Frequency of First Metastatic Events in Breast Cancer: Implications for Sequencing of Systemic and Local-Regional Treatment

1999 ◽  
Vol 17 (9) ◽  
pp. 2649-2649 ◽  
Author(s):  
Howard D. Thames ◽  
Thomas A. Buchholz ◽  
Cynthia D. Smith

PURPOSE: The sequencing of treatment for early breast cancer is controversial. The purpose of this study was to quantify the risk of delaying surgery, using estimates of the frequency of first metastases from breast primary tumors. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The probability that 560 (node-negative), 657 (with one to three positive nodes), and 505 (with more than three positive nodes) women treated without adjuvant chemotherapy would be free of distant disease at presentation was fit to a mathematical model of the seeding of distant metastases and combined with estimates of the growth rate to calculate the frequency of first distant disseminations per month. RESULTS: Frequencies of first distant metastases were approximately 1% to 2% per month, 2% to 4% per month, and 3% to 6% per month in T1 patients who were node-negative, had one to three positive nodes, or more than three positive nodes, respectively. As a result, the typical patient with T1 disease, who has a 70% to 80% chance of being free of distant disease, runs a 1% to 4% risk of distant dissemination for each month surgery is delayed. Assuming a 30% reduction in mortality caused by adjuvant chemotherapy, the model predicts that T1 patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy would potentially have a higher rate of distant metastasis development than those treated with an initial surgical resection followed by adjuvant chemotherapy. CONCLUSION: We formulate the hypothesis that optimal sequencing of surgery and systemic treatment of breast cancer may be size-dependent, with a disadvantage or no benefit from neoadjuvant treatment for T1 patients but an increasing benefit with increasing size of the primary tumor.

Author(s):  
Vinzenz Völkel ◽  
Tom A. Hueting ◽  
Teresa Draeger ◽  
Marissa C. van Maaren ◽  
Linda de Munck ◽  
...  

Abstract Purpose To extend the functionality of the existing INFLUENCE nomogram for locoregional recurrence (LRR) of breast cancer toward the prediction of secondary primary tumors (SP) and distant metastases (DM) using updated follow-up data and the best suitable statistical approaches. Methods Data on women diagnosed with non-metastatic invasive breast cancer were derived from the Netherlands Cancer Registry (n = 13,494). To provide flexible time-dependent individual risk predictions for LRR, SP, and DM, three statistical approaches were assessed; a Cox proportional hazard approach (COX), a parametric spline approach (PAR), and a random survival forest (RSF). These approaches were evaluated on their discrimination using the Area Under the Curve (AUC) statistic and on calibration using the Integrated Calibration Index (ICI). To correct for optimism, the performance measures were assessed by drawing 200 bootstrap samples. Results Age, tumor grade, pT, pN, multifocality, type of surgery, hormonal receptor status, HER2-status, and adjuvant therapy were included as predictors. While all three approaches showed adequate calibration, the RSF approach offers the best optimism-corrected 5-year AUC for LRR (0.75, 95%CI: 0.74–0.76) and SP (0.67, 95%CI: 0.65–0.68). For the prediction of DM, all three approaches showed equivalent discrimination (5-year AUC: 0.77–0.78), while COX seems to have an advantage concerning calibration (ICI < 0.01). Finally, an online calculator of INFLUENCE 2.0 was created. Conclusions INFLUENCE 2.0 is a flexible model to predict time-dependent individual risks of LRR, SP and DM at a 5-year scale; it can support clinical decision-making regarding personalized follow-up strategies for curatively treated non-metastatic breast cancer patients.


2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jenny Stenström ◽  
Ingrid Hedenfalk ◽  
Catharina Hagerling

Abstract Background Patients diagnosed with metastatic breast cancer have poor outcome with a median survival of approximately 2 years. While novel therapeutic options are urgently needed, the great majority of breast cancer research has focused on the primary tumor and less is known about metastatic breast cancer and the prognostic impact of the metastatic tumor microenvironment. Here we investigate the immune landscape in unique clinical material. We explore how the immune landscape changes with metastatic progression and elucidate the prognostic role of immune cells infiltrating primary tumors and corresponding lymph node and more importantly distant metastases. Methods Immunohistochemical staining was performed on human breast cancer tissue microarrays from primary tumors (n = 231), lymph node metastases (n = 129), and distant metastases (n = 43). Infiltration levels of T lymphocytes (CD3+), regulatory T lymphocytes (Tregs, FOXP3+), macrophages (CD68+), and neutrophils (NE+) were assessed in primary tumors. T lymphocytes and Tregs were further investigated in lymph node and distant metastases. Results T lymphocyte and Treg infiltration were the most clinically important immune cell populations in primary tumors. Infiltration of T lymphocytes and Tregs in primary tumors correlated with proliferation (P = 0.007, P = 0.000) and estrogen receptor negativity (P = 0.046, P = 0.026). While both T lymphocyte and Treg infiltration had a negative correlation to luminal A subtype (P = 0.031, P = 0.000), only Treg infiltration correlated to luminal B (P = 0.034) and triple-negative subtype (P = 0.019). In primary tumors, infiltration of T lymphocytes was an independent prognostic factor for recurrence-free survival (HR = 1.77, CI = 1.01–3.13, P = 0.048), while Treg infiltration was an independent prognostic factor for breast cancer-specific survival (HR = 1.72, CI = 1.14–2.59, P = 0.01). Moreover, breast cancer patients with Treg infiltration in their distant metastases had poor post-recurrence survival (P = 0.039). Treg infiltration levels changed with metastatic tumor progression in 50% of the patients, but there was no significant trend toward neither lower nor higher infiltration. Conclusion Treg infiltration could have clinical applicability as a prognostic biomarker, deciphering metastatic breast cancer patients with worse prognosis, and accordingly, could be a suitable immunotherapeutic target for patients with metastatic breast cancer. Importantly, half of the patients had changes in Treg infiltration during the course of metastatic progression emphasizing the need to characterize the metastatic immune landscape.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 7 (12) ◽  
pp. e52796 ◽  
Author(s):  
Noemí Eiró ◽  
Iván Pidal ◽  
Belen Fernandez-Garcia ◽  
Sara Junquera ◽  
Maria L. Lamelas ◽  
...  

2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (31) ◽  
pp. 3513-3519 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julia Bonastre ◽  
Sophie Marguet ◽  
Beranger Lueza ◽  
Stefan Michiels ◽  
Suzette Delaloge ◽  
...  

Purpose To conduct an economic evaluation of the 70-gene signature used to guide adjuvant chemotherapy decision making both in patients with node-negative breast cancer (NNBC) and in the subgroup of estrogen receptor (ER) –positive patients. Patients and Methods We used a mixed approach combining patient-level data from a multicenter validation study of the 70-gene signature (untreated patients) and secondary sources for chemotherapy efficacy, unit costs, and utility values. Three strategies on which to base the decision to administer adjuvant chemotherapy were compared: the 70-gene signature, Adjuvant! Online, and chemotherapy in all patients. In the base-case analysis, costs from the French National Insurance Scheme, life-years (LYs), and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were computed for the three strategies over a 10-year period. Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves using the net monetary benefit were computed, combining bootstrap and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. Results The mean differences in LYs and QALYs were similar between the three strategies. The 70-gene signature strategy was associated with a higher cost, with a mean difference of €2,037 (range, €1,472 to €2,515) compared with Adjuvant! Online and of €657 (95% CI, −€642 to €3,130) compared with systematic chemotherapy. For a €50,000 per QALY willingness-to-pay threshold, the probability of being the most cost-effective strategy was 92% (76% in ER-positive patients) for the Adjuvant! Online strategy, 6% (4% in ER-positive patients) for the systematic chemotherapy strategy, and 2% (20% in ER-positive patients) for the 70-gene strategy. Conclusion Optimizing adjuvant chemotherapy decision making based on the 70-gene signature is unlikely to be cost effective in patients with NNBC.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gerardo I. Magallanes-Garza ◽  
Sandra K. Santuario-Facio ◽  
Arlina F. Varela-Varela ◽  
Servando Cardona-Huerta ◽  
Pablo Ruiz-Flores ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Studies of molecular changes occurring before and after neo-adjuvant chemotherapy (NCT) for breast cancer may unveil genetic biomarkers to predict therapy response. This study aimed at identifying genomic changes in breast primary tumors of patients under NCT. Gene expression changes were correlated with pathological response and survival.Methods: Gene expression profiles in tissue samples from pre and post NCT were obtained by a non-supervised classification analysis. Thirty-nine patients were classified according to their response to the chemotherapy as pathologic complete responders or non-responders (pCR and no-pCR, respectively). Overall survival was assessed by comparing gene expression values before NCT using the Log-rank (Mantel-Cox) test. Results: A signature constituted by 43 genes was obtained to stratify pCR and no-pCR patients after NCT (FC = + 3, FDR p -value < 0.0298). These genes were involved in regulation of the mitotic nuclear division and the anaphase-promoting complex-dependent catabolic process. Remarkably, over-expression of NUSAP1 and KIAA0101 were associated to poor overall survival. Conclusions: A new expression signature evaluating response for the neo-adjuvant chemotherapy stratified pathological response. The expression levels of NUSAP1 and KIAA0101 before and after the neo-adjuvant therapy may be useful to predict overall survival.


Cancers ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 1058 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gener ◽  
Rafael ◽  
Seras-Franzoso ◽  
Perez ◽  
Pindado ◽  
...  

Therapeutic resistance seen in aggressive forms of breast cancer remains challenging for current treatments. More than half of the patients suffer from a disease relapse, most of them with distant metastases. Cancer maintenance, resistance to therapy, and metastatic disease seem to be sustained by the presence of cancer stem cells (CSC) within a tumor. The difficulty in targeting this subpopulation derives from their dynamic interconversion process, where CSC can differentiate to non-CSC, which in turn de-differentiate into cells with CSC properties. Using fluorescent CSC models driven by the expression of ALDH1A 1(aldehyde dehydrogenase 1A1), we confirmed this dynamic phenotypic change in MDA-MB-231 breast cancer cells and to identify Serine/Threonine Kinase 2 (AKT2) as an important player in the process. To confirm the central role of AKT2, we silenced AKT2 expression via small interfering RNA and using a chemical inhibitor (CCT128930), in both CSC and non-CSC from different cancer cell lines. Our results revealed that AKT2 inhibition effectively prevents non-CSC reversion through mesenchymal to epithelial transition, reducing invasion and colony formation ability of both, non-CSC and CSC. Further, AKT2 inhibition reduced CSC survival in low attachment conditions. Interestingly, in orthotopic tumor mouse models, high expression levels of AKT2 were detected in circulating tumor cells (CTC). These findings suggest AKT2 as a promising target for future anti-cancer therapies at three important levels: (i) Epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EMT) reversion and maintenance of CSC subpopulation in primary tumors, (ii) reduction of CTC and the likelihood of metastatic spread, and (iii) prevention of tumor recurrence through inhibition of CSC tumorigenic and metastatic potential.


2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zachary Veitch ◽  
Omar F. Khan ◽  
Derek Tilley ◽  
Domek Ribnikar ◽  
Xanthoula Kostaras ◽  
...  

2000 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 73-78 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Prechtl ◽  
N. Harbeck ◽  
C. Thomssen ◽  
C. Meisner ◽  
M. Braun ◽  
...  

In axillary node-negative primary breast cancer, 70% of the patients will be cured by locoregional treatment alone. Therefore, adjuvant systemic therapy is only needed for those 30% of node-negative patients who will relapse after primary therapy and eventually die of metastases. Traditional histomorphological and clinical factors do not provide sufficient information to allow accurate risk group assessment in order to identify node-negative patients who might benefit from adjuvant systemic therapy. In the last decade various groups have reported a strong and statistically independent prognostic impact of the serine protease uPA (urokinase-type plasminogen activator) and its inhibitor PAI-1 (plasminogen activator inhibitor type 1) in node-negative breast cancer patients. Based on these data, a prospective multicenter therapy trial in node-negative breast cancer patients was started in Germany in June 1993, supported by the German Research Association (DFG). Axillary node-negative breast cancer patients with high levels of either or both proteolytic factors in the tumor tissue were randomized to adjuvant CMF chemotherapy versus observation only. Recruitment was continued until the end of 1998, by which time 684 patients had been enrolled. Since then, patients have been followed up in order to assess the value of uPA and PAI-1 determination as an adequate selection criterion for adjuvant chemotherapy in node-negative breast cancer patients. This paper reports on the rationale and design of this prospective multicenter clinical trial, which may have an impact on future policies in prognosis-oriented treatment strategies.


1988 ◽  
Vol 6 (7) ◽  
pp. 1107-1117 ◽  
Author(s):  
B Fowble ◽  
R Gray ◽  
K Gilchrist ◽  
R L Goodman ◽  
S Taylor ◽  
...  

Risk factors for isolated local-regional (LR) recurrence following mastectomy for breast cancer were analyzed in a review of 627 women entered into Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) adjuvant chemotherapy trials between 1978 and 1982. Premenopausal patients were randomized to cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, and fluorouracil (5-FU) (CMF), cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, 5-FU, and prednisone (CMFP), or cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, 5-FU, prednisone, and tamoxifen (CMFPT). Postmenopausal patients were randomized to observation, CMFP, or CMFPT. Median follow-up time was 4.5 years. At 3 years, 225 patients relapsed and in 70 (31% of failures, 11% of all patients) the initial site was LR without distant metastases. In a multivariate analysis, the risk of an isolated LR recurrence significantly correlated with the number of positive axillary nodes, the primary tumor size, the presence of tumor necrosis, and the number of axillary nodes examined. Factors that significantly discriminated between an isolated LR recurrence and distant metastasis were the number of positive nodes and primary tumor size. Patients with four to seven positive nodes or tumor size greater than or equal to 5 cm had a chance of developing an isolated LR recurrence almost equal to the risk of distant metastases. These findings suggest a potential for improved survival in this subset of patients with the addition of postmastectomy radiation to chemotherapy, and continue to emphasize the presence of a group of patients at high risk for isolated LR recurrence despite adjuvant chemotherapy.


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