality/value This study develops and estimates a market-share model with the aim of measuring brand-category spillover effects. The literature dealt with cross-category interactions in terms of substitutability or complementarity between the products offered in the two or more categories under investigation. Here, the focal point (and contribution) of the authors is the link at the brand level. Indeed, the authors only require that a minimum of one brand is offered in at least two of the categories of interest. Further, the spillover considered is not specific to marketing instruments, but is generated by the brand performance (attraction or market share), which is the result of both the firms marketing-mix choice and competitors marketing policies.

Cyprus will try to improve tarnished image in West

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Natural Gas ◽  
The United States ◽  
Small Contribution ◽  
Construction Sector ◽  
Foreign Nationals ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Property Prices ◽  
Investment Programme ◽  
The Impact

Subject Nicosia’s decision to revoke the citizenship of 26 foreign nationals. Significance Cyprus has tightened up its Citizenship by Investment Programme (CIP) with regard to certain controversial individuals out of a desire to strengthen relations with the United States and EU. This is particularly important given Turkish efforts to prevent Cyprus exploring for natural gas in its waters. Impacts According to a finance ministry study, CIP made a positive but relatively small contribution to GDP during 2013-18. The construction sector benefited in particular, with employment rising by about 8%. The effect on property prices seems largely to have been confined to Limassol. The impact on Cypriot banking amounted largely to stabilising the sector and providing a new source of finance during the banking crisis.

scholarly journals Do segregated housing markets have a spillover effect on housing prices in nearby residential areas?

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Ismail ◽  
Abukar Warsame ◽  
Mats Wilhelmsson
Keyword(s):  
Low Income ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Housing Prices ◽  
Spillover Effect ◽  
Housing Markets ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
High Income ◽  
Housing Values ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Property Assessment

Purpose The purpose of this study is to analyse the trends regarding housing segregation over the past 10–20 years and determine whether housing segregation has a spillover effect on neighbouring housing areas. Namely, the authors set out to determine whether proximity to a specific type of segregated housing market has a negative impact on nearby housing markets while proximity to another type of segregated market has a positive impact. Design/methodology/approach For the purposes of this paper, the authors must combine information on segregation within a city with information on property values in the city. The authors have, therefore, used data on the income of the population and data on housing values taken from housing transactions. The case study used is the city of Stockholm, the capital of Sweden. The empirical analysis will be the estimation of the traditional hedonic pricing model. It will be estimated for the condominium market. Findings The results indicate that segregation, when measured as income sorting, has increased over time in some of the housing markets. Its effects on housing values in neighbouring housing areas are significant and statistically significant. Research limitations/implications A better understanding of the different potential spillover effects on housing prices in relation to the spatial distribution of various income groups would be beneficial in determining appropriate property assessment levels. In other words, awareness of this spillover effect could improve existing property assessment methods and provide local governments with extra information to make an informed decision on policies and services needed in different neighbourhoods. Practical implications On housing prices emanating from proximity to segregated areas with high income differs from segregated areas with low income, policies that address socio-economic costs and benefits, as well as property assessment levels, should reflect this pronounced difference. On the property level, positive spillover on housing prices near high-income segregated areas will cause an increase in the number of higher income groups and exacerbate segregation based on income. Contrarily, negative spillover on housing prices near low-income areas might discourage high-income households from moving to a location near low-income segregated areas. Local government should be aware of these spillover effects on housing prices to ensure that policies intended to reduce socioeconomic segregation, such as residential and income segregation, produce desirable results. Social implications Furthermore, a good estimation of these spillover effects on housing prices would allow local governments to carry out a cost–benefit analysis for policies intended to combat segregation and invest in deprived communities. Originality/value The main contribution of this paper is to go beyond the traditional studies of segregation that mainly emphasise residential segregation based on income levels, i.e. low-income or high-income households. The authors have analysed the spillover effect of proximity to hot spots (high income) and cold spots (low income) on the housing values of nearby condominiums or single-family homes within segregated areas in Stockholm Municipality in 2013.

The impact of spillover effects from operational risk events: a model from a portfolio perspective

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 176-200 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Eckert ◽  
Nadine Gatzert
Keyword(s):  
Insurance Industry ◽  
Operational Risk ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Empirical Literature ◽  
Risk Management Strategy ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Reputational Risk ◽  
Financial Firms ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Industry Network

Purpose Financial firms announcing large operational losses have empirically been shown to cause significant negative spillover effects in other non-announcing firms in case of the banking and insurance industry. The purpose of this paper is 1) to model such spillover effects in a network from a portfolio perspective and 2) to holistically assess operational risk, reputational risk and the risk of spillover effects, taking into account the dependencies between these risk types. Design/methodology/approach The authors propose different approaches to model spillover effects with different complexity, including stochasticity and influencing factors within the industry network. They then calibrate the model based on information from previous empirical literature. Findings The results emphasize that spillover effects can represent a considerable (non-diversifiable) risk, especially in portfolios, and that neglecting them may lead to a severe underestimation of the actual impact of single operational loss events. Originality/value This study is relevant not only for a firm’s risk management strategy but also for investors holding a portfolio of firms potentially subject to spillover effects.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document