scholarly journals A Model for the Complete Radial Structure of the Tropical Cyclone Wind Field. Part I: Comparison with Observed Structure*

2015 ◽  
Vol 72 (9) ◽  
pp. 3647-3662 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel R. Chavas ◽  
Ning Lin ◽  
Kerry Emanuel

Abstract Part I of this work develops a simple model for the complete radial structure of the low-level tropical cyclone wind field. The model is constructed by mathematically merging existing theoretical solutions for the radial wind structure at the top of the boundary layer in the inner ascending and outer descending regions. The model is then compared with two observational datasets. First, the outer solution is compared with a global database from the QuikSCAT satellite (1999–2009) and found to reproduce the characteristic wind structure of the broad outer region of tropical cyclones at large radii, indicating that the solution successfully captures the physics of this region. Second, the inner solution is compared with the HWind database (2004–12) for the Atlantic and eastern Pacific basins and is shown to be capable of reproducing the inner-core structure while substantially underestimating wind speeds at larger radii. The complete model is then shown to largely, though not entirely, rectify this underestimation. Limitations of the model are discussed, including the need for a formal evaluation of the physics of the inner core as well as a transition-region model at intermediate radii characterized by intermittent convection, such as spiral rainbands. Part II will characterize the model’s modes of wind field variability and their relationship to the variability observed in nature.

2016 ◽  
Vol 73 (8) ◽  
pp. 3093-3113 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel R. Chavas ◽  
Ning Lin

Abstract Part I of this work developed a simple physical model for the complete radial structure of the low-level azimuthal wind field in a tropical cyclone that compared well with observations. However, wind field variability in the model is tied principally to its external parameters given by the maximum wind speed and the radius of maximum wind, the latter of which lacks a credible independent physical model for its variability. Here the authors explore the modes of variability that arise from the alternative specification of the model, which takes the outer radius in lieu of the radius of maximum wind. Nondimensionalization of the model reveals two theoretical modes of structural variability in absolute angular momentum that are shown to closely match observations. These two modes correspond to three modes of wind field variability associated with variations in intensity, outer storm size, and latitude. These wind field modes are demonstrated to mirror the dominant modes of variability found in nature, in particular the intrastorm variation of inner-core structure and the interstorm variation of overall storm size. In combination, the model offers a credible physical solution for the complete time-dependent tropical cyclone wind field in conjunction with the external specification of intensity, outer size, and latitude. More broadly, the model offers theoretical and conceptual insight into the nature of the tropical cyclone wind field, including the oft-conflated terms “size” and “structure” and their distinct variabilities.


2017 ◽  
Vol 74 (7) ◽  
pp. 2315-2324 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kerry Emanuel ◽  
Fuqing Zhang

Abstract Errors in tropical cyclone intensity forecasts are dominated by initial-condition errors out to at least a few days. Initialization errors are usually thought of in terms of position and intensity, but here it is shown that growth of intensity error is at least as sensitive to the specification of inner-core moisture as to that of the wind field. Implications of this finding for tropical cyclone observational strategies and for overall predictability of storm intensity are discussed.


2008 ◽  
Vol 136 (12) ◽  
pp. 4882-4898 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katherine S. Maclay ◽  
Mark DeMaria ◽  
Thomas H. Vonder Haar

Abstract Tropical cyclone (TC) destructive potential is highly dependent on the distribution of the surface wind field. To gain a better understanding of wind structure evolution, TC 0–200-km wind fields from aircraft reconnaissance flight-level data are used to calculate the low-level area-integrated kinetic energy (KE). The integrated KE depends on both the maximum winds and wind structure. To isolate the structure evolution, the average relationship between KE and intensity is first determined. Then the deviations of the KE from the mean intensity relationship are calculated. These KE deviations reveal cases of significant structural change and, for convenience, are referred to as measurements of storm size [storms with greater (less) KE for their given intensity are considered large (small)]. It is established that TCs generally either intensify and do not grow or they weaken/maintain intensity and grow. Statistical testing is used to identify conditions that are significantly different for growing versus nongrowing storms in each intensification regime. Results suggest two primary types of growth processes: (i) secondary eyewall formation and eyewall replacement cycles, an internally dominated process, and (ii) external forcing from the synoptic environment. One of the most significant environmental forcings is the vertical shear. Under light shear, TCs intensify but do not grow; under moderate shear, they intensify less but grow more; under very high shear, they do not intensify or grow. As a supplement to this study, a new TC classification system based on KE and intensity is presented as a complement to the Saffir–Simpson hurricane scale.


2018 ◽  
Vol 75 (1) ◽  
pp. 297-326 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guanghua Chen ◽  
Chun-Chieh Wu ◽  
Yi-Hsuan Huang

The effects of convective and stratiform diabatic processes in the near-core region on tropical cyclone (TC) structure and intensity change are examined by artificially modifying the convective and stratiform heating/cooling between 40- and 80-km radii. Sensitivity experiments show that the absence of convective heating in the annulus can weaken TC intensity and decrease the inner-core size. The increased convective heating generates a thick and polygonal eyewall, while the storm intensifies more gently than that in the control run. The removal of stratiform heating can slow down TC intensification with a moderate intensity, whereas the doubling of stratiform heating has little effect on the TC evolution compared to the control run. The halved stratiform cooling facilitates TC rapid intensification and a compact inner-core structure with the spiral rainbands largely suppressed. With the stratiform cooling doubled, the storm terminates intensification and eventually develops a double-eyewall-like structure accompanied by the significantly outward expansion of the inner-core size. The removal of both stratiform heating and cooling generates the strongest storm with the structure and intensity similar to those in the experiment with stratiform cooling halved. When both stratiform heating and cooling are doubled, the storm first decays rapidly, followed by the vertical connection of the updrafts at mid- to upper levels in the near-core region and at lower levels in the collapsed eyewall, which reinvigorates the eyewall convection but with a large outward slope.


Author(s):  
◽  
J. John ◽  
B. P. Shukla ◽  
R. Kumar

<p><strong>Abstract.</strong> Cyclone Megh, a category-3 (Saffir-Simpson scale) cyclonic storm is regarded as the worst tropical cyclone to ever strike Yemen’s island of Socotra. In this paper, we aim to investigate the wind structure of cyclone Megh using Synthetic Aperture Radar (RISAT-1 SAR) observations. An algorithm for the cyclone wind retrieval has been applied for SAR data of Nov 8, 2015 at 0238:09 UTC in the Arabian Sea. The intensity of cyclone is 30<span class="thinspace"></span>m/s with the 16.65<span class="thinspace"></span>km radius of maximum wind speed from the centre of the cyclone. The high resolution SAR data analysis bring to focus the possible presence of eyewall mesovortex in case of Megh. Recent work has shown that vorticity mixing in the tropical cyclone (TC) inner core can promote mesovortex (MV) formation and impact storm intensity. This has further been corroborated using INSAT-3D and MODIS optical band observations of clouds. Analysis of these satellite derived cloud microphysical properties shows the presence of larger hydrometeors surrounding the eye due to possible embedding of stratus and stratocumulus cloud decks. Thus, this kind of study helps in understanding the microphysical processes within a TC as well estimating their impacts on cyclone intensity and lifetime.</p>


2019 ◽  
Vol 76 (8) ◽  
pp. 2443-2462 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chau-Lam Yu ◽  
Anthony C. Didlake

Abstract Using idealized simulations, we examine the storm-scale wind field response of a dry, hurricane-like vortex to prescribed stratiform heating profiles that mimic tropical cyclone (TC) spiral rainbands. These profiles were stationary with respect to the storm center to represent the diabatic forcing imposed by a quasi-stationary rainband complex. The first profile was typical of stratiform precipitation with heating above and cooling below the melting level. The vortex response included a mesoscale descending inflow and a midlevel tangential jet, consistent with previous studies. An additional response was an inward-spiraling low-level updraft radially inside the rainband heating. The second profile was a modified stratiform heating structure derived from observations and consisted of a diagonal dipole of heating and cooling. The same features were found with stronger magnitudes and larger vertical extents. The dynamics and implications of the forced low-level updraft were examined. This updraft was driven by buoyancy advection because of the stratiform-induced low-level cold pool. The stationary nature of the rainband diabatic forcing played an important role in modulating the required temperature and pressure anomalies to sustain this updraft. Simulations with moisture and full microphysics confirmed that this low-level updraft response was robust and capable of triggering sustained deep convection that could further impact the storm evolution, including having a potential role in secondary eyewall formation.


2020 ◽  
Vol 77 (2) ◽  
pp. 443-464 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi-Pin Chang ◽  
Shu-Chih Yang ◽  
Kuan-Jen Lin ◽  
Guo-Yuan Lien ◽  
Chien-Ming Wu

Abstract This study investigates the impact of tropical cyclone (TC) initialization methods on TC intensity prediction under a framework coupling the Weather Research and Forecasting Model with the TC Centered-Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (WRF TCC-LETKF). While the TC environments are constrained by assimilating the same environmental observations, two different initialization strategies, assimilating real dropsonde observations (the DP experiment) and synthetic axisymmetric surface wind structure (the VT experiment), are employed to construct the TC inner-core structure. These two experiments have distinct results on predicting the rapid intensification (RI) of Typhoon Megi (2010), which can be attributed to their different convective burst (CB) development. In DP, the assimilation of the dropsondes helps establish a realistic TC structure with asymmetry information, leading to scattered CB distribution and persistent RI with abundant moisture supply. In VT, assimilating the axisymmetric surface wind structure spins up the TC efficiently. However, the initially excessive CB coverage causes a too-early high-level warm core, and the reduced moisture supply hinders RI. The forecast results imply that if the TC structure is initialized using a scheme considering only the axisymmetric vortex structure, the RI potential can possibly be underestimated due to the inability to represent the realistic asymmetric structure. Finally, assimilation of both the real and synthetic data can be complementary, giving a strong TC initially that undergoes a longer RI period.


2015 ◽  
Vol 72 (1) ◽  
pp. 191-215 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yumin Moon ◽  
David S. Nolan

Abstract This is the second part of a study that examines spiral rainbands in a numerical simulation of Hurricane Bill (2009). This paper evaluates whether the propagation of inner rainbands in the Hurricane Bill simulation is consistent with previously proposed hypotheses. Results indicate that the propagation of inner rainbands is not consistent with gravity waves, vortex Rossby waves, or squall lines. An alternative hypothesis is offered, arguing that inner rainbands are simply convective clouds that are advected by the rapidly rotating tropical cyclone wind field while being deformed into spiral shapes. A summary and a discussion of the results of both Parts I and II are provided.


2011 ◽  
Vol 68 (3) ◽  
pp. 430-449 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hironori Fudeyasu ◽  
Yuqing Wang

Abstract The balanced contribution to the intensification of a tropical cyclone simulated in the three-dimensional, nonhydrostatic, full-physics tropical cyclone model version 4 (TCM4), in particular the spinup of the outer-core circulation, is investigated by solving the Sawyer–Eliassen equation and by computing terms in the azimuthal-mean tangential wind tendency equation. Results demonstrate that the azimuthal-mean secondary circulation (radial and vertical circulation) and the spinup of the midtropospheric outer-core circulation in the simulated tropical cyclone are well captured by balance dynamics. The midtropospheric inflow develops in response to diabatic heating in mid–upper-tropospheric stratiform (anvil) clouds outside the eyewall in active spiral rainbands and transports absolute angular momentum inward to spin up the outer-core circulation. Although the azimuthal-mean diabatic heating rate in the eyewall is the largest, its contribution to radial winds and thus the spinup of outer-core circulation in the middle troposphere is rather weak. This is because the high inertial stability in the inner-core region resists the radial inflow in the middle troposphere, limiting the inward transport of absolute angular momentum. The result thus suggests that diabatic heating in spiral rainbands is the key to the continued growth of the storm-scale circulation.


2009 ◽  
Vol 66 (5) ◽  
pp. 1250-1273 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuqing Wang

Abstract A long-standing issue on how outer spiral rainbands affect the structure and intensity of tropical cyclones is studied through a series of numerical experiments using the cloud-resolving tropical cyclone model TCM4. Because diabatic heating due to phase changes is the main driving force of outer spiral rainbands, their effect on the tropical cyclone structure and intensity is evaluated by artificially modifying the heating and cooling rate due to cloud microphysical processes in the model. The view proposed here is that the effect of diabatic heating in outer spiral rainbands on the storm structure and intensity results mainly from hydrostatic adjustment; that is, heating (cooling) of an atmospheric column decreases (increases) the surface pressure underneath the column. The change in surface pressure due to heating in the outer spiral rainbands is significant on the inward side of the rainbands where the inertial stability is generally high. Outside the rainbands in the far field, where the inertial stability is low and internal atmospheric heating is mostly lost to gravity wave radiation and little is left to warm the atmospheric column and lower the local surface pressure, the change in surface pressure is relatively small. This strong radially dependent response reduces the horizontal pressure gradient across the radius of maximum wind and thus the storm intensity in terms of the maximum low-level tangential wind while increasing the inner-core size of the storm. The numerical results show that cooling in the outer spiral rainbands maintains both the intensity of a tropical cyclone and the compactness of its inner core, whereas heating in the outer spiral rainbands decreases the intensity but increases the size of a tropical cyclone. Overall, the presence of strong outer spiral rainbands limits the intensity of a tropical cyclone. Because heating or cooling in the outer spiral rainbands depends strongly on the relative humidity in the near-core environment, the results have implications for the formation of the annular hurricane structure, the development of concentric eyewalls, and the size change in tropical cyclones.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document