Higher mortality rate in patients hospitalised for acute pulmonary embolism during weekends

SummaryThe management of acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is often challenging and requires specific medical expertise, diagnostic techniques and therapeutic options that may not be available in all hospitals throughout the entire week. The aim of our study was to evaluate whether or not an association exists between weekday or weekend admission and mortality for patients hospitalised with acute PE. Using routinely collected hospital administrative data, we examined patients discharged with a diagnosis of PE from the hospitals of the Emilia- Romagna Region in Italy (January 1999-December 2009). The risk of inhospital death was calculated for admissions at the weekend and compared to weekday admissions. Of a total of 26,560 PEs, 6,788 (25.6%) had been admitted during weekends. PE admissions were most frequent on Mondays (15.8%) and less frequent on Saturdays and Sun- days/holidays (12.8%) (p<0.001). Weekend admissions were associated with significantly higher rates of in-hospital mortality than weekday admissions (28% vs. 24.8%) (p<0.001). The risk of weekend admission and in-hospital mortality was higher after adjusting for sender, hospital characteristics, and the Charlson co-morbidity index. In conclusion, hospitalisation for PE on weekends seems to be associated with a significantly higher mortality rate than on weekdays. Further research is needed to investigate the reasons for this observed difference in mortality in order to try and implement future strategies that ensure an adequate level of care throughout the entire week.

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P5016Usefulness of different electrocardiographic patterns as predictors of in-hospital mortality in acute pulmonary embolism

European Heart Journal ◽

10.1093/eurheartj/ehz746.0194 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽

Author(s):

P Alarcon ◽

J A Bilbao ◽

R Melchiori ◽

I M Cigalini ◽

C E Scatularo ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Pulmonary Embolism ◽

Hospital Mortality ◽

Acute Pulmonary Embolism ◽

Sinus Tachycardia ◽

P Value ◽

P Waves ◽

St Segment Elevation ◽

St Segment ◽

Acute Pe ◽

T Waves

Abstract Background Many electrocardiographic (ECG) patterns may be present in acute pulmonary embolism (PE), but their prevalence and association with in hospital mortality (IHM) are less well established. Objective Assess the correlation between different ECG patterns and IHM in patients (Pts) with PE using a whole country dataset. Methods Prospective multicenter registry which included Pts with acute PE hospitalized in 75 academic centers from October 2016 to November 2017. We considered the following ECG patterns: sinus tachycardia, pulmonary P waves, Q waves in DII-aVF leads, negative T waves in V1-V4, ST segment elevation in aVR and V1, atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter (AF/AF), right bundle branch block (RBBB), ST segment depression, S1Q3T3 pattern or Qr in V1. Statistical analysis was carried out using de STATA version 13.1. A value of p<0.0.5 was considered statistically significant. Results We included 684 Pts; mean age 63.8±16.7 years (43% male). Global IHM was 12%. The most prevalent ECG patterns were sinus tachycardia (51.7%), S1Q3T3 (24.5%), negative T waves in V1- V4 (16%), RBBB (9.9%), AF/AF (8.6%). Four ECG patterns remained statistically significant predictors of IHM on multivariate analysis: AF/AF (OR: 3.81; CI 95% 1.82–7.95, p<0.01), pulmonary P waves (OR: 3.81; CI 95% 1.2–12, p<0.04), RBBB (OR: 2.71; CI 95% 1.39–5.30, p<0.01) and sinus tachycardia (OR: 2.05; CI 95% 1.18–3.54, p<0.04). ECG pattern and in-hospital mortality.Multivariate analysis Electrocardiographic pattern OR CI 95% p value AF/AF 3.81 1.82–7.95 <0.01 Pulmonary P waves 3.81 1.20–12.00 <0.04 RBBB 2.71 1.39–5.30 <0.01 Sinus tachycardia 2.05 1.18–3.54 <0.04 Q waves in DII-aVF 0.93 0.32–2.64 0.89 ST segment depression 1.07 0.39–2.96 0.80 Negative T waves in V1-V4 0.93 0.47–1.81 0.83 S1Q3T3 pattern 0.75 0.39–1.41 0.37 Qr in V1 2.07 0.63–6.73 0.22 ST segment elevation in aVR 2.38 0.79–7.15 0.12 Conclusions We corroborate the usefulness of the ECG as a prognostic tool in acute PE. Four simple ECG patterns (AF/AF, Pulmonary P waves, RBBB and sinus tachycardia) were associated with a higher IHM and therefore should be considered for PE risk stratification.

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Association of hypocalcemia with in-hospital mortality and complications in patients with acute pulmonary embolism: results from the 2017 Nationwide Inpatient Sample

BMC Pulmonary Medicine ◽

10.1186/s12890-021-01784-0 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 21 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Mukunthan Murthi ◽

Hafeez Shaka ◽

Zain El-amir ◽

Sujitha Velagapudi ◽

Abdul Jamil ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Pulmonary Embolism ◽

Regression Analysis ◽

Hospital Mortality ◽

Nationwide Inpatient Sample ◽

Acute Pulmonary Embolism ◽

Multivariate Logistic Regression Analysis ◽

Kidney Injury ◽

Medical Problem ◽

Mortality And Morbidity ◽

Acute Pe

Abstract Background Acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is a common cause for hospitalization associated with significant mortality and morbidity. Disorders of calcium metabolism are a frequently encountered medical problem. The effect of hypocalcemia is not well defined on the outcomes of patients with PE. We aimed to identify the prognostic value of hypocalcemia in hospitalized PE patients utilizing the 2017 Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS). Methods In this retrospective study, we selected patients with a primary diagnosis of Acute PE using ICD 10 codes. They were further stratified based on the presence of hypocalcemia. We primarily aimed to compare in-hospital mortality for PE patients with and without hypocalcemia. We performed multivariate logistic regression analysis to adjust for potential confounders. We also used propensity‐matched cohort of patients to compare mortality. Results In the 2017 NIS, 187,989 patients had a principal diagnosis of acute PE. Among the above study group, 1565 (0.8%) had an additional diagnosis of hypocalcemia. 12.4% of PE patients with hypocalcemia died in the hospital in comparison to 2.95% without hypocalcemia. On multivariate regression analysis, PE and hypocalcemia patients had 4 times higher odds (aOR-4.03, 95% CI 2.78–5.84, p < 0.001) of in-hospital mortality compared to those with only PE. We observed a similarly high odds of mortality (aOR = 4.4) on 1:1 propensity-matched analysis. The incidence of acute kidney injury (aOR = 2.62, CI 1.95–3.52, p < 0.001), acute respiratory failure (a0R = 1.84, CI 1.42–2.38, p < 0.001), sepsis (aOR = 4.99, CI 3.08–8.11, p < 0.001) and arrhythmias (aOR = 2.63, CI 1.99–3.48, p < 0.001) were also higher for PE patients with hypocalcemia. Conclusion PE patients with hypocalcemia have higher in-hospital mortality than those without hypocalcemia. The in-hospital complications were also higher, along with longer length of stay.

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MR-proADM and MR-proANP levels in patients with acute pulmonary embolism

Journal of Medical Biochemistry ◽

10.2478/jomb-2019-0049 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 0 (0) ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Önsel Öner ◽

Figen Deveci ◽

Selda Telo ◽

Mutlu Kuluöztürk ◽

Mehmet Balin

Keyword(s):

Pulmonary Embolism ◽

High Risk ◽

Mortality Rate ◽

Hospital Mortality ◽

Acute Pulmonary Embolism ◽

Low Risk ◽

Control Group ◽

High Risk Patients ◽

Risk Patients ◽

The Relationship

Summary Background The aim of this study was to determine levels of Mid-regional Pro-adrenomedullin (MR-proADM) and Mid-regional Pro-atrial Natriuretic Peptide (MR-proANP) in patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE), the relationship between these parameters and the risk classification in addition to determining the relationship between 1- and 3-month mortality. Methods 82 PE patients and 50 healthy control subjects were included in the study. Blood samples for MR-proANP and MR-proADM were obtained from the subjects prior to the treatment. Risk stratification was determined according to sPESI (Simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index). Following these initial measurements, cases with PE were assessed in terms of all causative and PE related mortalities. Results The mean serum MR-proANP and MR-proADM levels in acute PE patients were found to be statistically higher compared to the control group (p < 0.001, p < 0.01; respectively) and statistically significantly higher in high-risk patients than low-risk patients (p < 0.01, p < 0.05; respectively). No statistical difference was determined in high-risk patients in case of sPESI compared to low-risk patients while hospital mortality rates were higher. It was determined that the hospital mortality rate in cases with MR-proANP ≥ 123.30 pmol/L and the total 3-month mortality rate in cases with MR-proADM ≥ 152.2 pg/mL showed a statistically significant increase. Conclusions This study showed that MR-proANP and MR-proADM may be an important biochemical marker for determining high-risk cases and predicting the mortality in PE patients and we believe that these results should be supported by further and extensive studies.

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The Impact of Age on the Delay in Diagnosis in Patients With Acute Pulmonary Embolism

Clinical and Applied Thrombosis/Hemostasis ◽

10.1177/1076029611404218 ◽

2011 ◽

Vol 17 (6) ◽

pp. 605-610 ◽

Cited By ~ 5

Author(s):

T. M. Berghaus ◽

C. Thilo ◽

W. von Scheidt ◽

M. Schwaiblmair

Keyword(s):

Pulmonary Embolism ◽

Hospital Mortality ◽

Older Patients ◽

Acute Pulmonary Embolism ◽

Clinical Presentation ◽

Late Diagnosis ◽

Hospital Death ◽

Delay In Diagnosis ◽

The Impact ◽

Acute Pe

It has been speculated that the atypical clinical presentation of acute pulmonary embolism (PE) in older patients leads to a late diagnosis and therefore contributes to a worse prognosis. Therefore, we prospectively evaluated the delay in diagnosis and its relation to the in-hospital mortality in 202 patients with acute PE. Patients >65 years presented more often with hypoxia ( P = .017) and with a history of syncope ( P = .046). Delay in diagnosis was not statistically different in both age groups. Older age was significantly associated with an increased risk for in-hospital mortality (OR 4.36, 95% CI 0.93-20.37, P = .043), whereas the delay in diagnosis was not associated with an increase of in-hospital mortality. We therefore conclude that the clinical presentation of acute PE in older patients cannot be considered as a risk factor for late diagnosis and is not responsible for their higher in-hospital death rate.

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Use and clinical outcome of veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation in patients with acute pulmonary embolism and cardiopulmonary resuscitation

European Heart Journal Acute Cardiovascular Care ◽

10.1093/ehjacc/zuab020.146 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 10 (Supplement_1) ◽

Author(s):

L Hobohm ◽

I Sagoschen ◽

T Gori ◽

FP Schmidt ◽

T Muenzel ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Pulmonary Embolism ◽

Cardiac Arrest ◽

Mortality Rate ◽

Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation ◽

Acute Pulmonary Embolism ◽

Treatment Strategies ◽

Hospital Death ◽

Systemic Thrombolysis ◽

Va Ecmo ◽

Acute Pe

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Background Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) is a life-saving therapy for patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) and concomitant cardiac arrest with the necessity of cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR). Little is known about the use and clinical outcome of veno-arterial (VA)-ECMO and adjunctive treatment strategies in patients with acute PE and CPR. Purpose In this context, we aimed to investigate the use of VA-ECMO alone or after systemic thrombolysis and its impact on in-hospital outcomes of patients with acute PE and CPR. Methods We analyzed data on the characteristics, treatments and in-hospital outcomes for all patients with acute PE (ICD-code I26) and CPR in Germany between the years 2005 and 2018 (source: Research Data Center (RDC) of the Federal Statistical Office and the Statistical Offices of the federal states, DRG Statistics 2005-2018, own calculations). Results Between 2005 and 2018, 1,172,354 patients with acute PE (53.5% females) were included in this analysis; of those, 77,196 (6.5%) presented with cardiac arrest and CPR. While more than one fourth of those patients were treated with systemic thrombolysis alone (n = 20,839 patients; 27.0%), a minority received a combination of thrombolysis + VA-ECMO (n = 165; 0.2%) or singular approach with VA-ECMO treatment alone (n = 588; 0.8%). The overall in-hospital mortality rate of PE patients with cardiac arrest was high with 83.8%. Non-survivors were considerable older than survivors (74 [IQR 63-81] vs. 69 [58-77]). In patients treated with VA ECMO alone the mortality rate was 71.1% and 69.7% when patients received Thrombolysis + VA-ECMO. Patients, who received thrombolysis without VA-ECMO had a higher mortality rate (83.8%). In order to investigate the impact of those different treatment strategies, a multivariate logistic regression analysis (adjusted for age, sex and comorbidities) demonstrated the lowest risk for in-hospital death in patients, who underwent the combination of Thrombolysis + VA-ECMO (OR, 0.61 [95% CI, 0.43-0.86], P = 0.004) or VA-ECMO alone (OR, 0.70 [0.58-0.84], P < 0.001) compared to patients without VA-ECMO and without thrombolysis. Use of thrombolysis alone in patients with PE and CPR lowering the risk regarding in-hospital death as well (OR, 0.95 [0.91-0.99], P = 0.013). Regarding temporal trends, the annual use of VA-ECMO increased from 0 in the year 2005 to the number of 138 in 2018 (ß 6.13 (4.62-6.76); p < 0.001) as well as for the combined treatment Thrombolysis + VA-ECMO (from 0 to 39 [ß 4.28 (3.68-4.89); p < 0.001]). Conclusion Patients with acute PE and CPR had a very high in-hospital mortality rate. Our data suggest, that VA-ECMO alone or after systemic thrombolysis should be considered as an option in this outstanding life-threatening situation to improve in-hospital outcome. Furthermore, our data highlight a marked increase in the number of PE patients treated with VA-ECMO indicating the structural health care progress between 2005 and 2018.

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Validation of the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index for risk stratification after acute pulmonary embolism in a cohort of patients in Brazil

Jornal Brasileiro de Pneumologia ◽

10.1590/1806-3713/e20170251 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 45 (1) ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

Leonardo de Araujo Soriano ◽

Talita Tavares Castro ◽

Kelvin Vilalva ◽

Marcos de Carvalho Borges ◽

Antonio Pazin-Filho ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cluster Analysis ◽

Pulmonary Embolism ◽

Mortality Rate ◽

Risk Stratification ◽

Acute Pulmonary Embolism ◽

Severity Index ◽

Original Version ◽

Risk Class ◽

Kaplan Meier ◽

Acute Pe

ABSTRACT Objective: To validate the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI), which was developed for risk stratification after acute pulmonary embolism (PE), for use in Brazil. Methods: This was a single-center retrospective study involving patients admitted to the emergency department with acute PE. The original and simplified versions of the PESI were calculated using hospital admission data from medical records. The outcome measure was the overall 30-day mortality rate. Results: We included 123 patients. The mean age was 57 ± 17 years, and there was a predominance of females, who accounted for 60% of the cohort. There were 28 deaths, translating to an overall 30-day mortality rate of 23%. In the cluster analysis by risk class, overall 30-day mortality was 2.40% for classes I-II, compared with 20.00% for classes III-IV-V (relative risk [RR] = 5.9; 95% CI: 1.88-18.51; p = 0.0002). When we calculated overall 30-day mortality using the simplified version (0 points vs. ≥ 1 point), we found it to be 3.25% for 0 points and 19.51% for ≥ 1 point (RR = 2.38; 95% CI: 0.89-6.38; p = 0.06). Using the original version, a survival analysis showed that risk classes I and II presented similar Kaplan-Meier curves (p = 0.59), as did risk classes III, IV, and V (p = 0.25). However, the curve of the clusters based on the original version, showed significantly higher mortality in the III-IV-V classes than in the I-II classes (RR = 7.63; 95% CI: 2.29-25.21; p = 0.0001). The cluster analysis based on the original version showed a greater area under the ROC curve than did the analysis based on the simplified version (0.70; 95% CI: 0.62-0.77 vs. 0.60; 95% CI: 0.51-0.67; p = 0.05). Conclusions: The PESI adequately predicted the prognosis after acute PE in this sample of the population of Brazil. The cluster analysis based on the original version is the most appropriate analysis in this setting.

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Diagnostic accuracy of magnetic resonance angiography for acute pulmonary embolism - a systematic review and meta-analysis

VASA ◽

10.1024/0301-1526/a000509 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 45 (2) ◽

pp. 149-154 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

Jie Li ◽

Lei Feng ◽

Jiangbo Li ◽

Jian Tang

Keyword(s):

Pulmonary Embolism ◽

Magnetic Resonance ◽

Magnetic Resonance Angiography ◽

Diagnostic Accuracy ◽

Acute Pulmonary Embolism ◽

Meta Analysis ◽

Likelihood Ratios ◽

Summary Receiver Operating Characteristic ◽

Acute Pe ◽

Limited Sensitivity

Abstract. Background: The aim of this meta-analysis was to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) for acute pulmonary embolism (PE). Methods: A systematic literature search was conducted that included studies from January 2000 to August 2015 using the electronic databases PubMed, Embase and Springer link. The summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curve, sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratios (PLR), negative likelihood ratios (NLR), and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) as well as the 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of MRA for acute PE. Meta-disc software version 1.4 was used to analyze the data. Results: Five studies were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled sensitivity (86 %, 95 % CI: 81 % to 90 %) and specificity (99 %, 95 % CI: 98 % to 100 %) demonstrated that MRA diagnosis had limited sensitivity and high specificity in the detection of acute PE. The pooled estimate of PLR (41.64, 95 % CI: 17.97 to 96.48) and NLR (0.17, 95 % CI: 0.11 to 0.27) provided evidence for the low missed diagnosis and misdiagnosis rates of MRA for acute PE. The high diagnostic accuracy of MRA for acute PE was demonstrated by the overall DOR (456.51, 95 % CI: 178.38 - 1168.31) and SROC curves (AUC = 0.9902 ± 0.0061). Conclusions: MRA can be used for the diagnosis of acute PE. However, due to limited sensitivity, MRA cannot be used as a stand-alone test to exclude acute PE.

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Levosimendan, milrinone and dobutamine in acute experimental pulmonary embolism

European Heart Journal Acute Cardiovascular Care ◽

10.1093/ehjacc/zuab020.193 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 10 (Supplement_1) ◽

Author(s):

MD Lyhne ◽

SJ Dragsbaek ◽

JV Hansen ◽

JG Schultz ◽

A Andersen ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Pulmonary Embolism ◽

Acute Pulmonary Embolism ◽

Cardiovascular Effects ◽

Right Heart Catheterization ◽

Mechanical Work ◽

Heart Catheterization ◽

Funding Sources ◽

Mean Pulmonary Arterial Pressure ◽

Acute Pe ◽

Rv Function

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Laerdal Foundation for Acute Medicine, Novo Nordisk Foundation Background/Introduction: Acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is a frequent condition in acute cardiac care and is potentially fatal. Cause of death is right ventricular (RV) failure due to increased RV afterload from both pulmonary vascular obstruction and vasoconstriction. Inodilators are interesting drugs of choice as they may improve RV function and lower its afterload. Purpose We aimed to investigate the cardiovascular effects of three clinically relevant inodilators: levosimendan, milrinone and dobutamine in acute PE. Methods We conducted a randomized, blinded, animal study using 18 female pigs. Animals received large autologous PE until doubling of baseline mean pulmonary arterial pressure and were randomized to four logarithmically increasing doses of each inodilator. Effects were evaluated with bi-ventricular pressure-volume loop recordings, right heart catheterization and blood gas analyses. Results Induction of PE increased RV afterload and pulmonary pressure (p < 0.05) causing RV dysfunction. Levosimendan and milrinone showed beneficial hemodynamic profiles by lowering RV pressures and volume (p < 0.001) and improved RV function and cardiac output (p < 0.05) without increasing RV mechanical work. Dobutamine increased RV pressure and function (p < 0.01) but at a cost of increased mechanical work at the highest doses, showing an adverse hemodynamic profile. See Figure. Conclusion(s): In a porcine model of acute PE, levosimendan and milrinone reduced RV afterload and improved RV function, whereas dobutamine at higher doses increased RV afterload and RV mechanical work. The study motivates clinical testing of inodilators in patients with acute PE and RV dysfunction. Abstract Figure. Inodilators in acute pulmonary embolism

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Computed Tomography Pulmonary Perfusion for Prediction of Short-Term Clinical Outcome in Acute Pulmonary Embolism

TH Open ◽

10.1055/s-0041-1723782 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 05 (01) ◽

pp. e66-e72

Author(s):

Lisette F. van Dam ◽

Lucia J. M. Kroft ◽

Menno V. Huisman ◽

Maarten K. Ninaber ◽

Frederikus A. Klok

Keyword(s):

Computed Tomography ◽

Pulmonary Embolism ◽

Predictive Value ◽

Acute Pulmonary Embolism ◽

Clinical Presentation ◽

Reperfusion Therapy ◽

Pulmonary Perfusion ◽

Short Term ◽

Acute Pe ◽

Related Mortality

Abstract Background Computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) is the imaging modality of choice for the diagnosis of acute pulmonary embolism (PE). With computed tomography pulmonary perfusion (CTPP) additional information on lung perfusion can be assessed, but its value in PE risk stratification is unknown. We aimed to evaluate the correlation between CTPP-assessed perfusion defect score (PDS) and clinical presentation and its predictive value for adverse short-term outcome of acute PE. Patients and Methods This was an exploratory, observational study in 100 hemodynamically stable patients with CTPA-confirmed acute PE in whom CTPP was performed as part of routine clinical practice. We calculated the difference between the mean PDS in patients with versus without chest pain, dyspnea, and hemoptysis and 7-day adverse outcome. Multivariable logistic regression analysis and likelihood-ratio test were used to assess the added predictive value of PDS to CTPA parameters of right ventricle dysfunction and total thrombus load, for intensive care unit admission, reperfusion therapy and PE-related death. Results We found no correlation between PDS and clinical symptoms. PDS was correlated to reperfusion therapy (n = 4 with 16% higher PDS, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.5–28%) and PE-related mortality (n = 2 with 22% higher PDS, 95% CI: 4.9–38). Moreover, PDS had an added predictive value to CTPA assessment for PE-related mortality (from Chi-square 14 to 19, p = 0.02). Conclusion CTPP-assessed PDS was not correlated to clinical presentation of acute PE. However, PDS was correlated to reperfusion therapy and PE-related mortality and had an added predictive value to CTPA-reading for PE-related mortality; this added value needs to be demonstrated in larger studies.

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Developing a scoring tool to estimate the risk of deterioration for normotensive patients with acute pulmonary embolism on admission

Respiratory Research ◽

10.1186/s12931-020-01602-x ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 22 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Yizhuo Gao ◽

Chao Ji ◽

Hongyu Zhao ◽

Jun Han ◽

Haitao Shen ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Pulmonary Embolism ◽

Acute Pulmonary Embolism ◽

Clinical Laboratory ◽

Systolic Pressure ◽

Adverse Outcomes ◽

Web Based ◽

Derivation Cohort ◽

Risk Scoring ◽

Scoring Tool ◽

Acute Pe

Abstract Background It is important to identify deterioration in normotensive patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE). This study aimed to develop a tool for predicting deterioration among normotensive patients with acute PE on admission. Methods Clinical, laboratory, and computed tomography parameters were retrospectively collected for normotensive patients with acute PE who were treated at a Chinese center from January 2011 to May 2020 on admission into the hospital. The endpoint of the deterioration was any adverse outcome within 30 days. Eligible patients were randomized 2:1 to derivation and validation cohorts, and a nomogram was developed and validated by the aforementioned cohorts, respectively. The areas under the curves (AUCs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. A risk-scoring tool for predicting deterioration was applied as a web-based calculator. Results The 845 eligible patients (420 men, 425 women) had an average age of 60.05 ± 15.43 years. Adverse outcomes were identified for 81 patients (9.6%). The nomogram for adverse outcomes included heart rate, systolic pressure, N-terminal-pro brain natriuretic peptide, and ventricle/atrial diameter ratios at 4-chamber view, which provided AUC values of 0.925 in the derivation cohort (95% CI 0.900–0.946, p < 0.001) and 0.900 in the validation cohort (95% CI 0.883–0.948, p < 0.001). A risk-scoring tool was published as a web-based calculator (https://gaoyzcmu.shinyapps.io/APE9AD/). Conclusions We developed a web-based scoring tool that may help predict deterioration in normotensive patients with acute PE.

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