Probabilistic bearing capacity analysis of jack-up structures
A probabilistic approach to the analysis of the bearing capacity of jack-up spud can foundations is described. The procedure includes three steps: (i) a priori deterministic and probabilistic calculation of bearing capacity interaction diagram for the soil foundation under each leg of the jack up, (ii) updating of the interaction diagram from the measured vertical preloading values, and (iii) one-leg component and multileg system reliability analyses of the structure under environmental loads. The probabilistic formulation is based on the first- and second-order reliability approximations. An example calculation of a jack-up spud can structure on a layered clay profile is made to illustrate the procedure. Key words : jack up, bearing capacity, probabilistic analysis, system reliability.