scholarly journals Identification of a Predictive Pre-Chemotherapy Score for Febrile Neutropenia - the Fnipi INDEX

Blood ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 136 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 16-17
Author(s):  
Marco Sanna ◽  
Giovanni Caocci ◽  
Antonio Ledda ◽  
Elisabetta Belardinelli ◽  
Pietro Garau ◽  
...  

Introduction Febrile neutropenia (FN) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in hematology; typically, patients considered at high risk of FN are those who experience chemotherapy-induced neutropenia longer than 7 days. Other potential risk factors have been reported to impact on mortality but evidence is scarce. Also, clinicians still lack valid prediction model to identify patients at increased risk of FN. Methods We retrospectively analyzed a cohort of 100 consecutive patients who underwent intensive chemotherapy cycles (ICC) for several hematologic malignancies from October 2019 to February 2020, for a total of 368 chemotherapy courses. All patients were evaluated for age, sex, diagnosis, central line catheter, disease status, chemotherapy regimen, number of previous ICC administered, antibiotic prophylaxis, antimycotic prophylaxis, antiviral prophylaxis, anti-hepatitis B reactivation prophylaxis, G-CSF therapy, pegylated (PEG)-G-CSF therapy, previous appendectomy, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disorder (COPD), previous FN. A binary logistic regression was used to evaluate the association between independent variables and FN; statistically significant variables were included in a FN predictive score. Results In univariate analysis, an higher incidence of FN was found in patients with active disease (p<0.001, HR=3.98, 95%CI= 2.07-7,66), AML diagnosis (p<0.001, HR=6,6, 95%CI= 2.82-15.6), previous appendectomy (p<0.001, HR=3.45, 95%CI=1.65-7.2), diabetes (p<0.001, HR=4.23, 95%CI= 1.77-10.1), central line catheter in comparison with peripherally inserted central catheter (PICC) or no central line catheter (p<0.001, HR=2.66, 95%CI=1.36-5.1), CHOP like chemotherapy (p<0.001, HR=0.39, 95%CI=1.28-5.3), ICC<3, (p=0.006, HR=2,6, 95%CI=1,28-5,3). In multivariate analysis only 4 variables remained significantly associated with FN incidence: AML diagnosis (p=0.007, HR=4.28, 95%CI=1.48-12.38), active disease (p=0.002, HR=3.11, 95%CI=1.5-6.45), previous appendectomy (p=0.007, HR=3.19, 95%CI=1.36-7.47) and diabetes (p=0.01, HR=3.6, 95%CI=1.34-9.67) (Figure 1). The 4 significant variables were considered in a new score called Febrile Neutropenia Incidence Prognostic Index (FNIPI). A single point was assigned to each variable, for a maximum of 4 points. The incidence of FN was found significantly higher in cycles showing a FNIPI score of 2-4 in comparison with 0-1 (p<0.001, HR=10.1, 95%CI 4.77-21.3). Conclusions We identified several pre-treatment risk factors associated with chemotherapy-induced FN risk. Here we propose a novel score, the FNIPI, based on 4 factors (AML diagnosis, active disease, previous appendicectomy, diabetes) that discriminates patients at risk of FN after ICC. Risk assessment tools could represent a useful instrument for clinicians, to develop adequate strategies in patients at high risk of FN. To note, this observation requires larger prospective cohorts to be confirmed. Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.

Stroke ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 45 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael F Waters ◽  
Brian L Hoh ◽  
Michael J Lynn ◽  
Tanya N Turan ◽  
Colin P Derdeyn ◽  
...  

Background: The SAMMPRIS trial showed that aggressive medical therapy was more effective than stenting for preventing stroke in high-risk patients with symptomatic intracranial stenosis. However, 15% of patients in the medical group still had a primary endpoint (any stroke or death within 30 days of enrollment or stroke in the territory beyond 30 days) during a median follow-up of 32.7 months. We sought to determine baseline risk factors that were associated with a primary endpoint in the medical arm of SAMMPRIS. Methods: Data on 227 patients randomized to the medical group in SAMMPRIS were analyzed. Baseline demographic features, vascular risk factors, qualifying event, brain imaging and angiographic features were analyzed. The hazard ratio and p-value from a Cox proportional hazard regression model relating time until a primary endpoint to each factor were calculated. Results: Female gender, diabetes, stroke as the qualifying event (especially non-penetrator stroke), old infarct in the territory of the stenotic artery, and > 80% stenosis were associated (p < 0.10) with a higher risk of the primary endpoint on univariate analysis (see accompanying table) (multivariate analysis will be available by the time of ISC). Variables not associated with a higher risk of a primary endpoint in the medical arm included: age, race, antithrombotic therapy at the time of a qualifying event, time from qualifying event to enrollment (< 7 days vs. > 7 days), and location of stenosis. Conclusions: Several features were associated with an increased risk of the primary endpoint in the medical group in SAMMPRIS. On univariate analysis, the most important risk factors were an old infarct in the territory of the stenotic artery and stroke (especially non-penetrator stroke) as the qualifying event. These features will be useful for identifying particularly high-risk patients who should be targeted for future clinical trials testing alternative therapies to aggressive medical management.


Blood ◽  
1998 ◽  
Vol 92 (2) ◽  
pp. 405-410 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.Y. Blay ◽  
A. Le Cesne ◽  
C. Mermet ◽  
C. Maugard ◽  
A. Ravaud ◽  
...  

Abstract Severe thrombocytopenia is a rare but life-threatening side effect of cytotoxic chemotherapy for which risk factors are not well known. Our objective was to delineate a risk model for chemotherapy-induced thrombocytopenia requiring platelet transfusions in cancer patients. Univariate and multivariate analysis of risk factors for chemotherapy-induced thrombocytopenia requiring platelet transfusions were performed on the cohort of the 1,051 patients (CLB 1996) treated with chemotherapy in the Department of Medicine of the Centre Léon Bérard (CLB) in 1996. In univariate analysis, performance status (PS) greater than 1, platelet count less than 150,000/μL at day 1 (d1) before the initiation of chemotherapy, d1 lymphocyte count ≤700/μL, d1 polymorphonuclear leukocyte count less than 1,500/μL, and the type of chemotherapy (high risk v others) were significantly associated (P &lt; .01) with an increased risk of severe thrombocytopenia requiring platelet transfusions. Using logistic regression, d1 platelet count less than 150,000/μL (odds ratio [OR], 4.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.9 to 9.6), d1 lymphocyte counts ≤700/μL (OR, 3.37; 95% CI, 1.77 to 6.4), the type of chemotherapy (OR, 3.38; 95% CI, 1.77 to 6.4), and PS greater than 1 (OR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.22 to 4.1) were identified as independent risk factors for platelet transfusions. The observed incidences of platelet transfusions were 45%, 13%, 7%, and 1.5% for patients with ≥3, 2, 1, or 0 risk factors, respectively. This model was then tested in 3 groups of patients treated with chemotherapy used as validation samples: (1) the series of 340 patients treated in the CLB in the first 6 months of 1997, (2) the prospective multicentric cohort of 321 patients of the ELYPSE 1 study, and (3) the series of 149 patients with non-Hodgkin's lymphoma treated in the CLB within prospective phase III trials (1987 to 1995). In these 3 groups, the observed incidences of platelet transfusions in the above-defined risk groups did not differ significantly (P &gt; .1) from those calculated in the model. This risk index could be useful to identify patients at high risk for chemotherapy-induced thrombocytopenia requiring platelet transfusions.


Blood ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 120 (21) ◽  
pp. 2244-2244
Author(s):  
Jatin J. Shah ◽  
Aparna Hegde ◽  
Xiao Zhou ◽  
Sheeba K. Thomas ◽  
Michael Wang ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 2244 Background: Patients (pts) with MM are at increased risk for VTE due to various risk factors related to the host, disease, and treatment. Immunomodulatory drugs (IMiDs) such as thalidomide and lenalidomide have further increased the risk of VTE. Several studies have shown the VTE risk can be reduced with the use of low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) or aspirin thromboprophylaxis. Based on these findings, VTE thromboprophylaxis has been recommended in pts receiving IMiDs + Dexamethasone (Dex), but the impact of these guidelines on patient outcomes in clinical practice is unclear. The objective of this observational study was to evaluate the incidence, timing and risk factors of VTE and the impact of different types of thromboprophylaxis on the incidence of VTE. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study, and included all MM pts newly referred to the M.D. Anderson Cancer Center in 2006. Medical records of these pts were reviewed for the type and site of VTE, the incidence and timing of VTE during the five-year period from the referral date, and the risk factors, including pt demographics, co-morbidities, baseline laboratory values, types of MM and treatment, and types of thromboprophylaxis. Univariate and multivariate proportional hazard models were fitted to find the independent risk factors predictive of VTE. The stepwise selection method was employed to build a multivariate model using variables with p<0.15 in univariate analysis. Results: The cumulative incidence of VTE was 24% (38/159 pts) during the 5-year follow up period. Of the 38 pts with VTE, 25 (66%) had deep vein thrombosis (DVT), 11 (29%) had pulmonary embolus (PE), and 2 had concurrent DVT and PE. Most of the pts (32/38, 84%) had VTE within 1 year from the referral date. The incidence of recurrent VTE among these pts was 27.5% (11/38 pts), for a total of 52 episodes. Since the majority of VTEs and recurrences were within one year, we examined the risk factors for VTE during this period. Treatment with IMiDs + Dex and thromboprophylaxis with LMWH or Coumadin were independent predictive factors as shown below. The incidence of VTE was highest in pts exposed to IMiDs + Dex (30/38 pts), even after discontinuation of treatment, with most episodes (17/30) occurring during the preparation (7/30) or within 30 days (10/30) following hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT), when most (16/17) pts were not receiving anti-coagulants. Conclusions: These findings suggest that patients treated with IMiDs + Dex are at high risk for VTE, even after discontinuation of this treatment, especially, during and after the HSCT period. Future studies are needed to investigate VTE prevention strategies for this high-risk pt population. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


Blood ◽  
1998 ◽  
Vol 92 (2) ◽  
pp. 405-410
Author(s):  
J.Y. Blay ◽  
A. Le Cesne ◽  
C. Mermet ◽  
C. Maugard ◽  
A. Ravaud ◽  
...  

Severe thrombocytopenia is a rare but life-threatening side effect of cytotoxic chemotherapy for which risk factors are not well known. Our objective was to delineate a risk model for chemotherapy-induced thrombocytopenia requiring platelet transfusions in cancer patients. Univariate and multivariate analysis of risk factors for chemotherapy-induced thrombocytopenia requiring platelet transfusions were performed on the cohort of the 1,051 patients (CLB 1996) treated with chemotherapy in the Department of Medicine of the Centre Léon Bérard (CLB) in 1996. In univariate analysis, performance status (PS) greater than 1, platelet count less than 150,000/μL at day 1 (d1) before the initiation of chemotherapy, d1 lymphocyte count ≤700/μL, d1 polymorphonuclear leukocyte count less than 1,500/μL, and the type of chemotherapy (high risk v others) were significantly associated (P < .01) with an increased risk of severe thrombocytopenia requiring platelet transfusions. Using logistic regression, d1 platelet count less than 150,000/μL (odds ratio [OR], 4.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.9 to 9.6), d1 lymphocyte counts ≤700/μL (OR, 3.37; 95% CI, 1.77 to 6.4), the type of chemotherapy (OR, 3.38; 95% CI, 1.77 to 6.4), and PS greater than 1 (OR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.22 to 4.1) were identified as independent risk factors for platelet transfusions. The observed incidences of platelet transfusions were 45%, 13%, 7%, and 1.5% for patients with ≥3, 2, 1, or 0 risk factors, respectively. This model was then tested in 3 groups of patients treated with chemotherapy used as validation samples: (1) the series of 340 patients treated in the CLB in the first 6 months of 1997, (2) the prospective multicentric cohort of 321 patients of the ELYPSE 1 study, and (3) the series of 149 patients with non-Hodgkin's lymphoma treated in the CLB within prospective phase III trials (1987 to 1995). In these 3 groups, the observed incidences of platelet transfusions in the above-defined risk groups did not differ significantly (P > .1) from those calculated in the model. This risk index could be useful to identify patients at high risk for chemotherapy-induced thrombocytopenia requiring platelet transfusions.


2021 ◽  
pp. 103985622098403
Author(s):  
Marianne Wyder ◽  
Manaan Kar Ray ◽  
Samara Russell ◽  
Kieran Kinsella ◽  
David Crompton ◽  
...  

Introduction: Risk assessment tools are routinely used to identify patients at high risk. There is increasing evidence that these tools may not be sufficiently accurate to determine the risk of suicide of people, particularly those being treated in community mental health settings. Methods: An outcome analysis for case serials of people who died by suicide between January 2014 and December 2016 and had contact with a public mental health service within 31 days prior to their death. Results: Of the 68 people who had contact, 70.5% had a formal risk assessment. Seventy-five per cent were classified as low risk of suicide. None were identified as being at high risk. While individual risk factors were identified, these did not allow to differentiate between patients classified as low or medium. Discussion: Risk categorisation contributes little to patient safety. Given the dynamic nature of suicide risk, a risk assessment should focus on modifiable risk factors and safety planning rather than risk prediction. Conclusion: The prediction value of suicide risk assessment tools is limited. The risk classifications of high, medium or low could become the basis of denying necessary treatment to many and delivering unnecessary treatment to some and should not be used for care allocation.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Wang ◽  
Chao Bian ◽  
Di Xia ◽  
Jin-Xi He ◽  
Ping Hai ◽  
...  

We aimed to evaluate the role of pretreatment carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in predicting brain metastasis after radical surgery for lung adenocarcinoma patients. The records of 103 patients with completely resected lung adenocarcinoma between 2013 and 2014 were reviewed. Clinicopathologic characteristics of these patients were assessed in the Cox proportional hazards regression model. Brain metastasis occurred in 12 patients (11.6%). On univariate analysis, N2 stage (P = 0.013), stage III (P = 0.016), increased CEA level (P = 0.006), and higher PLR value (P = 0.020) before treatment were associated with an increased risk of developing brain metastasis. In multivariate model analysis, CEA above 5.2 ng/mL (P = 0.014) and PLR ≥ 120 (P = 0.036) remained as the risk factors for brain metastasis. The combination of CEA and PLR was superior to CEA or PLR alone in predicting brain metastasis according to the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis (area under ROC curve, AUC 0.872 versus 0.784 versus 0.704). Pretreatment CEA and PLR are independent and significant risk factors for occurrence of brain metastasis in resected lung adenocarcinoma patients. Combining these two factors may improve the predictability of brain metastasis.


2012 ◽  
Vol 22 (8) ◽  
pp. 1389-1397 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seiji Mabuchi ◽  
Mika Okazawa ◽  
Yasuto Kinose ◽  
Koji Matsuo ◽  
Masateru Fujiwara ◽  
...  

ObjectivesTo evaluate the significance of adenosquamous carcinoma (ASC) compared with adenocarcinoma (AC) in the survival of surgically treated early-stage cervical cancer.MethodsWe retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 163 patients with International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics stage IA2 to stage IIB cervical cancer who had been treated with radical hysterectomy with or without adjuvant radiotherapy between January 1998 and December 2008. The patients were classified according to the following: (1) histological subtype (ASC group or AC group) and (2) pathological risk factors (low-risk or intermediate/high-risk group). Survival was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Multivariate analysis of progression-free survival (PFS) was performed using the Cox proportional hazards regression model to investigate the prognostic significance of histological subtype.ResultsClinicopathological characteristics were similar between the ASC and AC histology groups. Patients with the ASC histology displayed a PFS rate similar to that of the patients with the AC histology in both the low-risk and intermediate/high-risk groups. Neither the recurrence rate nor the pattern of recurrence differed between the ASC group and the AC group. Univariate analysis revealed that patients with pelvic lymph node metastasis and parametrial invasion achieved significantly shorter PFS than those without these risk factors.ConclusionsCharacteristics of the patients and the tumors as well as survival outcomes of ASC were comparable to adenocarcinoma of early-stage uterine cervix treated with radical hysterectomy. Our results in part support that the management of ASC could be the same as the one of AC of the uterine cervix.


Author(s):  
Cassie A Simmons ◽  
Nicolas Poupore ◽  
Fernando Gonzalez ◽  
Thomas I Nathaniel

Introduction : Age is the single most important risk factor for stroke and an estimated 75% of all strokes occur in people >65 years of age. In addition, adults >75 years’ experience more hospitalization stays and higher mortality rates with an estimated 50% in the occurrence of all strokes. Several comorbidities have been linked to an increased risk and severity of acute ischemic stroke (AIS). How these factors differentially contribute to the severity of stroke in patients ages >65 and <75 as well as those ≥75 is not known. In this study, we aim to investigate how age, coupled with various clinical risk factors, affects AIS severity within these two age categories. Methods : This retrospective data analysis study was conducted using the data collected from the PRISMA Health Stroke Registry between 2010 and 2016. Baseline clinical and demographic data for patients ages >65 and <75 as well as those ≥75 was analyzed using univariate analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and multivariate regression models were used to examine the association of specific baseline risk factors or comorbidities associated with worsening or improving neurologic functions. The primary functions were risk factors associated with improving or worsening neurologic outcome in each age category. Results : Adjusted multivariate analysis showed that AIS population of patients >65 and <75 experiencing heart failure (OR = 4.398, 95% CI, 3.912 – 494.613, P = 0.002) and elevated HDL levels (OR = 1.066, 95% CI, 1.009 – 1.126, P = 0.024) trended towards worsening neurologic functions while patients experiencing obesity (OR = 0.177, 95% CI, 0.041 – 0.760, P = 0.020) exhibited improving neurologic functions. For the patients ≥75 years of age, direct admission (OR = 0.270, 95% CI, 0.085 – 0.856, P = 0.026) was associated with improvement of patients treated in the telestroke. Conclusions : Age is a strong risk factor for AIS, and aged stroke patients have higher morbidity and worsening functional recovery than younger patients. In this study, we observed differences in stroke risk factor profiles for >65 and <75 and ≥75 age categories. Heart failure and elevated HDL levels were significantly associated with worsening neurologic functions among AIS for patients aged >65 and <75. Obese patients and individuals ≥75 years who were directly admitted were most likely to exhibit improving neurologic functions. Most importantly, findings from this study reveal specific risk factors that can be managed to improve the care in older stroke patients treated in the telestroke network.


2008 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 357-362 ◽  
Author(s):  
W.-G. Lu ◽  
F. Ye ◽  
Y.-M. Shen ◽  
Y.-F. Fu ◽  
H.-Z. Chen ◽  
...  

This study was designed to analyze the outcomes of chemotherapy for high-risk gestational trophoblastic neoplasia (GTN) with EMA-CO regimen as primary and secondary protocol in China. Fifty-four patients with high-risk GTN received 292 EMA/CO treatment cycles between 1996 and 2005. Forty-five patients were primarily treated with EMA-CO, and nine were secondarily treated after failure to other combination chemotherapy. Adjuvant surgery and radiotherapy were used in the selected patients. Response, survival and related risk factors, as well as chemotherapy complications, were retrospectively analyzed. Thirty-five of forty-five patients (77.8%) receiving EMA-CO as first-line treatment achieved complete remission, and 77.8% (7/9) as secondary treatment. The overall survival rate was 87.0% in all high-risk GTN patients, with 93.3% (42/45) as primary therapy and 55.6% (5/9) as secondary therapy. The survival rates were significantly different between two groups (χ2= 6.434, P = 0.011). Univariate analysis showed that the metastatic site and the number of metastatic organs were significant risk factors, but binomial distribution logistic regression analysis revealed that only the number of metastatic organs was an independent risk factor for the survival rate. No life-threatening toxicity and secondary malignancy were found. EMA-EP regimen was used for ten patients who were resistant to EMA-CO and three who relapsed after EMA-CO. Of those, 11 patients (84.6%) achieved complete remission. We conclude that EMA-CO regimen is an effective and safe primary therapy for high-risk GTN, but not an appropriate second-line protocol. The number of metastatic organs is an independent prognostic factor for the patient with high-risk GTN. EMA-EP regimen is a highly effective salvage therapy for those failing to EMA-CO.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (35) ◽  
pp. 149-159
Author(s):  
Aline Okipney ◽  
Jéssica Romanelli Amorim de Souza ◽  
Antonio Carlos Ligocki Campos ◽  
Leticia Fuganti Campos ◽  
Paula Rodrigues Anjo ◽  
...  

Introduction: The intestinal microbiota has a symbiotic relationship with the human being. Its alteration, known as dysbiosis, can result in several diseases. Some risk factors may predict the occurrence of this condition. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effectiveness of the National Dysbiosis Survey (INDIS) in the risk stratification of hospitalized adult patients that presented with intestinal dysbiosis. Methods: 100 patients hospitalized at the Hospital das Clínicas da UFPR were interviewed through INDIS. In this questionnaire, risk factors for dysbiosis of each patient were established and the dysbiosis degree was stratified in low, medium, high, and very high risk. Results: Most patients were classified as medium (43%) and high risk (39%) of dysbiosis. The univariate analysis revealed an association between the degree of dysbiosis and elderly patients (p=0.034), number of comorbidities (p<0.001), presence of diarrhea or constipation (p<0.001) and medication in use [antibiotic and/or proton pump inhibitor (PII); p<0.001]. In the multivariate analysis, the most important influence in classification was the presence of diarrhea or constipation (OR=3.00, 95% CI [1.73, 5.21] p<0.001) and medication in use (Score 3: OR = 53.4, 95% CI [2.73, 1045.5], p=0.009 and Score 4-8: OR = 1709.1, 95% CI [50.27, 58103.5] p<0.001), both independent predictors of high and very high risk of dysbiosis. Conclusion: The risk degree of intestinal dysbiosis is greater in the presence of diarrhea or constipation, the use of antibiotics and/or PII, and in elderly patients. Once the risks of dysbiosis have been defined, INDIS proved to be an effective and rapid tool for risk stratification of dysbiosis in the study population, future studies should determine the relevance of therapeutic interventions with the purpose of normalizing the intestinal flora.


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