Off the coasts of northern Perú and southern Ecuador, warm equatorial waters meet the cold Humboldt Current. Variations in sea temperatures and associated fauna have been known to fishing folk since colonial times. They noticed that toward the end of every year tepid waters appeared between the Gulf of Guayaquil (Ecuador) and Point Pariñas (Perú) and persisted until late February, causing tropical species to be added to the fish they commonly caught. Coupled with the arrival of warm waters was a surge in air humidity and an increase in summer showers. Since this environmental phenomenon occurred around Christmas, the local fishermen called it El Niño, or Child Jesus. Early scientific observations on the nature and extent of these phenomena revealed that they were not regionally restricted to coastal Perú and Ecuador, but extended over the whole tropical Pacific, involving pressure fields and wind flows across the basin. Thus, when referring to this coupled ocean-atmospheric system, both variations of sea temperature across the tropical Pacific and changes of the atmosphere in contact with the ocean must be considered (Neelin et al., 1998). Normally, the tropical Pacific Ocean, from the coast of Ecuador and Perú to longitude 120°W, is dominated by westward- flowing cold waters, which are the prolongation of the Humboldt Current. Near longitude 120°W, sea surface temperatures approach normal equatorial values of ~28°C. When the flow reaches the western Pacific, it creates a sealevel rise of nearly 40 cm, which is maintained by the wind shear of the equatorial easterlies. The thermocline, which marks the lower boundary of the sun-heated water layer, runs at a depth of 40 m between Perú and the Galápagos Islands, but on the Asian side of the Pacific it dips to 120 m, revealing a marked asymmetry in the thickness of the sunheated layer across the Pacific. During El Niño years, the westward flow of cooler waters is weak because there is less wind shear from the easterly winds, and the thermocline plunges to 80 m in the eastern equatorial Pacific.
Does Knowing the Oceanic PDO Phase Help Predict the Atmospheric Anomalies in Subsequent Months?
