Do International Fragmentation of Production and Global Value Chains Participation Affect the Long-run Economic Growth?

2022 ◽  
pp. 001573252110504
Author(s):  
Camila do Carmo Hermida ◽  
Anderson Moreira Aristides dos Santos ◽  
Mauricio Vaz Lobo Bittencourt
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Global Value Chains ◽  
Value Chains ◽  
High Tech ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Position Index ◽  
Fragmentation Of Production ◽  
Participation Index

This article aims to investigate whether the international fragmentation of production and the global value chains (hereafter GVCs) participation affects the economic growth for a set of 40 advanced and emerging economies. It considers four aspects related to the type of participation and position in GVCs captured by different value-added measures: (a) vertical specialisation index; (b) GVC participation index; (c) GVC position index in low-tech sectors; and (d) GVC position index in high-tech sectors. A panel autoregressive distributed lag (PARDL) model is pioneeringly employed to capture the long-term relationship between economic growth and our four measures for annual value-added data from 1995 to 2011, provided by the World Input–Output Tables (WIOT). The main long-run results indicate that (a) higher levels of international fragmentation of production and GVCs’ participation ensure higher GDP per capita growth rates; (b) the fragmentation and GVCs’ participation are more important to GDP growth than the gross exports as a percentage of GDP; (c) GVCs’ participation index, which considers both the ‘forward’ and ‘backward’ participation, is less important than the vertical specialisation, measured by the foreign intermediate imports; and (d the countries engaged in upstream positions in low-technology GVCs were positively and significantly benefitted in terms of growth. JEL Codes: F14, F43

scholarly journals The CEECs in global value chains: The role of Germany

2018 ◽  
Vol 68 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
Łukasz Ambroziak
Keyword(s):  
Value Added ◽  
Global Value Chains ◽  
European Countries ◽  
Value Chains ◽  
Eastern European ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
Eastern European Countries ◽  
Fragmentation Of Production ◽  
Backward Linkages

This paper aims to present the role of Germany in the global value chains (GVCs) of 10 Central and Eastern European countries (CEECs) in 1995–2011. GVCs, being a result of the fragmentation of production processes, have changed the nature of economic globalisation. The study covers five Central European countries (CECs) (the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia), the three Baltic States (Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia) as well as Bulgaria and Romania. Germany is chosen because it is the main trading partner of the majority of the CEECs. The illustration of the position of Germany in GVCs of the CEECs is based on trade statistics in value added terms. The research results show that Germany has become an engine of increasing integration of the CECs in the GVCs. The role of Germany as a supplier of inputs to the CECs’ exports (backward linkages) is larger than its role as an exporter of value added originating from the CECs (forward linkages).

GLOBAL DIGITAL DEVELOPMENT AND NEW GLOBAL CHALLENGES FOR UKRAINE

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iryna Yanenkova ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Information And Communication Technologies ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Global Value Chains ◽  
Value Chains ◽  
High Tech ◽  
Business Climate ◽  
Global Challenges ◽  
Economic Transformations ◽  
Digital Development ◽  
Smart Specialization

The article reflects the results of a study conducted as part of the research project "Providing the complementarity of digital and socio-economic transformations." The main directions of digital transformation influence at economic relationship and effectiveness of production are identified and generalized. The relationship between integration into global value chains with the concepts of smart specialization, cluster and ecosystem development is shown. It means that the basis of successful integration into global value chains is the developed innovative ecosystems of high-tech industries, on which developed sectoral and regional clusters can be based and in which, accordingly, there is a deeper smart specialization. Tendencies, peculiarities and drivers of the world digital development are considered. New global challenges of digital development and its impact on the economy and society in Ukraine are defined and analyzed. It is shown that over the last 20 years Ukraine has transformed from a newcomer in the field of information and communication technologies to a center for the creation and export of services. The state and possible prospects of development of Ukrainian Industry 4.0 in the context of post COVID-19 are analyzed. The main reason for the negative trends is the structural degradation of the economy due to the decline of the processing industry, which is a consequence of the crisis socio-economic and political phenomena in the country, lack of systemic state industrial policy and inadequate business climate. The main threats and new opportunities of socio-economic and digital transformations posed to the country by the coronavirus pandemic are summarized. The main emphasis is on Ukraine's ability to include value added in new chains or build on existing ones. Proposals have been developed for the authorities to provide the complementarity of digital and socio-economic transformations.

scholarly journals Regional economic integration via detection of circular flow in international value-added network

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (8) ◽  
pp. e0255698
Author(s):  
Sotaro Sada ◽  
Yuichi Ikeda
Keyword(s):  
Natural Resources ◽  
Economic Integration ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Global Value Chains ◽  
Pacific Rim ◽  
Value Chains ◽  
High Tech ◽  
European Economic ◽  
Circular Flow ◽  
The Pacific

Global value chains are formed through value-added trade, and some regions promote economic integration by concluding regional trade agreements to promote these chains. However, it has not been established to quantitatively assess the scope and extent of economic integration involving various sectors in multiple countries. In this study, we used the World Input–Output Database to create a cross-border sector-wise network of trade in value-added (international value-added network) covering the period of 2000–2014 and evaluated them using network science methods. By applying Infomap to the international value-added network, we confirmed two regional communities: Europe and the Pacific Rim. We applied Helmholtz–Hodge decomposition to the value-added flows within the region into potential and circular flows, and clarified the annual evolution of the potential and circular relationships between countries and sectors. The circular flow component of the decomposition was used to define an economic integration index. Findings confirmed that the degree of economic integration in Europe declined sharply after the economic crisis in 2009 to a level lower than that in the Pacific Rim. The European economic integration index recovered in 2011 but again fell below that of the Pacific Rim in 2013. Moreover, sectoral economic integration indices suggest what Europe depends on Russia in natural resources makes the European economic integration index unstable. On the other hand, the indices of the Pacific Rim suggest the steady economic integration index of the Pacific Rim captures the stable global value chains from natural resources to construction and manufactures of motor vehicles and high-tech products.

scholarly journals Effect of Technological Innovation Inputs on Global Value Chains Status

2021 ◽  
Vol 29 (5) ◽  
pp. 37-54
Author(s):  
Shuili Yang ◽  
Yang Yi
Keyword(s):  
Industrial Development ◽  
Manufacturing Industry ◽  
Applied Research ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Basic Research ◽  
Global Value Chains ◽  
Moderating Effect ◽  
Value Chains ◽  
Development Environment ◽  
Long Run

Under the backdrop of the continuous escalation of the Sino—U.S. trade friction, China's industrial development environment in global value chains (GVCs) has further deteriorated, research on the improvement GVC status of the Chinese manufacturing industry has become the focus of attention for industry and academia. The direction of R&D inputs are of utmost importance to the improvement of GVC status. However, comparatively little attention has been paid to this topic in existing studies. Following the production activity decomposition framework and combining with the World Input-Output Tables, the action mechanism of R&D inputs on GVC status from two aspects of industrial value-added and embedding position were analyzed, the moderating effect of digital servitization was demonstrated. Results show that: The input of applied research has inverted U-shaped influence on the industrial value-added, while it has U-shaped influence on embedding position; The input of basic research has U-shaped influence on the industrial value-added, while it has inverted U-shaped influence on embedding position; The moderating effect of digital servitization between R&D inputs and GVC status is significant, in the short term, the digital servitization can not only magnify the promotion effect of the applied research inputs on GVC status, but also shorten the lag period of basic research inputs on GVC status. In the long run, the digital servitization can not only weaken the marginalization trend of the applied research inputs on GVC status, but also enhance the positive feedback effect of basic research inputs on GVC status. This study is important for China to improve the GVC status.

scholarly journals Slicing Up Global Value Chains

2014 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
pp. 99-118 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcel P. Timmer ◽  
Abdul Azeez Erumban ◽  
Bart Los ◽  
Robert Stehrer ◽  
Gaaitzen J. de Vries
Keyword(s):  
Value Chain ◽  
Production Systems ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Global Value Chains ◽  
Value Chains ◽  
Skilled Labor ◽  
Skilled Workers ◽  
Strong Shift ◽  
Starting Point ◽  
Fragmentation Of Production

In this paper, we “slice up the global value chain” using a decomposition technique that has recently become feasible due to the development of the World Input-Output Database. We trace the value added by all labor and capital that is directly and indirectly needed for the production of final manufacturing goods. The production systems of these goods are highly prone to international fragmentation as many stages can be undertaken in any country with little variation in quality. We seek to establish a series of facts concerning the global fragmentation of production that can serve as a starting point for future analysis. We describe four major trends. First, international fragmentation, as measured by the foreign value-added content of production, has rapidly increased since the early 1990s. Second, in most global value chains there is a strong shift towards value being added by capital and high-skilled labor, and away from less-skilled labor. Third, within global value chains, advanced nations increasingly specialize in activities carried out by high-skilled workers. Fourth, emerging economies surprisingly specialize in capital-intensive activities.

GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS (GVCS) AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: A NONLINEAR ANALYSIS

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
ZHUQING MAO
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Value Chain ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Global Value Chains ◽  
Value Chains ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Linear Pattern ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Local Value ◽  
Nonlinear Pattern

This study examines the relationship between economic growth and participation in global value chains (GVCs) and demonstrates that the U-shaped nonlinear pattern of GVCs could be more effective than the simple linear pattern of GVCs in terms of economic growth in high- and middle-income economies. The U-shaped nonlinear pattern expresses that there are decreasing foreign-dominated GVCs (increasing high value-added domestic value chains) for building local value chain and then raise the GVCs participation to benefit at a better position in GVCs. This paper investigates a panel of 63 advanced and emerging economies and obtained significant evidence by using systemic quantitative analysis. This research suggests that emerging markets should decrease foreign-dominated GVCs (increase high value-added domestic value chain) and then raise the participation of the GVC for economic growth.

Fish Exports and Economic Growth: The Pakistan’s Experience

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 279-296 ◽  
Author(s):  
Syed Tehseen Jawaid ◽  
Mohammad Haris Siddiqui ◽  
Zeeshan Atiq ◽  
Usman Azhar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Sensitivity Analyses ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

This study attempts to explore first time ever the relationship between fish exports and economic growth of Pakistan by employing annual time series data for the period 1974–2013. Autoregressive distributed lag and Johansen and Juselius cointegration results confirm the existence of a positive long-run relationship among the variables. Further, the error correction model reveals that no immediate or short-run relationship exists between fish exports and economic growth. Different sensitivity analyses indicate that initial results are robust. Rolling window analysis has been applied to identify the yearly behaviour of fish exports, and it remains negative from 1979 to 1982, 1984 to 1988, 1993 to 1999, 2004 and from 2010 to 2013, and it shows positive impact from 1989 to 1992, 2000 to 2003 and from 2005 to 2009. Furthermore, the variance decomposition method and impulse response function suggest the bidirectional causal relationship between fish exports and economic growth. The findings are beneficial for policymakers in the area of export planning. This study also provides some policy implications in the final section.

Export-led Growth Hypothesis: Econometric Evidence from Malaysia

2013 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 94-112
Author(s):  
Hassanudin Mohd Thas Thaker ◽  
Tan Siew Ee ◽  
Sushant Vaidik
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Paper Cover ◽  
Econometric Evidence ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
Growth Hypothesis

The objective of this paper is to test the validity of the Export-led Growth Hypothesis (ELGH) in the Malaysian economy. Malaysia has always been considered to have attained its growth primarily through exports (Okposin, Bassey, Hamid, Halim, and Boon, 1999; Mun, 2008; Mahathir, 1990). In the past, several studies on this topic have been conducted but their analyses were limited to relationships using Bound-testing, Autoregressive –Distributed Lag (ARDL) and the Toda Yamamoto analysis. Empirical data and analysis in our paper cover a 21 – year span and quarterly time-series data (1991:Q1 – 2012:Q4) are used to test this ELG hypothesis. Also, many dynamic econometric measures including the Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) and Phillip – Perron (PP) unit root tests, Cointegration test as well as the Vector Error Correction model (VEC) for the long run have been applied. Based on these generic models, both real exports and capital stock (productivity) are found to have stimulated positive adjustments to economic growth in the long run whereas real exchange rate is found to have influenced economic growth negatively. Overall, our conclusion is that the ELG hypothesis seems applicable to Malaysia in the long run.

Assessment of the positions of the exporting countries of agri-food products on the world market according to their role in global value chains

2021 ◽  
pp. 8-14
Author(s):  
Elena Yu. Frolova ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Raw Materials ◽  
Action Plan ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Global Value Chains ◽  
World Market ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Value Chains ◽  
Agricultural Exports ◽  
Export Policy ◽  
The World

The place in the rankings of agricultural exporting countries in world trade is estimated in terms of the volume of imports and exports of raw materials and food. However, to assess the efficiency of agricultural exports, it is important to analyze the value added of exported goods produced in the country. The position of the exporting country in global value chains is derived from the type of agricultural production, which in turn depends on the level of development of the national economy, the availability and breadth of use of modern high technologies. The article examines the concept of the development of world agriculture from the point of view of the formation of global value chains, set out in the report of the UN World Food Organization [1] in comparison with the political decisions of such countries as India and the People’s Republic of China in the development of agricultural and food exports. The paper analyzes the risks associated with the consolidation of developing countries as suppliers of agricultural raw materials, as well as the conditions and action plan that allow the country-exporter of agricultural raw materials to move to higher levels in the global value chains on the world market. This experience should be considered to make comprehensive and effective decisions on the formation of the export policy of agricultural products and food of the Russian Federation, considering the food security of the country.

The relationship between financial development and economic growth in Eswatini (formerly Swaziland)

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Siphe-okuhle Fakudze ◽  
Asrat Tsegaye ◽  
Kin Sibanda
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship

PurposeThe paper examined the relationship between financial development and economic growth for the period 1996 to 2018 in Eswatini.Design/methodology/approachThe Autoregressive Distributed Lag bounds test (ARDL) was employed to determine the long-run and short-run dynamics of the link between the variables of interest. The Granger causality test was also performed to establish the direction of causality between financial development and economic growth.FindingsThe ARDL results revealed that there is a long-run relationship between financial development and economic growth. The Granger causality test revealed bidirectional causality between money supply and economic growth, and unidirectional causality running from economic growth to financial development. The results highlight that economic growth exerts a positive and significant influence on financial development, validating the demand following hypothesis in Eswatini.Practical implicationsPolicymakers should formulate policies that aims to engineer more economic growth. The policies should strike a balance between deploying funds necessary to stimulate investment and enhancing productivity in order to enliven economic growth in Eswatini.Originality/valueThe study investigates the finance-growth linkage using time series analysis. It determines the long-run and short-run dynamics of this relationship and examines the Granger causality outcomes.

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