Construction of a Biological Age Score to Predict Tooth Loss over 10 Years

2019 ◽  
Vol 98 (10) ◽  
pp. 1096-1102
Author(s):  
P. Meisel ◽  
C. Pink ◽  
M. Nauck ◽  
H. Völzke ◽  
T. Kocher

The aim of the present study was to construct a biological age score reflecting one’s physiologic capability and aging condition with respect to tooth loss over 10 y. From the follow-up to the population-based Study of Health in Pomerania (i.e., SHIP-2), 2,049 participants were studied for their baseline biomarker measures 10 y before (i.e., in SHIP-0). Metabolic and periodontal data were regressed onto chronological age to construct a score designated as “biological age.” For either sex separately, the impact of this individualized score was used to predict tooth loss in the follow-up cohort in comparison with each participant’s chronological age. Outcome data after 10 y with respect to tooth loss, periodontitis, obesity, and inflammation were shown to be better for biologically younger subjects than as expected by their chronological age, whereas for the older subjects, data were worse. Especially for tooth loss, a striking increase was observed in subjects whose biological age at baseline appeared to be higher than their chronological age. Biological age produced significantly better tooth loss predictions than chronological age ( P < 0.001). Areas under receiver operating characteristic curves for tooth loss of ≥3 teeth in men during follow-up were 0.811 and 0.745 for biological and chronological age, respectively. For women, these figures were 0.788 and 0.724. For total tooth loss, areas under the curve were 0.890 and 0.749 in men and 0.872 and 0.752 in women. Biological age combines various measures into a single score and allows identifying individuals at increased risk of tooth loss.

2009 ◽  
Vol 160 (5) ◽  
pp. 833-838 ◽  
Author(s):  
Johan Svartberg ◽  
Sigrid K Brækkan ◽  
Gail A Laughlin ◽  
John-Bjarne Hansen

ObjectivesLow testosterone levels in men have been associated with cardiovascular risk factors and atherosclerosis and lately also an increased risk of both cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality. As arterial CVDs and venous thromboembolism (VTE) have been shown to share common risk factors, the purpose of the present study was to determine the impact of endogenous sex hormone levels on the incidence of VTE in a cohort of men.DesignA prospective, population-based study.MethodsSex hormone measurements were available in 1350 men, aged 50–84, participating in the Tromsø study in 1994–1995. First, lifetime VTE-events during the follow-up were registered up to September 1 2007.ResultsThere were 63 incident VTE-events (4.5 per 1000 person-years) during a mean of 10.4 years of follow-up. Age was significantly associated with increased risk of VTE; men 70 years or older had a 2.5-fold higher risk of VTE (HR 2.47, 95% CI 1.19–5.12), compared with those between 50 and 60 years of age. In age-adjusted analyses, endogenous sex hormones levels were not associated with risk of VTE; for each s.d. increase, hazards ratios (95% CI) were 1.06 (0.83–1.35) for total testosterone, 1.02 (0.79–1.33) for free testosterone, and 1.27 (0.94–1.71) for ln-estradiol. In dichotomized analyses comparing men in the lowest total and free testosterone quartile with men in the higher quartiles, hypoandrogenemia was not associated with risk of VTE.ConclusionsIn this population-based study of middle-aged and older men, endogenous sex hormone levels were not associated with 10-year risk of VTE.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Soonil Kwon ◽  
So-Ryoung Lee ◽  
Eue-Keun Choi ◽  
Kyung-Do Han ◽  
Seokhun Yang ◽  
...  

AbstractAlthough chronic kidney disease is known to increase the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF), the impact of the variability of renal function on the risk of incident AF is unknown. We aimed to evaluate the association between variability of renal function and the risk of developing AF among the general population. We evaluated a total of 3,551,249 adults who had three annual health check-ups provided by the National Health Insurance Service. The variability of renal function was defined as GFR-VIM, which is variability independent of the mean (VIM) of creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). The study population was divided into four groups (Q1-4) based on the quartiles of GFR-VIM, and the risks of incident AF by each group were compared. During a mean of 3.2 ± 0.5 years follow-up, incident AF occurred in 15,008 (0.42%) subjects. The incidence rates of AF increased from Q1 to Q4 (0.98, 1.42, 1.27, and 1.63 per 1,000 person-years, respectively). Adjusting with multiple variables, Q4 showed an increased risk of incident AF compared to Q1 (hazard ratio (HR) 1.125, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.071–1.181). Variability of serum creatinine or other definitions of variability showed consistent results. On subgroup analyses, Q4 in males or those with a decreasing trend of eGFR had significantly increased risks of incident AF compared to Q1 (HR 1.127, 95% CI 1.082–1.175; and HR 1.115, 95% CI 1.059–1.173, respectively). High variability of eGFR was associated with an increased risk of incident AF, particularly in males or those with decreasing trends of eGFR during follow-up.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hossein Farhadnejad ◽  
Karim Parastouei ◽  
Hosein Rostami ◽  
Parvin Mirmiran ◽  
Fereidoun Azizi

Abstract Background In the current study, we aimed to investigate the association of dietary inflammation scores (DIS) and lifestyle inflammation scores (LIS) with the risk of metabolic syndrome (MetS) in a prospective population-based study. Methods A total of 1625 participants without MetS were recruited from among participants of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study(2006–2008) and followed a mean of 6.1 years. Dietary data of subjects were collected using a food frequency questionnaire at baseline to determine LIS and DIS. Multivariable logistic regression models, were used to calculate the odds ratio (ORs) and 95 % confidence interval (CI) of MetS across tertiles of DIS and LIS. Results Mean ± SD age of individuals (45.8 % men) was 37.5 ± 13.4 years. Median (25–75 interquartile range) DIS and LIS for all participants was 0.80 (− 2.94, 3.64) and 0.48 (− 0.18, − 0.89), respectively. During the study follow-up, 291 (17.9 %) new cases of MetS were identified. Based on the age and sex-adjusted model, a positive association was found between LIS (OR = 7.56; 95% CI 5.10–11.22, P for trend < 0.001) and risk of MetS, however, the association of DIS and risk of MetS development was not statistically significant (OR = 1.30;95% CI 0.93–1.80, P for trend = 0.127). In the multivariable model, after adjustment for confounding variables, including age, sex, body mass index, physical activity, smoking, and energy intake, the risk of MetS is increased across tertiles of DIS (OR = 1.59; 95% CI 1.09–2.33, P for trend = 0.015) and LIS(OR = 8.38; 95% CI 5.51–12.7, P for trend < 0.001). Conclusions The findings of the current study showed that greater adherence to LIS and DIS, determined to indicate the inflammatory potential of diet and lifestyle, are associated with increased the risk of MetS.


Circulation ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 118 (suppl_18) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tara Bharucha ◽  
Andrew M Davis ◽  
Christian Turner ◽  
Robert Justo ◽  
Terry Robertson ◽  
...  

Introduction Better data regarding the incidence and risk factors for sudden cardiac death (SCD) in children with cardiomyopathy (CM) is critical in defining appropriate primary prevention strategies. Methods The National Australian Childhood Cardiomyopathy Study is a prospective cohort study, including all children in Australia with primary CM diagnosed at 0 – 10 years of age, between 1987–1997. SCD was defined as sudden and unexpected death in children who were not hospitalized and not in congestive heart failure at the time of death. Nine subjects with sudden death as presenting symptom were excluded. Indexed echocardiographic measurements at latest follow-up were compared between subjects with SCD and survivors. Results Study criteria were met by 291 children. Mean duration of follow-up was 9.2 years. The incidence of sudden death relative to each CM type, for all cases and as a proportion of deaths, is shown in the Table : Incidence of SCD by CM type. SCD incidence was significantly associated with CM type, for all cases ( p = 0.006) and when only those subjects who died were considered ( p = 0.005), with LVNC and RCM having up to 4 times the risk of other CM types. Children with familial DCM had a significantly higher rate of SCD than subjects with non-familial CM (12% vs 3%; p = 0.028), however, familial CM was not a risk factor in other CM types. DCM SCD subjects had larger LVEDd Z score than survivors (median 5.53 vs 1.16; p <0.0001) and lower FS Z score (median −9.23 vs −0.51; p = 0.0025). HCM SCD subjects had thicker LVPW dimension Z scores than survivors (median 4.63 vs 1.18; p = 0.007). Twelve subjects (2 DCM, 8 HCM and 2 LVNC) underwent ICD implantation (8/12 for primary prevention). Conclusions: This population based study defines new risk factors for sudden death in children with CM. RCM is well known to have a high incidence of SCD. In addition, children with LVNC and those with DCM who have severe dilatation, systolic dysfunction or familial DCM are at increased risk of sudden death.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 40-40
Author(s):  
Hanan Goldberg ◽  
Faizan Moshin ◽  
Zachary William Abraham Klaassen ◽  
Thenappan Chandrasekar ◽  
Christopher Wallis ◽  
...  

40 Background: Prostate cancer (PC) is the most common non-cutaneous cancer in Canadian men and the third most common cause of cancer death in Canada. Several studies have shown that use of commonly prescribed medications, including those used for diabetes and hypercholesterolemia, is associated with improved survival in various malignancies, including PC. There has not been any large population-based study, examining the effects of these and other commonly prescribed medications, on the rate of PC diagnosis, over a 20 years follow-up period. Methods: A retrospective population-based study using data from the institute of clinical evaluative sciences, including all male patients aged 65 and above in Ontario who have had a negative first prostate biopsy between 1994 and 2016. We assessed the impact of commonly prescribed medications on PC diagnosis. The medications included Statins (hydrophilic and hydrophobic), diabetes drugs (metformin, insulins, sulfonylureas, and thizolidinedions), proton pump inhibitors, 5 alpha reductase inhibitors, and alpha blockers. Time dependent Cox regression proportional hazards models were performed determine predictors of PC diagnosis. Medication exposure was time varying and modeled as “ever” vs. “never” use or as cumulative exposure for 6 months of usage. A priori variables included in the model included age, ADG comorbidity score, rurality index, index year, and all medications. Results: A total of 51,415 men were analyzed over a mean (SD) follow-up time of 8.06 (5.44) years. Overall, 10,466 patients (20.4%) were diagnosed with PC, 16,726 (32.5%) had died, and 1,460 (2.8%) patients died of PC. On multivariable analysis increasing age and rurality index were associated with higher PC diagnosis rate, while a more recent index year, and usage of hydrophilic statins was associated with a lower diagnosis rate in both “ever” vs. “never” and cumulative models (HR 0.832, 95% CI 0.732-0.946, p = 0.005, HR 0.973 95% CI 0.951-0.995, p = 0.016, respectively). Conclusions: Hydrophilic statins are associated with a clinically significant lower PC diagnosis. To our knowledge this is the first study demonstrating a clear advantage of one group of statins (hydrophilic) over another (hydrophobic) in PC prevention.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 244-244
Author(s):  
Joel Roger Gingerich ◽  
Pascal Lambert ◽  
Malcolm Doupe ◽  
Paul Joseph Daeninck ◽  
Marshall W. Pitz ◽  
...  

244 Background: Falls and fall-related injuries are important patient safety problems. Some studies suggest that pc patients have higher fall rates, however the severity of these falls is unknown. We sought to measure if pc patients are at increased risk of a debilitating fall requiring hospitalization. Methods: This is a retrospective population-based study utilizing the Manitoba Cancer Registry and Manitoba Health administrative databases. Our cohort consists of all community-dwelling patients living in Manitoba Canada who were diagnosed with pc between 2004 and 2008. These individuals were matched by age, sex, and time of diagnosis with up to three cancer-free controls. Debilitating falls were defined as falls/fractures requiring hospitalization and were identified using ICD-9 and -10 billing codes. A competing risk model was used to compare debilitating falls between the pc and cancer-free cohorts and expressed as sub-hazard ratios. Follow-up ended December 31, 2009. Results: 2,903 pc patients were identified along with 8,686 matched controls. The mean age was 69.3 and 68.8 respectively. The median follow-up was 3.05 years. Debilitating falls were identified in 109 patients (3.8%) with pc and 345 (4%) matched controls. The cumulative incidence of debilitating falls for those with pc vs cancer-free controls were: 1.08% vs. 1.13% at 1-year and 5.25% vs. 5.96% at five years of follow-up (SHR = 0.95, 95% CI = 0.77 – 1.18, p = 0.65). On univariate analysis, patients with stage IV pc were at higher risk of falls compared to matched controls. This difference was not significant on multivariate analysis though (SHR = 1.19, 95% CI = 0.74 – 1.89, p = 0.48). On multivariate analysis, patients with a Gleason score of ≤6 experienced a reduced risk of debilitating falls compared to matched controls (SHR = 0.44, 95% CI = 0.27 – 0.72, p = 0.001), whereas patients with other Gleason scores did not. The analysis was similar when patients with fractures were excluded. Conclusions: In this large population-based study, the 1- and 5-year cumulative incidence of debilitating falls did not differ significantly for patients with vs without pc. In fact, compared to matched controls, low grade pc patients were less likely to experience a debilitating fall.


SLEEP ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 44 (Supplement_2) ◽  
pp. A207-A207
Author(s):  
Chun Yao ◽  
Sheida Zolfaghari ◽  
Paramita Saha Chaudhuri ◽  
Amelie Pelletier ◽  
Christina Wolfson ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction To date, studies have estimated the phenoconversion rate from sleep clinics, using polysomnography proven RBD. However, no population-based estimates have been reported, testing to what degree possible RBD, screened by questionnaire is associated with increased risk of neurodegeneration. Methods We included those aged 45–85 years, living in one of 10 Canadian provinces in between 2012–2015 (at the baseline), recruited via three population-based sampling methods. Dream enactment behavior/possible RBD was screened using the RBD1Q single question-questionnaire. De-novo parkinsonism was defined as free of pre-existing diagnosis at the baseline with a ‘new’ diagnosis at the follow-up (205–2019). Relative risk (log-binomial regression), hazard ratio (Cox regression), incidence rate (Poisson regression) between the affected group and the symptom naïve group were assessed, adjusting for age and sex (and total years of education and language). Results Overall, 58 participants phenoconverted into parkinsonism and 53 into dementia at the follow-up (mean intervals=3.06±0.37 years). Participants with dream enactment behavior had 2.75 times higher risk to phenoconvert into parkinsonism than the symptom-free. Similarly, those with dream enactment behavior at the baseline possessed higher risk to screening positive of parkinsonism. No difference in time to phenoconversion was found between groups, The results remained robust after excluding non-RBD related symptoms, such as apnea and non-REM sleep parasomnia. Conclusion Compared to symptom-free, those with pRBD had higher risk to developing parkinsonism in near future. Support (if any):


2021 ◽  
Vol 151 ◽  
pp. 106586
Author(s):  
Meghan J. Walker ◽  
Olivia Meggetto ◽  
Julia Gao ◽  
Gabriela Espino-Hernández ◽  
Nathaniel Jembere ◽  
...  

Blood ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 132 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 4490-4490
Author(s):  
Sigrun Thorsteinsdottir ◽  
Ingigerdur S Sverrisdottir ◽  
Gauti Gislason ◽  
Ola Landgren ◽  
Ingemar Turesson ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Multiple myeloma (MM) causes lytic bone lesions, osteopenia, and fractures, which increase the morbidity of MM patients. Results from small previous studies have indicated that fractures in MM have a negative effect on survival. Aims The aim of the study was to evaluate the impact of fractures on survival in MM patients diagnosed in Sweden in the years 1990-2013. Furthermore, to analyze the effect of bone fractures at MM diagnosis on subsequent survival. Methods Patients diagnosed with MM in 1990-2013 were identified from the Swedish Cancer Registry. Information on date of birth, diagnosis, and death were collected from the Registry of Total Population. Information on all fractures were retrieved from the Swedish Patient Registry. Cox regression model was used with fractures as time-dependent variables. The effect of fractures on survival was assessed for any fracture or a subtype of fracture (a specific bone fracture or ICD-coded pathologic fracture). Either first fracture or the first subtype of fracture was used in the analysis. The effect of a fracture at MM diagnosis (within 30 days before or 30 days after MM diagnosis) on survival was also estimated using a Cox regression model. All models were adjusted for age, sex, time of diagnosis, and previous fractures. Results A total of 14,008 patients were diagnosed with MM in the study period. A total of 4,141 (29.6%) patients developed a fracture including fractures that occurred within a year before MM diagnosis and thereafter. Hereof 2,893 (20.7%) patients developed a fracture after MM diagnosis. The risk of death was significantly increased for patients that developed a fracture after the time of MM diagnosis with a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.00 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.91-2.10) for all fractures combined. The risk of death was significantly increased for patients that developed all subtypes of fractures after MM diagnosis except ankle fractures. The risk of death was significantly increased for patients that developed pathologic fractures (HR=2.17; 95% CI 2.03-2.32), vertebral fractures (HR=1.73; 95% CI 1.61-1.87), hip fractures (HR=1.99; 95% CI 1.82-2.18), femoral fractures (HR=2.62; 95% CI 2.32-2.98), humerus fractures (HR=2.57; 95% CI 2.32-2.86), forearm fractures (HR=1.24; 95% CI 1.05-1.46), and rib fractures (HR=1.52; 95% CI 1.31-1.77), but not for ankle fractures (HR 1.07; 95% CI 0.79-1.44). A total of 942 (6.7%) of all MM patients were diagnosed with a fracture within 30 days before or 30 days after MM diagnosis. The patients with a fracture at diagnosis were at a significantly increased risk of death compared to those without (HR 1.31; 95% CI 1.21-1.41; Figure) Conclusions Our large population-based study, including over 14,000 patients diagnosed with MM in Sweden in the years 1990-2013, showed that MM patients that developed a fracture after the time of diagnosis were at twofold increased risk of dying compared to MM patients without a fracture. Furthermore, MM patients with a fracture at diagnosis had a 30% higher risk of dying compared to patients without a fracture. Our results indicate that fractures in MM reflect a more advanced disease at diagnosis and stress the importance of managing MM bone disease in all MM patients. Figure. Figure. Disclosures Landgren: Takeda: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Merck: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Karyopharm: Consultancy; Janssen: Consultancy, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Pfizer: Consultancy; Celgene: Consultancy, Research Funding; Amgen: Consultancy, Research Funding.


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