scholarly journals Disability and the risk of subsequent mortality in elderly: a 12-year longitudinal population-based study

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Yang ◽  
Zhaohui Du ◽  
Yafei Liu ◽  
Jiahui Lao ◽  
Xiaoru Sun ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Assessment the impact of disability on mortality among the elderly is vital to healthy ageing. The present study aimed to assess the long-term influence of disability on death in the elderly based on a longitudinal study. Method This study used the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Study (CLHLS) data from 2002 to 2014, including 13,666 participants aged 65 years and older in analyses. The Katz ADL index was used to assess disability status and levels. Cumulative mortality rates were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional hazards models were conducted to estimate associations between disability and all-cause mortality for overall participants, two age groups as well as specific chronic disease groups. All reported results were adjusted by survey weights to account for the complex survey design. Results During the 12-year follow-up, the death density was 6.01 per 100 person-years. The 3-years’ cumulative mortality rate of nondisabled elderly was 11.9% (95%CI: 10.9, 12.9%). As the level of disability increased, the cumulative mortality rate was from 28.1% (95%CI: 23.0, 33.1%) to 77.6% (95%CI: 63.8, 91.4%). Compared with non-disabled elderly, the multiple-adjusted hazard ratio of death due to disability was 1.68 (95% CI: 1.48, 1.90). The hazard ratios varied from 1.44 (95%CI: 1.23, 1.67) to 4.45 (95%CI: 2.69, 7.38) after classifying the disability levels. The hazard ratios of death in the young-old group (65–79 years) were higher than the old-old group (80 years and over) in both level B (HR = 1.58, 95%CI: 1.25, 2.00 vs. HR = 1.22, 95%CI: 1.06, 1.39, P = 0.029) and level G (HR = 24.09, 95%CI: 10.83, 53.60 vs. HR = 2.56, 95%CI: 1.75, 3.74, P < 0.001). For patients with hypertension, diabetes, heart disease, cerebrovascular disease as well as dementia, disability increases their relative risk of mortality by 1.64 (95%CI: 1.40, 1.93), 2.85 (95%CI: 1.46, 5.58), 1.45 (95%CI: 1.02, 2.05), 2.13 (95%CI: 1.54, 2.93) and 3.56 (95%CI: 1.22, 10.38) times, respectively. Conclusions Disability increases the risk of all-cause death in the elderly, especially those with chronic diseases and the young-old group. Further studies are needed to better understand how to effectively prevent disability in the older population.

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Leonard Naymagon ◽  
Douglas Tremblay ◽  
John Mascarenhas

Data supporting the use of etoposide-based therapy in hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH) arise largely from pediatric studies. There is a lack of comparable data among adult patients with secondary HLH. We conducted a retrospective study to assess the impact of etoposide-based therapy on outcomes in adult secondary HLH. The primary outcome was overall survival. The log-rank test was used to compare Kaplan-Meier distributions of time-to-event outcomes. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards modeling was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Ninety adults with secondary HLH seen between January 1, 2009, and January 6, 2020, were included. Forty-two patients (47%) received etoposide-based therapy, while 48 (53%) received treatment only for their inciting proinflammatory condition. Thirty-three patients in the etoposide group (72%) and 32 in the no-etoposide group (67%) died during follow-up. Median survival in the etoposide and no-etoposide groups was 1.04 and 1.39 months, respectively. There was no significant difference in survival between the etoposide and no-etoposide groups (log-rank <i>p</i> = 0.4146). On multivariable analysis, there was no association between treatment with etoposide and survival (HR for death with etoposide = 1.067, 95% CI: 0.633–1.799, <i>p</i> = 0.8084). Use of etoposide-based therapy was not associated with improvement in outcomes in this large cohort of adult secondary HLH patients.


Stroke ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 46 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zuber S Ali ◽  
Danielle M Greere ◽  
Robyn L Shearer ◽  
Syed Ali Gardezi ◽  
Arshad Jahangir

Introduction: Androgen suppression therapy for prostate cancer is controversial due to adverse fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular outcomes reported in some studies. However, effects of androgen suppression on stroke have not been fully assessed in the elderly. Methods: Patients diagnosed with prostate cancer during 2007-2013 in a large community-based healthcare system were identified from the Cancer Registry, electronic records, and billing codes. Those who underwent androgen suppression therapy with Gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonist (GnRH) were propensity-matched to patients treated without androgen suppression therapy by age at cancer diagnosis, race/ethnicity, disease stage and outcome, body mass index and use of surgery, radiation, and chemotherapy. Tests of independence and Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine effects of hormone therapy on acute myocardial infarction (AMI), stroke, and mortality outcomes. Models also adjusted for patient comorbidities. Results: A total of 1282 patients and 641 matched-pairs were identified, with mean diagnosis age of 69 yr and follow-up period of 3.05 yr. Effects of androgen suppression therapy on AMI (P=0.051) and stroke (P=0.062) were of marginal to non-significance, but adjusted-odds of death and combined AMI, stroke, and death were 1.61 times (P=0.002; odds ratio [OR] 95% CI: 1.19-2.18) and 1.70 times (P<0.001; OR 95% CI: 1.26-2.28) greater, respectively, for men with than without androgen suppression. An interaction of androgen suppression and age-group (<65 yr, 65-74 yr, >74 yr) was discovered for combined outcomes, suggesting increased probability of AMI, stroke, and/or death with age (8.6-20.0%; P=0.003) for patients without androgen suppression but elevated risk of outcomes across all age groups (18.3-22.4%; P=0.546) for men treated with androgen suppression therapy. Conclusion: Endogenous androgen suppression presents elevated risk of combined cardiovascular and death outcomes, especially for men <65 yr.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 10051-10051
Author(s):  
Danielle Novetsky Friedman ◽  
Pamela J Goodman ◽  
Wendy Leisenring ◽  
Lisa Diller ◽  
Susan Lerner Cohn ◽  
...  

10051 Background: Infants with neuroblastoma typically have low-risk disease with excellent survival. Therapy has been de-intensified over time to minimize late effects, however the impact on survivors’ risk of late mortality, subsequent malignant neoplasms (SMN), and chronic health conditions (CHC) is unclear. Methods: We evaluated late mortality, SMNs and CHCs (graded according to CTCAE v4.03), overall and by diagnosis era, among 990 5-year neuroblastoma survivors diagnosed at < 1 year of age between 1970-1999. Cumulative mortality, standardized mortality ratios (SMR), and standardized incidence ratios (SIR) of SMNs were estimated using the National Death Index and SEER rates, respectively. Cox proportional hazards estimated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for CHC, compared to 5,051 CCSS siblings. Results: Among survivors (48% female; median attained age: 24 years, range 6-46), there was increased treatment with surgery alone across the 1970s, 1980s and 1990s (21.5%, 35.3%, 41.1%, respectively), but decreased treatment with combination surgery + radiation (22.5%, 5.3%, 0.3%, respectively) and surgery + radiation + chemotherapy (28.7%, 14.7%, 9.3%, respectively). The 20-year cumulative mortality was 2.3% (95% CI, 1.4-3.8), primarily due to SMNs (SMRSMN= 10.0, 95% CI, 4.5-22.3). The 20-year cumulative incidence of SMN was 1.2% (95% CI, 0.3-3.2), 2.5% (95% CI, 1.3-4.4), and zero for those diagnosed in the 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s, respectively. SIR was highest for renal SMNs (SIR 12.5, 95% CI, 1.7-89.4). Compared to siblings, survivors were at increased risk for grade 1-5 CHC (HR 2.1, 95% CI, 1.9-2.3) with similar HR across eras (HR1970s= 1.9, 95% CI, 1.6-2.2; HR1980s= 2.2, 95% CI, 1.9-2.6; HR1990s= 2.0, 95% CI, 1.7-2.4). The HR of severe, disabling, life-threatening and fatal CHC (grades 3-5) decreased in more recent eras (HR1970s= 4.7, 95% CI, 3.4-6.6; HR1980s= 4.4, 95% CI, 3.2-6.2; HR1990s= 2.9, 95% CI, 2.0-4.3). Conclusions: Survivors of infant neuroblastoma remain at increased risk for late mortality, SMN, and CHCs many years after diagnosis. However, the risk of grade 3-5 CHCs has declined in more recent eras, likely reflecting de-intensification of therapy.


Blood ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 136 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 26-27
Author(s):  
Laura Tapley ◽  
Pamela Skrabek ◽  
Pascal Lambert ◽  
Jenniebie Bravo ◽  
Kathleen Decker ◽  
...  

Introduction: Non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) is the most prevalent hematologic malignancy, with most people diagnosed aged over 65 years (Alexander et. al. Int.J.Cancer 2007). Older populations have more comorbid health conditions, frailty, polypharmacy, and health resource use (Ogle et. al. Cancer 2000). The complex interplay of these factors may influence the prescription of curative therapy and prognosis. In trials evaluating NHL therapies, elderly patients are underrepresented, particularly those with frailty or comorbidity, resulting in knowledge gaps. We report a retrospective, population-based cohort study of aggressive NHL patients and examine the impact of age and its interaction with comorbidity and polypharmacy on treatment patterns and survival. Methods: Using the Manitoba Cancer Registry we identified patients aged over 18 years with NHL diagnosed from 2004-2015. We limited the cohort to aggressive NHL types using morphology codes. Data on demographics, stage, NHL type, comorbidities, polypharmacy, and chemotherapy were obtained from population-based provincial databases. Comorbidity was measured using Johns Hopkins ACG System software, which factored in all measured hospital-based and outpatient medical services utilized and collapsed them into one of six Resource Utilization Band (RUB) categories, from no use to very high user. Overall survival (OS) was calculated using Kaplan-Meier curves. Cox proportional hazards regression models were constructed to determine the interaction of age with a variety of factors. Multi-variable logistic regression was also used to examine the receipt of chemotherapy and the interaction with age. Results: In our cohort of 1,073 patients with aggressive NHL, 704 were treated with systemic chemotherapy. Treatment rates decreased with increasing age and medication count, while stage and comorbidity had little impact (Table 1). Median OS decreased with age among treated patients and was very short without chemotherapy (Table 1). Multivariate analyses found that individuals with increasing age, stage III, unknown stage, histology other than DLBCL, and higher medication counts were less likely to receive chemotherapy. For the receipt of chemotherapy, no age interactions were found. In addition, in patients who received chemotherapy, increased age and stage were associated with poorer survival, while more recent year of diagnosis improved survival. No age interactions with a substantial impact on survival were found. Conclusions: OS in aggressive NHL diminishes with increasing age, but is longer in those receiving chemotherapy across all age groups. Comorbidity and medication count influenced the receipt of chemotherapy and OS. Higher medication count was only independently associated with less likelihood of receiving chemotherapy, while comorbidity was not independent of other factors for either receipt of chemotherapy or OS. Disclosures Dawe: AstraZeneca Canada: Research Funding; AstraZeneca Canada: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Boehringer-Ingelheim: Honoraria; Merck Canada: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (14) ◽  
pp. 1276-1289
Author(s):  
Han-Wei Zhang ◽  
Victor C. Kok ◽  
Shu-Chun Chuang ◽  
Chun-Hung Tseng ◽  
Chin-Teng Lin ◽  
...  

Background: Alzheimer’s disease, the most common cause of dementia among the elderly, is a progressive and irreversible neurodegenerative disease. Exposure to air pollutants is known to have adverse effects on human health, however, little is known about hydrocarbons in the air that can trigger a dementia event. Objective: We aimed to investigate whether long-term exposure to airborne hydrocarbons increases the risk of developing dementia. Method: The present cohort study included 178,085 people aged 50 years and older in Taiwan. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to fit the multiple pollutant models for two targeted pollutants, including total hydrocarbons and non-methane hydrocarbons, and estimated the risk of dementia. Results: Before controlling for multiple pollutants, hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals for the overall population were 7.63 (7.28-7.99, p <0.001) at a 0.51-ppm increases in total hydrocarbons, and 2.94 (2.82-3.05, p <0.001) at a 0.32-ppm increases in non-methane hydrocarbons. The highest adjusted hazard ratios for different multiple-pollutant models of each targeted pollutant were statistically significant (p <0.001) for all patients: 11.52 (10.86-12.24) for total hydrocarbons and 9.73 (9.18-10.32) for non-methane hydrocarbons. Conclusion: Our findings suggest that total hydrocarbons and non-methane hydrocarbons may be contributing to dementia development.


2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 188-195 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. C. Jansen ◽  
O. F. Herrán ◽  
N. L. Fleischer ◽  
A. M. Mondul ◽  
E. Villamor

Intrauterine exposure to the rainy season in the tropics may be accompanied by high rates of infection and nutritional deficiencies. It is unknown whether this exposure is related to the extrauterine timing of development. Our aim was to evaluate the relations of prenatal exposure to the rainy season and altitude of residence with age at menarche. The study included 15,370 girls 10 to <18 years old who participated in Colombia’s 2010 National Nutrition Survey. Primary exposures included the number of days exposed to the rainy season during the 40 weeks preceding birth, and altitude of residence at the time of the survey. We estimated median menarcheal ages and hazard ratios with 95% confidence interval (CI) according to exposure categories using Kaplan–Meier cumulative probabilities and Cox proportional hazards models, respectively. All tests incorporated the complex survey design. Girls in the highest quintile of gestation days exposed to the rainy season had an earlier age at menarche compared with those in the lowest (adjusted hazard ratios (HR)=1.08; 95% CI 1.00–1.18, P-trend=0.03). Girls living at altitudes ⩾2000 m had a later age at menarche compared with those living <1000 m (adjusted HR=0.88; 95% CI 0.82–0.94, P-trend <0.001). The inverse association between gestation days during the rainy season and menarche was most apparent among girls living at altitudes ⩾2000 m (P, interaction=0.04). Gestation days exposed to the rainy season and altitude of residence were associated with the timing of sexual maturation among Colombian girls independent of socioeconomic status and ethnicity.


2016 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Trine A. Knudsen ◽  
Robert Skov ◽  
Andreas Petersen ◽  
Anders R. Larsen ◽  
Thomas Benfield ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Panton-Valentine leucocidin is a Staphylococcus aureus virulence factor encoded by lukF-PV and lukS-PV that is infrequent in S aureus bacteremia (SAB), and, therefore, little is known about risk factors and outcome of lukF-PV/lukS-PV-positive SAB. Methods This report is a register-based nationwide observational cohort study. lukF-PV was detected by polymerase chain reaction. Factors associated with the presence of lukF-PV were assessed by logistic regression analysis. Adjusted 30-day hazard ratios of mortality associated with lukF-PV status were computed by Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. Results Of 9490 SAB cases, 129 were lukF-PV-positive (1.4%), representing 14 different clonal complexes. lukF-PV was associated with younger age, absence of comorbidity, and methicillin-resistant S aureus. In unadjusted analysis, mortality associated with lukF-PV-positive SAB was comparable to SAB. However, lukF-PV-positive SAB nonsurvivors were significantly older and had more comorbidity. Consequently, by adjusted analysis, the risk of 30-day mortality was increased by 70% for lukF-PV-positive SAB compared with SAB (hazard ratio, 1.70; 95% confidence interval, 1.20–2.42; P = .003). Conclusions lukF-PV-positive SAB is rare in Denmark but associated with a significantly increased risk of mortality. Although the risk of lukF-PV-positive SAB was highest in the younger age groups, &gt;80% of deaths associated with lukF-PV-positive SAB occurred in individuals older than 55 years.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 5578-5578
Author(s):  
Jeong-Yeol Park ◽  
Min-Hyun Baek ◽  
Young-Han Park ◽  
Dae-Yeon Kim ◽  
Dae-Shik Suh ◽  
...  

5578 Background: In experimental studies, adrenergic hormones are involved in tumorigenesis of ovarian cancer and its progression. We investigated the impact of beta adrenergic blocker on survival outcome of ovarian cancer since few studies have investigated its relevance. Methods: Data of Korean National Health Insurance Service was analyzed (n = 866). We analyzed the impact of beta blocker on survival outcome of ovarian cancer according to the duration on medication and age groups of patients. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to analyze hazard ratios (HR) for all-cause mortality with 95% confidence intervals (CI) adjusting for confounding factors. Results: Median years of follow-up was 5.98 and 6.71 for non-users and users, respectively. Among the 866 patients, 206 (23.8%) were users and 660 (76.2%) were non-users. In total, there was no survival difference between the 2 groups. But, when patietns were grouped according to the duration of medication, patients with longer duration of medication (≥1 year) showed better survival outcome (adjusted HR 0.305 [95% CI: 0.187-0.500], P < 0.001). Also, beta blocker use in patients with > 60 years showed better survival compared to younger patients (adjusted HR 0.579 [95% CI: 0.408-0.822], P = 0.002). In patients with > 60 years, medication longer than 720 days was associated with better survival outcome (adjusted HR 0.267 [95% CI: 0.140-0.511], P < 0.001). Both selective and non-selective beta blocker showed identical survival benefit in these settings without difference between each other. Conclusions: Beta blocker medication was associated with favorable survival outcome in ovarian cancer, especially when used in older patients and in long term duration.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adi Noiman ◽  
Allahna Esber ◽  
Xun Wang ◽  
Emmanuel Bahemana ◽  
Yakubu Adamu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: A significant minority of people living with HIV (PLWH) achieve viral suppression (VS) on antiretroviral therapy (ART) but do not regain healthy CD4 counts. Clinical factors affecting this immune non-response (INR) and its effect on incident serious non-AIDS events (SNAEs) have been challenging to understand due to confounders that are difficult to control in many study settings. Setting: The U.S. Military HIV Natural History Study (NHS) and African Cohort Study (AFRICOS). Methods: PLWH with sustained VS (<400 copies/mL for at least two years) were evaluated for INR (CD4 < 350 cells/µl at the time of sustained VS). Logistic regression estimated adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for factors associated with INR. Cox proportional hazards regression produced adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for factors associated with incident SNAE after sustained VS. Results: INR prevalence was 10.8% and 25.8% in NHS and AFRICOS, respectively. Higher CD4 nadir was associated with decreased odds of INR (aOR=0.31 [95% CI: 0.26, 0.37] and aOR=0.50 [95% CI: 0.43, 0.58] per 100 cells/µl in NHS and AFRICOS, respectively). After adjustment, INR was associated with a 61% increase in relative risk of SNAE [95% CI: 1.12, 2.33]. Probability of "SNAE-free" survival at 15 years since sustained VS was approximately 20% lower comparing those with and without INR; nearly equal to the differences observed by 15-year age groups. Conclusion: CD4 monitoring before and after VS is achieved can help identify PLWH at risk for INR. INR may be a useful clinical indicator of future risk for SNAEs.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Chun-Yan Sun ◽  
Li-Fang Zhou ◽  
Li Song ◽  
Li-Juan Lan ◽  
Xiao-Wei Han ◽  
...  

<b><i>Objective:</i></b> Prepump arterial (Pa) pressure indicates the ease or difficulty with which the blood pump can draw blood from the vascular access (VA) during hemodialysis. Some studies have suggested that the absolute value of the Pa pressure to the extracorporeal blood pump flow (Qb) ratio set on the machine (|Pa/Qb|) can reflect the dysfunction of VA. This study was conducted to explore the impact of arteriovenous fistula (AVF) dysfunction and to explore the clinical reference value of |Pa/Qb|. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> We retrospectively identified adults who underwent hemodialysis at 3 hospitals. Data were acquired from electronic health records. We evaluated the pattern of the association between |Pa/Qb| and AVF dysfunction during 1 year using a Cox proportional hazards regression model with restricted cubic splines. Then, the patients were grouped based on the results, and hazard ratios were compared for different intervals of |Pa/Qb|. <b><i>Results:</i></b> A total of 490 patients were analyzed, with an average age of 55 (44, 66) years. There were a total of 85 cases of AVF dysfunction, of which 50 cases were stenosis and 35 cases were thrombosis. There was a U-shaped association between |Pa/Qb| and the risk of AVF dysfunction (<i>p</i> for nonlinearity &#x3c;0.001). |Pa/Qb| values &#x3c;0.30 and &#x3e;0.52 increased the risk of AVF dysfunction. Compared with the group with a |Pa/Qb| value between 0.30 and 0.52, the groups with |Pa/Qb| &#x3c;0.30 and |Pa/Qb| &#x3e;0.52 had a 4.04-fold (<i>p</i> = 0.002) and 3.41-fold (<i>p</i> &#x3c; 0.001) greater risk of AVF dysfunction, respectively. <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> The appropriate range of |Pa/Qb| is between 0.30 and 0.52. When |Pa/Qb| is &#x3c;0.30 or &#x3e;0.52, the patient’s AVF function or Qb setting should be reevaluated to prevent subsequent failure.


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