The impact of palliative resection (PR) of the primary tumor on overall survival (OS) in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC).

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 509-509
Author(s):  
Gillian Gresham ◽  
Daniel John Renouf ◽  
Matthew Chan ◽  
Winson Y. Cheung
Keyword(s):  
Propensity Score ◽  
Primary Tumor ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Significant Proportion ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Entire Cohort ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
The Impact

509 Background: The role of PR of the primary tumor in mCRC remains unclear. Using population-based data, we explored the impact of PR on OS. Methods: Patients (pts) with mCRC who were referred to 1 of 5 regional cancer centers in British Columbia between 2006 and 2008 were reviewed (n=802). Pts with prior early stage CRC who relapsed with mCRC were excluded (n=285). We conducted survival analysis using Kaplan Meier methods and determined adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for death using Cox proportional hazards models. A secondary propensity score matched analysis was performed to control for baseline differences between pts who underwent PR and those who did not. Results: A total of 517 pts with mCRC were identified: median age was 63 years (range 23-93), 54% were men, 55% had ECOG 0-1, 76% had a colon primary, and 31% had >1 metastatic site. The majority (n=378; 73%) underwent PR of the primary tumor and a significant proportion (n=327; 63%) received palliative chemotherapy (CT). Compared to pts without PR, those with PR were more likely to be men (62 vs 51%, p=0.03), aged <65 years (63 vs 52%, p=0.03), ECOG 0-1 (61 vs 38%, p<0.0001), and receive palliative CT (68 vs 50%, p=0.0004). PR was associated with improved median OS across groups (Table). The benefit of PR on prognosis persisted in multivariate analysis (HR for death 0.56, 95%CI 0.43-0.72, p<0.0001 for entire cohort; HR 0.51, 95%CI 0.37-0.70, p<0.0001 for individuals who were treated with CT; and HR 0.54, 95%CI 0.34-0.84, p=0.007 for those who did not receive CT). In a propensity score matched analysis that considered age, gender, ECOG, and receipt of palliative CT, prognosis continued to be more favorable in the PR group (HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.50-0.86, p=0.0019). Conclusions: In this population-based analysis, PR of the primary tumor in mCRC was associated with a significant OS benefit. [Table: see text]

scholarly journals Radical Versus Non-Radical Resection for Early-Stage Retroperitoneal Sarcoma: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chengxin Weng ◽  
Jiarong Wang ◽  
Jichun Zhao ◽  
Ding Yuan ◽  
Bin Huang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Propensity Score ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Radical Resection ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Retroperitoneal Sarcoma ◽  
Stage I ◽  
National Database ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Overall Mortality

BackgroundThe appropriate surgical procedure for early-stage retroperitoneal sarcoma (RPS) is unclear. Thus, we used a national database to compare the outcomes of radical and non-radical resection in patients with early stage RPS.MethodsThis retrospective study included 886 stage I RPS patients from 2004 to 2015 in the SEER database. Outcomes were compared using the multivariate Cox proportional hazards models and the results were presented as adjusted hazards ratio (AHR) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs). Propensity score-matched analyses were also performed for sensitive analyses.ResultsFor the 886 stage I RPS patients, 316 underwent radical resection, and 570 underwent non-radical resection, with a median follow-up of 4.58 (2.73-8.35) years. No difference was observed in overall mortality (AHR 0.84, 95%CI 0.62-1.15; P = 0.28) or RPS-specific mortality (AHR 0.88, 95%CI 0.57-1.36; P = 0.56) between groups. The results were similar in propensity score-matching analyses. However, subgroup analysis revealed that radical resection was associated with significantly decreased risks of overall mortality in male (AHR 0.61, 95%CI 0.38-0.98; P = 0.04) and in patients with radiotherapy (AHR 0.56, 95%CI 0.32-0.98; P = 0.04).ConclusionRadical resection did not improve midterm survival outcomes compared with non-radical resection in overall patients with early stage RPS. However, male patients or patients who received radiotherapy might benefit from radical resection with improved overall survival.

Does Post-operative Radiotherapy Improve the Treatment Outcomes of Intracranial Hemangiopericytoma? A Retrospective Study

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianbiao Xiao ◽  
Yi Ding ◽  
Lanwei Xu ◽  
Wei Wang ◽  
Fen Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Propensity Score ◽  
Local Control ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Postoperative Radiotherapy ◽  
Intensity Modulated Radiotherapy ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Propensity Score Method ◽  
Radiotherapy Group ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Background: The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of post-operative radiotherapy on the results in patients with intracranial hemangiopericytoma (HPC). Materials and methods: We retrospectively reviewed 66 intracranial HPC patients treated between 1999 and 2019 including 29 with surgery followed by radiotherapy (11 with intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) and 18 with stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS)) and 37 with surgery alone. Chi-squared test was used to compare the clinical characteristic between the groups. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to analyze overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine prognostic factors of survival. Twenty-nine of the 37 surgery alone patients were matched to the 29 patients with postoperative radiotherapy by using Propensity score method. Results: The crude local control rates were 58.6% in the surgery plus post-operative radiotherapy group (PORT) and 67.6% in the surgery alone group (p = 0.453). In the subgroup analysis of the PORT patients, local controls were 72.7% in the IMRT group and 50% in the SRS group (p = 0.228). The median OS in the PORT and surgery groups were 122 months and 98 months, respectively (p = 0.169). The median RFS was 96 months in the PORT group and 72 months in the surgery alone group (p = 0.714). Regarding radiotherapy technique, the median OS and RFS of the SRS group were not significantly different from those in the IMRT group (p = 0.256, 0.960). The median RFS were 112 and 72 months for pathology grade II and III patients, respectively (p = 0.001). Propensity score matching did not change the observed results. Conclusion: PORT did not improve the local control rates nor the survivals. The local control rates after IMRT and SRS were similar even though the IMRT technique had a much higher biological dose compared with the SRS technique. PORT may not be indicated for intracranial HPC patients with a complete resection margin.

scholarly journals Hyperuricemia and Incident Cardiovascular Disease and Noncardiac Vascular Events in Patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Kuo ◽  
Cynthia S. Crowson ◽  
Sherine E. Gabriel ◽  
Eric L. Matteson
Keyword(s):  
Rheumatoid Arthritis ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Vascular Events ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Peripheral Arterial ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Incident Cardiovascular Disease

Objective. To evaluate whether hyperuricemia is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA).Methods. A population-based inception cohort of patients diagnosed between 1980 and 2007 with adult-onset RA was assembled. A comparison cohort of age- and sex-matched subjects without RA (non-RA) was also assembled. All clinically obtained uric acid values were collected. CVD and noncardiac vascular events were recorded for each patient. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the impact of hyperuricemia on development of CVD, mortality, and noncardiac vascular disease.Results. In patients without RA, hyperuricemia was associated with heart failure (HR: 1.95; 95% CI: 1.13–3.39) and CVD (HR: 1.59; 95% CI: 0.99–2.55). In patients with RA, hyperuricemia was not significantly associated with CVD but was significantly associated with peripheral arterial events (HR: 2.52; 95% CI: 1.17–5.42). Hyperuricemia appeared to be more strongly associated with mortality among RA patients (HR: 1.96; 95% CI: 1.45–2.65) than among the non-RA subjects (HR: 1.57; 95% CI: 1.09–2.24).Conclusion. In patients with RA, hyperuricemia was a significant predictor of peripheral arterial events and mortality but not of CVD.

A population-based analysis of treatment and outcomes in 2,500 metaplastic breast cancer patients.

2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 532-532
Author(s):  
Cecilia Tuongquang Ong ◽  
Samantha Marie Thomas ◽  
Brittany Morgan Campbell ◽  
Rachel Adams Greenup ◽  
Jennifer Kay Plichta ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Tumor Biology ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Breast Cancer Patients ◽  
Metaplastic Breast Cancer ◽  
Full Cohort ◽  
Entire Cohort ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models

532 Background: Metaplastic breast cancer (MBC) is a rare, aggressive variant that is often triple negative (TN). Current guidelines recommend use of standard receptor-based treatment for MBC despite evidence of chemoresistance. We sought to compare treatment patterns and outcomes of MBC and non-MBC. Methods: Women age > 18 with stage I-III MBC and non-MBC histology diagnosed from 2010-2013 were identified in the National Cancer Database. Kaplan Meier and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate MBC association with overall survival (OS). Subgroup analyses were conducted for (1) MBC patients only and (2) TN MBC and TN non-MBC patients. Results: 2451 MBC and 568,057 non-MBC patients were included. 70.3% of MBC were TN vs 11.3% of non-MBC (p < 0.001). 19.2% of MBC were luminal (i.e., ER+ and/or PR+, and HER2-). MBC presented with higher clinical T stage (cT4: 5.4% vs 1.8%) and grade (grade 3: 72.1% vs 29.7%) but was less frequently node-positive (19.1% vs 29.7%, all p < 0.001). A higher proportion of MBC patients were treated with mastectomy (59.0% vs 44.9%), axillary dissection (ALND, 35.2% vs 32.2%), and chemotherapy (74.1% vs 43.1%, all p≤0.001). 5-year OS was reduced among MBC vs non-MBC patients for both the entire cohort (72.7% vs 87.5%) and the TN-only analysis (71.1% vs 77.8%, both log-rank p < 0.001). Among MBC cases, TN subtype was not associated with worse OS than the luminal subtype (HR 1.16, p = 0.28). Chemotherapy (HR 0.69, p = 0.004) and/or radiotherapy (HR 0.52, p < 0.001) improved OS in MBC, and the proportional benefit of chemotherapy did not vary with pathological T or N stage (interaction p > 0.05 for both). Among TN patients, a higher proportion of TN MBC patients underwent mastectomy (58.4% vs 49.5%, p < 0.001), but in contrast to the full cohort, a lower proportion of TN MBC patients received chemotherapy (76.6% vs. 78.7%, p = 0.008) and ALND (35.2% vs. 38.2%, p = 0.01) vs TN non-MBC patients. Conclusions: MBC had worse OS vs non-MBC, and unlike other histologies, outcome was not driven by receptor status. Multimodal therapy improved outcomes. Further investigation into MBC tumor biology and the development of MBC-specific guidelines could potentially improve treatment standardization and outcomes.

scholarly journals The impact of phlebotomy and hydroxyurea on survival and risk of thrombosis among older patients with polycythemia vera

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (20) ◽  
pp. 2681-2690 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikolai A. Podoltsev ◽  
Mengxin Zhu ◽  
Amer M. Zeidan ◽  
Rong Wang ◽  
Xiaoyi Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Polycythemia Vera ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Treatment Modalities ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Medicare Database ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Current guidelines recommend therapeutic phlebotomy for all polycythemia vera (PV) patients and additional cytoreductive therapy (eg, hydroxyurea [HU]) for high-risk PV patients. Little is known about the impact of these therapies in the real-world setting. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of older adults diagnosed with PV from 2007 to 2013 using the linked Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results–Medicare database. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the effect of phlebotomy and HU on overall survival (OS) and the occurrence of thrombotic events. Of 820 PV patients (median age = 77 years), 16.3% received neither phlebotomy nor HU, 23.0% were managed with phlebotomy only, 19.6% with HU only, and 41.1% with both treatments. After a median follow-up of 2.83 years, 37.2% (n = 305) of the patients died. Phlebotomy (yes/no; hazard ratio [HR] = 0.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.51-0.81; P &lt; .01), increasing phlebotomy intensity (HR = 0.71; 95% CI, 0.65-0.79; P &lt; .01), and a higher proportion of days covered (PDC) by HU were all significantly associated with lower mortality. When thrombosis was the outcome of interest, phlebotomy (yes/no; HR = 0.52; 95% CI, 0.42-0.66; P &lt; .01) and increasing phlebotomy intensity (HR = 0.46; 95% CI, 0.29-0.74; P &lt; .01) were significantly associated with a lower risk of thrombotic events, so was a higher HU PDC. In this population-based study of older adults with PV reflecting contemporary clinical practice, phlebotomy and HU were associated with improved OS and decreased risk of thrombosis. However, both treatment modalities were underused in this cohort of older PV patients.

The Longitudinal Association of Vision Impairment with Transitions to Cognitive Impairment and Dementia: Findings from The Aging, Demographics and Memory Study

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joshua R Ehrlich ◽  
Bonnielin K Swenor ◽  
Yunshu Zhou ◽  
Kenneth M Langa
Keyword(s):  
Visual Acuity ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Cognitive Impairment ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Vision Impairment ◽  
Logistic Regression Models ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Longitudinal Association

Abstract Background Vision impairment (VI) is associated with incident cognitive decline and dementia. However, it is not known whether VI is associated only with the transition to cognitive impairment, or whether it is also associated with later transitions to dementia. Methods We used data from the population-based Aging, Demographics and Memory Study (ADAMS) to investigate the association of visual acuity impairment (VI; defined as binocular presenting visual acuity &lt;20/40) with transitions from cognitively normal (CN) to cognitive impairment no dementia (CIND) and from CIND to dementia. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models and logistic regression were used to model the association of VI with cognitive transitions, adjusted for covariates. Results There were 351 participants included in this study (weighted percentages: 45% male, 64% age 70-79 years) with a mean follow-up time of 4.1 years. In a multivariable model, the hazard of dementia was elevated among those with VI (HR=1.63, 95%CI=1.04-2.58). Participants with VI had a greater hazard of transitioning from CN to CIND (HR=1.86, 95%CI=1.09-3.18). However, among those with CIND and VI a similar percentage transitioned to dementia (48%) and remained CIND (52%); there was no significant association between VI and transitioning from CIND to dementia (HR=0.94, 95%CI=0.56-1.55). Using logistic regression models, the same associations between VI and cognitive transitions were identified. Conclusions Poor vision is associated with the development of CIND. The association of VI and dementia appears to be due to the higher risk of dementia among individuals with CIND. Findings may inform the design of future interventional studies.

Abstract P005: Comparative Effectiveness of Rivaroxaban versus Warfarin for the Treatment of Patients with Non-valvular Atrial Fibrillation

Circulation ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 133 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Faye L Norby ◽  
Lindsay G Bengtson ◽  
Lin Y Chen ◽  
Richard F MacLehose ◽  
Pamela L Lutsey ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Real World ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Large Population ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Gi Bleeding ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
The Us

Background: Rivaroxaban is a novel oral anticoagulant approved in the US in 2011 for prevention of stroke and systemic embolism in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). Information on risks and benefits among rivaroxaban users in real-world populations is limited. Methods: We used data from the US MarketScan Commercial and Medicare Supplemental databases between 2010 and 2013. We selected patients with a history of NVAF and initiating rivaroxaban or warfarin. Rivaroxaban users were matched with up to 5 warfarin users by age, sex, database enrollment date and drug initiation date. Ischemic stroke, intracranial bleeding (ICB), myocardial infarction (MI), and gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding outcomes were defined by ICD-9-CM codes in an inpatient claim after drug initiation date. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the association between rivaroxaban vs. warfarin use and outcomes adjusting for age, sex, and CHA2DS2-VASc score. Separate models were used to compare a) new rivaroxaban users with new warfarin users, and b) switchers from warfarin to rivaroxaban to continuous warfarin users. Results: Our analysis included 34,998 rivaroxaban users matched to 102,480 warfarin users with NVAF (39% female, mean age 71), in which 487 ischemic strokes, 179 ICB, 647 MI, and 1353 GI bleeds were identified during a mean follow-up of 9 months. Associations of rivaroxaban vs warfarin were similar in new users and switchers; therefore we pooled both analyses. Rivaroxaban users had lower rates of ICB (hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval (CI)) = 0.72 (0.46, 1.12))) and ischemic stroke (HR (95% CI) = 0.88 (0.68, 1.13)), but higher rates of GI bleeding (HR (95% CI) = 1.15 (1.01, 1.33)) when compared to warfarin users (table). Conclusion: In this large population-based study of NVAF patients, rivaroxaban users had a non-significant lower risk of ICB and ischemic stroke than warfarin users, but a higher risk of GI bleeding. These real-world findings are comparable to results reported in published clinical trials.

scholarly journals Plant-Based Diets and Incident CKD and Kidney Function

2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (5) ◽  
pp. 682-691 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hyunju Kim ◽  
Laura E. Caulfield ◽  
Vanessa Garcia-Larsen ◽  
Lyn M. Steffen ◽  
Morgan E. Grams ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Kidney Function ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Vegetarian Diet ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Healthy Plant ◽  
Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities ◽  
Plant Foods ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Middle Aged Adults

Background and objectivesThe association between plant-based diets, incident CKD, and kidney function decline has not been examined in the general population. We prospectively investigated this relationship in a population-based study, and evaluated if risk varied by different types of plant-based diets.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsAnalyses were conducted in a sample of 14,686 middle-aged adults enrolled in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study. Diets were characterized using four plant-based diet indices. In the overall plant-based diet index, all plant foods were positively scored; in the healthy plant-based diet index, only healthful plant foods were positively scored; in the provegetarian diet, selected plant foods were positively scored. In the less healthy plant-based diet index, only less healthful plant foods were positively scored. All indices negatively scored animal foods. We used Cox proportional hazards models to study the association with incident CKD and linear mixed models to examine decline in eGFR, adjusting for confounders.ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 24 years, 4343 incident CKD cases occurred. Higher adherence to a healthy plant-based diet (HR comparing quintile 5 versus quintile 1 [HRQ5 versus Q1], 0.86; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.78 to 0.96; P for trend =0.001) and a provegetarian diet (HRQ5 versus Q1, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.82 to 0.99; P for trend =0.03) were associated with a lower risk of CKD, whereas higher adherence to a less healthy plant-based diet (HRQ5 versus Q1, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.21; P for trend =0.04) was associated with an elevated risk. Higher adherence to an overall plant-based diet and a healthy plant-based diet was associated with slower eGFR decline. The proportion of CKD attributable to lower adherence to healthy plant-based diets was 4.1% (95% CI, 0.6% to 8.3%).ConclusionsHigher adherence to healthy plant-based diets and a vegetarian diet was associated with favorable kidney disease outcomes.

Effect of Pregnancy on Overall Survival After the Diagnosis of Early-Stage Breast Cancer

2001 ◽  
Vol 19 (6) ◽  
pp. 1671-1675 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shari Gelber ◽  
Alan S. Coates ◽  
Aron Goldhirsch ◽  
Monica Castiglione-Gertsch ◽  
Gianluigi Marini ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Comparison Group ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Pregnant Patient ◽  
Subsequent Pregnancy ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Early Stage Breast Cancer ◽  
Study Group ◽  
The Impact

PURPOSE: To evaluate the impact of subsequent pregnancy on the prognosis of patients with early breast cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: One hundred eight patients who became pregnant after diagnosis of early-stage breast cancer were identified in institutions participating in International Breast Cancer Study Group (IBCSG) studies. Fourteen had relapse of breast cancer before their first subsequent pregnancy. The remaining 94 patients (including eight who relapsed during pregnancy) formed the study group reported here. A comparison group of 188 was obtained by randomly selecting two patients, matched for nodal status, tumor size, age, and year of diagnosis from the IBCSG database, who were free of relapse for at least as long as the time between breast cancer diagnosis and completion of pregnancy for each pregnant patient. Survival comparison used Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS: Overall 5- and 10-year survival percentages (± SE) measured from the diagnosis of early-stage breast cancer among the 94 study group patients were 92% ± 3% and 86% ± 4%, respectively. For the matched comparison group survival was 85% ± 3% at 5 years and 74% ± 4% at 10 years (risk ratio, 0.44; 95% confidence interval, 0.21 to 0.96; P = .04). CONCLUSION: Subsequent pregnancy does not adversely affect the prognosis of early-stage breast cancer. The superior survival seen in this and other controlled series may merely reflect a healthy patient selection bias, but is also consistent with an antitumor effect of the pregnancy.

scholarly journals Physical activity types and atrial fibrillation risk in the middle-aged and elderly: The Rotterdam Study

2018 ◽  
Vol 25 (12) ◽  
pp. 1316-1323 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marijn Albrecht ◽  
Chantal M Koolhaas ◽  
Josje D Schoufour ◽  
Frank JA van Rooij ◽  
M Kavousi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Physical Activity ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Total Physical Activity ◽  
Rotterdam Study ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Activity Types ◽  
Study Population

Background The association between physical activity and atrial fibrillation remains controversial. Physical activity has been associated with a higher and lower atrial fibrillation risk. These inconsistent results might be related to the type of physical activity. We aimed to investigate the association of total and types of physical activity, including walking, cycling, domestic work, gardening and sports, with atrial fibrillation. Design Prospective cohort study. Methods Our study was performed in the Rotterdam Study, a prospective population-based cohort. We included 7018 participants aged 55 years and older with information on physical activity between 1997–2001. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association of physical activity with atrial fibrillation risk. Models were adjusted for biological and behavioural risk factors and the remaining physical activity types. Physical activity was categorised in tertiles and the low group was used as reference. Results During 16.8 years of follow-up (median: 12.3 years, interquartile range: 8.7–15.9 years), 800 atrial fibrillation events occurred (11.4% of the study population). We observed no association between total physical activity and atrial fibrillation risk in any model. After adjustment for confounders, the hazard ratio and 95% confidence interval for the high physical activity category compared to the low physical activity category was: 0.71 (0.80–1.14) for total physical activity. We did not observe a significant association between any of the physical activity types with atrial fibrillation risk. Conclusion Our results suggest that physical activity is not associated with higher or lower risk of atrial fibrillation in older adults. Neither total physical activity nor any of the included physical activity types was associated with atrial fibrillation risk.

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