Modulation of the Diurnal Cycle of Warm-Season Precipitation by Short-Wave Troughs

2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (6) ◽  
pp. 1710-1726 ◽  
Author(s):  
John D. Tuttle ◽  
Chris A. Davis
Keyword(s):  
Diurnal Cycle ◽  
North American ◽  
Phase Speed ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Short Wave ◽  
Short Waves ◽  
The North ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Regional Reanalysis ◽  
Wave Passage

Abstract Traveling deep tropospheric disturbances of wavelengths ~1500 km (short waves) have long been known to play an important role in the initiation and maintenance of warm-season convection. To date, relatively few studies have formally documented the climatology of short waves and their relationship to the diurnal heating cycle, the topography, and the diurnal cycle of precipitation. Those that did had to rely on low-resolution global analyses and often could not track short waves across mountain barriers. In this study, 10 yr of the (32 km) NCEP North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) are used to objectively identify and track short waves in the North American domain. Statistics of short-wave span, duration, phase speed, latitudinal extent, and locations of preferred intensification/decay are presented. Some of the key findings from the climatology include that the lee (windward) of mountain barriers are preferred regions of intensification (decay) and short waves show little evidence of a diurnal cycle and can pass a given point at any time of the day. The second part of the study focuses on the role that short waves play in modulating the diurnal cycle of propagating convection east of the Rocky Mountains. Depending on the timing of short-wave passage, short waves may either significantly enhance the precipitation above the mean or completely disrupt the normal diurnal cycle, causing precipitation to develop at times and locations where it normally does not. While short waves play an important role in modulating the mean precipitation patterns their role is considered to be secondary in nature. The diurnal precipitation signature is prominent even when short waves are not present.

scholarly journals The Relationship of Transient Upper-Level Troughs to Variability of the North American Monsoon System

2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (15) ◽  
pp. 4213-4227 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen W. Bieda ◽  
Christopher L. Castro ◽  
Steven L. Mullen ◽  
Andrew C. Comrie ◽  
Erik Pytlak
Keyword(s):  
Diurnal Cycle ◽  
North American ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Early Summer ◽  
North American Monsoon ◽  
The North ◽  
Sst Variability ◽  
Upper Level ◽  
Regional Reanalysis

Abstract Relationships between transient upper-tropospheric troughs and warm season convective activity over the southwest United States and northern Mexico are explored. Analysis of geopotential height and vorticity fields from the North American Regional Reanalysis and cloud-to-ground lightning data indicates that the passage of mobile inverted troughs (IVs) significantly enhances convection when it coincides with the peak diurnal cycle (1800–0900 UTC) over the North American monsoon (NAM) region. The preferred tracks of IVs during early summer are related to the dominant modes of Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) variability. When La Niña–like (El Niño–like) conditions prevail in the tropical Pacific and the eastern North Pacific has a horseshoe-shaped negative (positive) SST anomaly, IVs preferentially track farther north (south) and are slightly (typically one IV) more (less) numerous. These results point to the important role that synoptic-scale disturbances play in modulating the diurnal cycle of precipitation over the NAM region and the significant impact that the statistically supported low-frequency Pacific SST anomalies exert on the occurrence and track of these synoptic transients.

scholarly journals Wind speed variability between 10 and 116 m height from the regional reanalysis COSMO-REA6 compared to wind mast measurements over Northern Germany and the Netherlands

2016 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
pp. 151-161 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Borsche ◽  
Andrea K. Kaiser-Weiss ◽  
Frank Kaspar
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
The Netherlands ◽  
Diurnal Cycle ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Wind Fields ◽  
Northern Germany ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
The North ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Regional Reanalysis

Abstract. Hourly and monthly mean wind speed and wind speed variability from the regional reanalysis COSMO-REA6 is analysed in the range of 10 to 116 m height above ground. Comparisons with independent wind mast measurements performed between 2001 and 2010 over Northern Germany over land (Lindenberg), the North Sea (FINO platforms), and The Netherlands (Cabauw) show that the COSMO-REA6 wind fields are realistic and at least as close to the measurements as the global atmospheric reanalyses (ERA20C and ERA-Interim) on the monthly scale. The median wind profiles of the reanalyses were found to be consistent with the observed ones. The mean annual cycles of variability are generally reproduced from 10 up to 116 m in the investigated reanalyses. The mean diurnal cycle is represented qualitatively near the ground by the reanalyses. At 100 m height, there is little diurnal cycle left in the global and regional reanalyses, though a diurnal cycle is still present in the measurements over land. Correlation coefficients between monthly means of the observations and the reanalyses range between 0.92 at 10 m and 0.99 at 116 m, with a slightly higher correlation of the regional reanalyses at Lindenberg at 10 m height which is significant only at a lower than 95 % significance level. Correlations of daily means tend to be higher for the regional reanalysis COSMO-REA6. Increasing temporal resolution further, reduces this advantage of the regional reanalysis. At around 100 m, ERA-Interim yields a higher correlation at Lindenberg and Cabauw, whereas COSMO-REA6 yields a higher correlation at FINO1 and FINO2.

scholarly journals The Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation over the North American Monsoon Region during the NAME 2004 Field Campaign

2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 771-787 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emily J. Becker ◽  
Ernesto Hugo Berbery
Keyword(s):  
Diurnal Cycle ◽  
North American ◽  
Gulf Of California ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Moisture Flux ◽  
North American Monsoon ◽  
The Core ◽  
The North ◽  
Eta Model ◽  
Diurnal Cycle Of Precipitation

Abstract The structure of the diurnal cycle of warm-season precipitation and its associated fields during the North American monsoon are examined for the core monsoon region and for the southwestern United States, using a diverse set of observations, analyses, and forecasts from the North American Monsoon Experiment field campaign of 2004. Included are rain gauge and satellite estimates of precipitation, Eta Model forecasts, and the North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR). Daily rain rates are of about the same magnitude in all datasets with the exception of the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) Morphing (CMORPH) technique, which exhibits markedly higher precipitation values. The diurnal cycle of precipitation within the core region occurs earlier in the day at higher topographic elevations, evolving with a westward shift of the maximum. This shift appears in the observations, reanalysis, and, while less pronounced, in the model forecasts. Examination of some of the fields associated with this cycle, including convective available potential energy (CAPE), convective inhibition (CIN), and moisture flux convergence (MFC), reveals that the westward shift appears in all of them, but more prominently in the latter. In general, warm-season precipitation in southern Arizona and parts of New Mexico shows a strong effect due to northward moisture surges from the Gulf of California. A reported positive bias in the NARR northward winds over the Gulf of California limits their use with confidence for studies of the moist surges along the Gulf; thus, the analysis is complemented with operational analysis and the Eta Model short-term simulations. The nonsurge diurnal cycle of precipitation lags the CAPE maximum by 6 h and is simultaneous with a minimum of CIN, while the moisture flux remains divergent throughout the day. During surges, CAPE and CIN have modifications only to the amplitude of their cycles, but the moisture flux becomes strongly convergent about 6 h before the precipitation maximum, suggesting a stronger role in the development of precipitation.

A Brief Evaluation of Precipitation from the North American Regional Reanalysis

2007 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 837-846 ◽  
Author(s):  
Melissa S. Bukovsky ◽  
David J. Karoly
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
Diurnal Cycle ◽  
Annual Cycle ◽  
North American ◽  
The United States ◽  
The Other ◽  
The North ◽  
North American Regional Reanalysis ◽  
Regional Reanalysis

Abstract Several aspects of the precipitation climatology from the North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) are analyzed and compared with two other reanalyses and one set of gridded observations over a domain encompassing the United States. The spatial distribution, diurnal cycle, and annual cycle of precipitation are explored to establish the reliability of the reanalyses and to judge their usefulness. While the NARR provides a much improved representation of precipitation over that of the other reanalyses examined, some inaccuracies are found and have been highlighted as a warning to potential users of the data.

Sensitivity to Horizontal Resolution in the AGCM Simulations of Warm Season Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation over the United States and Northern Mexico

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (9) ◽  
pp. 1862-1881 ◽  
Author(s):  
Myong-In Lee ◽  
Siegfried D. Schubert ◽  
Max J. Suarez ◽  
Isaac M. Held ◽  
Arun Kumar ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Great Plains ◽  
Diurnal Cycle ◽  
North American ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
The United States ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Moist Convection ◽  
The North ◽  
Diurnal Cycle Of Precipitation

Abstract This study examines the sensitivity of the North American warm season diurnal cycle of precipitation to changes in horizontal resolution in three atmospheric general circulation models, with a primary focus on how the parameterized moist processes respond to improved resolution of topography and associated local/regional circulations on the diurnal time scale. It is found that increasing resolution (from approximately 2° to ½° in latitude–longitude) has a mixed impact on the simulated diurnal cycle of precipitation. Higher resolution generally improves the initiation and downslope propagation of moist convection over the Rockies and the adjacent Great Plains. The propagating signals, however, do not extend beyond the slope region, thereby likely contributing to a dry bias in the Great Plains. Similar improvements in the propagating signals are also found in the diurnal cycle over the North American monsoon region as the models begin to resolve the Gulf of California and the surrounding steep terrain. In general, the phase of the diurnal cycle of precipitation improves with increasing resolution, though not always monotonically. Nevertheless, large errors in both the phase and amplitude of the diurnal cycle in precipitation remain even at the highest resolution considered here. These errors tend to be associated with unrealistically strong coupling of the convection to the surface heating and suggest that improved simulations of the diurnal cycle of precipitation require further improvements in the parameterizations of moist convection processes.

Spurious Grid-Scale Precipitation in the North American Regional Reanalysis

2007 ◽  
Vol 135 (6) ◽  
pp. 2168-2184 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gregory L. West ◽  
W. James Steenburgh ◽  
William Y. Y. Cheng
Keyword(s):  
North American ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Climate Data ◽  
The North ◽  
North American Regional Reanalysis ◽  
Upper Level ◽  
Regional Reanalysis

Abstract Spurious grid-scale precipitation (SGSP) occurs in many mesoscale numerical weather prediction models when the simulated atmosphere becomes convectively unstable and the convective parameterization fails to relieve the instability. Case studies presented in this paper illustrate that SGSP events are also found in the North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) and are accompanied by excessive maxima in grid-scale precipitation, vertical velocity, moisture variables (e.g., relative humidity and precipitable water), mid- and upper-level equivalent potential temperature, and mid- and upper-level absolute vorticity. SGSP events in environments favorable for high-based convection can also feature low-level cold pools and sea level pressure maxima. Prior to 2003, retrospectively generated NARR analyses feature an average of approximately 370 SGSP events annually. Beginning in 2003, however, NARR analyses are generated in near–real time by the Regional Climate Data Assimilation System (R-CDAS), which is identical to the retrospective NARR analysis system except for the input precipitation and ice cover datasets. Analyses produced by the R-CDAS feature a substantially larger number of SGSP events with more than 4000 occurring in the original 2003 analyses. An oceanic precipitation data processing error, which resulted in a reprocessing of NARR analyses from 2003 to 2005, only partially explains this increase since the reprocessed analyses still produce approximately 2000 SGSP events annually. These results suggest that many NARR SGSP events are not produced by shortcomings in the underlying Eta Model, but by the specification of anomalous latent heating when there is a strong mismatch between modeled and assimilated precipitation. NARR users should ensure that they are using the reprocessed NARR analyses from 2003 to 2005 and consider the possible influence of SGSP on their findings, particularly after the transition to the R-CDAS.

Trends and Variability of North American Cool-Season Extratropical Cyclones: 1979–2019

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Fritzen ◽  
Victoria Lang ◽  
Vittorio A. Gensini
Keyword(s):  
North American ◽  
Research Question ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Extratropical Cyclones ◽  
Mountain Range ◽  
Cool Season ◽  
The North ◽  
Primary Driver ◽  
Regional Reanalysis ◽  
Log Linear

AbstractExtratropical cyclones are the primary driver of sensible weather conditions across the mid-latitudes of North America, often generating various types of precipitation, gusty non-convective winds, and severe convective storms throughout portions of the annual cycle. Given ongoing modifications of the zonal atmospheric thermal gradient due to anthropogenic forcing, analyzing the historical characteristics of these systems presents an important research question. Using the North American Regional Reanalysis, boreal cool-season (October–April) extratropical cyclones for the period 1979–2019 were identified, tracked, and classified based on their genesis location. Additionally, bomb cyclones—extratropical cyclones that recorded a latitude normalized pressure fall of 24 hPa in 24-hr—were identified and stratified for additional analysis. Cyclone lifespan across the domain exhibits a log-linear relationship, with 99% of all cyclones tracked lasting less than 8 days. On average, ≈ 270 cyclones were tracked across the analysis domain per year, with an average of ≈ 18 year−1 being classified as bomb cyclones. The average number of cyclones in the analysis domain has decreased in the last 20 years from 290 year−1 during the period 1979–1999 to 250 year−1 during the period 2000–2019. Spatially, decreasing trends in the frequency of cyclone track counts were noted across a majority of the analysis domain, with the most significant decreases found in Canada’s Northwest Territories, Colorado, and east of the Graah mountain range. No significant interannual or spatial trends were noted with bomb cyclone frequency.

scholarly journals North American Supercell Environments in Atmospheric Reanalyses and RUC-2

2019 ◽  
Vol 58 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-92 ◽  
Author(s):  
Austin T. King ◽  
Aaron D. Kennedy
Keyword(s):  
North American ◽  
Grid Point ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Kinematic Parameters ◽  
The North ◽  
Composite Parameter ◽  
Analysis Package ◽  
North American Regional Reanalysis ◽  
Regional Reanalysis ◽  
Effective Layer

AbstractA suite of modern atmospheric reanalyses is analyzed to determine how they represent North American supercell environments. This analysis is performed by comparing a database of Rapid Update Cycle (RUC-2) proximity soundings with profiles derived from the nearest grid point in each reanalysis. Parameters are calculated using the Sounding and Hodograph Analysis and Research Program in Python (SHARPpy), an open-source Python sounding-analysis package. Representation of supercell environments varies across the reanalyses, and the results have ramifications for climatological studies that use these datasets. In particular, thermodynamic parameters such as the convective available potential energy (CAPE) show the widest range in biases, with reanalyses falling into two camps. The North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) and the Japanese 55-year Reanalysis (JRA-55) are similar to RUC-2, but other reanalyses have a substantial negative bias. The reasons for these biases vary and range from thermodynamic biases at the surface to evidence of convective contamination. Overall, it is found that thermodynamic biases feed back to other convective parameters that incorporate CAPE directly or indirectly via the effective layer. As a result, significant negative biases are found for indices such as the supercell composite parameter. These biases are smallest for NARR and JRA-55. Kinematic parameters are more consistent across the reanalyses. Given the issues with thermodynamic properties, better segregation of soundings by storm type is found for fixed-layer parameters than for effective-layer shear parameters. Although no reanalysis can exactly reproduce the results of earlier RUC-2 studies, many of the reanalyses can broadly distinguish between environments that are significantly tornadic versus nontornadic.

scholarly journals Relationship Among Breeding, Molting, and Wintering Areas of Male Barrow's Goldeneyes (Bucephala Islandica) in Eastern North America

The Auk ◽  
2002 ◽  
Vol 119 (3) ◽  
pp. 676-684 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michel Robert ◽  
Réjean Benoit ◽  
Jean-Pierre L. Savard
Keyword(s):  
North American ◽  
River Estuary ◽  
North American Population ◽  
American Population ◽  
Adult Males ◽  
Breeding Area ◽  
The North ◽  
Bucephala Islandica ◽  
The Mean ◽  
St Lawrence River

Abstract Little is known of the eastern North American population of Barrow's Goldeneyes (Bucephala islandica), which was recently listed as “of special concern” in Canada. In 1998 and 1999, we marked 18 adult males wintering along the St. Lawrence River, Québec, with satellite transmitters to document their breeding, molting, and wintering distribution and phenology, and to describe timing and routes of their spring, molt, and fall migrations. Thirteen males moved inland from the St. Lawrence River to breed; the spring migration averaged 5.9 days, and birds arrived on breeding areas on average 9 May. All breeding areas were inland, on the north shore of the St. Lawrence River estuary and gulf. Breeding areas averaged 64.8 km from the St. Lawrence corridor. Males stayed on their respective breeding area a mean of 34.5 days, and left on average 11 June. Twelve males were tracked to their molting areas, one of which stayed on its wintering area until 5 June and flew directly to its molting area. Their molt migration averaged 18.6 days, and the mean arrival date on molting areas was 30 June. All molting areas were located north and averaged 986 km from breeding areas. Four males molted in Hudson Bay, four in Ungava Bay, two in northern Labrador, one on Baffin Island, and one inland, near the Québec–Labrador border. The mean length of stay on the molting areas was 105.3 days, and the mean date of departure from molting areas was 4 October. All goldeneyes for which the radio still functioned during fall migration returned to winter in the St. Lawrence River estuary, on average 6 November. Our results refute the idea that the main breeding area of the eastern North American population of Barrow's Goldeneyes is located in northern Québec and Labrador and rather indicate that it is in the boreal forest just north of the St. Lawrence River estuary and gulf. They also indicate that Barrow's Goldeneye males undertake a genuine molt migration, and highlight the importance of molting areas because birds stayed there approximately four months each year.

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