A Parameterization of the Microphysical Processes Forming Many Types of Winter Precipitation

2010 ◽  
Vol 67 (5) ◽  
pp. 1492-1508 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julie M. Thériault ◽  
Ronald E. Stewart
Keyword(s):  
Liquid Fraction ◽  
Winter Precipitation ◽  
The Other ◽  
Mass Content ◽  
Microphysics Scheme ◽  
Winter Storms ◽  
Precipitation Characteristics ◽  
Wet Snow ◽  
Precipitation Type ◽  
Microphysical Processes

Abstract Several types of precipitation, such as freezing rain, ice pellets, and wet snow, are commonly observed during winter storms. The objective of this study is to better understand the formation of these winter precipitation types. To address this issue, detailed melting and refreezing of precipitation was added onto an existing bulk microphysics scheme. These modifications allow the formation of mixed-phase particles and these particles in turn lead to, or affect, the formation of many of the other types of precipitation. The precipitation type characteristics, such as the mass content, liquid fraction, and threshold diameters formed during a storm over St John’s, Newfoundland, Canada, are studied and compared with observations. Many of these features were reproduced by the model. Sensitivity experiments with the model were carried out to examine the dependence of precipitation characteristics in this event on thresholds of particle evolution in the new parameterization.

On the Dependence of Winter Precipitation Types on Temperature, Precipitation Rate, and Associated Features

2010 ◽  
Vol 49 (7) ◽  
pp. 1429-1442 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julie M. Thériault ◽  
Ronald E. Stewart ◽  
William Henson
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Models ◽  
Winter Precipitation ◽  
Precipitation Rate ◽  
Temperature Profiles ◽  
Ice Storm ◽  
Microphysics Scheme ◽  
Vertical Temperature Profile ◽  
The North ◽  
Wet Snow ◽  
Research Aircraft

Abstract The phase of precipitation formed within the atmosphere is highly dependent on the vertical temperature profile through which it falls. In particular, several precipitation types can form in an environment with a melting layer aloft and a refreezing layer below. These precipitation types include freezing rain, ice pellets, wet snow, and slush. To examine the formation of such precipitation, a bulk microphysics scheme was used to compare the characteristics of the hydrometeors produced by the model and observed by a research aircraft flight during the 1998 ice storm near Montreal, Canada. The model reproduced several of the observed key precipitation characteristics. Sensitivity tests on the precipitation types formed during the ice storm were also performed. These tests utilized temperature profiles produced by the North American Regional Reanalysis. The results show that small variations (±0.5°C) in the temperature profiles as well as in the precipitation rate can have major impacts on the types of precipitation formed at the surface. These results impose strong requirements on the accuracy needed by prediction models.

scholarly journals Parameterization of the Bulk Liquid Fraction on Mixed-Phase Particles in the Predicted Particle Properties (P3) Scheme: Description and Idealized Simulations

2019 ◽  
Vol 76 (2) ◽  
pp. 561-582 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mélissa Cholette ◽  
Hugh Morrison ◽  
Jason A. Milbrandt ◽  
Julie M. Thériault
Keyword(s):  
Solid Phase ◽  
Liquid Fraction ◽  
Phase Changes ◽  
Mixed Phase ◽  
Bulk Liquid ◽  
Microphysics Scheme ◽  
Liquid Component ◽  
Particle Properties ◽  
Wet Snow ◽  
Snow And Ice

Abstract Bulk microphysics parameterizations that are used to represent clouds and precipitation usually allow only solid and liquid hydrometeors. Predicting the bulk liquid fraction on ice allows an explicit representation of mixed-phase particles and various precipitation types, such as wet snow and ice pellets. In this paper, an approach for the representation of the bulk liquid fraction into the predicted particle properties (P3) microphysics scheme is proposed and described. Solid-phase microphysical processes, such as melting and sublimation, have been modified to account for the liquid component. New processes, such as refreezing and condensation of the liquid portion of mixed-phase particles, have been added to the parameterization. Idealized simulations using a one-dimensional framework illustrate the overall behavior of the modified scheme. The proposed approach compares well to a Lagrangian benchmark model. Temperatures required for populations of ice crystals to melt completely also agree well with previous studies. The new processes of refreezing and condensation impact both the surface precipitation type and feedback between the temperature and the phase changes. Overall, prediction of the bulk liquid fraction allows an explicit description of new precipitation types, such as wet snow and ice pellets, and improves the representation of hydrometeor properties when the temperature is near 0°C.

On the Characteristics of and Processes Producing Winter Precipitation Types near 0°C

2015 ◽  
Vol 96 (4) ◽  
pp. 623-639 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ronald E. Stewart ◽  
Julie M. Thériault ◽  
William Henson
Keyword(s):  
Precipitation Amount ◽  
Winter Precipitation ◽  
Phase Changes ◽  
Wind Fields ◽  
Freezing Rain ◽  
Wet Snow ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
Precipitation Type ◽  
Background Temperature ◽  
The Many

Abstract This article examines the types of winter precipitation that occur near 0°C, specifically rain, freezing rain, freezing drizzle, ice pellets, snow pellets, and wet snow. It follows from a call by M. Ralph et al. for more attention to be paid to this precipitation since it represents one of the most serious wintertime quantitative precipitation forecasting (QPF) issues. The formation of the many precipitation types involves ice-phase and/or liquid-phase processes, and thresholds in the degree of melting and/or freezing often dictate the types occurring at the surface. Some types can occur simultaneously so that, for example, ensuing collisions between supercooled raindrops and ice pellets that form ice pellet aggregates can lead to substantial reductions in the occurrence of freezing rain at the surface, and ice crystal multiplication processes can lead to locally produced ice crystals in the subfreezing layer below inversions. Highly variable fall velocities within the background temperature and wind fields of precipitation-type transition regions lead to varying particle trajectories and significant alterations in the distribution of precipitation amount and type at the surface. Physically based predictions that account for at least some of the phase changes and particle interactions are now in operation. Outstanding issues to be addressed include the impacts of accretion on precipitation-type formation, quantification of melting and freezing rates of the highly variable precipitation, the consequences of collisions between the various types, and the onset of ice nucleation and its effects. The precipitation physics perspective of this article furthermore needs to be integrated into a comprehensive understanding involving the surrounding and interacting environment.

scholarly journals On the effects of vertical air velocity on winter precipitation types

2007 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 231-242 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. M. Thériault ◽  
R. E. Stewart
Keyword(s):  
Cloud Model ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Temperature Inversion ◽  
Winter Precipitation ◽  
Freezing Rain ◽  
Microphysics Scheme ◽  
Air Mass ◽  
Surface Precipitation ◽  
Wet Snow ◽  
Double Moment

Abstract. The various precipitation types formed within winter storms (such as snow, wet snow and freezing rain) often lead to very hazardous weather conditions. These types of precipitation often occur during the passage of a warm front as a warm air mass ascends over a cold air mass. To address this issue further, we used a one-dimensional kinematic cloud model to simulate this gentle ascent (≤10 cm/s) of warm air. The initial temperature profile has an above 0°C inversion, a lower subfreezing layer, and precipitation falls from above the temperature inversion. The cloud model is coupled to a double-moment microphysics scheme that simulates the production of various types of winter precipitation. The results are compared with those from a previous study carried out in still air. Based on the temporal evolution of surface precipitation, snow reaches the surface significantly faster than in still air whereas other precipitation types including freezing rain and ice pellets have a shorter duration. Overall, even weak background vertical ascent has an important impact on the precipitation reaching the surface, the time of the elimination of the melting layer, and also the evolution of the lower subfreezing layer.

A Polarimetric and Microphysical Investigation of the Northeast Blizzard of 8–9 February 2013

2014 ◽  
Vol 29 (6) ◽  
pp. 1271-1294 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erica M. Griffin ◽  
Terry J. Schuur ◽  
Alexander V. Ryzhkov ◽  
Heather D. Reeves ◽  
Joseph C. Picca
Keyword(s):  
New York ◽  
Transition Line ◽  
Model Output ◽  
Heavy Snowfall ◽  
Weather Event ◽  
Surface Precipitation ◽  
Wet Snow ◽  
Precipitation Type ◽  
Radar Measurements ◽  
Microphysical Processes

Abstract On 8–9 February 2013, the northeastern United States experienced a historic winter weather event ranking among the top five worst blizzards in the region. Heavy snowfall and blizzard conditions occurred from northern New Jersey, inland to New York, and northward through Maine. Storm-total snow accumulations of 30–61 cm were common, with maximum accumulations up to 102 cm and snowfall rates exceeding 15 cm h−1. Dual-polarization radar measurements collected for this winter event provide valuable insights into storm microphysical processes. In this study, polarimetric data from the Weather Surveillance Radar-1988 Doppler (WSR-88D) in Upton, New York (KOKX), are investigated alongside thermodynamic analyses from the 13-km Rapid Refresh model and surface precipitation type observations from both Meteorological Phenomena Identification Near the Ground (mPING) and the National Weather Service (NWS) Forecast Office in Upton, New York, for interpretation of polarimetric signatures. The storm exhibited unique polarimetric signatures, some of which have never before been documented for a winter system. Reflectivity values were unusually large, reaching magnitudes >50 dBZ in shallow regions of heavy wet snow near the surface. The 0°C transition line was exceptionally distinct in the polarimetric imagery, providing detail that was often unmatched by the numerical model output. Other features include differential attenuation of magnitudes typical of melting hail, depolarization streaks that provide evidence of electrification, nonuniform beamfilling, a “snow flare” signature, and localized downward excursions of the melting-layer bright band collocated with observed transitions in surface precipitation types. In agreement with previous studies, widespread elevated depositional growth layers, located at temperatures near the model-predicted −15°C isotherm, appear to be correlated with increased snowfall and large reflectivity factors ZH near the surface.

scholarly journals Assessment of Near 0 °C Temperature and Precipitation Characteristics across Canada

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eva Mekis ◽  
Ronald E. Stewart ◽  
Julie M. Theriault ◽  
Bohdan Kochtubajda ◽  
Barrie R. Bonsal ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Annual Number ◽  
Temperature Threshold ◽  
Freezing Rain ◽  
Climatic Regions ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
Precipitation Characteristics ◽  
Wet Snow ◽  
Wide Perspective ◽  
Precipitation Type

Abstract. The 0 °C temperature threshold is critical to many meteorological and hydrological processes driven by melting and freezing in the atmosphere, surface and sub-surface and by the associated precipitation varying between rain, freezing rain, wet snow and snow. This threshold, linked with freeze-thaw, is especially important in cold regions such as Canada. This study develops a Canada-wide perspective on near 0 °C conditions with a particular focus on the occurrence of its associated precipitation. Since this analysis requires hourly values of surface temperature and precipitation type observations, it was limited to 92 stations over the 1981–2011 period. In addition, nine stations representative of various climatic regions are selected for further analysis. Near 0 °C conditions are defined as periods when the surface temperature is between −2 °C and 2 °C. Near 0 °C conditions occur often across all regions of the country although the annual number of days and hours and the duration of these events varies dramatically. Various forms of precipitation (including rain, freezing rain, wet snow and ice pellets) are sometimes linked with these temperatures with highest fractions tending to occur in Atlantic Canada. Trends of most temperature-based and precipitation-based indicators show little or no change despite a systematic warming in annual temperatures. Over the annual cycle, near 0 °C temperatures and precipitation often exhibit a pattern with short durations near summer driven by the diurnal cycle, while longer durations tend to occur more towards winter associated with storms. There is also a tendency for near 0 °C temperatures to occur more often than expected relative to other temperature windows; due at least in part to diabatic cooling and heating occurring with melting and freezing, respectively, in the atmosphere and at the surface.

Insights into the Evolving Microphysical and Kinematic Structure of Northeastern U.S. Winter Storms from Dual-Polarization Doppler Radar

2017 ◽  
Vol 145 (3) ◽  
pp. 1033-1061 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew R. Kumjian ◽  
Kelly A. Lombardo
Keyword(s):  
Doppler Radar ◽  
Elevation Angle ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Added Value ◽  
Dual Polarization ◽  
Differential Phase Shift ◽  
Winter Storms ◽  
Microphysical Processes ◽  
Ice Production

The recent Weather Surveillance Radar-1988 Doppler (WSR-88D) network upgrade to dual-polarization capabilities allows for bulk characterization of microphysical processes in northeastern U.S. winter storms for the first time. In this study, the quasi-vertical profile (QVP) technique (wherein data from a given elevation angle scan are azimuthally averaged and the range coordinate is converted to height) is extended and applied to polarimetric WSR-88D observations of six Northeast winter storms to survey their evolving, bulk vertical microphysical and kinematic structures. These analyses are supplemented using hourly analyses from the Rapid Refresh (RAP) model. Regions of ascent inferred from QVPs were consistently associated with notable polarimetric signatures, implying planar crystal growth when near −15°C, and riming and secondary ice production at higher temperatures. The heaviest snowfall occurred most often when ascent and enhanced propagation differential phase shift ([Formula: see text]) occurred near −15°C. When available, limited surface observations confirmed heavy snowfall rates and revealed large snow-to-liquid ratios at these times. Other cases revealed sudden, large melting-layer excursions associated with precipitation-type transitions near the surface. RAP analyses failed to capture such complex evolution, demonstrating the added value of dual-polarization radar observations in these scenarios and the potential use of radar data for assessing model performance in real time. These insights are a preliminary step toward better understanding the complex processes in northeastern U.S. winter storms.

A Stochastic Parameter Perturbation Method to Represent Uncertainty in a Microphysics Scheme

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gregory Thompson ◽  
Judith Berner ◽  
Maria Frediani ◽  
Jason A. Otkin ◽  
Sarah M. Griffin
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Random Perturbation ◽  
Longwave Radiation ◽  
Parameter Uncertainties ◽  
Microphysics Scheme ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Temporal Correlations ◽  
Precipitation Characteristics ◽  
The Impact

AbstractCurrent state-of-the art regional numerical weather forecasts are run at horizontal grid spacings of a few kilometers, which permits medium to large-scale convective systems to be represented explicitly in the model. With the convection parameterization no longer active, much uncertainty in the formulation of subgrid-scale processes moves to other areas such as the cloud microphysical, turbulence, and land-surface parameterizations. The goal of this study is to investigate experiments with stochastically-perturbed parameters (SPP) within a microphysics parameterization and the model’s horizontal diffusion coefficients. To estimate the “true” uncertainty due to parameter uncertainty, the magnitudes of the perturbations are chosen as realistic as possible and not with purposeful intent of maximal forecast impact as some prior work has done. Spatial inhomogeneities and temporal persistence are represented using a random perturbation pattern with spatial and temporal correlations. The impact on the distributions of various hydrometeors, precipitation characteristics, and solar/longwave radiation are quantified for a winter and summer case. In terms of upscale error growth, the impact is relatively small and consists primarily of triggering atmospheric instabilities in convectively unstable regions. In addition, small in situ changes with potentially large socio-economic impacts are observed in the precipitation characteristics such as maximum hail size. Albeit the impact of introducing physically-based parameter uncertainties within the bounds of aerosol uncertainties is small, their influence on the solar and longwave radiation balances may still have important implications for global model simulations of future climate scenarios.

The Impact of Mixed-Phase Microphysical Processes on the Turbulence in Low-level Clouds in the Arctic

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan Chylik ◽  
Roel Neggers
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Weather Forecast ◽  
Mixed Phase ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Contributing Factors ◽  
Microphysics Scheme ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Microphysical Processes ◽  
The Impact

<p>The proper representation of Arctic mixed-phased clouds remains a challenge in both weather forecast and climate models. Amongst the contributing factors is the complexity of turbulent properties of clouds. While the effect of evaporating hydrometeors on turbulent properties of the boundary layer has been identified in other latitudes, the extent of similar studies in the Arctic has been so far limited.</p><p>Our study focus on the impact of heat release from mixed-phase microphysical processes on the turbulent properties of the convective low-level clouds in the Arctic. We  employ high-resolution simulations, properly constrained by relevant measurements.<br>Semi-idealised model cases are based on convective clouds observed during the recent campaign in the Arctic: ACLOUD, which took place May--June 2017 over Fram Strait. The simulations are performed in Dutch Atmospheric Large Eddy Simulation (DALES) with double-moment mixed-phase microphysics scheme of Seifert & Beheng.</p><p>The results indicate an enhancement of boundary layer turbulence is some convective regimes.<br>Furthermore, results are sensitive to aerosols concentrations. Additional implications for the role of mixed-phase clouds in the Arctic Amplification will be discussed.</p>

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document