Dynamic linkages between Non-renewable energy, Renewable energy and Economic growth through nonlinear ARDL approach: Evidence from Malaysia

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rafia Afroz ◽  
Md Muhibbullah
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Asymmetric Effect ◽  
Nonlinear Ardl ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
Consumption Reduction ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
Nardl Model

Abstract The purpose of this paper is to investigate the links between renewable energy (RE), non-renewable energy (NRE), capital, labour and economic growth, using the Non-linear Auto Regressive Distributive Lag (NARDL) model in Malaysia for the period of 1980–2018. The results of NARDL confirm the asymmetric effect of RE and NRE consumption on the economic growth in the long run as well as short run in Malaysia. The findings also show that in the long and short-run, positive shocks of NRE are greater than the positive shocks of RE. It indicates that Malaysia's economic growth is highly dependent on NRE which is not a good indication as NRE consumption increases carbon dioxide (CO2) emission in the country. Moreover, the empirical results of this study demonstrated that RE consumption reduction accelerates economic growth whereas NRE consumption reduction decreases economic growth. It can have claimed that in Malaysia RE is still more expensive than NRE. In conclusion, this study offered a variety of measures to develop RE to reduce the dependency on NRE consumption.

scholarly journals Do Migrant Remittances Spur Financial Development in Pakistan?evidence From Linear and Nonlinear Ardl Approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Faheem ◽  
Azali Mohamed ◽  
Fatima Farooq ◽  
Sajid Ali
Keyword(s):  
Financial Development ◽  
Asymmetric Effect ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Nonlinear Ardl ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Potential Gain ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
Migrant Remittances ◽  
Bound Test

The study asseses the influence of  migrant remittances on financial development over the period of 1976-2018 in Pakistan. This study has applied the linear autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) model and nonlinear autoregressie distributed lag (NARDL) model to check the symmetric and asymmetric effect of remittances. Results of the ARDL and NARDL bound test confirm remittances, FDI, real GDP and inflation significantly contributing to financial development. The outcomes of ARDL and NARDL have also confirmed the significant positive effect of  migrant remittances on financial development in long-run. The asymmetric ARDL  results show the existence of remittances nonlinear effect  on financial development. Specifically, the study found remittances decrease have a significant impact while remittances increase have no any significant effect on financial development. Based on findings, this study recommends the plan for the policymakers of recipient countries, especially Pakistan, could harvest the potential gain of migrant remittances though positive asymmetric association with financial sector development.

scholarly journals Asymmetric effect of financial development and remittance on economic growth in MINT economies: an application of panel NARDL

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jamiu Adetola Odugbesan ◽  
Tomiwa Adebayo Sunday ◽  
Gbolahan Olowu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
The Novel ◽  
Asymmetric Effect ◽  
Panel Ardl ◽  
Nonlinear Ardl ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Asymmetric Impact ◽  
The Empirical Analysis ◽  
Negative Shock

AbstractThe empirical analysis examines the asymmetric effect of financial development and remittance on economic growth in MINT nations (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Turkey). The present study utilized panel data covering the period from 1980 to 2019. The research objectives are to address the questions: (a) Is there a long-run association between economic growth and the regressors? (b) Do financial development and remittance trigger MINT nations' economic growth? Moreover, the present study applied both linear panel ARDL and the novel panel nonlinear ARDL to capture the asymmetric impact of development and remittance on economic growth. The outcomes of the linear ARDL disclosed that both financial development and remittance triggers economic growth positively. Furthermore, the outcomes of the NARDL disclosed that both positive and negative shocks in financial development increase economic growth. In addition, a positive and negative shock in remittance increases economic growth in the long-run.

Energy Policy Issues in Turkey

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 50-65
Author(s):  
Dilek Temiz Dinç ◽  
Aytaç Gökmen ◽  
Zehra Burçin Kanık
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Energy Production ◽  
Fossil Fuels ◽  
Renewable Energy Resources ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Renewable Energy Production ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Republic

Energy is the source of development of the mankind and an indispensable input for economic growth. Currently, most of the energy consumed in the world is composed of fossil fuels which are not environmentally friendly and reliable since their prices are volatile and their supply compels importing countries dependent on energy exporting countries. Thus, a good remedy to reduce fossil fuel dependency is to utilize more renewable energy resources. Renewable resources can be replenished quickly, are almost infinite and would lead a country to sustainable development. The Republic of Turkey is a net importer of energy. The diversification of energy sources and supply security is of great importance for it. Thus, the objective of this study is to analyze the relationship between renewable energy production and economic growth in Turkey by using Johansen Cointegration Test, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), Granger Causality Test and the Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test (ADF). Consequently, both long run and short run a casualty running from GDP growth to renewable energy production is determined in the study.

Money Supply-Economic Growth Nexus: Evidence from a Landlocked Country

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 106-115
Author(s):  
Tilak Singh Mahara
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Correction Term ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Special Role ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

Background: There is special role of money in the economy due to its astonishing importance as change in the amount of it can have a significant effect on the major macroeconomic variables. Money supply is generally considered as policy-determined phenomenon. Like in all the nations, macroeconomic stability of Nepal also depends on the variation in the quantity of money. Objective: The principle objective of the study is to examine the impact of money supply on the economic growth of Nepal. Methodology: This study applies the ARDL approach to cointegration. Bounds test (F-version) has been carried out to determine the existence of long-run relationship between variables. Results: The empirical results pointed out that there is positive and significant long-term relationship between money supply and real economic growth in Nepal. Causality result reveals that there is unidirectional causality from money supply (M2) to Real GDP. The error correction term is found negative and statistically significant suggesting a correction of short-run disequilibrium within two and a half years. Conclusions: The study concludes that increase in the money supply helps to increase the real economic growth in Nepal. So, money supply and real GDP are associated in the long-run.  Implications: The implication of the study is that, real economic growth in Nepal can be achieved if Nepal Rastra Bank emphasized on monetary policy instruments which help to increase the flow of money supply both in the short and long run.

AN ANALYSIS OF THE MANAGEMENT OF FISCAL DEFICIT OF PAKISTAN: AN ECONOMETRIC STUDY OF AUTO-REGRESSIVE DISTRIBUTIVE LAGS (ARDL) APPROACH

2018 ◽  
pp. 1-30 ◽  
Author(s):  
KHURRAM EJAZ CHANDIA ◽  
MUHAMMAD BADAR IQBAL ◽  
SAIRA AZIZ ◽  
IFRA GUL ◽  
BINESH SARWAR
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Federal Government ◽  
Government Expenditures ◽  
Fiscal Deficit ◽  
Policy Reforms ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Auto Regressive

Fiscal policy is an essential ingredient of economic performance. The fiscal policy is considered as a short-run measure; however, this has long-lasting outcomes for any economy. The current study has examined the connection among different constituents of fiscal policy, i.e., federal government revenues and federal government expenditures; federal government revenues and different components of federal government expenditures; federal government expenditures and different components of federal government revenues and fiscal deficit and influential budgetary variables in the context of the economy of Pakistan. The study has empirically investigated the relationship among the budgetary variables for Pakistan from 1979 to 2017. For data analysis, time-series econometric techniques such as auto-regressive distributive lag (ARDL) approach and Granger causality test have been employed. The results of ARDL bounds test approach suggest the existence of long-run equilibrium relationship among the variables. The result of CUSUM and CUSUMSQ shows the stability of functional relationship tested in this study, which means that model is a useful instrument for policymaking. So, a rise or fall in budgetary variables causes changes in fiscal deficit in long run. The results of study endorse the proof of spent-and-tax hypothesis in the economy of Pakistan. The study suggests the need for extensive fiscal policy reforms in Pakistan.

scholarly journals The Asymmetric Influence of Financial Development on Economic Growth in Kenya: Evidence From NARDL

SAGE Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 215824401989407 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hao Chen ◽  
Duncan O. Hongo ◽  
Max William Ssali ◽  
Maurice Simiyu Nyaranga ◽  
Consolata Wairimu Nderitu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Capital Accumulation ◽  
Research Question ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Model Specification ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Auto Regressive

This study analyzed the asymmetric effects of financial development on economic growth using a model augmented with inflation and government expenditure asymmetries to inform model specification. The research question used entails, Do their asymmetry changes significantly influence growth? Using the nonlinear auto-regressive distributive lag (NARDL), the most significant results posit that positive shocks in financial development in the short run and its negative shocks in the long run increase and decrease economic growth, respectively. Regarding inflation, its positive (negative) shocks in both runs, respectively, reduce (increase) economic growth. In comparison, positive shocks in financial development that spur growth in the short run and negative shocks in financial development (government expenditure) that increase (reduce) growth are the most domineering effects as the rest of the shocks insignificantly affect growth. Results clearly demonstrate to an environment steered by stable and sustainable inflation that regulated government expenditure and comprehensive financial system deepening would positively cause economic growth. Therefore, appropriate policies that favor low inflation and reduced government spending, expansion of feasibly reformed financial institutions, capital accumulation, and increased resource mobilization should be instituted if real growth is to positively happen.

SHORT-RUN AND LONG-RUN IMPACT OF INFLATION, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND ECONOMIC GROWTH TOWARDS POVERTY IN INDONESIA: ARDL APPROACH

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 15
Author(s):  
Ahmadi Murjani
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Poverty Alleviation ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

 Poverty alleviation has become a vigorous program in the world in recent decades. In line with the efforts applied by the government in various countries to reduce poverty, some evaluations have been practised. The impacts of macroeconomic variables such as inflation, unemployment, and economic growth have been commonly employed to be assessed for their impact on the poverty. Previous studies in Indonesia yielded mix results regarding the impact of such macroeconomic variables on the poverty. Different methods and time reference issue were the suspected causes. This paper aims to overcome such problem by utilising the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) equipped with the latest time of observations. This paper finds in the long-run, inflation, unemployment, and economic growth significantly influence the poverty. In the short-run, only inflation and economic growth are noted affecting poverty significantly. 

The short-run and long-run dynamics among FDI, trade openness and economic growth: using a bootstrap ARDL test for co-integration in selected South Asian countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 279-295 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hummera Saleem ◽  
Malik Shahzad Shabbir ◽  
Muhammad Bilal khan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Auto Regressive

PurposeThe purpose of this study is to analyze the dynamic causal relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI), gross domestic product (GDP) and trade openness (TO) on a set of five selected South Asian countries.Design/methodology/approachThis study used newly developed bootstrap auto regressive distributed lags (ARDL) cointegration test to examine the long-run relationship among FDI, GDP and TO for selected South Asian countries for 1975–2016.FindingsThe economic growth (EG) is significantly related to TO for Bangladesh, India and Sri Lanka and the expansion of TO is crucial for growth in these countries. The results show that all countries (except Bangladesh) found the existence of long-run cointegration between FDI, GDP and TO, whereas FDI is a dependent variable. These results concluded that FDI and TO are contributing to EG in these selected countries.Originality/valueThis study is one of the first attempts to investigate the causal relationship and address the short and long dynamic among FDI, GDP and TO regarding five south Asian countries such as Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka.

scholarly journals Re-visiting the renewable energy–economic growth nexus

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 387-403 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oluwafisayo Alabi ◽  
Ishmael Ackah ◽  
Abraham Lartey
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Renewable Energy Consumption ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Opec Member ◽  
The Relationship

Purpose This paper aims to investigate the dynamic relationship between renewable energy and economic growth in African OPEC member countries (Angola, Algeria and Nigeria). Design/methodology/approach The fully modified ordinary least squares technique for heterogeneous cointegrated panels (Pedroni, 2000) is used to estimate the parameters of the model. Findings The study revealed four main findings. First, there is a bidirectional causality between renewable energy and economic growth in the long and the short run. Second, a bidirectional causality exists between non-renewable energy and economic growth in the short and long run. Third, a bidirectional causality exists between CO2 emissions and economic growth. Fourth, a unidirectional causality was also found between CO2 emissions and non-renewable energy consumption with the direction of causality stemming from the consumption of non-renewable energy to CO2 emissions. Practical implications Because renewable consumption enhances growth, OPEC-member Africa countries should encourage investment in modern renewable sources that has high conversion efficiency such as solar, wind and hydro to strengthen their response to mitigating the impacts of climate change. Originality/value This study applies multiple methods to analyze the relationship between renewable energy and economic growth in African OPEC countries.

scholarly journals Asymmetric Impact of International Trade on Consumption-Based Carbon Emissions in MINT Nations

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (20) ◽  
pp. 6581
Author(s):  
Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo ◽  
Abraham Ayobamiji Awosusi ◽  
Husam Rjoub ◽  
Mirela Panait ◽  
Catalin Popescu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Carbon Emissions ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Nonlinear Ardl ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Asymmetric Impact ◽  
Positive Shock ◽  
Bds Test

The association between carbon emissions and international trade has been examined thoroughly; however, consumption-based carbon emissions, which is adjusted for international trade, have not been studied extensively. Therefore, the present study assesses the asymmetric impact of trade (import and export) and economic growth in consumption-based carbon emissions (CCO2) using the MINT nations (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria and Turkey) as a case study. We applied the Nonlinear ARDL to assess this connection using dataset between 1990 and 2018. The outcomes from the BDS test affirmed the use of nonlinear techniques. Furthermore, the NARDL bounds test confirmed long-run association between CCO2 and exports, imports and economic growth. The outcomes from the NARDL long and short-run estimates disclosed that positive (negative) shocks in imports increase (decrease) CCO2 emissions in all the MINT nations. Moreover, positive (negative) shocks in exports decrease (increase) CCO2 emissions in all the MINT nations. As expected, a positive shock in economic growth triggers CCO2 emissions while a negative shift does not have significant impact on CCO2 emissions in the MINT nations. Furthermore, we applied the Gradual shift causality test and the outcomes disclose that imports and economic growth can predict CCO2 emissions in the MINT nations. The study outcomes have significant policy recommendations for policymakers in the MINT nations.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document