scholarly journals COVID-19 underreporting and its impact on vaccination strategies

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Vinicius Albani ◽  
Jennifer Loria ◽  
Eduardo Massad ◽  
Jorge Zubelli
Keyword(s):  
Data Analysis ◽  
Disease Transmission ◽  
Close Agreement ◽  
Virus Disease ◽  
Vaccination Strategies ◽  
Large Numbers ◽  
Daunting Task ◽  
Perceived Impact ◽  
Epidemiological Characteristics ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Background Underreporting cases of infectious diseases poses a major challenge in the analysis of their epidemiological characteristics and dynamical aspects. Without accurate numerical estimates it is difficult to precisely quantify the proportions of severe and critical cases, as well as the mortality rate. Such estimates can be provided for instance by testing the presence of the virus. However, during an ongoing epidemic, such tests’ implementation is a daunting task. This work addresses this issue by presenting a methodology to estimate underreported infections based on approximations of the stable rates of hospitalization and death. Methods We present a novel methodology for the stable rate estimation of hospitalization and death related to the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) using publicly available reports from various distinct communities. These rates are then used to estimate underreported infections on the corresponding areas by making use of reported daily hospitalizations and deaths. The impact of underreporting infections on vaccination strategies is estimated under different disease-transmission scenarios using a Susceptible-Exposed-Infective-Removed-like (SEIR) epidemiological model. Results For the considered locations, during the period of study, the estimations suggest that the number of infected individuals could reach 30% of the population of these places, representing, in some cases, more than six times the observed numbers. These results are in close agreement with estimates from independent seroprevalence studies, thus providing a strong validation of the proposed methodology. Moreover, the presence of large numbers of underreported infections can reduce the perceived impact of vaccination strategies in reducing rates of mortality and hospitalization. Conclusions pBy using the proposed methodology and employing a judiciously chosen data analysis implementation, we estimate COVID-19 underreporting from publicly available data. This leads to a powerful way of quantifying underreporting impact on the efficacy of vaccination strategies. As a byproduct, we evaluate the impact of underreporting in the designing of vaccination strategies.

scholarly journals COVID-19 Underreporting and its Impact on Vaccination Strategies

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vinicius V. L. Albani ◽  
Jennifer Loria ◽  
Eduardo Massad ◽  
Jorge P. Zubelli
Keyword(s):  
Disease Transmission ◽  
Virus Disease ◽  
Epidemiological Model ◽  
Rate Estimation ◽  
Vaccination Strategies ◽  
Corona Virus ◽  
The Impact

We present a novel methodology for the stable rate estimation of hospitalization and death related to the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) using publicly available reports from various distinct communities. These rates are then used to estimate underreported infections on the corresponding areas by making use of reported daily hospitalizations and deaths. The impact of underreporting infections on vaccination strategies is estimated under different disease-transmission scenarios using a Susceptible-Exposed-Infective-Removed-like (SEIR) epidemiological model.

scholarly journals The Problems of Implementation of Financial Services Authority Regulation No. 11/POJK.03/2020 in Relation to Legal Awareness and Legal Compliance of Bank Mandiri MSME Debtors

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (3) ◽  
pp. 385
Author(s):  
Mompang Panggabean ◽  
Benny Hutahayan
Keyword(s):  
Data Analysis ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Virus Disease ◽  
Bank Credit ◽  
Domestic Economy ◽  
Legal Analysis ◽  
Legal Compliance ◽  
National Economic ◽  
The Impact

The spread of Corona Virus Disease 2019 has disrupted the economy so that it has an impact on increased bank credit risk due to decreased performance and capacity of debtors in fulfilling credit or financing payment obligations. The Financial Services Authority (FSA) issued FSA Regulation No. 11/POJK.03/2020 concerning National Economic Stimulus as a Countercyclical Policy for the Impact of COVID-19 so that the pandemic does not have an impact on the domestic economy, including MSMEs. The goal is to provide credit relaxation for customers affected by Covid-19. This research aims to examine the effect of Legal Substance and Legal Awareness on the legal compliance of MSMEs as customers of Bank Mandiri. This research used a questionnaire as the research instrument. The questionnaire was used to measure the variables of Legal Substance, Legal Awareness and Legal Compliance. The data analysis used is the SEM GSCA approach using the GeSCA application. The results of the analysis showed that legal substance and legal awareness have a significant effect on legal compliance. The legal analysis of the substance of FSA Regulation Number 11/POJK.03/2020 in Indonesia for Bank Mandiri MSME debtors is the originality of this research.

scholarly journals Effect of vaccinating health care workers to control Ebola virus disease: a modelling analysis of outbreak data

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexis Robert ◽  
Anton Camacho ◽  
W. John Edmunds ◽  
Marc Baguelin ◽  
Jean-Jacques Muyembe Tamfum ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Health Care ◽  
Health Care Workers ◽  
Ebola Virus ◽  
Virus Disease ◽  
Ebola Virus Disease ◽  
Vaccination Strategies ◽  
Care Workers ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Outbreak Size

AbstractBackgroundHealth care workers (HCW) are at risk of infection during Ebola virus disease outbreaks and therefore may be targeted for vaccination before or during outbreaks. The effect of these strategies depends on the role of HCW in transmission which is understudied.MethodsTo evaluate the effect of HCW-targeted or community vaccination strategies, we used a transmission model to explore the relative contribution of HCW and the community to transmission. We calibrated the model to data from multiple Ebola outbreaks. We quantified the impact of ahead-of-time HCW-targeted strategies, and reactive HCW and community vaccination.ResultsWe found that for some outbreaks (we call “type 1”) HCW amplified transmission both to other HCW and the community, and in these outbreaks prophylactic vaccination of HCW decreased outbreak size. Reactive vaccination strategies had little effect because type 1 outbreaks ended quickly. However, in outbreaks with longer time courses (“type 2 outbreaks”), reactive community vaccination decreased the number of cases, with or without prophylactic HCW-targeted vaccination. For both outbreak types, we found that ahead-of-time HCW-targeted strategies had an impact at coverage of 30%.ConclusionsThe optimal vaccine strategy depends on the dynamics of the outbreak and the impact of other interventions on transmission. Although we will not know the characteristics of a new outbreak, ahead-of-time HCW-targeted vaccination can decrease the total outbreak size, even at low vaccine coverage.summaryTargeting health care workers for Ebola virus disease vaccination can decrease the size of outbreaks, and the number of health care workers infected. The impact of these strategies decrease depends on timing, coverage, and the dynamics of the outbreak.

INDONESIA LANGUAGE INTERFERENCE FORM IN BASIC PPL LEARNING THAILAND UNHASY COLLEGE SYUDENTS

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 38
Author(s):  
Siti Mariana Ulfa
Keyword(s):  
Qualitative Research ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Data Collection ◽  
Teaching Practice ◽  
Data Presentation ◽  
Analysis Techniques ◽  
Thai Students ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Collection Methods ◽  
Recording Techniques

AbstractHumans on earth need social interaction with others. Humans can use more than one language in communication. Thus, the impact that arises when the use of one or more languages is the contact between languages. One obvious form of contact between languages is interference. Interference can occur at all levels of life. As in this study, namely Indonesian Language Interference in Learning PPL Basic Thailand Unhasy Students. This study contains the form of interference that occurs in Thai students who are conducting teaching practices in the classroom. This type of research is descriptive qualitative research that seeks to describe any interference that occurs in the speech of Thai students when teaching practice. Data collection methods in this study are (1) observation techniques, (2) audio-visual recording techniques using CCTV and (3) recording techniques, by recording all data that has been obtained. Whereas the data wetness uses, (1) data triangulation, (2) improvement in perseverance and (3) peer review through discussion. Data analysis techniques in this study are (1) data collection, (2) data reduction, (3) data presentation and (4) conclusions. It can be seen that the interference that occurs includes (1) interference in phonological systems, (2) interference in morphological systems and (3) interference in syntactic systems. 

Syrian Crisis and Migration

2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 181-192 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pinar Yazgan ◽  
Deniz Eroglu Utku ◽  
Ibrahim Sirkeci
Keyword(s):  
Human Mobility ◽  
Special Issue ◽  
Host Countries ◽  
Syrian Crisis ◽  
Mass Migration ◽  
Large Numbers ◽  
And Migration ◽  
Europe Today ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Near Future

With the growing insurrections in Syria in 2011, an exodus in large numbers have emerged. The turmoil and violence have caused mass migration to destinations both within the region and beyond. The current "refugee crisis" has escalated sharply and its impact is widening from neighbouring countries toward Europe. Today, the Syrian crisis is the major cause for an increase in displacement and the resultant dire humanitarian situation in the region. Since the conflict shows no signs of abating in the near future, there is a constant increase in the number of Syrians fleeing their homes. However, questions on the future impact of the Syrian crisis on the scope and scale of this human mobility are still to be answered. As the impact of the Syrian crisis on host countries increases, so does the demand for the analyses of the needs for development and protection in these countries. In this special issue, we aim to bring together a number of studies examining and discussing human mobility in relation to the Syrian crisis.

Studying Abroad in Nepal: Assessing Impact

2003 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 175-188 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patricia Farrell ◽  
Murari Suvedi
Keyword(s):  
Personal Development ◽  
Intellectual Development ◽  
Longitudinal Research ◽  
Adult Learning Theory ◽  
Academic Program ◽  
The Body ◽  
Study Abroad Programs ◽  
Studying Abroad ◽  
Perceived Impact ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of this study is to analyze the reported or perceived impact of studying in Nepal on student’s academic program, personal development and intellectual development. The study draws upon adult learning theory to analyze survey instrument data, interviews, and case studies to discern the impact of the program on college students and to contribute to the body of longitudinal research on U.S. study abroad programs.

Spatial-temporal transmission dynamics and control of infectious diseases: Ebola virus disease (EVD) as a case study

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cécile Viboud ◽  
Hélène Broutin ◽  
Gerardo Chowell
Keyword(s):  
Infectious Diseases ◽  
Disease Transmission ◽  
Ebola Virus ◽  
Temporal Dynamics ◽  
Virus Disease ◽  
Spatial Dynamics ◽  
Childhood Diseases ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Theoretical Concepts ◽  
Dynamics And Control

Disentangling the spatial-temporal dynamics of infectious disease transmission is important to address issues of disease persistence, epidemic growth and optimal control. In this chapter, we review key concepts relating to the spatial-temporal dynamics of infectious diseases in meta-populations, whereby geographically separate subpopulations are connected by migration or mobility rates. We review the dynamics of colonization, persistence and extinction of emerging and recurrent pathogens in meta-populations; the role of demographic and environmental factors; and geographic heterogeneity in epidemic growth rate. We illustrate theoretical concepts by reviewing the spatial dynamics of childhood diseases and other acute infections in low- and middle-income countries, and provide a detailed description of the spatial-temporal dynamics of the 2014–16 Ebola epidemic in West Africa. We further discuss how increased availability of empirical data and recent methodological developments provide a deeper mechanistic understanding of transmission processes in space and time, and make recommendations for future work.

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