Incorporating crown ratio into prediction equations for Douglas-fir stem volume

1987 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
David W. Hann ◽  
David K. Walters ◽  
John A. Scrivani
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Linear Equations ◽  
Douglas Fir ◽  
Stem Volume ◽  
Validation Data ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Component Approach ◽  
Modeling Data ◽  
Volume Equations

Crown ratio was incorporated into four Douglas-fir (Pseudotsugamenziesii (Mirb.) Franco) total-stem cubic volume equations as a nonlinear multiplier. Two of the equations are traditional linear equations, one is nonlinear, and one is a new component approach that divides stem volume into that above and that below breast height. These equations, with and without crown ratio terms, were fitted to a modeling data set, and the statistical significance of the crown ratio terms was examined. All equations were then applied to a validation data set for comparison of their predictive abilities. The crown ratio term proved to be highly significant in the component approach, and component equations that included crown ratio had the smallest bias and the greatest prediction precision of all equations examined. That form was therefore selected as the most accurate characterization of Douglas-fir stem volume.

scholarly journals STRATEGIES FOR STEM MEASUREMENT SAMPLING: A STATISTICAL APPROACH OF MODELLING INDIVIDUAL TREE VOLUME

CERNE ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 249-260 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hassan Camil David ◽  
Rodrigo Otávio Veiga Miranda ◽  
John Welker ◽  
Luan Demarco Fiorentin ◽  
Ângelo Augusto Ebling ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Standard Deviation ◽  
Statistical Tests ◽  
Fixed Number ◽  
Stem Volume ◽  
Diameter Class ◽  
Clear Trend ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Individual Tree ◽  
Volume Estimates ◽  
Volume Equations

ABSTRACT The aim of this paper was to evaluate different criteria for stem measurement sampling and to identify the criterion with best performance for developing individual tree volume equations. Data were collected in eucalyptus stands 58 to 65 months old. Schumacher-Hall model was applied using five sampling criteria with nine variations (45 in total): 1) number of trees per diameter class, being (a) fixed number, (b) proportional to the diameter class of the sample, or (c) proportional to the standard deviation of the sample; and 2) the width of the diameter class, which ranged from 1.0 up to 5.0 cm. We used the equations generated from each of the five sampling criteria to estimate stem volume of trees reserved for validation. This allowed us to obtain standard errors of estimates from this data-set. In addition, residuals of volume estimates were examined by means of statistical tests of bias, autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity. Better performances of volume equations occurred when smaller diameter class widths were used, i.e., when the sample size increased. There was no clear trend in increasing/decreasing residual autocorrelation and/or heteroscedasticity. Both methods of sampling proportional to the frequency of diameter class had the best performances, inclusive using only 36 trees. The ones where choice of trees was proportional to the standard deviation had the worst. In conclusion, the selection proportional to the frequency of the diameter class, under the condition that at least two trees per class are sampled, provides models statistically better than all the other criteria.

scholarly journals Log Grade Prediction for Standing Yellow-Poplar Trees in Eastern Kentucky

2003 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-65
Author(s):  
G. Keith Hilpp ◽  
Matthew H. Pelkki
Keyword(s):  
Yellow Poplar ◽  
Usda Forest Service ◽  
Validation Data ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Eastern Kentucky ◽  
Grade Prediction ◽  
Resource Managers ◽  
Poplar Trees ◽  
Standing Trees ◽  
Modeling Data

Abstract Information on the quality of logs in standing trees can aid resource managers and landowners in maximizing returns from timber harvests. However, little is published about the grade of logs in yellow-poplar (Liriodendron tulipifera) stands. In this study, discriminant analysis was used to develop classification functions to predict USDA Forest Service Log Grades for standing yellow-poplar trees in eastern Kentucky. The variables used to predict log grade are those commonly collected during forest inventory. This analysis indicates the importance of log position, merchantable height, and tree grade to log grade determination. The classification functions developed from the modeling data set correctly classified 80.9% of the log grades in a validation data set. These results provide a framework to resource managers and landowners for assessing yellow-poplar log quality in standing trees. South. J. Appl. For. 27(1):61–65.

Segmented Quadratic Taper Equations for Spruce and Fir in the Northeast

1989 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 123-126 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dale S. Solomon ◽  
Terry D. Droessler ◽  
Ronald C. Lemin
Keyword(s):  
Analysis Data ◽  
Red Spruce ◽  
Stem Analysis ◽  
Validation Data ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Error Analyses ◽  
Taper Equation ◽  
Taper Equations ◽  
Total Tree ◽  
Volume Equations

Abstract Segmented quadratic taper equations were developed from red spruce and balsam fir stem analysis data in the Northeast. Estimated diameters and volumes from the taper equations were compared with actual diameters and volumes in a validation data set, and were found to be precise and have negligible bias in prediction. The derived volume from the taper equation was also compared to existing total tree volume equations for spruce and fir. The error analyses showed the segmented taper equations provided an accurate and precise alternative to total tree volume equations. North. J. Appl. For. 6:123-126, September 1989.

scholarly journals Development and temporal external validation of a simple risk score tool for prediction of outcomes after severe head injury based on admission characteristics from level-1 trauma centre of India using retrospectively collected data

BMJ Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. e040778
Author(s):  
Vineet Kumar Kamal ◽  
Ravindra Mohan Pandey ◽  
Deepak Agrawal
Keyword(s):  
Hospital Mortality ◽  
External Validation ◽  
Trauma Centre ◽  
Unfavourable Outcome ◽  
Motor Score ◽  
Validation Data ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Development Data ◽  
Level 1 ◽  
Pupillary Reactivity

ObjectiveTo develop and validate a simple risk scores chart to estimate the probability of poor outcomes in patients with severe head injury (HI).DesignRetrospective.SettingLevel-1, government-funded trauma centre, India.ParticipantsPatients with severe HI admitted to the neurosurgery intensive care unit during 19 May 2010–31 December 2011 (n=946) for the model development and further, data from same centre with same inclusion criteria from 1 January 2012 to 31 July 2012 (n=284) for the external validation of the model.Outcome(s)In-hospital mortality and unfavourable outcome at 6 months.ResultsA total of 39.5% and 70.7% had in-hospital mortality and unfavourable outcome, respectively, in the development data set. The multivariable logistic regression analysis of routinely collected admission characteristics revealed that for in-hospital mortality, age (51–60, >60 years), motor score (1, 2, 4), pupillary reactivity (none), presence of hypotension, basal cistern effaced, traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage/intraventricular haematoma and for unfavourable outcome, age (41–50, 51–60, >60 years), motor score (1–4), pupillary reactivity (none, one), unequal limb movement, presence of hypotension were the independent predictors as its 95% confidence interval (CI) of odds ratio (OR)_did not contain one. The discriminative ability (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (95% CI)) of the score chart for in-hospital mortality and 6 months outcome was excellent in the development data set (0.890 (0.867 to 912) and 0.894 (0.869 to 0.918), respectively), internal validation data set using bootstrap resampling method (0.889 (0.867 to 909) and 0.893 (0.867 to 0.915), respectively) and external validation data set (0.871 (0.825 to 916) and 0.887 (0.842 to 0.932), respectively). Calibration showed good agreement between observed outcome rates and predicted risks in development and external validation data set (p>0.05).ConclusionFor clinical decision making, we can use of these score charts in predicting outcomes in new patients with severe HI in India and similar settings.

scholarly journals Do galactic bars depend on environment?: an information theoretic analysis of Galaxy Zoo 2

2020 ◽  
Vol 501 (1) ◽  
pp. 994-1001
Author(s):  
Suman Sarkar ◽  
Biswajit Pandey ◽  
Snehasish Bhattacharjee
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
Mutual Information ◽  
Local Density ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Distribution Functions ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Host Galaxy ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Information Theoretic

ABSTRACT We use an information theoretic framework to analyse data from the Galaxy Zoo 2 project and study if there are any statistically significant correlations between the presence of bars in spiral galaxies and their environment. We measure the mutual information between the barredness of galaxies and their environments in a volume limited sample (Mr ≤ −21) and compare it with the same in data sets where (i) the bar/unbar classifications are randomized and (ii) the spatial distribution of galaxies are shuffled on different length scales. We assess the statistical significance of the differences in the mutual information using a t-test and find that both randomization of morphological classifications and shuffling of spatial distribution do not alter the mutual information in a statistically significant way. The non-zero mutual information between the barredness and environment arises due to the finite and discrete nature of the data set that can be entirely explained by mock Poisson distributions. We also separately compare the cumulative distribution functions of the barred and unbarred galaxies as a function of their local density. Using a Kolmogorov–Smirnov test, we find that the null hypothesis cannot be rejected even at $75{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$ confidence level. Our analysis indicates that environments do not play a significant role in the formation of a bar, which is largely determined by the internal processes of the host galaxy.

scholarly journals A novel ferroptosis related gene signature is associated with prognosis in patients with ovarian serous cystadenocarcinoma

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhixiang Yu ◽  
Haiyan He ◽  
Yanan Chen ◽  
Qiuhe Ji ◽  
Min Sun
Keyword(s):  
Cox Regression ◽  
Expression Profiles ◽  
Critical Role ◽  
Gene Signature ◽  
Cancer Genome ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Hub Genes ◽  
Validation Data ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis

AbstractOvarian cancer (OV) is a common type of carcinoma in females. Many studies have reported that ferroptosis is associated with the prognosis of OV patients. However, the mechanism by which this occurs is not well understood. We utilized Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) to identify ferroptosis-related genes in OV. In the present study, we applied Cox regression analysis to select hub genes and used the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator to construct a prognosis prediction model with mRNA expression profiles and clinical data from TCGA. A series of analyses for this signature was performed in TCGA. We then verified the identified signature using International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) data. After a series of analyses, we identified six hub genes (DNAJB6, RB1, VIMP/ SELENOS, STEAP3, BACH1, and ALOX12) that were then used to construct a model using a training data set. The model was then tested using a validation data set and was found to have high sensitivity and specificity. The identified ferroptosis-related hub genes might play a critical role in the mechanism of OV development. The gene signature we identified may be useful for future clinical applications.

Significance tests: Necessary but not sufficient

1998 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 221-222
Author(s):  
Louis G. Tassinary
Keyword(s):  
Effect Size ◽  
Scientific Community ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Significance Tests ◽  
Experimental Control

Chow (1996) offers a reconceptualization of statistical significance that is reasoned and comprehensive. Despite a somewhat rough presentation, his arguments are compelling and deserve to be taken seriously by the scientific community. It is argued that his characterization of literal replication, types of research, effect size, and experimental control are in need of revision.

Evaluation of the CONSUME and FOFEM fuel consumption models in pine and mixed hardwood forests of the eastern United States

2014 ◽  
Vol 44 (7) ◽  
pp. 784-795 ◽  
Author(s):  
Susan J. Prichard ◽  
Eva C. Karau ◽  
Roger D. Ottmar ◽  
Maureen C. Kennedy ◽  
James B. Cronan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Fuel Consumption ◽  
Prescribed Burning ◽  
Forest Type ◽  
Fire Effects ◽  
Eastern United States ◽  
Validation Data ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Predicted Values ◽  
Fine Fuels

Reliable predictions of fuel consumption are critical in the eastern United States (US), where prescribed burning is frequently applied to forests and air quality is of increasing concern. CONSUME and the First Order Fire Effects Model (FOFEM), predictive models developed to estimate fuel consumption and emissions from wildland fires, have not been systematically evaluated for application in the eastern US using the same validation data set. In this study, we compiled a fuel consumption data set from 54 operational prescribed fires (43 pine and 11 mixed hardwood sites) to assess each model’s uncertainties and application limits. Regions of indifference between measured and predicted values by fuel category and forest type represent the potential error that modelers could incur in estimating fuel consumption by category. Overall, FOFEM predictions have narrower regions of indifference than CONSUME and suggest better correspondence between measured and predicted consumption. However, both models offer reliable predictions of live fuel (shrubs and herbaceous vegetation) and 1 h fine fuels. Results suggest that CONSUME and FOFEM can be improved in their predictive capability for woody fuel, litter, and duff consumption for eastern US forests. Because of their high biomass and potential smoke management problems, refining estimates of litter and duff consumption is of particular importance.

scholarly journals 127 Predicting Dry Matter Intake of Gestating and Lactating Beef Cows

2020 ◽  
Vol 98 (Supplement_2) ◽  
pp. 58-58
Author(s):  
Megan A Gross ◽  
Claire Andresen ◽  
Amanda Holder ◽  
Alexi Moehlenpah ◽  
Carla Goad ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Beef Cattle ◽  
Milk Yield ◽  
Feed Intake ◽  
Beef Cows ◽  
Multiple Regression Equation ◽  
Validation Data ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Lactating Cows ◽  
Downward Bias ◽  
Protein Supply

Abstract In 1996, the NASEM beef cattle committee developed and published an equation to estimate cow feed intake using results from studies conducted or published between 1979 and 1993 (Nutrient Requirements of Beef Cattle). The same equation was recommended for use in the most recent version of this publication (2016). The equation is sensitive to cow weight, diet digestibility and milk yield. Our objective was to validate the accuracy of this equation using more recent published and unpublished data. Criteria for inclusion in the validation data set included projects conducted or published within the last ten years, direct measurement of forage intake, adequate protein supply, and pen feeding (no tie stall or metabolism crate data). The validation data set included 29 treatment means for gestating cows and 26 treatment means for lactating cows. Means for the gestating cow data set was 11.4 ± 1.9 kg DMI, 599 ± 77 kg BW, 1.24 ± 0.14 Mcal/kg NEm per kg of feed and lactating cow data set was 14.5 ± 2.0 kg DMI, 532 ± 116.3 kg BW, and 1.26 ± 0.24 Mcal NEm per kg feed, respectively. Non intercept models were used to determine equation accuracy in predicting validation data set DMI. The slope for linear bias in the NASEM gestation equation did not differ from 1 (P = 0.07) with a 3.5% positive bias. However, when the NASEM equation was used to predict DMI in lactating cows, the slope for linear bias significantly differed from 1 (P < 0.001) with a downward bias of 13.7%. Therefore, a new multiple regression equation was developed from the validation data set: DMI= (-4.336 + (0.086427 (BW^.75) + 0.3 (Milk yield)+6.005785(NEm)), (R-squared=0.84). The NASEM equation for gestating beef cows was reasonably accurate while the lactation equation underestimated feed intake.

Character selection and the quantification of morphological disparity

Paleobiology ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 43 (1) ◽  
pp. 68-84 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bradley Deline ◽  
William I. Ausich
Keyword(s):  
A Priori ◽  
Morphological Diversity ◽  
Small Subset ◽  
Early Paleozoic ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Rarefaction Analysis ◽  
Morphological Studies ◽  
Body Regions ◽  
Scientific Hypotheses

AbstractA priori choices in the detail and breadth of a study are important in addressing scientific hypotheses. In particular, choices in the number and type of characters can greatly influence the results in studies of morphological diversity. A new character suite was constructed to examine trends in the disparity of early Paleozoic crinoids. Character-based rarefaction analysis indicated that a small subset of these characters (~20% of the complete data set) could be used to capture most of the properties of the entire data set in analyses of crinoids as a whole, noncamerate crinoids, and to a lesser extent camerate crinoids. This pattern may be the result of the covariance between characters and the characterization of rare morphologies that are not represented in the primary axes in morphospace. Shifting emphasis on different body regions (oral system, calyx, periproct system, and pelma) also influenced estimates of relative disparity between subclasses of crinoids. Given these results, morphological studies should include a pilot analysis to better examine the amount and type of data needed to address specific scientific hypotheses.

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