scholarly journals Asymmetric effect of financial development and remittance on economic growth in MINT economies: an application of panel NARDL

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jamiu Adetola Odugbesan ◽  
Tomiwa Adebayo Sunday ◽  
Gbolahan Olowu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
The Novel ◽  
Asymmetric Effect ◽  
Panel Ardl ◽  
Nonlinear Ardl ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Asymmetric Impact ◽  
The Empirical Analysis ◽  
Negative Shock

AbstractThe empirical analysis examines the asymmetric effect of financial development and remittance on economic growth in MINT nations (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Turkey). The present study utilized panel data covering the period from 1980 to 2019. The research objectives are to address the questions: (a) Is there a long-run association between economic growth and the regressors? (b) Do financial development and remittance trigger MINT nations' economic growth? Moreover, the present study applied both linear panel ARDL and the novel panel nonlinear ARDL to capture the asymmetric impact of development and remittance on economic growth. The outcomes of the linear ARDL disclosed that both financial development and remittance triggers economic growth positively. Furthermore, the outcomes of the NARDL disclosed that both positive and negative shocks in financial development increase economic growth. In addition, a positive and negative shock in remittance increases economic growth in the long-run.

THE ASYMMETRIC IMPACT OF RER-MISALIGNMENT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: AN APPLICATION OF HODRICK–PRESCOTT FILTER TECHNIQUE

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-29
Author(s):  
GHOSIA AYAZ ABBASI ◽  
D. JAVED IQBAL
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Asymmetric Effect ◽  
Nonlinear Ardl ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Exchange Rate Misalignment ◽  
Asymmetric Impact ◽  
Exchange Rate Changes ◽  
The Impact

Previous studies that examined the impact of exchange rate misalignment on economic growth were based on the symmetric approach where both overvalued and undervalued exchange rates were supposed to affect the economic growth in a similar way. However, in recent years, a number of studies have established that exchange rate changes affect the trade flows in an asymmetric way. Hence, this study investigates the asymmetric effect of exchange rate misalignment on the economic growth of Pakistan. The findings of the study indicate that in the case of the symmetric approach, exchange rate misalignment has a negative impact on economic growth. However, after applying the nonlinear ARDL approach, the study finds significant evidence in favor of the asymmetric effect of exchange rate misalignment on economic growth. Interestingly, the results indicate that undervaluation spurs while over-valuation hampers the economic growth in Pakistan. The study recommends that though under-valued exchange rate may have temporary relief for the economy, yet in the long run, a market-based equilibrium exchanger rate is imperative for a developing economy like Pakistan.

scholarly journals Do Migrant Remittances Spur Financial Development in Pakistan?evidence From Linear and Nonlinear Ardl Approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Faheem ◽  
Azali Mohamed ◽  
Fatima Farooq ◽  
Sajid Ali
Keyword(s):  
Financial Development ◽  
Asymmetric Effect ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Nonlinear Ardl ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Potential Gain ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
Migrant Remittances ◽  
Bound Test

The study asseses the influence of  migrant remittances on financial development over the period of 1976-2018 in Pakistan. This study has applied the linear autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) model and nonlinear autoregressie distributed lag (NARDL) model to check the symmetric and asymmetric effect of remittances. Results of the ARDL and NARDL bound test confirm remittances, FDI, real GDP and inflation significantly contributing to financial development. The outcomes of ARDL and NARDL have also confirmed the significant positive effect of  migrant remittances on financial development in long-run. The asymmetric ARDL  results show the existence of remittances nonlinear effect  on financial development. Specifically, the study found remittances decrease have a significant impact while remittances increase have no any significant effect on financial development. Based on findings, this study recommends the plan for the policymakers of recipient countries, especially Pakistan, could harvest the potential gain of migrant remittances though positive asymmetric association with financial sector development.

Dynamic linkages between Non-renewable energy, Renewable energy and Economic growth through nonlinear ARDL approach: Evidence from Malaysia

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rafia Afroz ◽  
Md Muhibbullah
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Asymmetric Effect ◽  
Nonlinear Ardl ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
Consumption Reduction ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
Nardl Model

Abstract The purpose of this paper is to investigate the links between renewable energy (RE), non-renewable energy (NRE), capital, labour and economic growth, using the Non-linear Auto Regressive Distributive Lag (NARDL) model in Malaysia for the period of 1980–2018. The results of NARDL confirm the asymmetric effect of RE and NRE consumption on the economic growth in the long run as well as short run in Malaysia. The findings also show that in the long and short-run, positive shocks of NRE are greater than the positive shocks of RE. It indicates that Malaysia's economic growth is highly dependent on NRE which is not a good indication as NRE consumption increases carbon dioxide (CO2) emission in the country. Moreover, the empirical results of this study demonstrated that RE consumption reduction accelerates economic growth whereas NRE consumption reduction decreases economic growth. It can have claimed that in Malaysia RE is still more expensive than NRE. In conclusion, this study offered a variety of measures to develop RE to reduce the dependency on NRE consumption.

scholarly journals Asymmetric Impact of International Trade on Consumption-Based Carbon Emissions in MINT Nations

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (20) ◽  
pp. 6581
Author(s):  
Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo ◽  
Abraham Ayobamiji Awosusi ◽  
Husam Rjoub ◽  
Mirela Panait ◽  
Catalin Popescu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Carbon Emissions ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Nonlinear Ardl ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Asymmetric Impact ◽  
Positive Shock ◽  
Bds Test

The association between carbon emissions and international trade has been examined thoroughly; however, consumption-based carbon emissions, which is adjusted for international trade, have not been studied extensively. Therefore, the present study assesses the asymmetric impact of trade (import and export) and economic growth in consumption-based carbon emissions (CCO2) using the MINT nations (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria and Turkey) as a case study. We applied the Nonlinear ARDL to assess this connection using dataset between 1990 and 2018. The outcomes from the BDS test affirmed the use of nonlinear techniques. Furthermore, the NARDL bounds test confirmed long-run association between CCO2 and exports, imports and economic growth. The outcomes from the NARDL long and short-run estimates disclosed that positive (negative) shocks in imports increase (decrease) CCO2 emissions in all the MINT nations. Moreover, positive (negative) shocks in exports decrease (increase) CCO2 emissions in all the MINT nations. As expected, a positive shock in economic growth triggers CCO2 emissions while a negative shift does not have significant impact on CCO2 emissions in the MINT nations. Furthermore, we applied the Gradual shift causality test and the outcomes disclose that imports and economic growth can predict CCO2 emissions in the MINT nations. The study outcomes have significant policy recommendations for policymakers in the MINT nations.

scholarly journals A Dynamic Linkage between Financial Development, Energy Consumption and Economic Growth: Evidence from an Asymmetric and Nonlinear ARDL Model

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (16) ◽  
pp. 5006
Author(s):  
Imran Khan ◽  
Faheem Ur Rehman ◽  
Paula Pypłacz ◽  
Muhammad Asif Khan ◽  
Agnieszka Wiśniewska ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Structural Break ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Asymmetric Effect ◽  
Nonlinear Ardl ◽  
Nonlinear Ardl Model

Developing countries, including Pakistan, need a considerable effort to withstand economic growth; however, these countries have to cope with greenhouse gases emission and other environmental concerns. Financial advancement gives rise to modern, sometimes even innovative and energy-efficient technologies and, thus, contributes to a decline in energy usage among market entities: organizations and households. The current study explores the nonlinear asymmetric relationship between economic growth (Y) and the selected exogenous variables in Pakistan by incorporating time series data spanning from 1971 to 2016. Economic growth was considered as a target variable, while energy consumption (EC), electric power consumption (EPC), financial development (FD), and energy imports (EM) were considered independent variables. To investigate cointegration among the given variables, a nonlinear ARDL bound testing approach was employed. BDS independence test was used to check the nonlinearity, and a structural break unit root test was used for testing data stationarity. The findings confirm the presence of co-integration in the selected variables. A symmetric unidirectional significant causality exists running from EPC to Y, while a bidirectional symmetric causality was found between FD and Y. In contrast, any negative shocks in EPC, FD, and EM were found to have a positive asymmetric effect on Y. Meanwhile, a neutral effect was found between EC and Y. The outcomes of this study can provide guidelines for future researchers and policymakers.

scholarly journals Asymmetric Effect of Gold and Oil Prices on Stock Market Performance in Pakistan: New Evidence from Asymmetric ARDL Cointegration

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 43-64 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Saeed ◽  
Muhammad Hafeez ◽  
Ghulam Mustafa Shaikh ◽  
Muhammad Shahid
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Asymmetric Effect ◽  
Nonlinear Ardl ◽  
Novel Approach ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Stock Market Performance ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Asymmetric Impact

The previous studies on stock market modelling in Pakistan context has assumed a linear relationship between stock market performance and its determinants. Most of the macroeconomic variables do not have linear properties, therefore considering asymmetric features of macroeconomic fundamentals, this study is a first attempt to explore the asymmetric impact of gold and oil prices on the stock market performance of Pakistan, covering the time period of 1990 – 2016. For the consideration of nonlinear, short-run and long-run associations between gold, oil prices and stock market performance, a novel approach of nonlinear ARDL or asymmetric ARDL is being used. The long-run parameters of the study affirm the asymmetric association between gold, oil prices and stock market performance, while short-run dynamics validate the asymmetric association between oil prices and stock market performance. Furthermore, negative and significant link between the exchange rate and the stock market was also found. The empirical outcomes propose that ignoring intrinsic asymmetries may lead to the misrepresentative implications in case of stock market performance. The achieved suggestion of asymmetries, both short and long-run dynamics could be of key prominence for more effective policy-making and to forecast the Pakistan Stock Market.

Enhancing Economic Growth and Government Revenue Generation in Nigeria: The Role of Diaspora Remittances

2021 ◽  
pp. 003464462110256
Author(s):  
Dal Didia ◽  
Suleiman Tahir
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Parameter Estimates ◽  
Gross Domestic Product Growth ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Empirical Analysis

Even though remittances constitute the second-largest source of foreign exchange for Nigeria, with a $24 billion inflow in 2018, its impact on economic growth remains unclear. This study, therefore, examined the short-run and long-run impact of remittances on the economic growth of Nigeria using the vector error correction model. Utilizing World Bank data covering 1990–2018, the empirical analysis revealed that remittances hurt economic growth in the short run while having no impact on economic growth in the long run. Our parameter estimates indicate that a 1% increase in remittances would result in a 0.9% decrease in the gross domestic product growth rate in the short run. One policy implication of this study is that Nigeria needs to devise policies and interventions that minimize the emigration of skilled professionals rather than depending on remittances that do not offset the losses to the economy due to brain drain.

Does Technological Innovation Advance Environmental Sustainability in ASEAN Countries?

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tabish Nawab ◽  
Muhammad Azhar Bhatti ◽  
Muhammad Atif Nawaz
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Environmental Sustainability ◽  
Energy Demand ◽  
Carbon Emission ◽  
Technology Innovation ◽  
Renewable Energy Consumption ◽  
Panel Ardl ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Environment Degradation

Environment degradation is a very important issue in developing nations and a lot of research had done to examine the factors of environmental degradation but these studies were missed some important factors which are covered by this study. By examining the effect of economic growth and energy in the presence of renewable energy consumption and technology innovation on environment degradation for ASEAN nations. Panel ARDL (which is PMG and MG) is used to estimate the model, and the advantage of this model is it gives both the long and short-run estimates of the model which helps to understand the situation in both short as well as long run. The results confirm that economic growth, Population, trade, and renewable energy increase the carbon emission level in ASEAN nations. While technology innovation decreased carbon emission levels which means technology innovation helps to keep the environment healthy and clean. Hence, economic growth helps the nations to improve their energy mode from non-renewable to renewable energy, which meets the energy demand by keeping the environment clean.

Financial Development and Economic Growth in Asian Countries: A Panel Empirical Investigation

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 76
Author(s):  
Cher Chen ◽  
GholamReza Zandi Pour ◽  
Edwin R. de Los Reyes
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Quantitative Research ◽  
Empirical Investigation ◽  
Time Frame ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
African Region ◽  
Dynamic Panel ◽  
Unit Root Testing ◽  
Long Run

This study aimed to evaluate the association of financial development and economic growth by considering the case of 10 Asian countries. The study used quantitative research design where the preliminary testing was conducted using descriptive statistics and unit root testing. The sample size comprised of 10 emerging Asian countries (India, China, Malaysia, Philippines, Pakistan, Thailand, Singapore, Bhutan, Vietnam, and Bangladesh) and the time-frame for the study was 1990 to 2018. The main techniques of analysis were Pedroni cointegration, dynamic panel least squares (DOLS) and Granger Causality. This study concluded that long-run equilibrium existed between financial development and economic growth. The research was limited to the case of Asian countries, therefore, in future, the evaluation of European countries can be conducted or African region can also be undertaken into consideration.

The relationship between financial development and economic growth in Eswatini (formerly Swaziland)

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Siphe-okuhle Fakudze ◽  
Asrat Tsegaye ◽  
Kin Sibanda
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship

PurposeThe paper examined the relationship between financial development and economic growth for the period 1996 to 2018 in Eswatini.Design/methodology/approachThe Autoregressive Distributed Lag bounds test (ARDL) was employed to determine the long-run and short-run dynamics of the link between the variables of interest. The Granger causality test was also performed to establish the direction of causality between financial development and economic growth.FindingsThe ARDL results revealed that there is a long-run relationship between financial development and economic growth. The Granger causality test revealed bidirectional causality between money supply and economic growth, and unidirectional causality running from economic growth to financial development. The results highlight that economic growth exerts a positive and significant influence on financial development, validating the demand following hypothesis in Eswatini.Practical implicationsPolicymakers should formulate policies that aims to engineer more economic growth. The policies should strike a balance between deploying funds necessary to stimulate investment and enhancing productivity in order to enliven economic growth in Eswatini.Originality/valueThe study investigates the finance-growth linkage using time series analysis. It determines the long-run and short-run dynamics of this relationship and examines the Granger causality outcomes.

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