Cardiovascular risk after hospitalisation for unexplained syncope and orthostatic hypotension

ObjectiveTo investigate the relationship of hospital admissions due to unexplained syncope and orthostatic hypotension (OH) with subsequent cardiovascular events and mortality.MethodsWe analysed a population-based prospective cohort of 30 528 middle-aged individuals (age 58±8 years; males, 40%). Adjusted Cox regression models were applied to assess the impact of unexplained syncope/OH hospitalisations on cardiovascular events and mortality, excluding subjects with prevalent cardiovascular disease.ResultsAfter a median follow-up of 15±4 years, 524 (1.7%) and 504 (1.7%) participants were hospitalised for syncope or OH, respectively, yielding 1.2 hospital admissions per 1000 person-years for each diagnosis. Syncope hospitalisations increased with age (HR, per 1 year: 1.07, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.09), higher systolic blood pressure (HR, per 10 mm Hg: 1.06, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.12), antihypertensive treatment (HR: 1.26, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.59), use of diuretics (HR: 1.77, 95% CI 1.31 to 2.38) and prevalent cardiovascular disease (HR: 1.59, 95% CI 1.14 to 2.23), whereas OH hospitalisations increased with age (HR: 1.11, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.12) and prevalent diabetes (HR: 1.82, 95% CI 1.23 to 2.70). After exclusion of 1399 patients with prevalent cardiovascular disease, a total of 473/464 patients were hospitalised for unexplained syncope/OH before any cardiovascular event. Hospitalisation for unexplained syncope predicted coronary events (HR: 1.85, 95% CI 1.49 to 2.30), heart failure (HR: 2.24, 95% CI 1.65 to 3.04), atrial fibrillation (HR: 1.84, 95% CI 1.50 to 2.26), aortic valve stenosis (HR: 2.06, 95% CI 1.28 to 3.32), all-cause mortality (HR: 1.22, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.37) and cardiovascular death (HR: 1.72, 95% CI 1.23 to 2.42). OH-hospitalisation predicted stroke (HR: 1.66, 95% CI 1.24 to 2.23), heart failure (HR: 1.78, 95% CI 1.21 to 2.62), atrial fibrillation (HR: 1.89, 95% CI 1.48 to 2.41) and all-cause mortality (HR: 1.14, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.30).ConclusionsPatients discharged with the diagnosis of unexplained syncope or OH show higher incidence of cardiovascular disease and mortality with only partial overlap between these two conditions.

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Heart rate recovery after exercise as a prognostic predictor in patients with atrial fibrillation

European Heart Journal ◽

10.1093/ehjci/ehaa946.0496 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽

Author(s):

Y Kato ◽

N Itahashi ◽

T Uejima ◽

H Semba ◽

T Arita ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Heart Failure ◽

Atrial Fibrillation ◽

Heart Rate ◽

Cardiovascular Events ◽

Heart Rate Recovery ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

The Difference ◽

The Impact ◽

Prognostic Power ◽

Worse Prognosis

Abstract Background A delayed heart rate recovery (HRR) after exercise is related to mortality in sinus rhythm. This study aimed to investigate this concept can be applied to patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods We analyzed 483 patients with AF (mean 65 years, male 74%). HRR integral was calculated by integrating the difference in HR in every 3 second between the end of exercise and the specified time after the exercise (30, 60, 120 and 180 seconds). After evaluating the prognostic power of each HRR integral, we selected HRR integral of 180 seconds (180HRR-integral). Results We divided the patients into two groups using median value of 180HRR-integral. All-cause mortality, the incidence of cardiovascular events and heart failure events were higher in the poor 180HRR-integral. After adjustment for covariates, the impact of the high 180HRR-integral for all-cause mortality was 3.15 (p=0.057), 1.77 for cardiovascular events (p=0.067) and 1.28 for heart failure events (p=0.519). Conclusion Poor HRR was associated with worse prognosis in patients with AF. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

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Mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation with or without heart failure following hospital discharge

European Heart Journal ◽

10.1093/ehjci/ehaa946.0362 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽

Author(s):

A Kartas ◽

A Samaras ◽

D Vasdeki ◽

G Dividis ◽

G Fotos ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Heart Failure ◽

Atrial Fibrillation ◽

Primary Endpoint ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Cross Sectional ◽

Tertiary Center ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Endpoint Event ◽

Secondary Endpoints ◽

Sectional Analysis

Abstract Background The association of heart failure (HF) with the prognosis of atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unclear. OBJECTIVES To assess all-cause mortality in patients following hospitalization with comorbid AF in relation to the presence of HF. Methods We performed a cross-sectional analysis of data from 977 patients discharged from the cardiology ward of a single tertiary center between 2015 and 2018 and followed for a median of 2 years. The association between HF and the primary endpoint of death from any cause was assessed using multivariable Cox regression. Results HF was documented in 505 (51.7%) of AF cases at discharge, including HFrEF (17.9%), HFmrEF (16.5%) and HFpEF (25.2%). A primary endpoint event occurred in 212 patients (42%) in the AF-HF group and in 86 patients (18.2%) in the AF-no HF group (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.27; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.65 to 3.13; P<0.001). HF was associated with a higher risk of the composite secondary endpoint of death from any cause, AF or HF-specific hospitalization (aHR 1.69; 95% CI 1.32 to 2.16 p<0.001). The associations of HF with the primary and secondary endpoints were significant and similar for AF-HFrEF, AF-HFmrEF, AF-HFpEF. Conclusions HF was present in half of the patients discharged from the hospital with comorbid AF. The presence of HF on top of AF was independently associated with a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality than did absence of HF, irrespective of HF subtype. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

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Rehospitalization as a predictor of mortality in Polish population of heart failure patients-national registry

European Heart Journal ◽

10.1093/ehjci/ehaa946.0967 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽

Author(s):

M Zaleska-Kociecka ◽

K Witczak ◽

K Bartolik ◽

D Was ◽

A Kleinork ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Heart Failure ◽

Cox Regression ◽

National Registry ◽

Funding Source ◽

Polish Population ◽

The European Union ◽

Related Factors ◽

Comorbidity Burden ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

The Impact

Abstract Background High mortality risk in heart failure (HF) is related to repeat HF hospitalizations but also individual patient characteristics. Purpose To evaluate the impact of HF re-/hospitalizations and patient-related factors (sex, HF etiology, age, comorbidity) on all-cause mortality. Methods Our study represents one of the most extensive retrospective cohort analyses consisting of 1,686,861 adult Polish HF patients who presented into public health system in years 2013–2018. It is a part of a nationwide National Health Fund registry covering out- and in-patient data for the entire Polish population (38,495,659 in 2013) since 2009. HF hospitalizations were extracted using ICD-10 coding, whereas the comorbidity was evaluated by means of Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). Results In years 2013–2018 the absolute number of HF hospitalizations in Poland grew by 33% to 264,808 in 2018, whereas the number of rehospitalizations increased 1.5-fold to reach 137,708 in 2018. In fact, nearly half of HF patients (n=817,432; 48.5%) experienced at least one hospitalization, while 15.4% (n=259,868) were rehospitalized during the study period. After initial hospitalization the readmission rate due to HF/all circulatory diseases at 30, 60, 180, 360, and 720 days was 10.4%/15.1%, 21.2%/28.3%, 43.9%/52.8%, 62%/70.4%, and 81%/87%, respectively. As compared to patients who were hospitalized just once, those who underwent at least one rehospitalization were more often female (p<0.001), slightly older (p<0.001), and with higher burden of comorbidities based on CCI (p<0.001). Patient survival was highly dependent on hospitalization frequency (Fig. 1). Mean survival rate at day 720 was 66.4%, 59.8%, 54.9%, 51%, and 43.9% for 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, and ≥5th hospitalization, respectively. After adjusting for age, sex, etiology (ischemic/non-ischemic) and CCI using a multivariate stratified Cox regression model, the estimated hazard ratios (HR) for all-cause mortality amounted to 1.22 (95% CI: 1.21–1.23, p<0.001) for 2nd, 1.4 (95% CI: 1.39–1.42, p<0.001) for 3rd, 1.58 (95% CI: 1.56–1.6, p<0.001) for 4th, and 1.97 (95% CI: 1.95–1.98 p<0.001) for 5th and subsequent hospitalizations, as compared to the first hospitalization. Conclusions Hospitalization rate in Poland is alarmingly high. Repeat HF hospitalizations strongly predict mortality rate for HF patients even after adjustment for age, sex, etiology, and comorbidity burden. Figure 1. Kaplan-Meier for survival post hosp. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – EU funding. Main funding source(s): The project is co-financed by the European Union from the European Social Fund under the Operational Programme Knowledge Education Development and it is being carried out by the Analyses and Strategies Department of the Polish Ministry of Health.

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Fried-food consumption and risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality: a meta-analysis of observational studies

Heart ◽

10.1136/heartjnl-2020-317883 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. heartjnl-2020-317883 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Pei Qin ◽

Ming Zhang ◽

Minghui Han ◽

Dechen Liu ◽

Xinping Luo ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Heart Failure ◽

Cardiovascular Disease ◽

Coronary Heart Disease ◽

Food Consumption ◽

Cardiovascular Events ◽

Meta Analysis ◽

Case Control ◽

Fried Food ◽

Major Cardiovascular Events ◽

All Cause Mortality

ObjectiveWe performed a meta-analysis, including dose–response analysis, to quantitatively determine the association of fried-food consumption and risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in the general adult population.MethodsWe searched PubMed, EMBASE and Web of Science for all articles before 11 April 2020. Random-effects models were used to estimate the summary relative risks (RRs) and 95% CIs.ResultsIn comparing the highest with lowest fried-food intake, summary RRs (95% CIs) were 1.28 (1.15 to 1.43; n=17, I2=82.0%) for major cardiovascular events (prospective: 1.24 (1.12 to 1.38), n=13, I2=75.7%; case–control: 1.91 (1.15 to 3.17), n=4, I2=92.1%); 1.22 (1.07 to 1.40; n=11, I2=77.9%) for coronary heart disease (prospective: 1.16 (1.05 to 1.29), n=8, I2=44.6%; case–control: 1.91 (1.05 to 3.47), n=3, I2=93.9%); 1.37 (0.97 to 1.94; n=4, I2=80.7%) for stroke (cohort: 1.21 (0.87 to 1.69), n=3, I2=77.3%; case–control: 2.01 (1.27 to 3.19), n=1); 1.37 (1.07 to 1.75; n=4, I2=80.0%) for heart failure; 1.02 (0.93 to 1.14; n=3, I2=27.3%) for cardiovascular mortality; and 1.03 (95% CI 0.96 to 1.12; n=6, I2=38.0%) for all-cause mortality. The association was linear for major cardiovascular events, coronary heart disease and heart failure.ConclusionsFried-food consumption may increase the risk of cardiovascular disease and presents a linear dose–response relation. However, the high heterogeneity and potential recall and misclassification biases for fried-food consumption from the original studies should be considered.

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Prognostic Impact of Metabolic Syndrome in Patients With Heart Failure: A Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies

Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine ◽

10.3389/fcvm.2021.704446 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 8 ◽

Author(s):

Zhuo-Ming Huang ◽

Wen-Rong Chen ◽

Qi-Wen Su ◽

Zhuo-Wen Huang

Keyword(s):

Heart Failure ◽

Metabolic Syndrome ◽

Cardiovascular Mortality ◽

Cardiovascular Events ◽

Observational Studies ◽

Meta Analysis ◽

Prognostic Impact ◽

The Metabolic Syndrome ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

The Impact

Background: The metabolic syndrome (MS) is significantly associated with the risk of incident heart failure (HF). However, there are still great controversies about the impact of MS on the prognosis in patients with established HF. This meta-analysis aimed to ascertain the effect of MS on the prognosis in patients with HF.Methods: We searched multiple electronic databases, including PubMed, Opengrey, EMBASE, and Cochran Library, for potential studies up to February 15, 2021. Observational studies that reported the impact of MS on the prognosis in patients with established HF were included for meta-analysis.Results: Ten studies comprising 18,590 patients with HF were included for meta-analysis. The median follow-up duration of the included studies was 2.4 years. Compared with HF patients without MS, the risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality was not increased in HF with MS (HR = 1.04, 95% CI = 0.88–1.23 for all-cause mortality; HR = 1.66, 95% CI = 0.56–4.88 for cardiovascular mortality, respectively). However, there was a significant increase in composited cardiovascular events in the HF patients with MS compared with those without MS (HR = 1.73, 95% CI = 1.23–2.45).Conclusions: In patients with established HF, the presence of MS did not show an association on the risk of all-cause mortality or cardiovascular mortality, while it may increase the risk of composite cardiovascular events.

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Mannose-binding Lectin and Risk of Cardiovascular Events and Mortality in Type 2 Diabetes: A Danish Cohort Study

10.2337/figshare.12240836 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Anne Gedebjerg ◽

Mette Bjerre ◽

Alisa Devedzic Kjaergaard ◽

Rudi Steffensen ◽

Jens Steen Nielsen ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Cardiovascular Disease ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Cardiovascular Events ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Mannose Binding Lectin ◽

Mannose Binding ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Binding Lectin

Objective: Mannose-binding lectin (MBL) is linked to risk of cardiovascular disease in diabetes, but the nature of the association is unclear. We investigated the association between MBL and risk of cardiovascular events (CVE) and all-cause mortality in type 2 diabetes. Research Design and Methods: In a cohort study of 7588 patients with type 2 diabetes, we measured serum MBL in 7305 and performed MBL expression genotyping in 3043. We grouped serum MBL and MBL expression genotypes into three categories: low, intermediate, and high. Outcomes were CVE (myocardial infarction, stroke, coronary revascularization, unstable angina, and cardiovascular death) and all-cause mortality. The association with outcomes was examined by spline and Cox regression analyses. Results: Serum MBL and CVE showed a U-shaped association. Compared to the intermediate serum MBL category, the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for CVE was 1.82 (95% CI, 1.34 to 2.46) for the low-MBL category and 1.48 (95% CI, 1.14 to 1.92) for the high-MBL category. We found a similar U-shaped association for all-cause mortality, but with lower risk estimates. Compared to the intermediate MBL expression genotype, the adjusted HR for CVE was 1.40 (95% CI, 0.87 to 2.25) for the low-expression genotype and 1.44 (95% CI, 1.01 to 2.06) for the high-expression genotype. MBL expression genotype was not associated with all-cause mortality. Conclusions: Both serum MBL and MBL expression genotype showed a U-shaped association with CVE risk in individuals with type 2 diabetes. Our findings suggest that serum MBL is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease in this population.

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Mannose-binding Lectin and Risk of Cardiovascular Events and Mortality in Type 2 Diabetes: A Danish Cohort Study

10.2337/figshare.12240836.v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Anne Gedebjerg ◽

Mette Bjerre ◽

Alisa Devedzic Kjaergaard ◽

Rudi Steffensen ◽

Jens Steen Nielsen ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Cardiovascular Disease ◽

Cohort Study ◽

Cardiovascular Events ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Mannose Binding Lectin ◽

Mannose Binding ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Binding Lectin

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P1885Cha2ds-2vasc score lacks of ability to predict mortality in patients attending the emergency department with atrial fibrillation in the presence of troponin i

European Heart Journal ◽

10.1093/eurheartj/ehz748.0633 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽

Author(s):

M I Gonzalez Del Hoyo ◽

G Cediel ◽

A Carrasquer ◽

G Bonet ◽

K Vasquez-Nunez ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Heart Failure ◽

Atrial Fibrillation ◽

Emergency Department ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Troponin I ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

All Cause Mortality

Abstract Background CHA2DS2-VASc score has been used as a surrogate marker for predicting outcomes beyond thromboembolic risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Likewise, cardiac troponin I (cTnI) is a predictor of mortality in AF. Purpose This study aimed to investigate the association of cTnI and CHA2DS2-VASc score with long-term prognosis in patients admitted to the emergency department with AF. Methods A retrospective cohort study conducted between January 2012 and December 2013, enrolling patients admitted to the emergency department with AF and having documented cTnI measurements. CHA2DS2-VASc score was estimated. Primary endpoint was 5-year all-cause mortality, readmission for heart failure (HF), readmission for myocardial infarction (MI) and the composite end point of major adverse cardiac events defined as death, readmission for HF or readmission for MI (MACE). Results A total of 578 patients with AF were studied, of whom 252 patients had elevated levels of cTnI (43.6%) and 334 patients had CHA2DS2-VASc score >3 (57.8%). Patients with elevated cTnI tended to be oldercompared with those who did not have cTnI elevation and were more frequently comorbid and of higher ischemic risk, including hypertension, prior MI, prior HF, chronic renal failure and peripheral artery disease. The overall median CHA2DS2-VASc score was higher in those with cTnI elevation compared to those patients elevated cTnI levels (4.2 vs 3.3 points, p<0.001). Main diagnoses at hospital discharge were tachyarrhythmia 30.3%, followed by heart failure 17.7%, respiratory infections 9.5% and acute coronary syndrome 7.3%. At 5-year follow-up, all-cause death was significantly higher for patients with cTnI elevation compared with those who did not have cTnI elevation (56.4% vs. 27%; logrank test p<0.001). Specifically, for readmissions for HF and readmissions for MI there were no differences in between patients with or without cTnI elevation. In addition, MACE was reached in 165 patients (65.5%) with cTnI elevation, compare to 126 patients (38.7%) without cTnI elevation (p<0.001). On multivariable Cox regression analysis, cTnI elevation was an independent predictor of all-cause death (hazard ratio, 1.67, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.24–2.26, p=0.001) and of MACE (hazard ratio 1.47, 95% confidence interval 1.15–1.88; P=0.002), but it did not reach statistical significance for readmissions for MI and readmissions for HF. CHA2DS2-VASc score was a predictor on univariate Cox regression analysis for each endpoint, but it did not reach significance on multivariable Cox regression analysis for any endpoint. Conclusions cTnI is independently associated with long-term all-cause mortality in patients attending the emergency department with AF. cTnI compared to CHA2DS2-VASc score is thus a biomarker with predictive capacity for mortality in late follow-up, conferring utility in the risk stratification of patients with atrial fibrillation.

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Combination of CHARGE AF score and index of 24-hour electrocardiogram to predict incident atrial fibrillation and cardiovascular events

European Heart Journal ◽

10.1093/eurheartj/ehab724.0487 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽

Author(s):

T Nishimura ◽

K Senoo ◽

I Hibiki ◽

T Okura ◽

T Miki ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Heart Failure ◽

Atrial Fibrillation ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Roc Curve ◽

Cardiovascular Events ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Cox Regression Analysis ◽

Holter Ecg ◽

New Onset

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased risks of stroke and heart failure. AF risk prediction can facilitate the efficient deployment of diagnosis or interventions to prevent AF. Purpose We sought to assess the combination prediction value of Holter electrocardiogram (Holter ECG) and the CHARGE-AF score (Cohorts for Aging and Research in Genomic Epidemiology-AF) for the new-onset of AF in a single center study. We also investigated the association between clinical findings and the new-onset of cerebral cardiovascular events. Methods From January 2008 and May 2014, 1246 patients with aged≥20 undergoing Holter ECG for palpitations, dizziness, or syncope were recruited. Among them, 350 patients were enrolled in this study after exclusion of 1) AF history at the time of inspection or before, 2) post cardiac device implantation, 3) follow-up duration <1 year, and 4) no 12-lead ECG records within 6 months around Holter ECG. Results During the 5.9-year follow-up, 40 patients (11.4%) developed AF incidence. Multivariate cox regression analysis revealed that CHARGE-AF score (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.59, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.13–2.26, P<0.01), BMI (HR: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.83–0.99, P=0.03), frequent supraventricular extrasystoles (SVEs) ≥1000 beats/day (HR: 4.87, 95% CI: 2.59–9.13, P<0.001) and first-degree AV block (HR: 3.52, 95% CI: 1.63–7.61, P<0.01) were significant independent predictors for newly AF. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the combination of the CHARGE-AF score and frequent SVEs (≥1000) was greater than the CHARGE-AF score alone (0.73, 95% CI: 0.64–0.82 vs 0.66, 95% CI: 0.56–0.75, respectively). On the ROC curve, the CHARGE-AF score of 12.9 was optimum cut-off value for newly AF. Patients with both the CHARGE-AF score≥12.9 and SVEs≥1000 developed AF at 129.0/1000 person-years, compared with those with the CHARGE-AF score<12.9 and SVEs≥1000 (48.9), the CHARGE-AF score≥12.9 and SVEs<1000 (40.0) and the CHARGE-AF score<12.9 and SVEs<1000 (7.4), respectively. In multivariate cox regression analysis, age, past history of congestive heart failure and myocardial infarction, and antihypertensive medication were significant predictors of cerebral cardiovascular events (n=43), all of which signifying the components of the CHARGE-AF score. The AUC of the combination of the CHARGE-AF score and frequent SVEs (≥1000) was not different from the CHARGE-AF score alone (0.73, 95% CI: 0.64–0.81 vs 0.73, 95% CI: 0.64–0.82, respectively). Conclusion CHARGE-AF score has higher predictive power of both the new incident AF and cerebral cardiovascular events. The combination of CHARGE-AF score and SVEs≥1000 beats/day in Holter ECG can demonstrate the additional effect of prediction ability for the new incident AF, but not for cerebral cardiovascular events. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.

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Are we aiming for different metabolic targets in heart failure patients?

European Heart Journal ◽

10.1093/ehjci/ehaa946.1044 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽

Author(s):

J Brito ◽

J.R Agostinho ◽

C Duarte ◽

B Silva ◽

S Pereira ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Heart Failure ◽

High Risk ◽

Ejection Fraction ◽

Cardiovascular Events ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Left Ventricular ◽

Left Ventricular Ejection ◽

Ventricular Ejection Fraction ◽

The Impact ◽

Very High

Abstract Introduction Metabolic control plays an important role on major cardiovascular events (MACE) prevention. The 2019 ESC guidelines on dyslipidaemia management recommend tighter LDL-cholesterol (LDL-C) control in order to prevent cardiovascular events. However, it is not yet proven that thigh control of dyslipidaemia, glycaemic levels and body mass index (BMI) in Heart Failure (HF) patients (pts) have an impact on prognosis. Objective To evaluate the impact of LDL-C, HbA1c and BMI values on HF pts mortality and MACE rates. Methods Single centre study that included consecutive pts hospitalized for acute / decompensated chronic HF in a tertiary Hospital between January 2016 to December 2018 and followed for 12 months. The impact of LDL-C, HbA1c and BMI on mortality and MACE was assessed using Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier curve, after adjustment for age, sex, functional class and ejection fraction. A safety cut-off was established when any of these variables was deemed protective using ROC curve analysis. Results Two hundred twenty-four patients (71.68±13.45 years, 63.8% males) were included. Eighty-four (37.5%) pts had type 2 diabetes, 39.7% had ischemic heart disease and the median left ventricular ejection fraction was 34% (IQR 25–49.5; 60.3% HFrEF; 13.8% HFmrEF; 22.3% HFpEF). The median BMI was 25.4 kg/m2 (IQR 23.1–30.5), HbA1c, 6.4% (IQR 5.6–6.8) and LDL-C, 89.5 mg/dL (IQR 64–106); 145 (64.7%) pts were medicated with statins. The overall mortality and MACE rates during follow-up were 16.1% and 21.0%, respectively. According to the CV risk classification 39.7% pts were at very high risk and 19.6% pts at high risk. On multivariate analysis HbA1c (HR 1.5 IQR 1.1–1.9; p=0.007) and female sex (HR 9.453 IQR 2.4–37.2; p=0.001) were independent predictors of mortality, whereas LDL-C (OR 1.05 IQR 1.022–1.075; p<0.001) and BMI (OR 1.23 IQR 1.075–1.404; p=0.002) were independent protective factors. LDL-C and BMI had no effect on MACE rates, although HbA1c was an independent predictor of MACE (HR 1.27 IQR 1.03–1.57; p=0.026). For high and very high-risk pts there was still a protective trend on mortality, although non-significant, for higher levels of LDL-C (OR 1.04 IQR 0.99–1.075; P=NS). Protective LDL-C cut-off were estimated for the whole population (LDL-C 88mg/dL; AUC 0.819; sn 56.6%, sp 100%) and for the high and very-high CV risk pts (LDL-C 84mg/dL; AUC 0.815; sn 59.3%; sp 100%). A BMI safety cut-off for mortality of 25.75 kg/m2 was found (AUC 0.627; sn 61.2%; sp 58.3%). Conclusion This study supports the theory of the obesity and LDL-C paradox in HF. Lower LDL-C and BMI increased mortality and there is no trade-off effect on MACE rates, supporting the idea that LDL-C and BMI should not be aggressively addressed in HF pts. In our cohort a cut-off level of LDL-C below 88mg/dL is associated with higher mortality. On the other hand, diabetes should be actively treated as HbA1c predicts death and MACE in HF pts. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

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