Abstract W P323: Development of a Nomogram to Predict Hematoma Expansion in Patients with Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Stroke ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 46 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoying Yao ◽  
Magdy Selim ◽  
Ye Xu ◽  
Erica Siwila-Sackman

Background: Early identification of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) patients at risk of significant hematoma expansion (SHE) could facilitate the selection of appropriate patients who are likely to benefit from therapies aiming to minimize ICH growth. Nomograms have been proved to have superior individualized disease-related risk estimations of given outcomes. This study aims to develop a normogram that can be performed during the hyperacute phase to predict the risk of SHE in patients with spontaneous ICH. Methods: We reviewed clinical, laboratory, and radiological data from 237 patients diagnosed with spontaneous ICH who had baseline head CT within 12 hours of symptom onset and follow-up CT during the following 72 hours. SHE was defined as an absolute increase in ICH volume > 6ml or an increase greater than 33% from baseline to follow-up CT. To construct the nomogram, we performed logistic regression analyses to determine the predictors of SHE. Each predictor was assigned a point in the graphic interface of a nomogram, and the points were summed up to determine the predicted probability of SHE for a specific ICH patient. Results: SHE occurred in 74 patients (31.2%). The final model to predict SHE, presented as a nomogram, included: time from onset to baseline CT scan (< 3h vs 3-12h), dementia, current smoking, antiplatelet use, serum creatinine level, Glasgow Comma Scale score, and presence of subarachnoid hemorrhage on baseline CT. The model had satisfactory discrimination ability with a bootstrap corrected c index of 0.77 (95% CI, 0.75-0.82) and good calibration. The in-hospital mortality was higher in patients with SHE (42% vs. 15%; p <0.001). Conclusion: We developed and internally validated a novel nomogram model which accurately predicts the possibility of SHE based on seven easily obtainable parameters. This could be useful for treatment decision and stratification. External validation of our nomogram is warranted before its application to other populations.

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gengzhao Ye ◽  
Shuna Huang ◽  
Renlong Chen ◽  
Yan Zheng ◽  
Wei Huang ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose: Perihematomal edema (PHE) is associated with poor functional outcomes after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). Early identification of risk factors associated with PHE growth may allow for targeted therapeutic interventions.Methods: We used data contained in the risk stratification and minimally invasive surgery in acute intracerebral hemorrhage (Risa-MIS-ICH) patients: a prospective multicenter cohort study. Patients' clinical, laboratory, and radiological data within 24 h of admission were obtained from their medical records. The absolute increase in PHE volume from baseline to day 3 was defined as iPHE volume. Poor outcome was defined as modified Rankin Scale (mRS) of 4 to 6 at 90 days. Binary logistic regression was used to assess the relationship between iPHE volume and poor outcome. The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to find the best cutoff. Linear regression was used to identify variables associated with iPHE volume (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03862729).Results: One hundred ninety-seven patients were included in this study. iPHE volume was significantly associated with poor outcome [P = 0.003, odds ratio (OR) 1.049, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.016–1.082] after adjustment for hematoma volume. The best cutoff point of iPHE volume was 7.98 mL with a specificity of 71.4% and a sensitivity of 47.5%. Diabetes mellitus (P = 0.043, β = 7.66 95% CI 0.26–15.07), black hole sign (P = 0.002, β = 18.93 95% CI 6.84–31.02), and initial ICH volume (P = 0.018, β = 0.20 95% CI 0.03–0.37) were significantly associated with iPHE volume. After adjusting for hematoma expansion, the black hole sign could still independently predict the increase of PHE (P &lt; 0.001, β = 21.62 95% CI 10.10–33.15).Conclusions: An increase of PHE volume &gt;7.98 mL from baseline to day 3 may lead to poor outcome. Patients with diabetes mellitus, black hole sign, and large initial hematoma volume result in more PHE growth, which should garner attention in the treatment.


Stroke ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenichi Sakuta ◽  
Takeo Sato ◽  
Teppei Komatsu ◽  
Kenichiro Sakai ◽  
Hidetaka Mitsumura ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose: Early hematoma expansion (HE) is seen in about 30% of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) patients, but detecting those patients with high risk of HE is challenging. The NAG scale was previously published as the simple predictive scale for HE in acute ICH patients. Multi-institutional validation for utility of the scale was the aim of this study. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed consecutive primary ICH patients, who were admitted between September 2016 and December 2018 to Jikei University Hospital or Kashiwa Hospital, Japan. NAG scale is consist of 3 factors based on examination on admission; NIHSS ≥10, Anticoagulant agents use, Glucose ≥133 mg/dl, with 1 point assigned for each parameter. Patients received an initial non-contrast computed tomography (CT) scan within 24 hours from symptom onset, and underwent follow-up CT scans at 6 hours, 24 hours, and 7 days after admission. The HE was defined as an increment in hemorrhage volume >33% or an absolute increase >6 mL on follow-up CT scans. Poor prognosis was defined as modified Rankin Scale 4-6 at discharge. We performed logistic regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic curves to determine discrimination ability of the score. Results: A total of 142 patients (96 men; median age 64 years; median NIHSS 11) were included in our study, and HE was observed in 38 patients (27%). Higher NAG sores were related to HE (P<0.001), poor prognosis (P<0.001), and in-hospital death (P<0.001). The C statistic was 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.63-0.82) for HE, 0.67 (95% CI, 0.58-0.76) for poor prognosis, and 0.85 (95% CI, 0.74-0.95) for in-hospital death. Multivariate logistic regression analysis with known risk factors showed the NAG scale was the independent factor for HE (Odds ratio, 2.95; 95% CI, 1.57-5.52; P = 0.001). Conclusion: Multi-institutional validation of the NAG scale showed good discrimination.


Stroke ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 43 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Navdeep S Sangha ◽  
Farhaan Vahidy ◽  
Mallikarjunarao Kasam ◽  
Mohammed Rahbar ◽  
Bursaw Andrew ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose Early hematoma expansion (EHE) has been described in the first 48 hours. SHRINC is a phase 2 prospective safety trial whose primary objective is to assess the safety of pioglitazone (PIO) when administered to patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (SICH) compared to standard care. A secondary objective is to characterize the changes in hematoma resolution and expansion over time. This prospective study addresses the natural history, clinical impact, and associated risk factors of late hematoma expansion (LEX) by serial magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) after SICH. Methods SHRINC aims to enroll 78 subjects between the ages of 18-80 with a SICH of ≥ 5 ml. This analysis includes the first 42 patients enrolled. Four subjects were excluded because they did not have an MRI after day 2. A baseline CTH was performed followed by an MRI within 24 hours of symptom onset. Hematoma volume (Hv) was measured on FLAIR sequences using a previously published semi-automated range of interest method. LEX was defined as an increase in Hv > 0.5 ml after the 48 hour MRI. Factors associated with LEX were evaluated with logistic regression. Longitudinal analyses were used for measurements taken over the follow up period. Results: Ten (26.3%) of 38 subjects displayed LEX. Eight subjects had LEX between day 2 to 14, and 4 between days 14 to 28. The median initial Hv was 16.1cc in LEX patients and 24.1cc in those without expansion (NEX) (p=0.23). Lower platelet counts (p=0.04) and BUN levels (p=0.03) were associated with LEX in univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis suggested that those with higher BUN levels were less likely to have LEX (OR=0.81; 95%CI 0.65-0.99). Blood pressure and EHE (13.2%) were not associated with LEX. There was no difference in neurological worsening (NIHSS increase ≥ 4), 6 month mRS or death between LEX and NEX. Conclusion: This is the first prospective study to address LEX with serial MRIs. LEX occurs between day 2 to 14 and day 14 to 28. Elevated BUN levels may decrease the likelihood of LEX. A limitation of our study is that the effect of PIO on LEX could not be evaluated because SHRINC is a blinded trial. Further studies will assess the pathophysiology of LEX and its potential implications in clinical trials evaluating hematoma growth and resolution.


Stroke ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 44 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shahram Majidi ◽  
Basit Rahim ◽  
Sarwat I Gilani ◽  
Waqas I Gilani ◽  
Malik M Adil ◽  
...  

Background: The temporal evolution of intracerebral hematomas and perihematoma edema in the ultra-early period on computed tomographic (CT) scans in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is not well understood. We aimed to investigate hematoma and perihematoma changes in “neutral brain” models of ICH. Methods: One human and 6 goat cadaveric heads were used as “neutral brains” to provide physical properties of the brain without any biological activity or new bleeding. ICH was induced by slow injection of 4 ml of fresh blood into the right basal ganglia of the goat brains. Similarly, 20 ml of fresh blood was injected deep into the white matter of the human cadaver head in each hemisphere. Serial CT scans of the heads were performed at 0, 1, 3, and 5 hours after inducing ICH. Analyze software (AnalyzeDirect, Overland Park, KS) was used to measure hematoma and perihematoma hypodensity volumes in the baseline and follow up CT scans. Results: The initial hematoma volumes of 11.6 ml and 10.5 ml in the right and the left hemispheres of the human cadaver brain gradually decreased to 6.6 ml and 5.4 ml at 5 hours, showing 43% and 48% retraction of hematoma, respectively. The volume of the perihematoma hypodensity in the right and left hemisphere increased from 2.6 ml and 2.2 ml in the 1 hour follow up CT scans to 4.9 ml and 4.4 ml in the 5 hour CT scan, respectively. Hematoma retraction was also observed in all six ICH models in the goat brains. The mean ICH volume in the goat heads was decreased from 1.49 ml in the baseline CT scan to 1.01 ml in the 5 hour follow up CT scan showing 29.6% hematoma retraction. Perihematoma hypodensity was visualized in 70% of ICH in goat brains, with an increasing mean hypodensity volume of 0.4 ml in the baseline CT scan to 0.8 ml in the 5 hour follow up CT scan. Conclusion: Our study demonstrated that substantial hematoma retraction and perihematoma hypodensity occurs in intracerebral hematomas in the absence of any new bleeding or biological activity of the surrounding brain. Such observations suggest that active bleeding is underestimated in patients with no or small hematoma expansion and our understanding of perihematoma hypodesity needs to be reconsidered.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chen-yi Zhan ◽  
Qian Chen ◽  
Ming-yue Zhang ◽  
Jin-jin Liu ◽  
Yi-lan Xiang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Radiomics is a valuable tool for predicting hematoma expansion (HE) but has not been used for small intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We hypothesized that not all small hematomas are benign and that radiomics could predict HE and short-term outcomes in small hematomas.Methods: We analyzed 313 patients with small ICH who underwent baseline noncontrast CT within 6 h of symptom onset between September 2013 and February 2019. Small ICH was defined as baseline hematoma volume <10 mL. A radiomic score (R-score) was developed in a training (n=218) and validated in a test cohort (n=95). Poor outcome was defined as a Glasgow Outcome Scale score ≤3. The relationship of the R-score with HE and outcomes was investigated using univariate and multivariate analyses. Predictive performance was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC).Results: R-score was an independent predictor of HE in the training (odds ratio [OR]: 2.557; 95% CI, 1.455–4.492) and test cohorts (OR, 3.985; 95% CI, 1.051–14.453). In the 3–10 mL subgroup, but not in the <3 ml subgroup, the R-score was independently associated with HE (OR, 4.293; 95% CI, 2.095–8.796) and poor outcome (OR, 1.297; 95%CI, 1.004–1.674) after adjusting for confounders. The R-score achieved good discrimination ability for HE in the training and test cohorts and the 3–10 mL subgroup (AUCs 0.728, 0.717, and 0.740, respectively).Conclusions: Radiomics provides an objective and effective approach for discriminating between benign and malignant course in patients with small ICH, particularly 3–10 mL hematomas.


2022 ◽  
pp. 174749302110686
Author(s):  
Andrea Morotti ◽  
Gregoire Boulouis ◽  
Andreas Charidimou ◽  
Loris Poli ◽  
Paolo Costa ◽  
...  

Background: Hematoma expansion (HE) is common and associated with poor outcome in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) with unclear symptom onset (USO). Aims: We tested the association between non-contrast computed tomography (NCCT) markers and HE in this population. Methods: Retrospective analysis of patients with primary spontaneous ICH admitted at five centers in the United States and Italy. Baseline NCCT was analyzed for presence of the following markers: intrahematoma hypodensities, heterogeneous density, blend sign, and irregular shape. Variables associated with HE (hematoma growth > 6 mL and/or > 33% from baseline to follow-up imaging) were explored with multivariable logistic regression. Results: Of 2074 patients screened, we included 646 subjects (median age = 75, 53.9% males), of whom 178 (27.6%) had HE. Hypodensities (odds ratio (OR) = 2.67, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.79–3.98), heterogeneous density (OR = 2.16, 95% CI = 1.46–3.21), blend sign (OR = 2.28, 95% CI = 1.38–3.75) and irregular shape (OR = 1.82, 95% CI = 1.21–2.75) were independently associated with a higher risk of HE, after adjustment for confounders (ICH volume, anticoagulation, and time from last seen well (LSW) to NCCT). Hypodensities had the highest sensitivity for HE (0.69), whereas blend sign was the most specific marker (0.90). All NCCT markers were more frequent in early presenters (time from LSW to NCCT ⩽ 6 h, n = 189, 29.3%), and more sensitive in this population as well (hypodensities had 0.77 sensitivity). Conclusion: NCCT markers are associated with HE in ICH with USO. These findings require prospective replication and suggest that NCCT features may help the stratification of HE in future studies on USO patients.


Author(s):  
Jens Witsch ◽  
Guido J. Falcone ◽  
Audrey C. Leasure ◽  
Charles Matouk ◽  
Matthias Endres ◽  
...  

Abstract Background In patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), pre-hospital markers of disease severity might be useful to potentially triage patients to undergo early interventions. Objective Here, we tested whether loss of consciousness (LOC) at the onset of ICH is associated with intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) on brain computed tomography (CT). Methods Among 3000 ICH cases from ERICH (Ethnic/Racial Variations of Intracerebral Hemorrhage study, NS069763), we included patients with complete ICH/IVH volumetric CT measurements and excluded those with seizures at ICH onset. Trained investigators extracted data from medical charts. Mental status at symptom onset (categorized as alert/oriented, alert/confused, drowsy/somnolent, coma/unresponsive/posturing) and 3-month disability (modified Rankin score, mRS) were assessed through standardized interviews of participants or dedicated proxies. We used logistic regression and mediation analysis to assess relationships between LOC, IVH, and unfavorable outcome (mRS 4–6). Results Two thousand seven hundred and twenty-four patients met inclusion criteria. Median admission Glasgow Coma Score was 15 (interquartile range 11–15). 46% had IVH on admission or follow-up CT. Patients with LOC (mental status: coma/unresponsive, n = 352) compared to those without LOC (all other mental status, n = 2372) were younger (60 vs. 62 years, p = 0.005) and had greater IVH frequency (77 vs. 41%, p < 0.001), greater peak ICH volumes (28 vs. 11 ml, p < 0.001), greater admission systolic blood pressure (200 vs. 184 mmHg, p < 0.001), and greater admission serum glucose (158 vs. 127 mg/dl, p < 0.001). LOC was independently associated with IVH presence (odds ratio, OR, 2.6, CI 1.9–3.5) and with unfavorable outcome (OR 3.05, CI 1.96–4.75). The association between LOC and outcome was significantly mediated by IVH (beta = 0.24, bootstrapped CI 0.17–0.32). Conclusion LOC at ICH onset may be a useful pre-hospital marker to identify patients at risk of having or developing IVH.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Xin-Ni Lv ◽  
Zuo-Qiao Li ◽  
Lan Deng ◽  
Wen-Song Yang ◽  
Yu-Lun Li ◽  
...  

Objective. To investigate the association between early perihematomal edema (PHE) expansion and functional outcome in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). Methods. Patients with ICH who underwent initial computed tomography (CT) scans within 6 hours after the onset of symptoms and follow-up CT scans within 24 ± 12 hours were included. Absolute PHE increase was defined as the absolute increase in PHE volume from baseline to 24 hours. A receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated to determine the cutoff value for early PHE expansion, which was operationally defined as an absolute increase in PHE volume of >6 mL. The outcome of interest was 3-month poor outcome defined as modified Rankin scale score of ≥4. A multivariable logistic regression procedure was used to assess the association between early PHE expansion and outcome after ICH. Results. In 233 patients with ICH, 89 (38.2%) patients had poor outcome at 3-month follow-up. Early PHE expansion was observed in 56 of 233 (24.0%) patients. Patients with early PHE expansion were more likely to have poor functional outcome than those without (43.8% vs. 11.8%, p < 0.001 ). After adjusting for age, admission systolic blood pressure, admission Glasgow Coma Scale score, baseline ICH volume and the presence of intraventricular hemorrhage, and time from onset to CT, early PHE expansion was associated with poor outcome (adjusted odds ratio, 4.25; 95% confidence interval, 1.70–10.60; p = 0.002 ). Conclusions. The early PHE expansion was not uncommon in patients with ICH and was correlated with poor outcome following ICH.


2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 224-228 ◽  
Author(s):  
Valentin Held ◽  
Philipp Eisele ◽  
Christoph C. Eschenfelder ◽  
Kristina Szabo

Background and Purpose: Non-vitamin K anticoagulants (NOAC) such as dabigatran have become important therapeutic options for the prevention of stroke. Until recently, there were only nonspecific agents to reverse their anticoagulant effects in a case of emergency. Idarucizumab, an antibody fragment targeting dabigatran, is the first specific antidote for a NOAC to be approved, but real-world experience is limited. Methods: We report two cases of patients on dabigatran with acute intracerebral hemorrhage who received idarucizumab. Results: In both cases, idarucizumab promptly reversed the anticoagulant effect of dabigatran and there was no hematoma expansion in follow-up imaging. Conclusions: In addition to clinical and preclinical studies, our cases add to the experience regarding the safety and efficacy of idarucizumab. They show that idarucizumab may be an important safety option for patients on dabigatran in emergency situations.


2018 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 394-404 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jia Xu Lim ◽  
Julian Xinguang Han ◽  
Angela An Qi See ◽  
Voon Hao Lew ◽  
Wan Ting Chock ◽  
...  

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