scholarly journals Validation of the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index for risk stratification after acute pulmonary embolism in a cohort of patients in Brazil

2019 ◽  
Vol 45 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Leonardo de Araujo Soriano ◽  
Talita Tavares Castro ◽  
Kelvin Vilalva ◽  
Marcos de Carvalho Borges ◽  
Antonio Pazin-Filho ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT Objective: To validate the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI), which was developed for risk stratification after acute pulmonary embolism (PE), for use in Brazil. Methods: This was a single-center retrospective study involving patients admitted to the emergency department with acute PE. The original and simplified versions of the PESI were calculated using hospital admission data from medical records. The outcome measure was the overall 30-day mortality rate. Results: We included 123 patients. The mean age was 57 ± 17 years, and there was a predominance of females, who accounted for 60% of the cohort. There were 28 deaths, translating to an overall 30-day mortality rate of 23%. In the cluster analysis by risk class, overall 30-day mortality was 2.40% for classes I-II, compared with 20.00% for classes III-IV-V (relative risk [RR] = 5.9; 95% CI: 1.88-18.51; p = 0.0002). When we calculated overall 30-day mortality using the simplified version (0 points vs. ≥ 1 point), we found it to be 3.25% for 0 points and 19.51% for ≥ 1 point (RR = 2.38; 95% CI: 0.89-6.38; p = 0.06). Using the original version, a survival analysis showed that risk classes I and II presented similar Kaplan-Meier curves (p = 0.59), as did risk classes III, IV, and V (p = 0.25). However, the curve of the clusters based on the original version, showed significantly higher mortality in the III-IV-V classes than in the I-II classes (RR = 7.63; 95% CI: 2.29-25.21; p = 0.0001). The cluster analysis based on the original version showed a greater area under the ROC curve than did the analysis based on the simplified version (0.70; 95% CI: 0.62-0.77 vs. 0.60; 95% CI: 0.51-0.67; p = 0.05). Conclusions: The PESI adequately predicted the prognosis after acute PE in this sample of the population of Brazil. The cluster analysis based on the original version is the most appropriate analysis in this setting.

2021 ◽  
pp. 2002963
Author(s):  
Zhenguo Zhai ◽  
Dingyi Wang ◽  
Jieping Lei ◽  
Yuanhua Yang ◽  
Xiaomao Xu ◽  
...  

BackgroundSimilar trends of management and in-hospital mortality of acute pulmonary embolism (PE) have been reported in European and American populations. However, these tendencies were not clear in Asian countries.ObjectivesWe retrospectively analyzed the trends of risk stratification, management and in-hospital mortality for patients with acute PE through a multicenter registry in China (CURES).MethodsAdult patients with acute symptomatic PE were included between 2009 and 2015. Trends in disease diagnosis, treatment and death in hospital were fully analyzed. Risk stratification was retrospectively classified by hemodynamical status and the simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (sPESI) score according to the 2014 European Society of Cardiology/European Respiratory Society guidelines.ResultsAmong overall 7438 patients, the proportions with high (hemodynamically instability), intermediate (sPESI≥1) and low (sPESI=0) risk were 4.2%, 67.1% and 28.7%, respectively. Computed tomographic pulmonary angiography was the widely employed diagnostic approach (87.6%) and anticoagulation was the frequently adopted initial therapy (83.7%). Between 2009 and 2015, a significant decline was observed for all-cause mortality (from 3.1% to 1.3%, adjusted Pfor trend=0.0003), with a concomitant reduction in use of initial systemic thrombolysis (from 14.8% to 5.0%, Pfor trend<0.0001). The common predictors for all-cause mortality shared by hemodynamically stable and unstable patients were co-existing cancer, older age, and impaired renal function.ConclusionsThe considerable reduction of mortality over years was accompanied by changes of initial treatment. These findings highlight the importance of risk stratification-guided management throughout the nation.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hai Xu ◽  
Angel Martin ◽  
Avneet SINGH ◽  
Mangala Narasimhan ◽  
Joe Lau ◽  
...  

Introduction: Pulmonary Embolism in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients have been increasingly reported in observational studies. However, limited knowledge describing their diagnostic features and clinical outcomes exist to date. Our study aims to systemically analyze their clinical characteristics and to investigate strategies for risk stratification. Methods: We retrospectively studied 101 patients with concurrent diagnoses of acute pulmonary embolism and COVID-19 infection, admitted at two tertiary hospitals within the Northwell Health System in New York City area. Clinical features including laboratory and imaging findings, therapeutic interventions, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, mortality and length of stay were recorded. D-dimer values were respectively documented at COVID-19 and PE diagnoses for comparison. Pulmonary Severity Index (PESI) scores were used for risk stratification of clinical outcomes. Results: The most common comorbidities were hypertension (50%), obesity (27%) and hyperlipidemia (32%) among our study cohort. Baseline D-dimer abnormalities (4647.0 ± 8281.8) were noted on admission with a 3-fold increase at the time of PE diagnosis (13288.4 ± 14917.9; p<0.05). 5 (5%) patients required systemic thrombolysis and 12 (12%) patients experienced moderate to severe bleeding. 31 (31%) patients developed acute kidney injury (AKI) and 1 (1%) patient required renal replacement therapy. Throughout hospitalization, 23 (23%) patients were admitted to intensive care units, of which 20 (20%) patients received invasive mechanical ventilation. The overall mortality rate was 20%. Majority of patients (65%) had Intermediate to high risk PESI scores (>85), which portended a worse prognosis with higher mortality rate and length of stay. Conclusions: This study provides characteristics and early outcomes for hospitalized patients with COVID-19 and acute pulmonary embolism. D-dimer levels and PESI scores may be utilized to risk stratify and guide management in this patient population. Our results should serve to alert the medical community to heighted vigilance of this VTE complication associated with COVID-19 infection, despite the preliminary and retrospective nature inherent to this study.


2019 ◽  
Vol 45 (08) ◽  
pp. 784-792
Author(s):  
Giuseppe Lippi ◽  
Emmanuel J. Favaloro ◽  
Peter Kavsak

AbstractThe ability to predict death or other unfavorable outcomes after an acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is challenging, with current available risk score models having relatively unsatisfactory prognostic performance in this area. For example, the simplified pulmonary embolism severity index (sPESI), the most frequently used stratification tool, misclassifies a significant percentage of low- and high-risk patients. This gap in care, along with the increasing clinical availability of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) laboratory tests and the recent emphasis on detecting myocardial injury, may foster further evaluation of hs-cTn testing in patients with acute PE. Our analysis of the current scientific literature on hs-cTn in patients with acute PE identified that hs-cTn testing may provide valuable information for predicting future adverse outcomes and mortality, independently from baseline clinical risk assessment. Although the risk of an adverse event is indeed higher in patients with higher sPESI scores, cTns retain their prognostic value also in those at low risk, suggesting that a combination of hs-cTn with sPESI may provide an incremental value over assessment of either variable alone. Accordingly, the future development of updated risk stratification models, with the inclusion of laboratory tests such as hs-cTn, may represent an enhanced approach for risk stratification in patients with acute PE. Additional research, however, is needed to verify whether the combination of cTns, specifically as measured with hs-cTn assays, with other biomarkers may further improve the current capacity to efficiently manage patients with acute PE.


2011 ◽  
Vol 106 (07) ◽  
pp. 83-89 ◽  
Author(s):  
Davide Imberti ◽  
Walter Ageno ◽  
Francesco Dentali ◽  
Roberto Manfredini ◽  
Massimo Gallerani

SummaryThe management of acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is often challenging and requires specific medical expertise, diagnostic techniques and therapeutic options that may not be available in all hospitals throughout the entire week. The aim of our study was to evaluate whether or not an association exists between weekday or weekend admission and mortality for patients hospitalised with acute PE. Using routinely collected hospital administrative data, we examined patients discharged with a diagnosis of PE from the hospitals of the Emilia- Romagna Region in Italy (January 1999-December 2009). The risk of inhospital death was calculated for admissions at the weekend and compared to weekday admissions. Of a total of 26,560 PEs, 6,788 (25.6%) had been admitted during weekends. PE admissions were most frequent on Mondays (15.8%) and less frequent on Saturdays and Sun- days/holidays (12.8%) (p<0.001). Weekend admissions were associated with significantly higher rates of in-hospital mortality than weekday admissions (28% vs. 24.8%) (p<0.001). The risk of weekend admission and in-hospital mortality was higher after adjusting for sender, hospital characteristics, and the Charlson co-morbidity index. In conclusion, hospitalisation for PE on weekends seems to be associated with a significantly higher mortality rate than on weekdays. Further research is needed to investigate the reasons for this observed difference in mortality in order to try and implement future strategies that ensure an adequate level of care throughout the entire week.


Author(s):  
Cecilia Becattini ◽  
Giancarlo Agnelli ◽  
Aldo Pietro Maggioni ◽  
Francesco Dentali ◽  
Andrea Fabbri ◽  
...  

Abstract Background New management, risk stratification and treatment strategies have become available over the last years for patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE), potentially leading to changes in clinical practice and improvement of patients’ outcome. Methods The COntemporary management of Pulmonary Embolism (COPE) is a prospective, non-interventional, multicentre study in patients with acute PE evaluated at internal medicine, cardiology and emergency departments in Italy. The aim of the COPE study is to assess contemporary management strategies in patients with acute, symptomatic, objectively confirmed PE concerning diagnosis, risk stratification, hospitalization and treatment and to assess rates and predictors of in-hospital and 30-day mortality. The composite of death (either overall or PE-related) or clinical deterioration at 30 days from the diagnosis of PE, major bleeding occurring in hospital and up to 30 days from the diagnosis of PE and adherence to guidelines of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) are secondary study outcomes. Participation in controlled trials on the management of acute PE is the only exclusion criteria. Expecting a 10–15%, 3% and 0.5% incidence of death for patients with high, intermediate or low-risk PE, respectively, it is estimated that 400 patients with high, 2100 patients with intermediate and 2500 with low-risk PE should be included in the study. This will allow to have about 100 deaths in study patients and will empower assessment of independent predictors of death. Conclusions COPE will provide contemporary data on in-hospital and 30-day mortality of patients with documented PE as well as information on guidelines adherence and its impact on clinical outcomes. Trail registration NCT number: NCT03631810.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M C Vedovati ◽  
L A Cimini ◽  
L Pierpaoli ◽  
S Vanni ◽  
M Cotugno ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The accuracy of the 2014 ESC model to predict 30-day mortality in hemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is relatively limited. Purpose The aims of this study in hemodynamically stable patients with acute PE were i) to evaluate the prognostic value of a novel respiratory index (RI) (oxygen saturation in air to respiratory rate ratio) and ii) to assess the accuracy of the RI-model (simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index [sPESI] + RI), both in predicting 30-day mortality. Methods A collaborative database of hemodynamically stable patients with PE was divided into two cohorts (derivation and validation) with equal numbers of patients, based on a temporal criterion. Study outcome was 30-day all-cause-death. Discrimination and calibration were assessed in the derivation and validation cohorts by the c-statistics and by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test, respectively. Results 30-day all-cause-death occurred in 7.5% of the 319 patients in the derivation cohort (mean age 72 years, females 53%). The RI was an independent predictor of 30-day mortality (p=0.004). A RI ≤3.8 was associated with an increased death rate compared to higher RI values (15.4% vs 5.0%, OR 3.4, 95% CI 1.5–8.1). When the RI≤3.8 was integrated in the sPESI, the novel RI-model showed a good discriminatory power (c-statistics 0.703, 95% CI 0.603–0.803). In the 319 patients of the validation cohort (30-day mortality 6.9%, mean age 71 years, females 55%) the discriminatory power of the RI-model was confirmed (c-statistics 0.838, 95% CI 0.768–0.907). The RI-model and the 2014 ESC model had a c-statistics of 0.772 (95% CI 0.709–0.834) and of 0.687 (95% CI 0.620–0.753) in the overall population, respectively. Conclusion In this study, the RI independently predicted 30-day mortality in hemodynamically stable patients with acute PE. A clinical model including RI showed a better discriminatory value than 2014 ESC model and could be used for risk stratification in these patients.


2018 ◽  
Vol 24 (8) ◽  
pp. 1340-1346 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marta Kozlowska ◽  
Magdalena Plywaczewska ◽  
Marcin Koc ◽  
Szymon Pacho ◽  
Anna Wyzgal ◽  
...  

d-dimer (DD) levels are used in the diagnostic workup of suspected acute pulmonary embolism (APE), but data on DD for early risk stratification in APE are limited. In this post hoc analysis of a prospective observational study of 270 consecutive patients, we aimed to optimize the discriminant capacity of the simplified pulmonary embolism severity index (sPESI), an APE risk assessment score currently used, by combining it with DD for in-hospital adverse event prediction. We found that DD levels were higher in patients with complicated versus benign clinical course 7.2 mg/L (25th-75th percentile: 4.5-27.7 mg/L) versus 5.1 mg/L (25th-75th percentile: 2.1-11.2 mg/L), P = .004. The area under the curve of DD for serious adverse event (SAE) was 0.672, P = .003. d-dimer =1.35 mg/L showed 100% negative predictive value for SAE and identified 11 sPESI ≥1 patients with a benign clinical course, detecting the 1 patient with SAE from sPESI = 0. d-dimer >15 mg/L showed heart rate for SAE 3.04 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1-9). A stratification model which with sPESI + DD >1.35 mg/L demonstrated improved prognostic value when compared to sPESI alone (net reclassification improvement: 0.085, P = .04). d-dimer have prognostic value, values <1.35 mg/L identify patients with a favorable outcome, improving the prognostic potential of sPESI, while DD >15 mg/L is an independent predictor of SAE.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 160
Author(s):  
Antonin Trimaille ◽  
Benjamin Marchandot ◽  
Mélanie Girardey ◽  
Clotilde Muller ◽  
Han Lim ◽  
...  

Background: Whereas the major strength of the simplified pulmonary embolism severity index (sPESI) lies in ruling out an adverse outcome in patients with sPESI of 0, the accuracy of sPESI ≥ 1 in risk assessment remains questionable. In acute pulmonary embolism (APE), the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) can be viewed as an integrate marker reflecting not only previous chronic kidney disease (CKD) damage but also comorbid conditions and hemodynamic disturbances associated with APE. We sought to determine whether renal dysfunction assessment by eGFR improves the sPESI score risk stratification in patients with APE. Methods: 678 consecutive patients with APE were prospectively enrolled. Renal dysfunction (RD) at diagnosis of APE was defined by eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and acute kidney injury (AKI) by elevation of creatinine level >25% during in-hospital stay. Results: RD was observed in 26.9% of the cohort. AKI occurred in 18.8%. A stepwise increase in 30-day mortality, cardiovascular mortality and overall mortality was evident with declining renal function. Multivariate analysis identified RD and CRP (C-reactive protein) level but not sPESI score as independent predictors of 30-day mortality. AKI, 30-day mortality, overall mortality, and cardiovascular mortality were at their highest level in patients with eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and sPESI ≥1. Conclusion: in patients with APE, the addition of RD to the sPESI score identifies a specific subset of patients at very high mortality.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
L Hobohm ◽  
I Sagoschen ◽  
T Gori ◽  
FP Schmidt ◽  
T Muenzel ◽  
...  

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Background Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) is a life-saving therapy for patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) and concomitant cardiac arrest with the necessity of cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR). Little is known about the use and clinical outcome of veno-arterial (VA)-ECMO and adjunctive treatment strategies in patients with acute PE and CPR. Purpose In this context, we aimed to investigate the use of VA-ECMO alone or after systemic thrombolysis and its impact on in-hospital outcomes of patients with acute PE and CPR. Methods We analyzed data on the characteristics, treatments and in-hospital outcomes for all patients with acute PE (ICD-code I26) and CPR in Germany between the years 2005 and 2018 (source: Research Data Center (RDC) of the Federal Statistical Office and the Statistical Offices of the federal states, DRG Statistics 2005-2018, own calculations). Results Between 2005 and 2018, 1,172,354 patients with acute PE (53.5% females) were included in this analysis; of those, 77,196 (6.5%) presented with cardiac arrest and CPR. While more than one fourth of those patients were treated with systemic thrombolysis alone (n = 20,839 patients; 27.0%), a minority received a combination of thrombolysis + VA-ECMO (n = 165; 0.2%) or singular approach with VA-ECMO treatment alone (n = 588; 0.8%). The overall in-hospital mortality rate of PE patients with cardiac arrest was high with 83.8%. Non-survivors were considerable older than survivors (74 [IQR 63-81] vs. 69 [58-77]). In patients treated with VA ECMO alone the mortality rate was 71.1% and 69.7% when patients received Thrombolysis + VA-ECMO. Patients, who received thrombolysis without VA-ECMO had a higher mortality rate (83.8%). In order to investigate the impact of those different treatment strategies, a multivariate logistic regression analysis (adjusted for age, sex and comorbidities) demonstrated the lowest risk for in-hospital death in patients, who underwent the combination of Thrombolysis + VA-ECMO (OR, 0.61 [95% CI, 0.43-0.86], P = 0.004) or VA-ECMO alone (OR, 0.70 [0.58-0.84], P &lt; 0.001) compared to patients without VA-ECMO and without thrombolysis. Use of thrombolysis alone in patients with PE and CPR lowering the risk regarding in-hospital death as well (OR, 0.95 [0.91-0.99], P = 0.013). Regarding temporal trends, the annual use of VA-ECMO increased from 0 in the year 2005 to the number of 138 in 2018 (ß 6.13 (4.62-6.76); p &lt; 0.001) as well as for the combined treatment Thrombolysis + VA-ECMO (from 0 to 39 [ß 4.28 (3.68-4.89); p &lt; 0.001]). Conclusion Patients with acute PE and CPR had a very high in-hospital mortality rate. Our data suggest, that VA-ECMO alone or after systemic thrombolysis should be considered as an option in this outstanding life-threatening situation to improve in-hospital outcome. Furthermore, our data highlight a marked increase in the number of PE patients treated with VA-ECMO indicating the structural health care progress between 2005 and 2018.


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