The winner-loser satisfaction gap in the absence of a clear outcome

2022 ◽  
pp. 135406882110581
Author(s):  
Adrien A. Halliez ◽  
Judd R. Thornton
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Difference In Differences ◽  
Electoral Outcome ◽  
Satisfaction With Democracy ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The U.S

In this manuscript, we examine the impact of voting for the winning candidate on satisfaction with democracy. While extensive evidence exists documenting this relationship, it is almost entirely correlational in nature. We take advantage of survey timing during the 2000 post-election period in the U.S. when the vast majority of respondents were uncertain about who would win the presidency. Employing 2000–2002 panel data and using a difference-in-differences model, we are able to establish a relationship between electoral outcome and satisfaction with democracy that appears only for respondents interviewed once the outcome became official. We find an increase in satisfaction among winners and a parallel decrease among losers from 2000 to 2002. Importantly, our design allows us to go further than most studies to make causal claims.

scholarly journals Unemployment, Trust in Government, and Satisfaction with Democracy: An Empirical Investigation

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 ◽  
pp. 237802311775053 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul C. Bauer
Keyword(s):  
Life Satisfaction ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Strong Evidence ◽  
Employment Status ◽  
Empirical Investigation ◽  
Causal Link ◽  
Trust In Government ◽  
Individual Level ◽  
Satisfaction With Democracy ◽  
The Impact

Evidence suggests that unemployment negatively affects various aspects of individuals’ lives. The author investigates whether unemployment changes individuals’ political evaluations in the form of trust in government and satisfaction with democracy. While most research in this area operates on the macro level, the author provides individual-level evidence. In doing so, the author investigates the assumed causal link with panel data from Switzerland and the Netherlands. In addition, the author studies the impact on life satisfaction, a “control outcome,” known to be affected by unemployment. Although there is strong evidence that changes in employment status do affect life satisfaction, effects on trust in government and satisfaction with democracy seem mostly absent or negligible in size.

scholarly journals A Spatial Difference-in-Differences Approach to Evaluate the Efficiency of Urban Green Innovation under the Pilot Policy of Combining Technology and Finance

CONVERTER ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 719-727
Author(s):  
Xuefang Zhang, Wei Dai
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Natural Experiment ◽  
Spatial Difference ◽  
Green Innovation ◽  
Difference In Differences ◽  
Urban Green ◽  
The Impact

With the “Pilot Policy of Combining Technology and Finance” implemented in 2011 and 2016 as a quasi-natural experiment, taking the panel data of a total of 285 cities in China in 2003-2018 as an example, the spatial difference-in-differences models are used to evaluate the impact of pilot policy of combining technology and finance on urban green innovation efficiency. The study found that technology and finance pilot policies obviously increase the regional green innovation level. At the same time, local governments play an important role in regional green innovation practice activities, involving both positive and negative roles. The research herein provides quantitative support for evaluating the effects of technology and finance pilot policies, and provides a reference for the further innovation and promotion of the technology and finance pilot policies.

Do Casinos Contribute to Violent Crime? A Panel Data Analysis of Michigan Counties

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 34-54
Author(s):  
Philip Thompson ◽  
Greg A Falls
Keyword(s):  
Data Analysis ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Violent Crime ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Crime Rates ◽  
Violent Crimes ◽  
Aggravated Assault ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The U.S

A key part of the debate over the current rapid increase in the number of casinos in the U.S. concerns the impact on crime rates resulting from the presence of a casino. In this analysis we use panel data covering all 83 Michigan counties for each year 1994-2010 to investigate whether the existence and size of a casino in a host county or in a nearby county affect the rates of four violent crimes: murder, rape, aggravated assault, and arson. We include a number of variables to control for factors that affect crime more generally. We find that county violent crime rates in Michigan do not rise in the presence of a casino, and in the case of aggravated assault, may actually fall. Previous studies of the impact of casinos on a variety of crimes in a variety of locations have shown mixed results.

scholarly journals The impact of economic and demographic events in the biography of Russians on the level of their life satisfaction

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 1-23
Author(s):  
Oksana V. Kuznetsova
Keyword(s):  
Life Satisfaction ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Labour Market ◽  
Life Events ◽  
Difference In Differences ◽  
Men And Women ◽  
Significant Life ◽  
Monitoring Survey ◽  
The Difference ◽  
The Impact

The article examines anticipation and adaptation effects in relation to life satisfaction in case of economic (related to labour market) and demographic events in people’s lives. The author estimates how individuals feel in the vicinity of significant life events and tracks the asymmetry of results for women and men. The calculations are based on panel data from the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey for the period 2004–2019. Using pooled regression and the difference-in-differences approach, the author tests the hypothesis that men are more sensitive to economic events while women are more sensitive to demographic ones. The results indicate that there is no consistent asymmetry of effects for men and women. On average, citizens of Russia tend to anticipate events that will happen to them in the next three years. Generally, Russians do not adapt to new conditions after economic events, however, this does not apply to individual demographic shocks.

scholarly journals 'Take It or Go to Court': The Impact of Sec. 1a of the German Protection Against Dismissal Act on Severance Payments

2011 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Laszlo Goerke ◽  
Markus Pannenberg
Keyword(s):  
Theoretical Model ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
West Germany ◽  
Legal Change ◽  
Difference In Differences ◽  
Severance Pay ◽  
Severance Payments ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Empirical Issue ◽  
The Impact

In 2004, a section was added to the German Protection against Dismissal Act, establishing a new procedure to dismiss an employee, given a predetermined severance payment. Most legal scholars presume the change to be without impact, while a minority of experts claims it to be either beneficial or unfavorable to employees. Our theoretical model suggests that firms will use the new procedure, but that the change in payoffs is indeterminate and, therefore, an empirical issue. Exploiting the fact that collective dismissals are not directly affected by the amendment, difference-in-differences estimates based on panel data for West Germany indicate that the legal change did have a negative effect on severance pay.

Evaluation of the impact of public investment programs on social and economic performance of territories

2019 ◽  
pp. 109-123
Author(s):  
I. E. Limonov ◽  
M. V. Nesena
Keyword(s):  
Bayesian Modeling ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Difference In Differences ◽  
The Public ◽  
Export Activity ◽  
Regional Investment ◽  
The Difference ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Development Institution

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the impact of public investment programs on the socio-economic development of territories. As a case, the federal target programs for the development of regions and investment programs of the financial development institution — Vnesheconombank, designed to solve the problems of regional development are considered. The impact of the public interventions were evaluated by the “difference in differences” method using Bayesian modeling. The results of the evaluation suggest the positive impact of federal target programs on the total factor productivity of regions and on innovation; and that regional investment programs of Vnesheconombank are improving the export activity. All of the investments considered are likely to have contributed to the reduction of unemployment, but their implementation has been accompanied by an increase in social inequality.

Retrospective analysis of the resilience of Russian regions as socio-economic systems

2019 ◽  
pp. 46-64 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vladimir V. Klimanov ◽  
Sofiya М. Kazakova ◽  
Anna A. Mikhaylova
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Economic Systems ◽  
Financial Indicators ◽  
Russian Regions ◽  
Integral Index ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Economic Resilience ◽  
Correlation Dependence ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

The article examines the impact of various socio-economic and financial indicators on the resilience of Russian regions. For each region, the integral index of resilience is calculated, and its correlation dependence with the selected indicators is revealed. The study confirms the relationship between fiscal resilience and socio-economic resilience of the regions. The analysis of panel data for 75 regions from 2007 to 2016 shows that there are significant differences in the dynamics of indicators in different periods. In particular, the degree of exposure to the negative effects of the crises of 2008—2009 and 2014—2015 in non-resilient regions is higher than in resilient ones.

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