Project data sphere (PDS) in prostate cancer: A first look including concomitant medication use.

2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 204-204
Author(s):  
Bethany Gill ◽  
Leila Khoja ◽  
Zhu Juan Li ◽  
Robert James Hamilton ◽  
Marianne Koritzinsky ◽  
...  

204 Background: PDS enables patient-level analyses of control arms of cancer trials. The interface (www.projectdatasphere.org) allows for both web-based and download-based analyses. We aimed to validate established prostate cancer prognostic models and explore the effect of concomitant medications on survival in mCRPC. Methods: Data was obtained for 2,747 control subjects with mCRPC from 7 Phase III clinical trials with 1962 subjects available for OS analyses from 5 studies. Overall survival was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier Method. Cox-proportional hazards models, stratified by trial, were used to estimate hazard ratios. Results: Metastatic site was significant for overall survival (Median: Node only 23.69m, Bone 18.17m, Lung 14.72m, Liver 9.43m; p < 0.001). Of the 23 types of medication examined, after adjusting for metastatic site, patients taking proton pump inhibitors (HR: 1.155, p=0.017) and Erythropoietin (HR: 1.49, p-value<.001) had worse overall survival whilst patients taking fish oil (HR:0.68, p-value=0.033) and non-lipophilic statins (HR:0.69, p=.00277) had improved overall survival. Within the limits of available data, we validated the prognostic models for overall survival proposed by Templeton et al. and Sonpavde et al individually and after inclusion of concomitant medication where patients taking metformin (HR=0.729, p=.0082) and Cox 2 inhibitors (HR=0.708, p=.015) had improved OS whilst those taking low molecular weight heparin (HR=1.352, p=.004) had worse OS. Conclusions: As a first project utilizing open-source PDS data in prostate cancer, we validated two prostate cancer prognostic models and illuminated the ability to undertake novel analyses such as the association of concomitant medications with outcome. Limitations of the data relate to incomplete and inconsistent data entry. Future expansion of patient trials and numbers will help to facilitate future analyses.

2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 118-118
Author(s):  
G. Sonpavde ◽  
G. R. Pond ◽  
W. R. Berry ◽  
R. De Wit ◽  
M. A. Eisenberger ◽  
...  

118 Background: In men with metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer (CRPC),the association of measurable tumor responses with overall survival (OS) is unknown. We retrospectively evaluated the TAX327 phase III trial to study this relationship. Methods: Eligible patients for this analysis included those with WHO-defined measurable metastatic disease randomized to receive either docetaxel or mitoxantrone. OS was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and the prognostic relationship of WHO-defined radiologic response with OS was performed using Cox proportional hazards regression. Landmark analyses evaluated survival from baseline and 2, 3, 4 and 6 months after baseline. Results: Four hundred and twelve patients enrolled on the TAX327 trial had measurable tumors. Thirty-seven patients exhibited a complete or partial objective response (CR/PR, 9.0%), 116 had stable disease (SD, 28.2%), 99 had progressive disease (PD,24%) and 160 (38.8%) did not have a post-baseline objective assessment. Partial responders demonstrated longer median OS (29.0 months) than patients with SD (22.1 months), or those with PD (10.8 months) or those who were not assessed (12.7 months). These results remained after landmark analysis. We found a significant association between ≥30% PSA declines and radiologic response, with ≥30% PSA declines occurring in all patients with CR/PR, 79.8% of patients with SD and 34.4% with PD. Radiologic response remained a significant but modest post-treatment prognostic factor for OS after adjusting for treatment, pain-response and ≥30% PSA-decline (p=0.009). Conclusions: In men with metastatic CRPC and measurable disease receiving chemotherapy, objective tumor response was prognostic for OS, and appears to complement PSA assessment. [Table: see text]


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lijie Jiang ◽  
Tengjiao Lin ◽  
Yu Zhang ◽  
Wenxiang Gao ◽  
Jie Deng ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Increasing evidence indicates that the pathology and the modified Kadish system have some influence on the prognosis of esthesioneuroblastoma (ENB). However, an accurate system to combine pathology with a modified Kadish system has not been established. Methods This study aimed to set up and evaluate a model to predict overall survival (OS) accurately in ENB, including clinical characteristics, treatment and pathological variables. We screened the information of patients with ENB between January 1, 1976, and December 30, 2016 from the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program as a training cohort. The validation cohort consisted of patients with ENB at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center and The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University in the same period, and 87 patients were identified. The Pearson’s chi-squared test was used to assess significance of clinicopathological and demographic characteristics. We used the Cox proportional hazards model to examine univariate and multivariate analyses. The model coefficients were used to calculate the Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Prognostic factors with a p- value < 0.05 in multivariate analysis were included in the nomogram. The concordance index (c-index) and calibration curve were used to evaluate the predictive power of the nomogram. Results The c-index of training cohort and validation cohort are 0.737 (95% CI, 0.709 to 0.765) and 0.791 (95% CI, 0.767 to 0.815) respectively. The calibration curves revealed a good agreement between the nomogram prediction and actual observation regarding the probability of 3-year and 5-year survival. We used a nomogram to calculate the 3-year and 5-year growth probability and stratified patients into three risk groups. Conclusions The nomogram provided the risk group information and identified mortality risk and can serve as a reference for designing a reasonable follow-up plan.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 8001-8001
Author(s):  
Oliver W. Press ◽  
Joseph M Unger ◽  
Michael Leo LeBlanc ◽  
Lisa M. Rimsza ◽  
Jonathan W. Friedberg ◽  
...  

8001 Background: Advanced follicular lymphomas (FL) are considered incurable with chemotherapy and there is no consensus on the best treatment. Outcomes are variable, but can be partially predicted by defined prognostic factors. SWOG and CALGB compared the safety and efficacy of 2 immunochemotherapy regimens in a Phase III trial enrolling 554 patients between 3/1/2001 and 9/15/2008. Methods: Patients were eligible if they had bulky stage II, III or IV FL and had not received prior therapy. Patients randomized to CHOP-R received 6 cycles of CHOP every 21 days + 6 doses of rituximab. Patients randomized to CHOP-RIT received 6 cycles of CHOP, followed by consolidative radioimmunotherapy with tositumomab/iodine I-131 tositumomab. A Cox proportional hazards multi-variable regression analysis assessed the prognostic impact of age, stage, LDH, LN size and number, performance status, hemoglobin, β2 microglobulin, BM involvement, and B symptoms.  The prognostic value of 3 multi-variable models were compared. Results: Outcomes were outstanding with either CHOP-R or CHOP-RIT (2 yr PFS: 76% vs 80% [ p =0.11]; 2 yr OS: 97% vs 93% [p =0.08], respectively).  Subset analyses so far have not identified any subgroups clearly benefitting to a greater degree from CHOP-R or CHOP-RIT in terms of both PFS and OS. Cox multivariable regression analysis identified serum-β2M, LDH level, and FLIPI index as the strongest prognostic factors associated with worse PFS and OS. Conclusions: Both regimens produced outstanding PFS and OS, and no statistically significant differences between them were observed.  FLIPI, FLIPI2, and LDH + β2M models were all strong predictors of patient outcomes.  A combination of LDH + β2M was as good as the FLIPI index, and was simpler to apply.  (Supported in part by NCI grants CA32102 and CA38926 from the NCI and GlaxoSmithKline.) [Table: see text]


2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 240-240
Author(s):  
Sina Vatandoust ◽  
Ganessan Kichenadasse ◽  
Michael E O'Callaghan ◽  
Tina Kopsaftis ◽  
Scott Walsh ◽  
...  

240 Background: In 15-30% of pts with metastatic PCa who progress on Maximal Androgen Blockade (MAB), withdrawal of the antiandrogen agent (AAWD) and continuing the LHRH agonist alone, leads to PSA decreases of ≥50% and prolonged progression free survival. Here we describe patient and disease characteristics, treatment history and outcomes of pts who have been managed with AAWD. Methods: Data were obtained from SA-PCCOC (a longitudinal, observational registry of biopsy-proven PCa cases, throughout the Australian state of South Australia since 1998). Proportions were compared using a Chi squared test. A multivariable model used competing risks (Fine and Gray) and Cox proportional Hazards models to assess overall survival and Prostate cancer specific mortality (PCSM). Survival was calculated from the date of rising PSA for patients on LHRH and AA. Results: 140 pts were found to have MAB. Of these, 31(22.1%) had AAWD. In the AAWD group, median age was 81y (51-95). Age at diagnosis, Gleason score at biopsy and diagnostic PSA were not significantly different amongst the two groups. Treatment PSA was significantly lower in the AAWD group (20.55 (range 0.6-9,995) vs 50.50 (range 0.95-4378) p= 0.02). There was a significant association of AAWD with PCSM (sHR 0.35, 95% CI 0.16-0.76; p = 0.008). Also significant in the model was prior time on hormones (sHR [per month increase] 0.96 95% CI 0.95-0.98, p<0.001). There was also a significant association of AAWD with overall survival (HR 0.22, 95% CI 0.10-0.46; p <0.001). Again, prior time on hormones was also significant (HR [per month increase] 0.96 95% CI 0.95-0.98, p<0.001). Multivariate analysis was performed on data from 80 pts (60 pts omitted due to missing data). Conclusions: Pts in whom AAWD was used were older and had lower treatment PSA. In this small cohort, AAWD was associated with both reduced PCSM and overall risk of death. The time spent on MAB also appeared to be significant. This retrospective observational study may be subject to confounding, however the observation warrants further investigation in larger cohorts and in a prospective setting.


2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (2_suppl) ◽  
pp. 191-191
Author(s):  
Scott J. Parker ◽  
Gregory Russell Pond ◽  
Guru Sonpavde ◽  
Anitha Alex ◽  
Marta Elise Heilbrun ◽  
...  

191 Background: Progression of bone metastasis in mCRPC is assessed solely by BS findings and correlates modestly with overall survival (OS). Given the lack of reliability of BS findings and the ready availability of routinely performed CT scans, which commonly identify bone metastases, we aimed to better assess progression in bone by integrating BS and CT findings and to explore their association with OS. Methods: Data were obtained from patients treated at the University of Utah receiving docetaxel-based chemotherapy (D) or post-docetaxel therapy with orteronel (O). Patients with both baseline and on-therapy CT and BS within 90 days were eligible for analysis. CT and BS underwent central radiology review for bone lesions by a single radiologist. Progressive disease (PD) was defined as ≥ 1 new lesion. Survival was measured from start of therapy. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to explore potential prognosticators of overall survival (OS). Statistical significance was defined as 2-sided p < 0.05. Therapy was a stratification factor. Results: Twenty-eight patients were evaluable including 18 patients receiving D, and 10 receiving O post-docetaxel. The mean age of these patients was 71.4 years and median (95% CI) overall survival was 18.4 (9.7-35.4) months. Four patients had PD on both BS and CT, while 2 (7%) had PD on CT but not BS and 3 had PD on BS but not CT. Patients with PD on BS or CT had worse OS (HR = 2.68, 95% CI = 1.04-6.90, p = 0.041) than those with no PD on either CT or BS. Looking at individual lesions, 4 (14%) patients had new lesions identified on CT which was not observed using BS, and they were associated with worse OS (HR = 3.72, 1.01-13.66, p = 0.048). Conversely, no significant difference in OS was observed for 4 patients with lesions identified on BS which were not observed using CT (HR = 2.67, 0.58-12.32, p = 0.21). Conclusions: This hypothesis-generating study suggests that CT can complement and enhance the ability of BS to capture PD and predict OS. Integration of BS findings using Prostate Cancer Working Group (PCWG)-3 guidelines to define PD and CT bone findings should be investigated in a larger study as an intermediate endpoint.


2018 ◽  
Vol 36 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 70-70
Author(s):  
Erin Van Blarigan ◽  
Stacey A. Kenfield ◽  
Benjamin E Cedars ◽  
Jenny Broering ◽  
Janet E. Cowan ◽  
...  

70 Background: Multivitamin (MV) use is common among men with prostate cancer (PCa). Yet, data on MV use and risk of PCa recurrence are limited. Methods: We conducted a prospective study among 1,373 men with non-metastatic PCa to examine whether MV use after diagnosis was associated with risk of recurrence. Participants completed a comprehensive lifestyle survey a median of 2 y after diagnosis and were followed through 2016. We defined an event of recurrence as the first of the following: PCa death, bone metastasis from PCa, biochemical recurrence, or initiation of secondary treatment. Multivariate Cox Proportional Hazards regression models were used to calculate hazards ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association between MV use and PCa recurrence. We adjusted for time between diagnosis and the survey, age at diagnosis, Gleason grade, clinical T-stage, PSA at diagnosis, smoking, BMI, walking pace, and primary treatment. We also explored whether age at diagnosis, BMI, time since diagnosis, smoking, or clinical features (grade, stage, treatment) modified the association between MV use and recurrence. Results: We observed 142 events of PCa recurrence over a median follow-up of 10 y; 858 (62%) men were current MV users, 216 (16%) were past users, and 299 (22%) were never users. Overall, MV use was not associated with risk of PCa recurrence (current vs. never HR: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.45, 1.07; p-trend: 0.09). However, long-term MV users (≥10 y; n = 396) had a 56% lower risk of PCa recurrence compared to never users (HR: 0.44; 95% CI: 0.25, 0.78; p-trend: 0.006). Additionally, treatment modified the association between MV use and risk of PCa recurrence ( p-interaction: 0.02). Among the 845 men who had a radical prostatectomy (RP), current MV users had a 44% lower risk of PCa recurrence compared to past/never users (HR: 0.56; 95% CI: 0.34, 0.91; p-value: 0.02). MV use was not associated with risk of PCa recurrence among the 441 men who did not have a RP. Conclusions: Long-term MV use may be associated with lower risk of PCa recurrence.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e20646-e20646
Author(s):  
Hosam Hakim ◽  
Ahmed Abdalla ◽  
Tarik H. Hadid

e20646 Background: There have been numerous advances in the management of metastatic lung cancer, including targeted therapy against certain mutations in cancer cells and later developing immune therapy with check point inhibitors.From the pre-immune therapy era, a simple blood test allowing the calculation of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was established as a strong prognostic marker associated with worse overall survival (OS) in several tumor types including non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Methods: We have retrospectively reviewed electronic medical records for patients with Metastatic NSCLC whom received at least one dose of Checkpoint Inhibitors from January 2014 till January 2019 in Van Eslander Cancer Center.The analysis was done using SPSS v. 25.0 and a p-value of 0.05 or less was considered to indicate statistical significance. A univariant analysis was done using Student’s t-test, the Mann-Whitney U test and the chi-squared test. Survival analysis was conducted using Kaplan Meier methodology as well as Cox proportional hazards models. Results: There were 80 patients with metastatic NSCLC received at least one dose of a checkpoint inhibitor. Median age was 63.9 ± 9.3; Males were 45%; Whites were 62.5%. 67.5% of patient had adenocarcinoma and 24% had squamous cell carcinoma. Twenty patients had brain metastasis (25%) and nineteen patients had liver metastasis (24.6%). Eleven patients (13.8%) had PDL-1 greater than 50% and 11 patients (13.8%) had PDL-1 between 1%-50% and 22 patients (27.5%) had negative PD-L1 status. 18.8% received immunotherapy as a first-line treatment and 65% got immunotherapy on their second line and 16.3% had immunotherapy as the third line of treatment or more. Sixty-one patients (76.2%) received Nivolumab and nineteen patients (23.8%) received pembrolizumab. Mean duration of immunotherapy was 13.7 months ± 20.7. Mean NLR was 6.1 ± 5. Patient with NLR > 5:1 had statistically significant higher progression-free survival (PFS) 27.5 months compared to 12 months P = 0.02. Also, Patients with baseline NLR > 5:1 had a trend toward higher median overall survival (OS) but was not statistically significant 41 months compared to 12 months P = 0.08. Conclusions: Our data showed similar finding to Bagley et al and other retrospective analysis from multiple institutes showing that NLR could be a good predictor of response to checkpoint inhibitors And a cutoff of NLR higher than 5.1 was associated with statistically significant better PFS and a trend towards a better OS.


F1000Research ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 2674
Author(s):  
Mehrad Mahmoudian ◽  
Fatemeh Seyednasrollah ◽  
Liisa Koivu ◽  
Outi Hirvonen ◽  
Sirkku Jyrkkiö ◽  
...  

Metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) is one of the most common cancers with a poor prognosis. To improve prognostic models of mCRPC, the Dialogue for Reverse Engineering Assessments and Methods (DREAM) Consortium organized a crowdsourced competition known as the Prostate Cancer DREAM Challenge. In the competition, data from four phase III clinical trials were utilized. A total of 1600 patients’ clinical information across three of the trials was used to generate prognostic models, whereas one of the datasets (313 patients) was held out for blinded validation. The previously introduced prognostic model of overall survival of chemotherapy-naive mCRPC patients treated with docetaxel or prednisone (so called Halabi model) was used as a performance baseline. This paper presents the model developed by the team TYTDreamChallenge and its improved version to predict the prognosis of mCRPC patients within the first 30 months after starting the treatment based on available clinical features of each patient. In particular, by replacing our original larger set of eleven features with a smaller more carefully selected set of only five features the prediction performance on the independent validation cohort increased up to 5.4 percent. While the original TYTDreamChallenge model (iAUC=0.748) performed similarly as the performance-baseline model developed by Halabi et al. (iAUC=0.743), the improved post-challenge model (iAUC=0.779) showed markedly improved performance by using only PSA, ALP, AST, HB, and LESIONS as features. This highlights the importance of the selection of the clinical features when developing the predictive models.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e16038-e16038
Author(s):  
Farshid Dayyani ◽  
Graciela M. Nogueras-Gonzalez ◽  
Rebecca Slack ◽  
Randall E. Millikan ◽  
Amado J. Zurita ◽  
...  

e16038 Background: Duration of response to androgen-deprivation therapy (ADT) is highly variable in patients with mADPC and prognostic markers are needed. Insulin resistance and hyperinsulinemia may contribute to prostate cancer progression. We hypothesized that pretreatment serum insulin levels would predict time to castration-resistant progression (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Methods: Sera from men treated on a randomized phase 3 trial of first line ADT vs. ADT plus chemotherapy were retrospectively analyzed using a multiplex ELISA for cytokines and angiogenic factors (CAFs). Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to identify associations between CAFs and PFS/OS. Results: 66 pts were evaluable, 86% Caucasian, median age 72 yrs, median PSA 31.5ng/mL, 77% Gleason score of ≥8, and 53% high volume metastatic disease (HVM). Thirty-five pts received ADT; 31 pts received ADT+chemo. In univariate analysis, higher pretreatment insulin and C-peptide were positively correlated with PFS, whereas higher hepatocyte-growth factor (HGF), osteopontin (OPN) and HVM were negatively correlated with PFS. In multivariate analysis, only higher insulin was associated with longer PFS (HR=0.72, 95%CI 1.32 -0.87; p<0.001), whereas higher HGF and OPN were associated with reduced PFS (HR=1.82, 95%CI 0.59-2.83, p<0.01 and HR=1.81, 95%CI 1.18-2.47, p<0.001, respectively). Higher Insulin and Program Death 1 (PD1) were associated with longer OS on multivariate analysis (HR=0.78 p<0.02 and HR=0.55 p<0.02, respectively), whereas HVM and higher OPN were associated with reduced OS (HR=2.28 p<0.01 and HR=1.60 p<0.02). Using low insulin, high HGF and high OPN as 3 independent risk factors (RF), 3 distinct risk groups could predict PFS: good (zero RF), intermediate (1 or 2 RF) and poor risk (3 RF), with median PFS of 6.90, 1.97, and 0.86 years, respectively (p<0.001). Conclusions: Higher pretreatment insulin was associated with prolonged PFS and OS in men with mADPC treated with ADT. Our data suggest that insulin levels are a biomarker for sensitivity to ADT and highlight the complex interactions between metabolism and PCa progression.


2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 425-425 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li-Tzong Chen ◽  
Jens T Siveke ◽  
Andrea Wang-Gillam ◽  
Richard Hubner ◽  
Shubham Pant ◽  
...  

425 Background: CA19-9 has been shown to correlate with response to therapy and OS in patients with mPAC. NAPOLI-1, a randomized phase 3 study evaluated nal-IRI, a nanoliposomal formulation of irinotecan, with or without 5-FU/LV vs 5-FU/LV in patients with mPAC previously treated with gemcitabine-based therapy. Nal-IRI+5-FU/LV significantly improved OS (primary endpoint) vs 5-FU/LV (6.1 mo vs 4.2 mo; unstratified hazard ratio [HR] = 0.67; P = 0.012). CA19-9 response (≥50% decline from baseline) was superior with nal-IRI+5FU/LV compared with 5-FU/LV (29% vs 9%; P=0.0006). Nal-IRI alone did not show a statistical improvement in survival. Methods: Patients with a recorded baseline CA19-9 measurement were divided into quartiles to evaluate the treatment effect pattern of CA19-9 from nal-IRI+5-FU/LV and 5-FU/LV arms. Quartile ranges were based on 404 available CA19-9 values from randomized patients (N=417). Unstratified Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate HRs and corresponding 95% CIs. Effect of baseline CA19-9 on time to response, progression-free survival, and response will be presented. Results: Of patients randomized to receive nal-IRI+5-FU/LV (n = 117) or 5-FU/LV enrolled contemporaneously (n = 119), 218 received study drug and had a baseline CA19-9 measurement. Results show a greater treatment effect on OS with higher CA19-9 level relative to 5-FU/LV. Conclusions: In patients with mPAC previously treated with gemcitabine-based therapy, nal-IRI+5-FU/LV significantly improved OS supported by progression free survival and objective response rate. The CA19-9 serum level can provide important information with regards to overall survival. Clinical trial information: NCT01494506. [Table: see text]


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