scholarly journals Quantitative Precipitation Estimation of the Epic 2013 Colorado Flood Event: Polarization Radar-Based Variational Scheme

2016 ◽  
Vol 55 (7) ◽  
pp. 1477-1495 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei-Yu Chang ◽  
Jothiram Vivekanandan ◽  
Kyoko Ikeda ◽  
Pay-Liam Lin
Keyword(s):  
Power Law ◽  
Rain Rate ◽  
Flood Event ◽  
Polarimetric Radar ◽  
Dual Polarization ◽  
Observational Error ◽  
Quantitative Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Radar Measurements ◽  
Event Based

AbstractThe accuracy of rain-rate estimation using polarimetric radar measurements has been improved as a result of better characterization of radar measurement quality and rain microphysics. In the literature, a variety of power-law relations between polarimetric radar measurements and rain rate are described because of the dynamic or varying nature of rain microphysics. A variational technique that concurrently takes into account radar observational error and dynamically varying rain microphysics is proposed in this study. Rain-rate estimation using the variational algorithm that uses event-based observational error and background rain climatological values is evaluated using observing system simulation experiments (OSSE), and its performance is demonstrated in the case of an epic Colorado flood event. The rain event occurred between 11 and 12 September 2013. The results from OSSE show that the variational algorithm with event-based observational error consistently estimates more accurate rain rate than does the “R(ZHH, ZDR)” power-law algorithm. On the contrary, the usage of ad hoc or improper observational error degrades the performance of the variational method. Furthermore, the variational algorithm is less sensitive to the observational error of differential reflectivity ZDR than is the R(ZHH, ZDR) algorithm. The variational quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) retrieved more accurate rainfall estimation than did the power-law dual-polarization QPE in this particular event, despite the fact that both algorithms used the same dual-polarization radar measurements from the Next Generation Weather Radar (NEXRAD).

scholarly journals Deep Learning for Polarimetric Radar Quantitative Precipitation Estimation during Landfalling Typhoons in South China

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (16) ◽  
pp. 3157
Author(s):  
Yonghua Zhang ◽  
Shuoben Bi ◽  
Liping Liu ◽  
Haonan Chen ◽  
Yi Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
South China ◽  
Rainfall Intensity ◽  
Spatiotemporal Variability ◽  
Polarimetric Radar ◽  
Dual Polarization ◽  
Radar Observations ◽  
Quantitative Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Hourly Rainfall ◽  
Precipitation Estimation

Heavy rain associated with landfalling typhoons often leads to disasters in South China, which can be reduced by improving the accuracy of radar quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE). At present, raindrop size distribution (DSD)-based nonlinear fitting (QPEDSD) and traditional neural networks are the main radar QPE algorithms. The former is not sufficient to represent the spatiotemporal variability of DSDs through the generalized Z–R or polarimetric radar rainfall relations that are established using statistical methods since such parametric methods do not consider the spatial distribution of radar observables, and the latter is limited by the number of network layers and availability of data for training the model. In this paper, we propose an alternative approach to dual-polarization radar QPE based on deep learning (QPENet). Three datasets of “dual-polarization radar observations—surface rainfall (DPO—SR)” were constructed using radar observations and corresponding measurements from automatic weather stations (AWS) and used for QPENetV1, QPENetV2, and QPENetV3. In particular, 13 × 13, 25 × 25, and 41 × 41 radar range bins surrounding each AWS location were used in constructing the datasets for QPENetV1, QPENetV2, and QPENetV3, respectively. For training the QPENet models, the radar data and AWS measurements from eleven landfalling typhoons in South China during 2017–2019 were used. For demonstration, an independent typhoon event was randomly selected (i.e., Merbok) to implement the three trained models to produce rainfall estimates. The evaluation results and comparison with traditional QPEDSD algorithms show that the QPENet model has a better performance than the traditional parametric relations. Only when the hourly rainfall intensity is less than 5 mm (R < 5 mm·h−1), the QPEDSD model shows a comparable performance to QPENet. Comparing the three versions of the QPENet model, QPENetV2 has the best overall performance. Only when the hourly rainfall intensity is less than 5 mm (R < 5 mm·h−1), QPENetV3 performs the best.

scholarly journals Quantification of Precipitation Using Polarimetric Radar Measurements during Several Typhoon Events in Southern China

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 2058
Author(s):  
Qiulei Xia ◽  
Wenjuan Zhang ◽  
Haonan Chen ◽  
Wen-Chau Lee ◽  
Lei Han ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern China ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Polarimetric Radar ◽  
Dual Polarization ◽  
Radar Rainfall ◽  
Flood Warning ◽  
Microphysical Properties ◽  
Raindrop Size Distribution ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Radar Measurements

Accurate quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) during typhoon events is critical for flood warning and emergency management. Dual-polarization radar has proven to have better performance for QPE, compared to traditional single-polarization radar. However, polarimetric radar applications have not been extensively investigated in China, especially during extreme events such as typhoons, since the operational dual-polarization system upgrade only happened recently. This paper extends a polarimetric radar rainfall system for local applications during typhoons in southern China and conducts comprehensive studies about QPE and precipitation microphysics. Observations from S-band dual-polarization radar in Guangdong Province during three typhoon events in 2017 are examined to demonstrate the enhanced radar rainfall performance. The microphysical properties of hydrometeors during typhoon events are analyzed through raindrop size distribution (DSD) data and polarimetric radar measurements. The stratiform precipitation in typhoons presents lower mean raindrop diameter and lower raindrop concentration than that of the convection precipitation. The rainfall estimates from the adapted radar rainfall algorithm agree well with rainfall measurements from rain gauges. Using the rain gauge data as references, the maximum normalized mean bias ( N M B ) of the adapted radar rainfall algorithm is 20.27%; the normalized standard error ( N S E ) is less than 40%; and the Pearson’s correlation coefficient ( C C ) is higher than 0.92. For the three typhoon events combined, the N S E and N M B are 36.66% and -15.78%, respectively. Compared with several conventional radar rainfall algorithms, the adapted algorithm based on local rainfall microphysics has the best performance in southern China.

scholarly journals Quantitative Precipitation Estimation with Operational Polarimetric Radar Measurements in Southern China: A Differential Phase–Based Variational Approach

2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (6) ◽  
pp. 1253-1271 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hao Huang ◽  
Kun Zhao ◽  
Guifu Zhang ◽  
Qing Lin ◽  
Long Wen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Variational Approach ◽  
Southern China ◽  
A Priori ◽  
Polarimetric Radar ◽  
Random Errors ◽  
Differential Phase ◽  
Quantitative Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Radar Measurements ◽  
The Impact

AbstractQuantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) with polarimetric radar measurements suffers from different sources of uncertainty. The variational approach appears to be a promising way to optimize the radar QPE statistically. In this study a variational approach is developed to quantitatively estimate the rainfall rate (R) from the differential phase (ΦDP). A spline filter is utilized in the optimization procedures to eliminate the impact of the random errors in ΦDP, which can be a major source of error in the specific differential phase (KDP)-based QPE. In addition, R estimated from the horizontal reflectivity factor (ZH) is used in the a priori with the error covariance matrix statistically determined. The approach is evaluated by an idealized case and multiple real rainfall cases observed by an operational S-band polarimetric radar in southern China. The comparative results demonstrate that with a proper range filter, the proposed variational radar QPE with the a priori included agrees well with the rain gauge measurements and proves to have better performance than the other three approaches, that is, the proposed variational approach without the a priori included, the variational approach proposed by Hogan, and the conventional power-law estimator-based approach.

scholarly journals Uncertainty in Retrieving Raindrop Size Distribution from Polarimetric Radar Measurements

2019 ◽  
Vol 36 (4) ◽  
pp. 585-605 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hao Huang ◽  
Guifu Zhang ◽  
Kun Zhao ◽  
Su Liu ◽  
Long Wen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Size Distribution ◽  
Measurement Errors ◽  
Distribution Model ◽  
Fundamental Parameter ◽  
Polarimetric Radar ◽  
Quantitative Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Raindrop Size Distribution ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Radar Measurements ◽  
Raindrop Size

AbstractDrop size distribution (DSD) is a fundamental parameter in rain microphysics. Retrieving DSDs from polarimetric radar measurements extends the capabilities of rain microphysics research and quantitative precipitation estimation. In this study, issues in rain DSD retrieval were studied with simulated and measured data. It was found that a three-parameter gamma distribution model was not suitable for directly retrieving DSD from polarimetric radar measurements. A statistical constraint, such as the shape–slope relation used in the constrained-gamma (C-G) distribution model, helped to reduce the uncertainties and errors in the retrieval. The inclusion of specific differential phase (KDP) measurements resulted in more accurate DSD retrieval and rain physical parameter estimation if the measurement errors were properly characterized in the error minimization analysis (EMA), which was verified using two real precipitation events. The study demonstrated the potential of using full polarimetric radar measurements to improve rain DSD retrieval.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Gamma Raindrop Size Distribution Assumption through Comparison of Rain Rates of Measured and Radar-Equivalent Gamma DSD

2014 ◽  
Vol 53 (6) ◽  
pp. 1618-1635 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elisa Adirosi ◽  
Eugenio Gorgucci ◽  
Luca Baldini ◽  
Ali Tokay
Keyword(s):  
Size Distribution ◽  
Drop Size ◽  
Rain Rate ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Drop Size Distribution ◽  
Dual Polarization ◽  
Raindrop Size Distribution ◽  
Radar Measurements ◽  
Raindrop Size ◽  
Rain Rates

AbstractTo date, one of the most widely used parametric forms for modeling raindrop size distribution (DSD) is the three-parameter gamma. The aim of this paper is to analyze the error of assuming such parametric form to model the natural DSDs. To achieve this goal, a methodology is set up to compare the rain rate obtained from a disdrometer-measured drop size distribution with the rain rate of a gamma drop size distribution that produces the same triplets of dual-polarization radar measurements, namely reflectivity factor, differential reflectivity, and specific differential phase shift. In such a way, any differences between the values of the two rain rates will provide information about how well the gamma distribution fits the measured precipitation. The difference between rain rates is analyzed in terms of normalized standard error and normalized bias using different radar frequencies, drop shape–size relations, and disdrometer integration time. The study is performed using four datasets of DSDs collected by two-dimensional video disdrometers deployed in Huntsville (Alabama) and in three different prelaunch campaigns of the NASA–Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) ground validation program including the Hydrological Cycle in Mediterranean Experiment (HyMeX) special observation period (SOP) 1 field campaign in Rome. The results show that differences in rain rates of the disdrometer DSD and the gamma DSD determining the same dual-polarization radar measurements exist and exceed those related to the methodology itself and to the disdrometer sampling error, supporting the finding that there is an error associated with the gamma DSD assumption.

scholarly journals Analysis of Dual-Polarimetric Radar Variables and Quantitative Precipitation Estimators for Landfall Typhoons and Squall Lines Based on Disdrometer Data in Southern China

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 30 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yonghua Zhang ◽  
Liping Liu ◽  
Shuoben Bi ◽  
Zhifang Wu ◽  
Ping Shen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Drop Size ◽  
Southern China ◽  
Average Diameter ◽  
Squall Line ◽  
Polarimetric Radar ◽  
Quantitative Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Squall Lines ◽  
Fitting Method ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Differential Reflectivity

Typhoon rainstorms often cause disasters in southern China. Quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) with the use of polarimetric radar can improve the accuracy of precipitation estimation and enhance typhoon defense ability. On the basis of the observed drop size distribution (DSD) of raindrops, a comparison is conducted among the DSD parameters and the polarimetric radar observation retrieved from DSD in five typhoon and three squall line events that occurred in southern China from 2016 to 2017. A new piecewise fitting method (PFM) is used to develop the QPE estimators for landfall typhoons and squall lines. The performance of QPE is evaluated by two fitting methods for two precipitation types using DSD data collected. Findings indicate that the number concentration of raindrops in typhoon precipitation is large and the average diameter is small, while the raindrops in squall line rain have opposite characteristics. The differential reflectivity (ZDR) and specific differential phase (KDP) in these two precipitation types increase slowly with the reflectivity factor (ZH), whereas the two precipitation types have different ZDR and KDP in the same ZH. Thus, it is critical to fit the rainfall estimator for different precipitation types. Enhanced estimation can be obtained using the estimators for specific precipitation types, whether the estimators are derived from the conventional fitting method (CFM) or PFM, and the estimators fitted using the PFM can produce better results. The estimators for the developed polarimetric radar can be used in operational QPE and quantitative precipitation foresting, and they can improve disaster defense against typhoons and heavy rains.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document