scholarly journals Space-Time Analysis to Identify Areas at Risk of Mortality from Cardiovascular Disease

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Poliany C. O. Rodrigues ◽  
Emerson S. Santos ◽  
Eliane Ignotti ◽  
Sandra S. Hacon
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
At Risk ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Empirical Bayes ◽  
Mortality Rates ◽  
Space Time ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Atmospheric Particulate Matter ◽  
Eastern Region ◽  
Risk Of Mortality

This study aimed at identifying areas that were at risk of mortality due to cardiovascular disease in residents aged 45 years or older of the cities of Cuiabá and Várzea Grande between 2009 and 2011. We conducted an ecological study of mortality rates related to cardiovascular disease. Mortality rates were calculated for each census tract by the Local Empirical Bayes estimator. High- and low-risk clusters were identified by retrospective space-time scans for each year using the Poisson probability model. We defined the year and month as the temporal analysis unit and the census tracts as the spatial analysis units adjusted by age and sex. The Mann-WhitneyUtest was used to compare the socioeconomic and environmental variables by risk classification. High-risk clusters showed higher income ratios than low-risk clusters, as did temperature range and atmospheric particulate matter. Low-risk clusters showed higher humidity than high-risk clusters. The Eastern region of Várzea Grande and the central region of Cuiabá were identified as areas at risk of mortality due to cardiovascular disease in individuals aged 45 years or older. High mortality risk was associated with socioeconomic and environmental factors. More high-risk clusters were observed at the end of the dry season.

scholarly journals Pre-existing Cardiovascular Disease in United States Population at High Risk for Severe COVID-19 Infection

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adnan I Qureshi
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Risk Factors ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
At Risk ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Chronic Obstructive ◽  
Moderate Risk ◽  
High Risk Patients ◽  
Risk Patients

Background and Purpose There is increasing recognition of a relatively high burden of pre-existing cardiovascular disease in Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID 19) infected patients. We determined the burden of pre-existing cardiovascular disease in persons residing in United States (US) who are at risk for severe COVID-19 infection. Methods Age (60 years or greater), presence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes, mellitus, hypertension, and/or malignancy were used to identify persons at risk for admission to intensive care unit, or invasive ventilation, or death with COVID-19 infection. Persons were classified as low risk (no risk factors), moderate risk (1 risk factor), and high risk (two or more risk factors present) using nationally representative sample of US adults from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2017 and 2018 survey. Results Among a total of 5856 participants, 2386 (40.7%) were considered low risk, 1325 (22.6%) moderate risk, and 2145 persons (36.6%) as high risk for severe COVID-19 infection. The proportion of patients who had pre-existing stroke increased from 0.6% to 10.5% in low risk patients to high risk patients (odds ratio [OR]19.9, 95% confidence interval [CI]11.6-34.3). The proportion of who had pre-existing myocardial infection (MI) increased from 0.4% to 10.4% in low risk patients to high risk patients (OR 30.6, 95% CI 15.7-59.8). Conclusions A large proportion of persons in US who are at risk for developing severe COVID 19 infection are expected to have pre-existing cardiovascular disease. Further studies need to identify whether targeted strategies towards cardiovascular diseases can reduce the mortality in COVID-19 infected patients.

scholarly journals Perioperative outcomes of segmentectomies versus lobectomies in high-risk patients: an ESTS database analysis

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alessandro Brunelli ◽  
Herbert Decaluwe ◽  
Dominique Gossot ◽  
Francesco Guerrera ◽  
Zalan Szanto ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Mortality Rates ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Perioperative Outcomes ◽  
Database Analysis ◽  
Risk Of Mortality ◽  
Risk Patients

Abstract OBJECTIVES We queried the European Society of Thoracic Surgeons (ESTS) database with the aim to assess cardiopulmonary morbidity and 30-day mortality of segmentectomies and lobectomies in patients with a Eurolung-predicted mortality above the upper interquartile and classified as high risk. METHODS A total of 61 492 patients registered in the ESTS database (2007–2018) and submitted to lobectomy (55 353) or segmentectomy (6139) were divided into high risk or low risk according to a Eurolung-predicted mortality cut-off of 2.5% (corresponding in our population to the upper interquartile). Predicted versus observed mortalities were compared within each type of operation by using binomial test of proportion. Observed morbidity and mortality rates were compared between the 2 procedures using the χ2 test. RESULTS A total of 14 007 lobectomies and 1251 segmentectomies were classified as high risk. In the high-risk group, the cardiopulmonary morbidity and 30-day mortality rates observed in segmentectomies were lower than in lobectomies (morbidity: 12% vs 17%, P < 0.0001; mortality: 2.4% vs 3.7%, P = 0.018). In segmentectomy patients, the observed mortality rate was lower than the Eurolung-predicted one (2.4% vs 3.8%, P = 0.009), while in the lobectomy patients, there was no difference between observed and predicted mortality (3.7% vs 3.8%, P = 0.9). In the low-risk group, the cardiopulmonary morbidity and 30-day mortality rates observed in segmentectomies were lower than in lobectomies (morbidity: 4.5% vs 7.8%, P < 0.0001; mortality: 0.6% vs 1.0%, P = 0.01). In segmentectomy patients, the observed mortality rate was lower than the Eurolung-predicted one (0.6% vs 1.0%, P = 0.0003), while in the lobectomy patients, there was no difference between observed and predicted mortality (1.0% vs 1.1%, P = 0.06). CONCLUSIONS Segmentectomy was found associated with a 0.65 relative risk of mortality rate compared to lobectomy in patients deemed at higher surgical risk.

scholarly journals Very similar cardiometabolic profile in the moderate and high cardiovascular risk classes: a population-based study

2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Chlabicz ◽  
J Jamolkowski ◽  
W Laguna ◽  
P Sowa ◽  
M Paniczko ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Insulin Resistance ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Public Institution ◽  
Population Based Study ◽  
The Metabolic Syndrome ◽  
Cardiometabolic Profile

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): Medical University of Bialystok, Poland Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major, worldwide problem and remain the dominant cause of premature mortality in the word. Simultaneously the metabolic syndrome is a growing problem. The aim of this study was to investigate the cardiometabolic profile among cardiovascular risk classes, and to estimate CV risk using various calculators. Methods The longitudinal, population-based study, was conducted in 2017-2020. A total of 931 individuals aged 20-79 were included. Anthropometric and biochemical profiles were measured according to a standardized protocols. The study population was divided into CV risk classes according to the latest recommendation. Comparisons variables between subgroups were conducted using Dwass-Steele-Critchlow-Fligner test. To estimate CV risk were used: the  Systematic Coronary Risk Estimation system, Framingham Risk Score and LIFEtime-perspective model for individualizing CardioVascular Disease prevention strategies in apparently healthy people (LIFE-CVD). Results The mean age was 49.1± 15.5 years, 43.2% were male. Percentages of low-risk, moderate-risk, high-risk and very-high CV risk were 46.1%, 22.8%, 13.5%, 17.6%, respectively. Most of the analyzed anthropometric, body composition and laboratory parameters did not differ between the moderate and high CV risk participants, whereas the low risk group differed significantly. In the moderate and high-risk groups, abdominal distribution of adipose tissue dominated with significantly elevated parameters of insulin resistance. Interestingly, estimating lifetime risk of myocardial infarction, stroke or CV death using LIFE-CVD calculator yielded similar results in moderate and high CV risk classes. Conclusion The participants belonging to moderate and high CV risk classes have a very similar unfavorable cardiometabolic profile which may result in the similar lifetime CV risk. This may imply the need for more aggressive pharmacological and non-pharmacological management of CV risk factors in the moderate CV risk population. It would be advisable to consider combining the moderate and high risk classes into one high CV risk class, or it may be worth adding one of the parameters of abdominal fat distribution to the CV risk calculators as an expression of increased insulin resistance. Abstract Figure 1.

scholarly journals Exocrine pancreas function is impaired in adult relatives of patients with type 1 diabetes

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Giovenzana ◽  
Federica Vecchio ◽  
Federica Cugnata ◽  
Alessandro Nonis ◽  
Alessandra Mandelli ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
At Risk ◽  
Type 1 Diabetes ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Exocrine Pancreas ◽  
Pancreatic Enzyme ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
C Peptide ◽  
Hla Genotypes ◽  
Pancreas Function

Abstract Aims Alterations of the exocrine pancreas have been reported in type 1 diabetes, but their contribution to the pathogenesis of the disease is poorly understood. Here, we investigated markers of exocrine pancreas dysfunction in individuals at-risk of developing type 1 diabetes. Methods Serum P-amylase and lipase levels were assessed in samples obtained from healthy controls, patients with new onset type 1 diabetes, relatives participating to the TrialNet Pathway to Prevention who were, at blood collection, autoantibody negative or positive for a single autoantibody (low-risk individuals), and positive for multiple autoantibodies (high-risk individuals). Linear mixed models were adopted to estimate variation of pancreatic enzymes among the groups and to evaluate the influence of high-risk HLA genotypes and residual beta cell function on exocrine pancreas function. Results In adults, but not children, reduced levels of P-amylase and lipase were shown in at-risk individuals, including (for P-amylase levels only) those at low-risk, and in T1Dnew. Furthermore, while high-risk HLA genotypes negatively affected P-amylase levels in autoantibody negative adult individuals, fasting C-peptide levels did not correlate with pancreatic enzyme levels. Conclusions Exocrine pancreas dysfunction precedes the onset of type 1 diabetes in adult at-risk individuals and may be unrelated to fasting C-peptide levels.

scholarly journals Assessment of risk of developing diabetes using Indian diabetes risk score in the urban field practice area of Rajarajeswari Medical College and Hospital, Bangalore

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 170
Author(s):  
Nazia N. Shaik ◽  
Swapna M. Jaswanth ◽  
Shashikala Manjunatha
Keyword(s):  
At Risk ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Diabetes Risk ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Risk Category ◽  
Moderate Risk ◽  
Medical College ◽  
Field Practice ◽  
Diabetes Risk Score

Background: Diabetes is one of the largest global health emergencies of the 21st century. As per International Federation of Diabetes some 425 million people worldwide are estimated to have diabetes. The prevalence is higher in urban versus rural (10.2% vs 6.9%). India had 72.9 million people living with diabetes of which, 57.9% remained undiagnosed as per the 2017 data. The objectives of the present study were to identify subjects who at risk of developing Diabetes by using Indian diabetes risk score (IDRS) in the Urban field practice area of Rajarajeswari Medical College and Hospital (RRMCH).Methods: A cross sectional study was conducted using a Standard questionnaire of IDRS on 150 individuals aged ≥20 years residing in the Urban field practice area of RRMCH. The subjects with score <30, 30-50, >or =60 were categorized as having low risk, moderate risk and high risk for developing diabetes type-2 respectively.Results: Out of total 150 participants, 36 (24%) were in high-risk category (IDRS≥60), the majority of participants 61 (41%) were in the moderate-risk category (IDRS 30–50) and 53 (35%) participants were found to be at low-risk (<30) for diabetes. Statistical significant asssociation was found between IDRS and gender, literacy status, body mass index (p<0.0000l).Conclusions: It is essential to implement IDRS which is a simple tool for identifying subjects who are at risk for developing diabetes so that proper intervention can be carried out at the earliest to reduce the burden of diabetes.

Abstract 91: Are At Risk Outpatient Cardiology Patients being Appropriately Evaluated for Lower Extremity PAD as Recommended by ACC/AHA Guidelines?

2012 ◽  
Vol 5 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rajesh M Kabadi ◽  
Ankitkumar Patel ◽  
Rajani Sharma ◽  
Rita Schmidt ◽  
Elias Iliadis
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
At Risk ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Lower Extremity ◽  
Peripheral Artery Disease ◽  
Ankle Brachial Index ◽  
Heart Association ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Peripheral Artery ◽  
Artery Disease

Background: Lower extremity peripheral artery disease (PAD) is a common syndrome that afflicts many individuals and leads to significant morbidity. Once appropriate at risk patients are identified, ankle-brachial index (ABI) testing is a relatively quick and inexpensive test that is recommended for proper assessment of PAD, per the recommendations outlined in the American College of Cardiology (ACC)/American Heart Association (AHA) Guidelines for the Management of Peripheral Artery Disease (PAD) (JACC, 2006). Outpatient cardiology practices often take care of individuals at risk for PAD and have the opportunity to test and appropriately treat this condition. Methods: A randomly selected group of 367 outpatients seen in a large academic cardiology practice from September 2011 underwent retrospective chart review. Risk factors for PAD that were assessed include history of smoking, hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, homocysteine levels, and CRP. Those that had three or more risk factors were classified as high risk and those with less than that were classified as low risk and frequency of ABI testing was evaluated. Fishers exact test was utilized for statistical analysis. Results: Fifty-one percent (N=187) of our population were classified as high risk for PAD, forty-three percent (N=158) were low risk, and six percent (N=22) were known to already have PAD. Amongst the high risk individuals, only six percent (N=12) had ABI testing performed while there were three percent (N=6) of low risk individuals that had this test (p=-0.34). Conclusions: There was no difference in ABI testing between high and low risk populations. Limitations of this study include lack of information regarding other diagnostic modalities that may have been used in place of ABI testing. Quality improvement may be achieved by increased use of such testing as this would allow for quicker identification of the disease, prompter treatment, and better outcomes, at a minimal cost.

Identifying patients at risk of futile resuscitation: palliative care indicators in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest

2019 ◽  
pp. bmjspcare-2019-001828
Author(s):  
Mia Cokljat ◽  
Adam Lloyd ◽  
Scott Clarke ◽  
Anna Crawford ◽  
Gareth Clegg
Keyword(s):  
At Risk ◽  
Palliative Care ◽  
Cardiac Arrest ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Intermediate Risk ◽  
Patients At Risk ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Record Review ◽  
Hospital Cardiac Arrest

ObjectivesPatients with indicators for palliative care, such as those with advanced life-limiting conditions, are at risk of futile cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) if they suffer out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). Patients at risk of futile CPR could benefit from anticipatory care planning (ACP); however, the proportion of OHCA patients with indicators for palliative care is unknown. This study quantifies the extent of palliative care indicators and risk of CPR futility in OHCA patients.MethodsA retrospective medical record review was performed on all OHCA patients presenting to an emergency department (ED) in Edinburgh, Scotland in 2015. The risk of CPR futility was stratified using the Supportive and Palliative Care Indicators Tool. Patients with 0–2 indicators had a ‘low risk’ of futile CPR; 3–4 indicators had an ‘intermediate risk’; 5+ indicators had a ‘high risk’.ResultsOf the 283 OHCA patients, 12.4% (35) had a high risk of futile CPR, while 16.3% (46) had an intermediate risk and 71.4% (202) had a low risk. 84.0% (68) of intermediate-to-high risk patients were pronounced dead in the ED or ED step-down ward; only 2.5% (2) of these patients survived to discharge.ConclusionsUp to 30% of OHCA patients are being subjected to advanced resuscitation despite having at least three indicators for palliative care. More than 80% of patients with an intermediate-to-high risk of CPR futility are dying soon after conveyance to hospital, suggesting that ACP can benefit some OHCA patients. This study recommends optimising emergency treatment planning to help reduce inappropriate CPR attempts.

scholarly journals Prophylaxis of venous thromboembolism in general surgery: guidelines differ and we still need local policies

2011 ◽  
Vol 93 (5) ◽  
pp. 370-374
Author(s):  
D Veeramootoo ◽  
L Harrower ◽  
R Saunders ◽  
D Robinson ◽  
WB Campbell
Keyword(s):  
At Risk ◽  
Venous Thromboembolism ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Vte Prophylaxis ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Local Policies ◽  
One Year ◽  
The Uk

INTRODUCTION Venous thromboembolism (VTE) prophylaxis has become a major issue for surgeons both in the UK and worldwide. Sev-eral different sources of guidance on VTE prophylaxis are available but these differ in design and detail. METHODS Two similar audits were performed, one year apart, on the VTE prophylaxis prescribed for all general surgical inpatients during a single week (90 patients and 101 patients). Classification of patients into different risk groups and compliance in prescribing prophylaxis were examined using different international, national and local guidelines. RESULTS There were significant differences between the numbers of patients in high, moderate and low-risk groups according to the different guidelines. When groups were combined to indicate simply ‘at risk’ or ‘not at risk’ (in the manner of one of the guidelines), then differences were not significant. Our compliance improved from the first audit to the second. Patients at high risk received VTE prophylaxis according to guidance more consistently than those at low risk. CONCLUSIONS Differences in guidance on VTE prophylaxis can affect compliance significantly when auditing practice, depending on the choice of ‘gold standard’. National guidance does not remove the need for clear and detailed local policies. Making decisions about policies for lower-risk patients can be more difficult than for those at high risk.

scholarly journals Periodontal Disease, Inflammatory Cytokines, and PGE2 in Pregnant Patients at Risk of Preterm Delivery: A Pilot Study

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Catalina Latorre Uriza ◽  
Juliana Velosa-Porras ◽  
Nelly S. Roa ◽  
Stephani Margarita Quiñones Lara ◽  
Jaime Silva ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
At Risk ◽  
Pilot Study ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Periodontal Disease ◽  
Preterm Delivery ◽  
Inflammatory Cytokines ◽  
Inflammatory Responses ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Prostaglandin E ◽  
Patients At Risk

Periodontal disease is an infection that, in pregnant women, can act as a risk factor for preterm delivery by increasing local and systemic inflammatory responses. Objective. To analyze the presence of periodontal disease, proinflammatory cytokines, and prostaglandin E2 (PGE2) in pregnant patients at high risk for preterm delivery. Materials and Methods. Pilot study for a case-control study. We included 46 pregnant patients (23 patients at risk of preterm delivery as cases and 23 patients without risk of preterm delivery as controls). We excluded patients who received periodontal treatment, antibiotics, or antimicrobials over the last 3 months as well as those with infections or diseases such as diabetes or hypercholesterolemia. The patients underwent a periodontal assessment, and their levels of cytokines (interleukin- [IL-] 2, IL-6, IL-10, and tumor necrosis factor- [TNF-] α) and prostaglandin E2 (PGE2) were quantified. Results. Patients with periodontal disease showed higher levels of cytokines (IL-2, IL-6, IL-10, and TNF-α) and PGE2. Patients at high risk for preterm birth showed higher IL levels compared with patients at low risk for preterm delivery. PGE2 increased with the severity of periodontal disease. PGE2 was higher in patients at low risk for preterm delivery, although this difference was not significant. Conclusion. Periodontal disease can increase the systemic inflammatory response as well as the levels of PGE2 and inflammatory cytokines in pregnant patients.

Risk results from screening for a high cardiovascular disease risk by means of traditional risk factor measurement or coronary artery calcium scoring in the ROBINSCA trial

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
C Van Der Aalst ◽  
S.J.A.M Denissen ◽  
M Vonder ◽  
J.-W.C Gratema ◽  
H.J Adriaansen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Coronary Artery Calcium ◽  
Preventive Treatment ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Funding Source ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
Increased Risk

Abstract Aims Screening for a high cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk followed by preventive treatment can potentially reduce coronary heart disease (CHD)-related morbidity and mortality. ROBINSCA (Risk Or Benefit IN Screening for CArdiovascular disease) is a population-based randomized controlled screening trial that investigates the effectiveness of CVD screening in asymptomatic participants using the Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) model or Coronary Artery Calcium (CAC) scoring. This study describes the distributions in risk and treatment in the ROBINSCA trial. Methods and results Individuals at expected elevated CVD risk were randomized (1:1:1) into the control arm (n=14,519; usual care); screening arm A (n=14,478; SCORE, 10-year fatal and non-fatal risk); or screening arm B (n=14,450; CAC scoring). Preventive treatment was largely advised according to current Dutch guidelines. Risk and treatment differences between the screening arms were analysed. 12,185 participants (84.2%) in arm A and 12,950 (89.6%) in arm B were screened. 48.7% were women, and median age was 62 (InterQuartile Range 10) years. SCORE screening identified 45.1% at low risk (SCORE&lt;10%), 26.5% at intermediate risk (SCORE 10–20%), and 28.4% at high risk (SCORE≥20%). According to CAC screening, 76.0% were at low risk (Agatston&lt;100), 15.1% at high risk (Agatston 100–399), and 8.9% at very high risk (Agatston≥400). CAC scoring significantly reduced the number of individuals indicated for preventive treatment compared to SCORE (relative reduction women: 37.2%; men: 28.8%). Conclusion We showed that compared to risk stratification based on SCORE, CAC scoring classified significantly fewer men and women at increased risk, and less preventive treatment was indicated. ROBINSCA flowchart Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – EU funding. Main funding source(s): Advanced Research Grant

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