scholarly journals Do Migrant Remittances Spur Financial Development in Pakistan?evidence From Linear and Nonlinear Ardl Approach

Author(s):  
Muhammad Faheem ◽  
Azali Mohamed ◽  
Fatima Farooq ◽  
Sajid Ali

The study asseses the influence of  migrant remittances on financial development over the period of 1976-2018 in Pakistan. This study has applied the linear autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) model and nonlinear autoregressie distributed lag (NARDL) model to check the symmetric and asymmetric effect of remittances. Results of the ARDL and NARDL bound test confirm remittances, FDI, real GDP and inflation significantly contributing to financial development. The outcomes of ARDL and NARDL have also confirmed the significant positive effect of  migrant remittances on financial development in long-run. The asymmetric ARDL  results show the existence of remittances nonlinear effect  on financial development. Specifically, the study found remittances decrease have a significant impact while remittances increase have no any significant effect on financial development. Based on findings, this study recommends the plan for the policymakers of recipient countries, especially Pakistan, could harvest the potential gain of migrant remittances though positive asymmetric association with financial sector development.

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jamiu Adetola Odugbesan ◽  
Tomiwa Adebayo Sunday ◽  
Gbolahan Olowu

AbstractThe empirical analysis examines the asymmetric effect of financial development and remittance on economic growth in MINT nations (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Turkey). The present study utilized panel data covering the period from 1980 to 2019. The research objectives are to address the questions: (a) Is there a long-run association between economic growth and the regressors? (b) Do financial development and remittance trigger MINT nations' economic growth? Moreover, the present study applied both linear panel ARDL and the novel panel nonlinear ARDL to capture the asymmetric impact of development and remittance on economic growth. The outcomes of the linear ARDL disclosed that both financial development and remittance triggers economic growth positively. Furthermore, the outcomes of the NARDL disclosed that both positive and negative shocks in financial development increase economic growth. In addition, a positive and negative shock in remittance increases economic growth in the long-run.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rafia Afroz ◽  
Md Muhibbullah

Abstract The purpose of this paper is to investigate the links between renewable energy (RE), non-renewable energy (NRE), capital, labour and economic growth, using the Non-linear Auto Regressive Distributive Lag (NARDL) model in Malaysia for the period of 1980–2018. The results of NARDL confirm the asymmetric effect of RE and NRE consumption on the economic growth in the long run as well as short run in Malaysia. The findings also show that in the long and short-run, positive shocks of NRE are greater than the positive shocks of RE. It indicates that Malaysia's economic growth is highly dependent on NRE which is not a good indication as NRE consumption increases carbon dioxide (CO2) emission in the country. Moreover, the empirical results of this study demonstrated that RE consumption reduction accelerates economic growth whereas NRE consumption reduction decreases economic growth. It can have claimed that in Malaysia RE is still more expensive than NRE. In conclusion, this study offered a variety of measures to develop RE to reduce the dependency on NRE consumption.


Author(s):  
Ramzi Fahrani ◽  
Azza Béjaoui

In this chapter, the authors attempt to investigate the interaction between remittances and financial development and its impact on the economic growth over the period 1980-2016. In this respect, they apply the autoregressive distributed lag bound test (ARDL) approach on cross-country of data series from 1980 to 2016 to study the short- and long-run relationship of remittances and financial development with economic growth. The empirical results show that the direct effects of shipments on growth are significant. On the other hand, the impact of remittances on economic seems to be more significant by means of the financial development. It also shows that these shipments are more efficient in the case of a less developed informal sector, a politically stable economy, and a developed financial structure.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ramesh C. Paudel ◽  

This paper, using the most recent index of financial development as developed in Svirydzenka (2016), examines the role of financial development in the economic growth of Nepal. This paper employs the Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach of cointegration with the structural break in time series data for the period of 1980-2017. Nepal is a unique country with a population of about 30 million with high demographic dividend and big markets in the neighbours, the earlier entrant in the liberalization and reform in the region, endowed with lots of natural resources and beauties, and comparatively cheaper labor force in the region but it remains as one of the poor landlocked developing countries sandwiched between two emerging economies, namely China and India. The results show that financial development has a strong long-run positive relationship with economic growth. Therefore, developing the strategies for the proper financial development improving the financial institution quality and widening the financial market to improve capital formation would be a way to accelerate the economic growth in Nepal.


2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (5) ◽  
pp. 939-957 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng Li ◽  
Yaofu Ouyang

This paper studies the dynamic impacts of financial development, human capital, and economic growth on CO2 emission intensity in China for the period 1978–2015, with a structural breakpoint in 1992, by employing an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach. The estimations show that there exists a long-run cointegration linkage among the variables, with three main findings. First, financial openness measured by net FDI inflows can significantly reduce CO2 emission intensity in both the short-term and the long-term, whereas the effects of both financial scale and financial efficiency are limited and insignificant. Second, there exists an inverted N-shaped relationship between human capital and CO2 emission intensity: improving human capital first decreases CO2 emission intensity (before 1992), then increases it in the short-run (after 1992), and, finally, lessens it in the long-run. Last, raising per capita income can also significantly lower CO2 emission intensity in the long-run. Accordingly, some policy implications are also discussed.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hina Ali ◽  
Zahra Masood Bhutta

This study researches on the financial development and economic growth in Pakistan. The study demonstrates the correlation connecting financial development and economic growth from the range of time, 1974 - 2014. For checking the stationarity of variables, Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Philip-Peron (P.P) unit root technique is applied. To elaborate long-run relationship, ARDL (autoregressive distributed lag) and Bound test is conducted. By ARDL technique, study investigate that Gross Domestic Product, Money supply, Exchange rate, Gross fixed capital formation, Domestic Savings and Trade Openness are assimilated. According to research findings: economic growth directly related to money supply (M2) and domestic saving in long-run but money supply illustrates insignificant impact. The study uses GDP as endogenous variable and represents Economic growth. While M2 as exogenous variable which represents financial development and financial liberalization. Current researches seek to establish direct relation of economic growth with trade openness and money supply. Pakistani researchers aim to examine the association of economic policies with financial satisfaction over the globe.  


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pradeep Panthi

Abstract This study empirically examines the dynamic relationship between financial development and economic growth in Nepal using annual time series data from 1985 to 2016. The financial development is measured by domestic credit to the private sectors, domestic credit to the private sectors by banks, broad money (M2) and net domestic credit, separately. All are ratios to GDP. The economic growth is measured by real GDP per capita. The bound test approach of cointegration under autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model reveals that Nepal’s financial development and economic growth are cointegrated with bi-directional causality in the long-run. Thus, the study concludes that financial development and economic growth positively and significantly impact each other. The causal effects running from financial development to economic growth are portent then economic growth to financial development. However, the speed of adjustment towards long-run equilibrium, directing from economic growth to financial development is reasonably robust. There is one-directional reverse causality running from economic growth to financial development in the short-run. Therefore, the study suggests policymakers to prioritize policies to develop a well-functioning financial sector to enhance economic growth, especially for developing countries like Nepal.JEL ClassificationsG21, C22, F43, O11, O16


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Siphe-okuhle Fakudze ◽  
Asrat Tsegaye ◽  
Kin Sibanda

PurposeThe paper examined the relationship between financial development and economic growth for the period 1996 to 2018 in Eswatini.Design/methodology/approachThe Autoregressive Distributed Lag bounds test (ARDL) was employed to determine the long-run and short-run dynamics of the link between the variables of interest. The Granger causality test was also performed to establish the direction of causality between financial development and economic growth.FindingsThe ARDL results revealed that there is a long-run relationship between financial development and economic growth. The Granger causality test revealed bidirectional causality between money supply and economic growth, and unidirectional causality running from economic growth to financial development. The results highlight that economic growth exerts a positive and significant influence on financial development, validating the demand following hypothesis in Eswatini.Practical implicationsPolicymakers should formulate policies that aims to engineer more economic growth. The policies should strike a balance between deploying funds necessary to stimulate investment and enhancing productivity in order to enliven economic growth in Eswatini.Originality/valueThe study investigates the finance-growth linkage using time series analysis. It determines the long-run and short-run dynamics of this relationship and examines the Granger causality outcomes.


Economies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 174
Author(s):  
Khalid Eltayeb Elfaki ◽  
Rossanto Dwi Handoyo ◽  
Kabiru Hannafi Ibrahim

This study aimed to scrutinize the impact of financial development, energy consumption, industrialization, and trade openness on economic growth in Indonesia over the period 1984–2018. To do so, the study employed the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model to estimate the long-run and short-run nexus among the variables. Furthermore, fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS), dynamic least squares (DOLS), and canonical cointegrating regression (CCR) were used for a more robust examination of the empirical findings. The result of cointegration confirms the presence of cointegration among the variables. Findings from the ARDL indicate that industrialization, energy consumption, and financial development (measured by domestic credit) positively influence economic growth in the long run. However, financial development (measured by money supply) and trade openness demonstrate a negative effect on economic growth. The positive nexus among industrialization, financial development, energy consumption, and economic growth explains that these variables were stimulating growth in Indonesia. The error correction term indicates a 68% annual adjustment from any deviation in the previous period’s long-run equilibrium economic growth. These findings provide a strong testimony that industrialization and financial development are key to sustained long-run economic growth in Indonesia.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emmanuel Abiodun Ayodeji ◽  
Adebayo Tunbosun Ogundipe

Abstract The extent to which microfinance bank institutions have contributed to the financial sector growth has not been well unraveled in the extant literature in Nigeria, hence, this study examined the effects of microfinance banks on financial sector growth in Nigeria. It further investigated the dynamic form of relationship between microfinance banks and financial sector growth in Nigeria covering a temporal scope 1992 to 2018. The model specification was formulated using financial sector GDP as the proxy for dependent variable, microfinance credit, deposits, assets and investment were used as proxies for microfinance banks institutions. Secondary data were sourced from CBN statistical Bulletin and analyzed using auto regressive distributed lag bound test and its corresponding short and long run coefficients. Finding revealed an inconclusive long run relationship between microfinance bank institutions and financial sector growth. Checking the individual variable coefficients in the short run, microfinance credit has significant positive effect while microfinance assets has insignificant effects on financial sector growth. In the long run, it was revealed that microfinance bank deposits and assets exert insignificant positive effects while microfinance credits have insignificant effect and investments have significant negative effects on financial sector growth. The study concluded that, in the long run, microfinance bank institutions exert positive and insignificant effects on financial sector growth in Nigeria. It was therefore recommended that, for microfinance bank institutions to impact significantly on financial sector growth in Nigeria, its credit should be increased and be more directed to the target individuals and the level of their investments should be geared up so as to engender growth of the financial sector in Nigeria. Furthermore, microfinance bank institutions should maintain its status quo on deposits and assets, however, improvement on them should be encouraged so as to enhance the growth of the financial sector in Nigeria


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