Assessment of the CHA2DS2-VASc Score in Predicting Mortality and Adverse Cardiovascular Outcomes of Patients on Hemodialysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (8) ◽  
pp. 635-640
Author(s):  
Miri Schamroth Pravda ◽  
Keren Cohen Hagai ◽  
Guy Topaz ◽  
Nili Schamroth Pravda ◽  
Nadeen Makhoul ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
High Mortality ◽  
Medical Center ◽  
Composite Endpoint ◽  
Chronic Hemodialysis ◽  
Adverse Outcomes ◽  
First Year ◽  
Increased Risk

Background: Patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) undergoing chronic hemodialysis are at high mortality and cardiovascular risk. This study was aimed to assess whether the CHA2DS2-VASc score may be used for risk stratification of this population. Methods: Included were patients undergoing chronic hemodialysis at Meir Medical Center. The CHA2DS2-VASc score was calculated for each patient at the initiation of hemodialysis. Patients were classified into 3 groups according to the CHA2DS2-VASc score: 0–3 (low), 4–5 (intermediate), and ≥6 (high). The primary endpoint was the composite of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, and stroke during the first year of hemodialysis. Results: Of the 457 patients with ESRD, 181 (40%) had low, 193 (42%) intermediate, and 83 (18%) high CHA2DS2-VASc scores. During the first year of hemodialysis, 109 (23.8%) patients died, 17 (3.7%) had a stroke, and 28 (6.1%) had a myocardial infarction. Compared to patients in the low CHA2DS2-VASc score group, those in the intermediate and high score groups had higher risk for the composite endpoint (OR: 2.6, 95% CI: 1.6–4.2, p < 0.01 and OR: 4.2, 95% CI: 2.3–7.5, p < 0.01, respectively). Each 1-point increase in CHA2DS2-VASc score was associated with a 38% increased risk for the composite endpoint, a 19% increased risk for 1-year myocardial infarction, and a 29% increased risk for 1-year stroke. Conclusions: Patients with ESRD are at an extremely high mortality and cardiovascular risk within the first year of hemodialysis. The CHA2DS2-VASc score was strongly associated with adverse outcomes and may be used for risk stratification of these patients.

scholarly journals Assessment of Exercise Intolerance in Patients with Pre-Dialysis CKD with Cardiopulmonary Function Testing: Translation to Everyday Practice

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Eva Pella ◽  
Afroditi Boutou ◽  
Marieta P. Theodorakopoulou ◽  
Pantelis Sarafidis
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Cardiopulmonary Exercise Testing ◽  
Adverse Outcomes ◽  
Exercise Intolerance ◽  
Exercise Limitation ◽  
Integrative Evaluation ◽  
Prognostic Utility ◽  
Risk Potential

<b><i>Background:</i></b> Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is often characterized by increased prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors and increased incidence of cardiovascular events and death. Reduced cardiovascular reserve and exercise intolerance are common in patients with CKD and are associated with adverse outcomes. <b><i>Summary:</i></b> The gold standard for identifying exercise limitation is cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET). CPET provides an integrative evaluation of cardiovascular, pulmonary, hematopoietic, neuropsychological, and metabolic function during maximal or submaximal exercise. It is useful in clinical setting for differentiation of the causes of exercise intolerance, risk stratification, and assessment of response to relevant treatments. A number of recent studies have used CPET in patients with pre-dialysis CKD, aiming to assess the cardiovascular reserve of these individuals, as well as the effect of interventions such as exercise training programs on their functional capacity. This review provides an in-depth description of CPET methodology and an overview of studies that utilized CPET technology to assess cardiovascular reserve in patients with pre-dialysis CKD. <b><i>Key Messages:</i></b> CPET can delineate multisystem changes and offer comprehensive phenotyping of factors determining overall cardiovascular risk. Potential clinical applications of CPET in CKD patients range from objective diagnosis of exercise intolerance to preoperative and long-term risk stratification and providing intermediate endpoints for clinical trials. Future studies should delineate the association of CPET indexes, with cardiovascular and respiratory alterations and hard outcomes in CKD patients, to enhance its diagnostic and prognostic utility in this population.

scholarly journals SPMSQ for risk stratification of older patients in the emergency department

2019 ◽  
Vol 52 (S4) ◽  
pp. 222-228 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Schönstein ◽  
H.-W. Wahl ◽  
H. A. Katus ◽  
A. Bahrmann
Keyword(s):  
Emergency Department ◽  
Nursing Home ◽  
Risk Stratification ◽  
Predictive Validity ◽  
Older Patients ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Composite Endpoint ◽  
Adverse Outcomes ◽  
Nursing Home Admission ◽  
Initial Contact

Abstract Background Risk stratification of older patients in the emergency department (ED) is seen as a promising and efficient solution for handling the increase in demand for geriatric emergency medicine. Previously, the predictive validity of commonly used tools for risk stratification, such as the identification of seniors at risk (ISAR), have found only limited evidence in German geriatric patient samples. Given that the adverse outcomes in question, such as rehospitalization, nursing home admission and mortality, are substantially associated with cognitive impairment, the potential of the short portable mental status questionnaire (SPMSQ) as a tool for risk stratification of older ED patients was investigated. Objective To estimate the predictive validity of the SPMSQ for a composite endpoint of adverse events (e.g. rehospitalization, nursing home admission and mortality). Method This was a prospective cohort study with 260 patients aged 70 years and above, recruited in a cardiology ED. Patients with a likely life-expectancy below 24 h were excluded. Follow-up examinations were conducted at 1, 3, 6 and 12 month(s) after recruitment. Results The SPMSQ was found to be a significant predictor of adverse outcomes not at 1 month (area under the curve, AUC 0.55, 95% confidence interval, CI 0.46–0.63) but at 3 months (AUC 0.61, 95% CI 0.54–0.68), 6 months (AUC 0.63, 95% CI 0.56–0.70) and 12 months (AUC 0.63, 95% CI 0.56–0.70) after initial contact. Conclusion For longer periods of observation the SPMSQ can be a predictor of a composite endpoint of adverse outcomes even when controlled for a range of confounders. Its characteristics, specifically the low sensitivity, make it unsuitable as an accurate risk stratification tool on its own.

scholarly journals Ten-year cardiovascular risk in diabetes patients without of coronary artery disease – a Danish cohort study

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
K.K.W Olesen ◽  
M Madsen ◽  
C Gyldenkerne ◽  
P.G Thrane ◽  
T Thim ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Coronary Artery Disease ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
General Population ◽  
Funding Source ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Patients With Diabetes ◽  
Artery Disease ◽  
Diabetes Patients

Abstract Background Patients with diabetes without obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) by coronary angiography (CAG) have a risk of myocardial infarction (MI) similar to that of non-diabetes patients without CAD. Their cardiovascular risk compared to the general population is unknown. Purpose We examined the 10-year risks of myocardial infarction (MI), ischemic stroke, and death in diabetes patients without CAD after CAG compared to the general population. Methods We included all diabetes patients without obstructive CAD examined by CAG from 2003–2016 in Western Denmark and an age and sex matched comparison group, sampled from the general population in Western Denmark without previous history of coronary heart disease. Outcomes were MI, ischemic stroke, and death. The 10-year cumulative incidences were estimated. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated by stratified Cox regression using the general population as the reference group. Results We identified 5,760 diabetes patients without obstructive CAD and 29,139 individuals from the general population. Median follow-up was 7 years with 25% of participants followed for up to 10 years. Diabetes patients without obstructive CAD had an almost similar 10-year risk of MI (3.2% vs 2.9%, adjusted HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.70–1.17, Figure) compared to the general population cohort. Diabetes patients had an increased risk of ischemic stroke (5.2% vs 2.2%, adjusted HR 1.88, 95% CI 1.48–2.39), and death (29.7% vs 17.9%, adjusted HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.29–1.54). The duration of diabetes was associated with increased cardiovascular risk. Conclusions Absence of obstructive CAD by CAG in patients with diabetes ensures a low MI risk similar to the general population, but diabetes patients still have an increased risk of ischemic stroke and all-cause death despite absence of CAD. Figure 1 Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): Department of Cardiology, Aarhus University Hospital

Abstract P208: Functional Status, Rehospitalization, and Mortality Outcomes Among Acute Myocardial Infarction Patients with Prior and New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation

2011 ◽  
Vol 4 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyle P Hornsby ◽  
Kensey Gosch ◽  
Amy L Miller ◽  
Jonathan P Piccini ◽  
Renato D Lopes ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Acute Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Health Status ◽  
Functional Status ◽  
Physical Function ◽  
Adverse Outcomes ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
New Onset

Background: Little data are available regarding differences in prognosis and health status between new-onset and prior atrial fibrillation (AF) among patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Methods: The TRIUMPH study enrolled 4340 AMI patients who received longitudinal follow-up including SF-12 health status assessments through 1 year post-AMI. We compared 1-year mortality, rehospitalization, and functional status according to AF type (none, prior, new) after adjusting for differences in baseline characteristics. Results: A total of 212 AMI patients (4.9%) had prior AF and 254 (5.9%) had new-onset AF. Compared with no AF, new AF was associated with older age, male sex, first MI, worse baseline physical function, home atrioventricular nodal blocker use, and worse ventricular function (c-index 0.77). Rates of 1-year mortality were 6.2%, 14.5%, and 13.0%, and 1-year rehospitalization rates were 29.1%, 44.2%, and 36.8% for no, prior, and new AF, respectively. After multivariable adjustment, neither prior nor new AF was associated with increased 1-year mortality, and only prior AF was associated with increased risk of 1-year rehospitalization (Figure). After adjusting for baseline SF-12 physical function scores, patients with prior AF had lower 1-year scores than those with no AF (40.6 vs. 43.7, p <0.003), whereas patients with new AF had similar scores (42.9 vs. 43.7, p=0.36). Conclusion: New-onset AF during AMI is associated with a number of comorbidities but, unlike prior AF, is not associated with adverse outcomes. These results raise the question of whether AF is itself a cause of or simply a marker of comorbidities leading to downstream adverse outcomes after AMI.

Abstract 39: Platelet Reactivity to Prostaglandin E2 is a Novel Modifiable Risk Factor for St-Elevation Myocardial Infarction

2016 ◽  
Vol 36 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Eitan A Friedman ◽  
Elias V Haddad ◽  
Valentinas Joksas ◽  
Shi Huang ◽  
Meng Xu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
Platelet Activation ◽  
Platelet Reactivity ◽  
Platelet Rich Plasma ◽  
Coronary Intervention ◽  
Prostaglandin E ◽  
Platelet Response ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
St Elevation

Background: Patients with lower thresholds for platelet activation are at increased risk for primary and recurrent myocardial infarction (MI) and overall cardiovascular (CV) mortality. We have demonstrated that there are two phenotypes of platelet response to Prostaglandin E 2 (PGE 2 ), such that it increases threshold for aggregation in 45% of individuals (inhibitory) and lowers threshold for aggregation in 55% (potentiating). As PGE 2 is present in atherosclerotic plaques, and its receptors are present on platelets, biologic variability in PGE 2 responses may have clinical implications. We hypothesized that patients with higher thresholds for platelet activation would have a lower risk of thrombotic CV events, specifically ST-Elevation MI (STEMI). Methods: 85 patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention for stable or unstable coronary disease were phenotyped for PGE 2 response. Platelet rich plasma was treated with various concentrations of U46,619 (thromboxane agonist) with or without PGE 2 100 nM, and phenotype determined by light aggregometry. Analysis of the maximum PGE 2 effect (maximum aggregation with PGE 2 minus maximum aggregation without it) was performed using linear and non-linear statistical methods. Results: Traditional cardiovascular risk factors were similar between groups. A higher percentage of patients with the potentiating phenotype had a history of STEMI than those with the inhibitory phenotype. Logistic regression using restricted cubic spline showed that the predicted probabilities of STEMI increased from 0.04 (at the strongest inhibitory phenotype) to 0.43 (at the median phenotype). The OR of phenotype at the median relative to that at the 10th quantile was 7.4 (95 % CI=1.6, 34.8). Conclusions: PGE 2 inhibitory phenotype confers a decreased lifetime risk of STEMI in individuals at high risk for CV events. We have previously shown that an EP3 receptor antagonist converts the potentiating to the inhibitory phenotype. Thus, the PGE2 phenotype may be a novel marker of cardiovascular risk that may also identify patients who would benefit from an EP3 antagonist.

Severe Periodontitis Is Associated with Myocardial Infarction in Females

2018 ◽  
Vol 97 (10) ◽  
pp. 1114-1121 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Nordendahl ◽  
A. Gustafsson ◽  
A. Norhammar ◽  
P. Näsman ◽  
L. Rydén ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
Alveolar Bone ◽  
Dental Health ◽  
Diabetes Education ◽  
Female Patients ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Severe Periodontitis ◽  
Male Patients ◽  
Control Study

The aim of the present study was to test the hypothesis that there is a sex difference in the association between periodontitis (PD) and a first myocardial infarction (MI). The analysis in the case-control study was based on 785 patients (147 females and 638 males) with a first MI and 792 matched controls (147 females and 645 males), screened for cardiovascular risk factors and subjected to a panoramic dental X-ray. Periodontal status was defined by alveolar bone loss and diagnosed as no PD (≥80% remaining alveolar bone), mild to moderate PD (66% to 79%), or severe PD (<66%). Logistic regression was used when analyzing PD as a risk factor for MI, adjusting for age, smoking, diabetes, education, and marital status. The mean age was 64 ± 7 y for females and 62 ± 8 y for males. Severe PD was more common in female patients than female controls (14 vs. 4%, P = 0.005), with an increased risk for severe PD among female patients with a first MI (odds ratio [OR] = 3.92, 95% confidence interval [CI] =1.53 to 10.00, P = 0.005), which remained (OR = 3.72, 95% CI = 1.24 to 11.16, P = 0.005) after adjustments. Male patients had more severe PD (7% vs. 4%; P = 0.005) than male controls and an increased risk for severe PD (OR = 1.88, 95% CI = 1.14 to 3.11, P = 0.005), but this association did not remain following adjustment (OR = 1.67, 95% CI = 0.97 to 2.84, NS). Severe PD was associated with MI in both females and males. After adjustments for relevant confounders, this association did, however, remain only in females. These data underline the importance of considering poor dental health when evaluating cardiovascular risk, especially in females.

scholarly journals Updating insights into rosiglitazone and cardiovascular risk through shared data: individual patient and summary level meta-analyses

BMJ ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. l7078 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joshua D Wallach ◽  
Kun Wang ◽  
Audrey D Zhang ◽  
Deanna Cheng ◽  
Holly K Grossetta Nardini ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Heart Failure ◽  
Systematic Review ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Odds Ratios ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Meta Analyses ◽  
Analytical Approaches

AbstractObjectivesTo conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of the effects of rosiglitazone treatment on cardiovascular risk and mortality using multiple data sources and varying analytical approaches with three aims in mind: to clarify uncertainties about the cardiovascular risk of rosiglitazone; to determine whether different analytical approaches are likely to alter the conclusions of adverse event meta-analyses; and to inform efforts to promote clinical trial transparency and data sharing.DesignSystematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.Data sourcesGlaxoSmithKline’s (GSK’s) ClinicalStudyDataRequest.com for individual patient level data (IPD) and GSK’s Study Register platforms, MEDLINE, PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Central Registry of Controlled Trials, Scopus, and ClinicalTrials.gov from inception to January 2019 for summary level data.Eligibility criteria for selecting studiesRandomized, controlled, phase II-IV clinical trials that compared rosiglitazone with any control for at least 24 weeks in adults.Data extraction and synthesisFor analyses of trials for which IPD were available, a composite outcome of acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, cardiovascular related death, and non-cardiovascular related death was examined. These four events were examined independently as secondary analyses. For analyses including trials for which IPD were not available, myocardial infarction and cardiovascular related death were examined, which were determined from summary level data. Multiple meta-analyses were conducted that accounted for trials with zero events in one or both arms with two different continuity corrections (0.5 constant and treatment arm) to calculate odds ratios and risk ratios with 95% confidence intervals.Results33 eligible trials were identified from ClinicalStudyDataRequest.com for which IPD were available (21 156 patients). Additionally, 103 trials for which IPD were not available were included in the meta-analyses for myocardial infarction (23 683 patients), and 103 trials for which IPD were not available contributed to the meta-analyses for cardiovascular related death (22 772 patients). Among 29 trials for which IPD were available and that were included in previous meta-analyses using GSK’s summary level data, more myocardial infarction events were identified by using IPD instead of summary level data for 26 trials, and fewer cardiovascular related deaths for five trials. When analyses were limited to trials for which IPD were available, and a constant continuity correction of 0.5 and a random effects model were used to account for trials with zero events in only one arm, patients treated with rosiglitazone had a 33% increased risk of a composite event compared with controls (odds ratio 1.33, 95% confidence interval 1.09 to 1.61; rosiglitazone population: 274 events among 11 837 patients; control population: 219 events among 9319 patients). The odds ratios for myocardial infarction, heart failure, cardiovascular related death, and non-cardiovascular related death were 1.17 (0.92 to 1.51), 1.54 (1.14 to 2.09), 1.15 (0.55 to 2.41), and 1.18 (0.60 to 2.30), respectively. For analyses including trials for which IPD were not available, odds ratios for myocardial infarction and cardiovascular related death were attenuated (1.09, 0.88 to 1.35, and 1.12, 0.72 to 1.74, respectively). Results were broadly consistent when analyses were repeated using trials with zero events across both arms and either of the two continuity corrections was used.ConclusionsThe results suggest that rosiglitazone is associated with an increased cardiovascular risk, especially for heart failure events. Although increased risk of myocardial infarction was observed across analyses, the strength of the evidence varied and effect estimates were attenuated when summary level data were used in addition to IPD. Because more myocardial infarctions and fewer cardiovascular related deaths were reported in the IPD than in the summary level data, sharing IPD might be necessary when performing meta-analyses focused on safety.Systematic review registrationOSF Home https://osf.io/4yvp2/.

scholarly journals Strategy of Medical Care for Pregnant Women with Congenital Heart Disease

2021 ◽  
pp. 64-69
Author(s):  
S. O. Siromakha ◽  
Yu. V. Davydova ◽  
A. O. Tarnavska ◽  
N. I. Volkova ◽  
N. B. Nakonechna
Keyword(s):  
Cardiac Surgery ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
Medical Care ◽  
Pregnant Women ◽  
Postpartum Period ◽  
Congenital Heart ◽  
Adverse Outcomes ◽  
Long Term Results ◽  
Increased Risk

Grown-up congenital heart (GUCH) is a global challenge nowadays. The strategy of medical care for GUCH women dur-ing pregnancy, childbirth and the postpartum period is a topic of active discussion in the expert community. These patients have significantly increased risk of maternal and perinatal loss. A national obstetric cardiology and cardiac surgery multi-disciplinary team (OCCS) established in academic institutions in 2013 has provided medical support to 896 GUCH pregnant women over the last 7 years. In total, GUCH patients accounted for 36% of the cohort of all the examined pregnant women. Of these, 474 (53%) were primigravid. The mean age of the patients at the time of the first visit was 27.3 ± 5.7 years. Patients with uncorrected CHD accounted for 66.2% (n = 593), and 33.8% (n = 303) of pregnant women had undergone correction, including hemodynamic correction of complex CHD in 5 patients. Risk stratification was performed using several scores (mWHO, ZAHARA, CARPREG) for the comprehensive assessment of cardiovascular risk and prediction of pregnancy, deliv-ery, and postpartum period course. 82 patients were classified as having high cardiovascular risk (CVR) after the stratifica-tion. They needed admission to the cardiac surgery facility to receive different types of medical care. There were 2 (2.4%) cases of maternal loss and 3 (3.8%) cases of adverse perinatal outcomes in this group of patients. The article presents the algorithms for multidisciplinary care strategy choice in GUCH pregnant women with high CVR and their routing principles developed by the OCCS. These algorithms significantly reduced adverse outcomes of pregnancy and childbirth in this group of patients. Long-term results were evaluated in 69 patients (86.3%). The follow-up period ranged from 1 to 91 months, on average 34.4 ± 23.6 months. There were no long-term maternal losses or repeated cardiac surgeries. There was one case of unexplained death of a child 8 months after birth. The strategy of multidisciplinary medical care of a high-class GUCH pregnant woman should be personalized depending on the clinical data and in accordance with the ESC 2018 guidelines.

scholarly journals Atrial fibrillation and clinical outcomes 1 to 3 years after myocardial infarction

Open Heart ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. e001726
Author(s):  
Anthony P Carnicelli ◽  
Ruth Owen ◽  
Stuart J Pocock ◽  
David B Brieger ◽  
Satoshi Yasuda ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Quality Of Life ◽  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Clinical Outcomes ◽  
Oral Anticoagulants ◽  
Adverse Outcomes ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
History Of ◽  
The Impact

ObjectiveAtrial fibrillation (AF) and myocardial infarction (MI) are commonly comorbid and associated with adverse outcomes. Little is known about the impact of AF on quality of life and outcomes post-MI. We compared characteristics, quality of life and clinical outcomes in stable patients post-MI with/without AF.Methods/resultsThe prospective, international, observational TIGRIS (long Term rIsk, clinical manaGement and healthcare Resource utilization of stable coronary artery dISease) registry included 8406 patients aged ≥50 years with ≥1 atherothrombotic risk factor who were 1–3 years post-MI. Patient characteristics were summarised by history of AF. Quality of life was assessed at baseline using EQ-5D. Clinical outcomes over 2 years of follow-up were compared. History of AF was present in 702/8277 (8.5%) registry patients and incident AF was diagnosed in 244/7575 (3.2%) over 2 years. Those with AF were older and had more comorbidities than those without AF. After multivariable adjustment, patients with AF had lower self-reported quality-of-life scores (EQ-5D UK-weighted index, visual analogue scale, usual activities and pain/discomfort) than those without AF. CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥2 was present in 686/702 (97.7%) patients with AF, although only 348/702 (49.6%) were on oral anticoagulants at enrolment. Patients with AF had higher rates of all-cause hospitalisation (adjusted rate ratio 1.25 [1.06–1.46], p=0.008) over 2 years than those without AF, but similar rates of mortality.ConclusionsIn stable patients post-MI, those with AF were commonly undertreated with oral anticoagulants, had poorer quality of life and had increased risk of clinical outcomes than those without AF.Trial registration numberClinicalTrials: NCT01866904.

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