Traffic Flow Breakdown Prediction using Machine Learning Approaches

2020 ◽  
Vol 2674 (10) ◽  
pp. 560-570
Author(s):  
Monika Filipovska ◽  
Hani S. Mahmassani
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Testing Machine ◽  
True Positive Rate ◽  
Probabilistic Methods ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Traffic Dynamics ◽  
True Negative ◽  
Prediction Approach

Traffic flow breakdown is the abrupt shift from operation at free-flow conditions to congested conditions and is typically the result of complex interactions in traffic dynamics. Because of its stochastic nature, breakdown is commonly predicted only in a probabilistic manner. This paper focuses on using stationary aggregated traffic data to capture traffic dynamics, developing and testing machine learning (ML) approaches for traffic breakdown prediction and comparing them with the traditionally used probabilistic approaches. The contribution of this study is three-fold: it explores the usefulness of temporally and spatially lagged detector data in predicting traffic flow breakdown occurrence, it develops and tests ML approaches for traffic breakdown prediction using this data, and it compares the predictive power and performance of these approaches with the traditionally used probabilistic methods. Feature selection results indicate that breakdown prediction benefits greatly from the inclusion of temporally and spatially lagged variables. Comparing the performance of the ML methods with the probabilistic approaches, ML methods achieve better prediction performance in relation to the class-balanced accuracy, true positive rate (recall), true negative rate (specificity), and positive predictive value (precision). Depending on the application of the prediction approach, the method selection criteria may differ on a case-by-case basis. Overall, the best performance was achieved by the neural network and support vector machine approaches with class balancing, and with the random forest approach without class balancing. Recommendations on the choice of prediction approaches based on the specific application objectives are also given.

Forecasting the risk at infractions: an ensemble comparison of machine learning approach

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Li ◽  
Desheng Wu
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Large Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Day To Day Operations ◽  
Prediction Approach

PurposeThe infraction of securities regulations (ISRs) of listed firms in their day-to-day operations and management has become one of common problems. This paper proposed several machine learning approaches to forecast the risk at infractions of listed corporates to solve financial problems that are not effective and precise in supervision.Design/methodology/approachThe overall proposed research framework designed for forecasting the infractions (ISRs) include data collection and cleaning, feature engineering, data split, prediction approach application and model performance evaluation. We select Logistic Regression, Naïve Bayes, Random Forest, Support Vector Machines, Artificial Neural Network and Long Short-Term Memory Networks (LSTMs) as ISRs prediction models.FindingsThe research results show that prediction performance of proposed models with the prior infractions provides a significant improvement of the ISRs than those without prior, especially for large sample set. The results also indicate when judging whether a company has infractions, we should pay attention to novel artificial intelligence methods, previous infractions of the company, and large data sets.Originality/valueThe findings could be utilized to address the problems of identifying listed corporates' ISRs at hand to a certain degree. Overall, results elucidate the value of the prior infraction of securities regulations (ISRs). This shows the importance of including more data sources when constructing distress models and not only focus on building increasingly more complex models on the same data. This is also beneficial to the regulatory authorities.

Application of Machine Learning Approaches for the Design and Study of Anticancer Drugs

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (5) ◽  
pp. 488-500 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Hu ◽  
Yi Lu ◽  
Shuo Wang ◽  
Mengying Zhang ◽  
Xiaosheng Qu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Drug Design ◽  
Anticancer Drugs ◽  
Nearest Neighbor ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
K Nearest Neighbor ◽  
Activity Prediction ◽  
Linear Discriminant

Background: Globally the number of cancer patients and deaths are continuing to increase yearly, and cancer has, therefore, become one of the world&#039;s highest causes of morbidity and mortality. In recent years, the study of anticancer drugs has become one of the most popular medical topics. </P><P> Objective: In this review, in order to study the application of machine learning in predicting anticancer drugs activity, some machine learning approaches such as Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA), Principal components analysis (PCA), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random forest (RF), k-Nearest Neighbor (kNN), and Naïve Bayes (NB) were selected, and the examples of their applications in anticancer drugs design are listed. </P><P> Results: Machine learning contributes a lot to anticancer drugs design and helps researchers by saving time and is cost effective. However, it can only be an assisting tool for drug design. </P><P> Conclusion: This paper introduces the application of machine learning approaches in anticancer drug design. Many examples of success in identification and prediction in the area of anticancer drugs activity prediction are discussed, and the anticancer drugs research is still in active progress. Moreover, the merits of some web servers related to anticancer drugs are mentioned.

scholarly journals Machine Learning Methods Applied to the Prediction of Pseudo-nitzschia spp. Blooms in the Galician Rias Baixas (NW Spain)

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 199
Author(s):  
Francisco M. Bellas Aláez ◽  
Jesus M. Torres Palenzuela ◽  
Evangelos Spyrakos ◽  
Luis González Vilas
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
False Alarms ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Rías Baixas ◽  
New Algorithms

This work presents new prediction models based on recent developments in machine learning methods, such as Random Forest (RF) and AdaBoost, and compares them with more classical approaches, i.e., support vector machines (SVMs) and neural networks (NNs). The models predict Pseudo-nitzschia spp. blooms in the Galician Rias Baixas. This work builds on a previous study by the authors (doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2014.03.003) but uses an extended database (from 2002 to 2012) and new algorithms. Our results show that RF and AdaBoost provide better prediction results compared to SVMs and NNs, as they show improved performance metrics and a better balance between sensitivity and specificity. Classical machine learning approaches show higher sensitivities, but at a cost of lower specificity and higher percentages of false alarms (lower precision). These results seem to indicate a greater adaptation of new algorithms (RF and AdaBoost) to unbalanced datasets. Our models could be operationally implemented to establish a short-term prediction system.

scholarly journals Practical CO2—WAG Field Operational Designs Using Hybrid Numerical-Machine-Learning Approaches

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 1055
Author(s):  
Qian Sun ◽  
William Ampomah ◽  
Junyu You ◽  
Martha Cather ◽  
Robert Balch
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Oil Recovery ◽  
History Matching ◽  
Optimization Problems ◽  
Learning Technologies ◽  
Petroleum Engineering ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Field Development ◽  
Proxy Models

Machine-learning technologies have exhibited robust competences in solving many petroleum engineering problems. The accurate predictivity and fast computational speed enable a large volume of time-consuming engineering processes such as history-matching and field development optimization. The Southwest Regional Partnership on Carbon Sequestration (SWP) project desires rigorous history-matching and multi-objective optimization processes, which fits the superiorities of the machine-learning approaches. Although the machine-learning proxy models are trained and validated before imposing to solve practical problems, the error margin would essentially introduce uncertainties to the results. In this paper, a hybrid numerical machine-learning workflow solving various optimization problems is presented. By coupling the expert machine-learning proxies with a global optimizer, the workflow successfully solves the history-matching and CO2 water alternative gas (WAG) design problem with low computational overheads. The history-matching work considers the heterogeneities of multiphase relative characteristics, and the CO2-WAG injection design takes multiple techno-economic objective functions into accounts. This work trained an expert response surface, a support vector machine, and a multi-layer neural network as proxy models to effectively learn the high-dimensional nonlinear data structure. The proposed workflow suggests revisiting the high-fidelity numerical simulator for validation purposes. The experience gained from this work would provide valuable guiding insights to similar CO2 enhanced oil recovery (EOR) projects.

scholarly journals Detection of Malicious Software by Analyzing Distinct Artifacts Using Machine Learning and Deep Learning Algorithms

Electronics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (14) ◽  
pp. 1694
Author(s):  
Mathew Ashik ◽  
A. Jyothish ◽  
S. Anandaram ◽  
P. Vinod ◽  
Francesco Mercaldo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Malware Analysis ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Dynamic Features ◽  
System Calls ◽  
Prevention Methods ◽  
Structural Aspects

Malware is one of the most significant threats in today’s computing world since the number of websites distributing malware is increasing at a rapid rate. Malware analysis and prevention methods are increasingly becoming necessary for computer systems connected to the Internet. This software exploits the system’s vulnerabilities to steal valuable information without the user’s knowledge, and stealthily send it to remote servers controlled by attackers. Traditionally, anti-malware products use signatures for detecting known malware. However, the signature-based method does not scale in detecting obfuscated and packed malware. Considering that the cause of a problem is often best understood by studying the structural aspects of a program like the mnemonics, instruction opcode, API Call, etc. In this paper, we investigate the relevance of the features of unpacked malicious and benign executables like mnemonics, instruction opcodes, and API to identify a feature that classifies the executable. Prominent features are extracted using Minimum Redundancy and Maximum Relevance (mRMR) and Analysis of Variance (ANOVA). Experiments were conducted on four datasets using machine learning and deep learning approaches such as Support Vector Machine (SVM), Naïve Bayes, J48, Random Forest (RF), and XGBoost. In addition, we also evaluate the performance of the collection of deep neural networks like Deep Dense network, One-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Network (1D-CNN), and CNN-LSTM in classifying unknown samples, and we observed promising results using APIs and system calls. On combining APIs/system calls with static features, a marginal performance improvement was attained comparing models trained only on dynamic features. Moreover, to improve accuracy, we implemented our solution using distinct deep learning methods and demonstrated a fine-tuned deep neural network that resulted in an F1-score of 99.1% and 98.48% on Dataset-2 and Dataset-3, respectively.

scholarly journals Analysis of the Nosema Cells Identification for Microscopic Images

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (9) ◽  
pp. 3068
Author(s):  
Soumaya Dghim ◽  
Carlos M. Travieso-González ◽  
Radim Burget
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Image Processing ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
The Other ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Microscopic Images ◽  
Trained Neural Network ◽  
Nosema Disease

The use of image processing tools, machine learning, and deep learning approaches has become very useful and robust in recent years. This paper introduces the detection of the Nosema disease, which is considered to be one of the most economically significant diseases today. This work shows a solution for recognizing and identifying Nosema cells between the other existing objects in the microscopic image. Two main strategies are examined. The first strategy uses image processing tools to extract the most valuable information and features from the dataset of microscopic images. Then, machine learning methods are applied, such as a neural network (ANN) and support vector machine (SVM) for detecting and classifying the Nosema disease cells. The second strategy explores deep learning and transfers learning. Several approaches were examined, including a convolutional neural network (CNN) classifier and several methods of transfer learning (AlexNet, VGG-16 and VGG-19), which were fine-tuned and applied to the object sub-images in order to identify the Nosema images from the other object images. The best accuracy was reached by the VGG-16 pre-trained neural network with 96.25%.

scholarly journals Dynamic Detection of Delayed Cerebral Ischemia Using Machine Learning

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Murad Megjhani ◽  
Kalijah Terilli ◽  
Ayham Alkhachroum ◽  
David J. Roh ◽  
Sachin Agarwal ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Cerebral Ischemia ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Delayed Cerebral Ischemia ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Physiologic Data ◽  
Over Time

AbstractObjectiveTo develop a machine learning based tool, using routine vital signs, to assess delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) risk over time.MethodsIn this retrospective analysis, physiologic data for 540 consecutive acute subarachnoid hemorrhage patients were collected and annotated as part of a prospective observational cohort study between May 2006 and December 2014. Patients were excluded if (i) no physiologic data was available, (ii) they expired prior to the DCI onset window (< post bleed day 3) or (iii) early angiographic vasospasm was detected on admitting angiogram. DCI was prospectively labeled by consensus of treating physicians. Occurrence of DCI was classified using various machine learning approaches including logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine (linear and kernel), and an ensemble classifier, trained on vitals and subject characteristic features. Hourly risk scores were generated as the posterior probability at time t. We performed five-fold nested cross validation to tune the model parameters and to report the accuracy. All classifiers were evaluated for good discrimination using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AU-ROC) and confusion matrices.ResultsOf 310 patients included in our final analysis, 101 (32.6%) patients developed DCI. We achieved maximal classification of 0.81 [0.75-0.82] AU-ROC. We also predicted 74.7 % of all DCI events 12 hours before typical clinical detection with a ratio of 3 true alerts for every 2 false alerts.ConclusionA data-driven machine learning based detection tool offered hourly assessments of DCI risk and incorporated new physiologic information over time.

scholarly journals Predicting Student’s Performance Using Machine Learning Algorithm

2021 ◽  
pp. 53-58
Author(s):  
Sheela Rani P ◽  
Dhivya S ◽  
Dharshini Priya M ◽  
Dharmila Chowdary A
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Naive Bayes ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Naïve Bayes ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
K Nearest Neighbors

Machine learning is a new analysis discipline that uses knowledge to boost learning, optimizing the training method and developing the atmosphere within which learning happens. There square measure 2 sorts of machine learning approaches like supervised and unsupervised approach that square measure accustomed extract the knowledge that helps the decision-makers in future to require correct intervention. This paper introduces an issue that influences students' tutorial performance prediction model that uses a supervised variety of machine learning algorithms like support vector machine , KNN(k-nearest neighbors), Naïve Bayes and supplying regression and logistic regression. The results supported by various algorithms are compared and it is shown that the support vector machine and Naïve Bayes performs well by achieving improved accuracy as compared to other algorithms. The final prediction model during this paper may have fairly high prediction accuracy .The objective is not just to predict future performance of students but also provide the best technique for finding the most impactful features that influence student’s while studying.

scholarly journals Machine Learning Frameworks in Cancer Detection

2021 ◽  
Vol 297 ◽  
pp. 01073
Author(s):  
Sabyasachi Pramanik ◽  
K. Martin Sagayam ◽  
Om Prakash Jena
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Cancer Development ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Fact Finding ◽  
Risk Of Cancer

Cancer has been described as a diverse illness with several distinct subtypes that may occur simultaneously. As a result, early detection and forecast of cancer types have graced essentially in cancer fact-finding methods since they may help to improve the clinical treatment of cancer survivors. The significance of categorizing cancer suffers into higher or lower-threat categories has prompted numerous fact-finding associates from the bioscience and genomics field to investigate the utilization of machine learning (ML) algorithms in cancer diagnosis and treatment. Because of this, these methods have been used with the goal of simulating the development and treatment of malignant diseases in humans. Furthermore, the capacity of machine learning techniques to identify important characteristics from complicated datasets demonstrates the significance of these technologies. These technologies include Bayesian networks and artificial neural networks, along with a number of other approaches. Decision Trees and Support Vector Machines which have already been extensively used in cancer research for the creation of predictive models, also lead to accurate decision making. The application of machine learning techniques may undoubtedly enhance our knowledge of cancer development; nevertheless, a sufficient degree of validation is required before these approaches can be considered for use in daily clinical practice. An overview of current machine learning approaches utilized in the simulation of cancer development is presented in this paper. All of the supervised machine learning approaches described here, along with a variety of input characteristics and data samples, are used to build the prediction models. In light of the increasing trend towards the use of machine learning methods in biomedical research, we offer the most current papers that have used these approaches to predict risk of cancer or patient outcomes in order to better understand cancer.

scholarly journals A Sound-based Machine Learning to Predict Traffic Vehicle Density

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 55-62
Author(s):  
Geoferleen Flores ◽  
◽  
Eduardo Jr. Piedad ◽  
Anzeneth Figueroa ◽  
Romari Tumamak ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Data Gathering ◽  
Sound Intensity ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Significant Challenge ◽  
Vehicle Density ◽  
Smart Technologies ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Traffic flow mismanagement is a significant challenge in all countries especially in crowded cities. An alternative solution is to utilize smart technologies to predict traffic flow. In this study, frequency spectrum describing traffic sound characteristics is used as an indicator to predict the next five-minute vehicle density. Sound frequency and vehicle intensity are collected during a thirteen-hour data gathering. The collected sound intensity and frequency are then used to learn three machine-learning models - support vector machine, artificial neural network, and random forest and to predict vehicle intensity. It was found out that the performances of the three models based on root-mean-square-error values are 12.97, 16.01, and 10.67, respectively. These initial and satisfactory results pave a new way to predict traffic flow based on traffic sound characteristics which may serve as a better alternative to conventional features.

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