New Algerian leader will struggle to restore stability

Significance Indeed, following a controversial vote on December 12, incoming President Abdelmadjid Tebboune faces a momentous challenge if he is to succeed in leading the country towards greater political and economic stability. Notably, he will need to break the current political impasse through a credible engagement with the protest movement. Interlinked with this is the need to demonstrate his independence from the military. Impacts If Tebboune makes credible concessions, opposition will fragment between those favouring dialogue and those preferring continued protest. Without Gaid Salah’s clear leadership, the military may be more divided and less able to set policy direction in the coming months. Tebboune’s initial government is likely to be dominated by unknown figures and may be weak, but will later try to co-opt opposition actors. Tebboune’s programme will probably support a modest degree of economic liberalisation.

Subject Outlook for the army's involvement in politics. Significance President Abdelmadjid Tebboune has indicated that early parliamentary and local elections will be held this year, once a constitutional overhaul that he initiated after coming to office in December is complete. These promises of reform, however, have done little to placate activists demanding radical change. The weekly demonstrations that precipitated the army’s removal of Tebboune’s predecessor, Abdelaziz Bouteflika, are ongoing. Impacts Former army chief Gaid Salah’s death may prompt reshuffles in the military without fundamentally altering its role in politics. The recent release of Workers’ Party leader Louisa Hanoune, imprisoned last May, could create an opening for negotiations over cooperation. Demonstrations will temporarily peak again on February 21, to mark the anniversary of the protest movement.


Significance The elections revived political parties that had been marginalised by President Abdelmadjid Tebboune’s administration and had been criticised by the ‘Hirak’ protest movement. Tebboune had intended the polls to put an end to the Hirak protesters and to concentrate his power but they have had the opposite effect and, rather than resolving Algeria’s political crisis, they have made it worse. Impacts A parliament at odds with the president will mean that Algeria will be unable to implement policies to address its economic crisis. The persistence of the Hirak movement raises the chance of a confrontation with security forces, which could lead to widespread unrest. Tebboune may resign under pressure from the military if economic conditions worsen and demonstrations become violent.


Significance The situation has highlighted several issues of concern around the influence of the Mexican military, the government’s reliance on it and the challenges Mexico and its security agencies face in trying to meet US demands while addressing domestic threats. Impacts Mexican militarisation was facilitated by Trump administration apathy on human rights; this will change under President Joe Biden. Increased US-bound migration, encouraged by Biden’s more humane rhetoric, will heighten the need for bilateral security cooperation. Future Mexican administrations will struggle to reverse the political influence the military has obtained.


Headline HONG KONG: Protest movement is not completely dead


Significance Demonstrations resumed on February 22, the second anniversary of the ‘Hirak’ movement that ousted President Abdelaziz Bouteflika from office. His successor, President Abdelmadjid Tebboune, has failed to appease the protest movement. On February 21, he announced the release of political prisoners, a partial cabinet reshuffle and the dissolution of parliament in anticipation of elections, but the measures appear to have been ineffective in staving off dissent. Impacts After the elections, Tebboune might have backing for economic reforms that would open the economy to foreign investors. As reserves have fallen to USD43bn, down from USD59bn in February 2020, Algiers may have to resort to external borrowing. Members of the old regime who survived the fall of Bouteflika might decide to fight back if Tebboune challenges their interests too much.


2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 327-353 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Ali Nasir ◽  
Mushtaq Ahmad ◽  
Ferhan Ahmad ◽  
Junjie Wu

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to provide a different context for considering issues of financial stability and instability, with reference to economic growth and price stability in particular. Design/methodology/approach – This paper pursued an empirical exploration of six pillars of financial stability, based on a data set for the UK extending from 1985 (Q1) to 2008 (Q2), through the construction of a vector error correction model, including an impulse response function analysis. Findings – The findings show a strong association between the financial and economic stability even in a non-crisis regime. This includes, for example, a strong association exists between the stock market and the real economy; exchange rate appreciation may not provide for long-term real economic growth; inflation does not contribute to real economic growth, both the sensitivity of the economy to yields and a significant lag in transitional effects from financial markets to the real sector; a positive role of credit creation within a non-crisis regime; exchange rate appreciation affects purchasing power; and potential points of linkage between sovereign debt activity and general price levels. Research limitations/implications – The findings should be considered in the context of a concept of the economy as fundamentally dynamic and subject to complex cumulative processes. Practical implications – The findings indicate there is a role for state oversight and intervention within a non-crisis regime based on the complexity of possible interactions that may undermine financial and price stability, with consequences for their association with economic growth. Originality/value – The study provides a new perspective for considering issues of financial stability and instability.


Keyword(s):  

Significance Allegations about ‘terrorist’ and ‘communist’ leanings played a leading part in the polarising elections that brought new President Pedro Castillo to power. Impacts Sporadic armed attacks by SL remnants in the VRAEM area will persist. SL will remain a divisive influence within the left. The military will oppose attempts to bring SL within the compass of formal politics.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Irene Ryan

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to reflexively reconsider the effects of the author’s pre-understandings, both academic and non-academic, on the subject matter and the research setting. The unforeseen implications of this disjuncture on our research practice and the expected deliverables are discussed.Design/methodology/approachThe paper engages in a critical, self-reflexive dialogue of a journey through a stimulating yet, uncomfortable piece of feminist, organizational ethnographic research drawing on the insights from the author's research diary.FindingsThe account presented in this paper describes the problematic nature of undertaking a collaborative, reciprocal research project in the distinctive and foreign cultural landscape of the military. The author shows the importance of delving into matters of positionality and preparedness for what might emerge, as a form of closure.Practical implicationsThe paper provides insights into the importance of sponsors to access “the field” and our obligation as researchers to produce written deliverables.Originality/valueThis paper contributes to the emerging literature on the significance of reflexivity in feminist inspired organizational ethnographies in highly gendered settings such as the military.


Significance The deployment of the UK troops comes at a time when jihadists attacks are intensifying across the Sahel amid an escalating internecine conflict between the al-Qaida-affiliated Group for Supporting Islam and Muslims (JNIM) and the Islamic State in the Greater Sahara (ISGS). Impacts Mali’s coup is likely to distract the military leadership away from its core mandate to improve national security. The G5 Sahel Joint Force may continue to struggle to curb jihadist cross-border operations. The deployment of UK troops underscores the still strong commitment of Western governments to improving the security situation in the Sahel.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonia Ruiz Moreno ◽  
María Isabel Roldán Bravo ◽  
Carlos García-Guiu ◽  
Luis M. Lozano ◽  
Natalio Extremera Pacheco ◽  
...  

PurposeThis paper aims to report the findings of a study examining the relationship between different leadership styles and engagement through the mediating role of proactive personality.Design/methodology/approachServant leadership, paradoxical leadership, authentic leadership, employee engagement and proactive personality were assessed in an empirical study based on a sample of 348 military personnel in Spain. The questionnaire data were analyzed through SEM using EQS and bootstrapping analysis using the PROCESS macro for SPSS.FindingsThe results reveal that servant leadership style in officers partially impacts their cadets' engagement through proactive personality but that authentic and paradoxical leadership styles do not mediate the relationship. The authors also verify a direct relationship between proactive personality and engagement.Practical implicationsThe study implications advance the literature on leadership in emphasizing new leadership styles to increase proactive personality and engagement in the military context. This study verifies the importance of military leaders fostering servant leadership as an antecedent of proactive personality. Finally, the authors show that servant leadership partially impacts engagement through proactive personality.Originality/valueThis study explores the relationship among servant, paradoxical and authentic leadership styles, proactive personality, and engagement – relationships that have not been explored theoretically and tested empirically in the military context.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document