Rapid Population Growth and Fragile Environments: The Sub-Saharan African and South Asian Experience

This guidance note is about how donors, can support a demographic transition in sub- Saharan Africa. The demographic transition is the evolution from high to low mortality and fertility rates, with associated changes in age structures. Countries in sub-Saharan Africa are on a trajectory of rapid population growth. Mortality rates have been declining for some time while fertility rates started to fall later and at a slower pace, resulting in high population growth. It is estimated that the population of sub-Saharan Africa will double between 2020 and 2050 to 2.5 billion. This guidance note refers to support from donors to governments in partner countries in two ways. First, support to adapt to the implications of rapid population growth. Second, support to accelerate the demographic transition. Countries in sub- Saharan Africa need to be prepared for population growth and, importantly, also for a unique “window of opportunity” that occurs when fertility rates fall consistently and at a high pace during the demographic transition. With the right investments, these countries could generate economic opportunities for growth, which in the literature is called the “demographic dividend”.

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Demography of Anglicans in Sub-Saharan Africa: Estimating the Population of Anglicans in Kenya, Nigeria, South Africa, Tanzania and Uganda

Journal of Anglican Studies ◽

10.1017/s1740355320000170 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 18 (1) ◽

pp. 42-60

Author(s):

Andrew McKinnon

Keyword(s):

South Africa ◽

Population Growth ◽

Absolute Number ◽

Statistical Estimate ◽

Sub Saharan Africa ◽

Sub Saharan ◽

The Church

AbstractThere is an emerging debate about the growth of Anglicanism in sub-Saharan Africa. With this debate in mind, this paper uses four statistically representative surveys of sub-Saharan Africa to estimate the relative and absolute number who identify as Anglican in five countries: Kenya, Nigeria, South Africa, Tanzania and Uganda. The results for Kenya, South Africa and Tanzania are broadly consistent with previous scholarly assessments. The findings on Nigeria and Uganda, the two largest provinces, are likely to be more controversial. The evidence from statistically representative surveys finds that the claims often made of the Church of Nigeria consisting of ‘over 18 million’ exceedingly unlikely; the best statistical estimate is that under 8 million Nigerians identify as Anglican. The evidence presented here shows that Uganda (rather than Nigeria) has the strongest claim to being the largest province in Africa in terms of those who identify as Anglican, and is larger than is usually assumed. Evidence from the Ugandan Census of Populations and Households, however, also suggests the proportion of Ugandans that identify as Anglican is in decline, even if absolute numbers have been growing, driven by population growth.

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The Political Economics of Population Growth: The Case of China

World Politics ◽

10.2307/2009678 ◽

1971 ◽

Vol 23 (2) ◽

pp. 245-272 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Pi-Chao Chen

Keyword(s):

Economic Development ◽

Quantitative Analysis ◽

Population Growth ◽

Historical Data ◽

Historical Record ◽

The Political ◽

High Population Density ◽

Rapid Population Growth ◽

The World ◽

Simon Kuznets

Some economists argue that high population density and rapid population growth are not in themselves impediments to economic development. On the basis of a quantitative analysis of historical data, Simon Kuznets, for instance, concludes that, historically, rates of economic development have not significantly correlated, either positively or negatively, with rates of population growth. Similarly, E. E. Hagen observes that “nowhere in the world has population growth induced by rising income been sufficient to halt the rise in income. … The historical record indicates that rise in income in these societies has failed to occur not because something thwarted it, but because no force has been present to cause income to rise.

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Reproduction and survival of Muscina stabulans under laboratory conditions

Ciência Rural ◽

10.1590/s0103-84782010000300030 ◽

2010 ◽

Vol 40 (3) ◽

pp. 674-677 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Rodrigo Ferreira Krüger ◽

Paulo Bretanha Ribeiro ◽

Simone Giehl Erthal ◽

Og DeSouza

Keyword(s):

Population Growth ◽

Quantitative Estimate ◽

Intrinsic Rate ◽

Reproduction Rate ◽

Rapid Population Growth ◽

Artificial Diets ◽

Adaptation Capacity ◽

Laboratory Conditions ◽

Published Report ◽

Rearing Conditions

This is the first published report concerning reproduction and survival using life table analyses of fertility and survival for Muscina stabulans maintained under laboratory conditions with artificial diets. The intrinsic rate of growth, reproduction rate and average generational time were obtained, suggesting a rapid population growth under these rearing conditions. These findings permitted the creation of time models of survival and oviposition, as well as a quantitative estimate of the adaptation capacity of this species.

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California Futures

Boom A Journal of California ◽

10.1525/boom.2012.2.2.37 ◽

2012 ◽

Vol 2 (2) ◽

pp. 37-54

Author(s):

Dowell Myers

Keyword(s):

Population Growth ◽

Baby Boomers ◽

Demographic Change ◽

House Prices ◽

Shared Understanding ◽

Rapid Population Growth ◽

Proposition 13 ◽

Racial Change ◽

Recent Trends ◽

Brighter Future

California needs a new guiding narrative for shared understanding and for directing public decisions about threats and opportunities in the state. Misleading and counterproductive guidance is provided by narratives that are no longer supported by recent trends. Ongoing changes related to two specific guiding narratives are described. In the first, support for Proposition 13 was founded on explosive increases of house prices in the 1970s, along with assumptions of continued migration of newcomers willing to pay higher prices and the higher taxes needed to offset discounts for oldtimers. A second narrative of demographic change reacts negatively to rapid population growth, soaring immigration and racial change. Remarkably, virtually all the premises in these two narratives have been overturned by events. Instead, a different set of urgent problems and opportunities have emerged that require a new guiding vision. In place of exploding house prices, tax assessments have collapsed and we struggle to revive the housing market. Young buyers are asked to pay the highest taxes, but today it is the young not the old who are vulnerable and threatened. While before it was a struggle to keep up with migration from outside California, immigration has declined and today the growth is homegrown. Meanwhile, the aging baby boomers are about to create a crisis of replacement workers, taxpayers and home buyers. Cultivating the new homegrown generation is our paramount need. Today the story of California is completely reversed, yet adherence to the old narratives blocks recognition of the path to a brighter future.

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Human population growth offsets climate-driven increase in woody vegetation in sub-Saharan Africa

Nature Ecology & Evolution ◽

10.1038/s41559-017-0081 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 1 (4) ◽

Cited By ~ 67

Author(s):

Martin Brandt ◽

Kjeld Rasmussen ◽

Josep Peñuelas ◽

Feng Tian ◽

Guy Schurgers ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Population Growth ◽

Human Population ◽

Sub Saharan Africa ◽

Woody Vegetation ◽

Human Population Growth ◽

Sub Saharan

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Design of vertical fisherman village in Penjaringan with sustainable development concept

IOP Conference Series Earth and Environmental Science ◽

10.1088/1755-1315/878/1/012020 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 878 (1) ◽

pp. 012020

Author(s):

M Yudha ◽

U Siahaan ◽

R Ismanto

Keyword(s):

Sustainable Development ◽

Population Growth ◽

Economic Life ◽

Behavior Patterns ◽

Rapid Population Growth ◽

Fishing Village ◽

Open Land ◽

Vertical Development ◽

Narrow Area ◽

Limited Height

Abstract Indonesia is known as an archipelago state that has more than 17,000 islands with a coastline of more than 81,000 kilometers. Therefore, the economic life of the Indonesian nation is largely centered on the coastal areas. Population growth along the coastline has resulted in fishermen choosing to live close to their source of life and building their economy there. Rapid population growth, and the scarcity of available residential land resulted in fishermen building denser settlements, expanding towards the sea and ultimately giving the impression of slums along the coast. It is felt that vertical settlements (flats) will provide solutions to problems in the conditions of these slum settlements. The effort to rejuvenate the fishing village in Penjaringan Village is the topic of this research with the limited vertical settlement approach, which takes into account: behavior patterns, habits, activities and daily needs of fishermen. A vertical development with a limited height is also seen as fulfilling the concept of sustainable development, where all fishing activities can be accommodated on a narrow area of land and do not sacrifice too much open land which is already small in the coastal area. In addition, fishermen’s life and cooperation between them can be facilitated by carrying out a compact upward design. This is one solution that will differentiate this fishing village from other settlements. This development is declared successful if all the goals that have been set together can be achieved and bring benefits to the group of residents.

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Opening Gijón to Future: The Limited Revision of the Official Urban Catalogue

VLC arquitectura Research Journal ◽

10.4995/vlc.2016.5747 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 3 (2) ◽

pp. 149

Author(s):

Jorge Latorre ◽

Jesús Sola

Keyword(s):

Population Growth ◽

Working Group ◽

City Council ◽

Rapid Population Growth ◽

Autonomous Region ◽

Industrial City ◽

Urban Renovation ◽

Industrial Crisis ◽

Set Up ◽

The City

Gijón, also known as Xixón, is an important city that rivals Oviedo, the historical capital of the Autonomous Region and Principality of Asturias (Spain), in historical demographic and economic terms. It has traditionally been a port and, more recently, an industrial city, which experienced very rapid population growth and with little planning. After the industrial crisis of the 80s, the city wanted to become a tourist location more than an industrial harbor. Both its privileged location and the historical urban heritage that still remain are corner stones to make this change possible. However, the late and strict legislation (improvised to protect the last remains of a previously uncontrolled development) impeded a necessary urban re-design in order to shelter the new touristic supplies. This paper proposes some urban solutions to selectively modify the catalogue according with the cultural and touristic potentials of the city. These solutions were agreed by the working group set up by Gijón City Council and ERDU (Estudio de Renovación y Desarrollos Urbanos -Urban Renovation and Development Studio).

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