The dimension of preventable stroke in a large representative patient cohort

Neurology ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 93 (23) ◽  
pp. e2121-e2132 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Boehme ◽  
Thomas Toell ◽  
Lukas Mayer ◽  
Lena Domig ◽  
Raimund Pechlaner ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Factor ◽  
Risk Behaviors ◽  
Preventive Therapy ◽  
Individual Risk ◽  
Risk Factor Control ◽  
The Status ◽  
Lifestyle Risk ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Large Representative

ObjectiveTo analyze the frequency of inadequately treated risk factors in a large representative cohort of patients with acute ischemic stroke or TIA and to estimate the proportion of events potentially avertable by guideline-compliant preventive therapy compared to the status quo.MethodsA total of 1,730 patients from the Poststroke Disease Management STROKE-CARD trial (NCT02156778) were recruited between 2014 and 2017. We focused on 8 risk conditions amenable to drug therapy and 3 lifestyle risk behaviors and assessed pre-event risk factor control in retrospect.ResultsThe proportion of patients with at least 1 inadequately treated risk condition was 79.5% (95% confidence interval [CI] 77.6%–81.4%) and increased to 95.1% (95% CI 94.1%–96.1%) upon consideration of the lifestyle risk behaviors. Risk factor control was worse in patients with recurrent vs first-ever events (p < 0.001), men vs women (p = 0.003), and patients ≤75 vs >75 years of age (p < 0.001). The estimated degree of stroke preventability ranged from 0.4% (95% CI 0.2%–0.6%) to 13.7% (95% CI 12.2%–15.2%) for the individual risk factors. Adequate control of the 5 most relevant risk factors combined (hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, atrial fibrillation, smoking, and overweight) would have averted ≈1 of 2 events or 1 in 4 with a highly conservative computation approach.ConclusionsOur study confirms the existence of a considerable gap between risk factor control recommended by guidelines and real-world stroke prevention. Our study intends to increase awareness among physicians about stroke preventability and provides a quantitative basis for the emerging discussion on how to best tackle this challenge.

The efficacy of combining several risk factors as a screening test

2005 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 197-201 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicholas J Wald ◽  
Joan K Morris ◽  
Simon Rish
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Factor ◽  
False Positive ◽  
Detection Rate ◽  
False Positive Rate ◽  
Individual Risk ◽  
Detection Rates ◽  
Screening Performance ◽  
Positive Rate ◽  
The Individual

Objective: To determine the quantitative effect on overall screening performance (detection rate for a given false-positive rate) of using several moderately strong, independent risk factors in combination as screening markers. Setting: Theoretical statistical analysis. Methods: For the purposes of this analysis, it was assumed that all risk factors were independent, had Gaussian distributions with the same standard deviation in affected and unaffected individuals and had the same screening performance. We determined the overall screening performance associated with using an increasing number of risk factors together, with each risk factor having a detection rate of 10%, 15% or 20% for a 5% false-positive rate. The overall screening performance was estimated as the detection rate for a 5% false-positive rate. Results: Combining the risk factors increased the screening performance, but the gain in detection at a constant false-positive rate was relatively modest and diminished with the addition of each risk factor. Combining three risk factors, each with a 15% detection rate for a 5% false-positive rate, yields a 28% detection rate. Combining five risk factors increases the detection rate to 39%. If the individual risk factors have a detection rate of 10% for a 5% false-positive rate, it would require combining about 15 such risk factors to achieve a comparable overall detection rate (41%). Conclusion: It is intuitively thought that combining moderately strong risk factors can substantially improve screening performance. For example, most cardiovascular risk factors that may be used in screening for ischaemic heart disease events, such as serum cholesterol and blood pressure, have a relatively modest screening performance (about 15% detection rate for a 5% false-positive rate). It would require the combination of about 15 or 20 such risk factors to achieve detection rates of about 80% for a 5% false-positive rate. This is impractical, given the risk factors so far discovered, because there are too few risk factors and their associations with disease are too weak.

scholarly journals Association of antecedent cardiovascular risk factor levels and trajectories with cardiovascular magnetic resonance-derived cardiac function and structure

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Roberto Lorbeer ◽  
Susanne Rospleszcz ◽  
Christopher L. Schlett ◽  
Sophia D. Rado ◽  
Barbara Thorand ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Factor ◽  
Cardiac Function ◽  
Disease Risk ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease Risk ◽  
Individual Risk ◽  
The Individual ◽  
And Function ◽  
Individual Risk Factors

Abstract Background The association of longitudinal trajectories of cardiovascular risk factors with cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR)-measures of cardiac structure and function in the community is not well known. Therefore we aimed to relate risk factor levels from different examination cycles to CMR-measures of the left ventricle (LV) and right ventricle in a population-based cohort. Methods We assessed conventional cardiovascular disease risk factors in 349 participants (143 women; aged 25–59 years) at three examination cycles (Exam 1 [baseline], at Exam 2 [7-years follow-up] and at Exam 3 [14-years follow-up]) of the KORA S4 cohort and related single-point measurements of individual risk factors and longitudinal trajectories of these risk factors to various CMR-measures obtained at Exam 3. Results High levels of diastolic blood pressure, waist circumference, and LDL-cholesterol at the individual exams were associated with worse cardiac function and structure. Trajectory clusters representing higher levels of the individual risk factors were associated with worse cardiac function and structure compared to low risk trajectory clusters of individual risk factors. Multivariable (combining different risk factors) trajectory clusters were associated with different cardiac parameters in a graded fashion (e.g. decrease of LV stroke volume for middle risk cluster β = − 4.91 ml/m2, 95% CI − 7.89; − 1.94, p < 0.01 and high risk cluster β = − 7.00 ml/m2, 95% CI − 10.73; − 3.28, p < 0.001 compared to the low risk cluster). The multivariable longitudinal trajectory clusters added significantly to explain variation in CMR traits beyond the multivariable risk profile obtained at Exam 3. Conclusions Cardiovascular disease risk factor levels, measured over a time period of 14 years, were associated with CMR-derived measures of cardiac structure and function. Longitudinal multivariable trajectory clusters explained a greater proportion of the inter-individual variation in cardiac traits than multiple risk factor assessed contemporaneous with the CMR exam.

scholarly journals The Role of Fructose as a Cardiovascular Risk Factor: An Update

Metabolites ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 67
Author(s):  
Stefan-Sebastian Busnatu ◽  
Teodor Salmen ◽  
Maria-Alexandra Pana ◽  
Manfredi Rizzo ◽  
Tiziana Stallone ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Factor ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
High Body Mass Index ◽  
Nutritional Risk ◽  
Individual Risk ◽  
Alcoholic Fatty Liver ◽  
Added Sugars ◽  
Lifestyle Risk Factors ◽  
Lifestyle Risk

There is increasing presence of fructose in food and drinks, and some evidence suggests that its higher consumption increases cardiovascular risk, although the mechanisms still remain not fully elucidated. Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are still responsible for one-third of deaths worldwide, and therefore, their prevention should be assessed and managed comprehensively and not by the evaluation of individual risk factor components. Lifestyle risk factors for CVD include low degree of physical activity, high body mass index, alcohol consumption, smoking, and nutritional factors. Indeed, nutritional risk factors for CVD include unhealthy dietary behaviors, such as high intake of refined foods, unhealthy fats, added sugars, and sodium and a low intake of fruits, vegetables, whole grains, fiber, fish, and nuts. Even though there is no definitive association between CVD incidence and high consumption of total sugar, such as sucrose and fructose, there is, however, evidence that total sugars, added sugars, and fructose are harmfully associated with CVD mortality. Since high fructose intake is associated with elevated plasma triglyceride levels, as well as insulin resistance, diabetes hyperuricemia, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, further longitudinal studies should be conducted to fully elucidate the potential association between certain sugars and CVD.

Differentiation of endemic areas by incidence rates of tick-borne infectious diseases as the basis for choosing prevention strategy and tactics

2019 ◽  
pp. 56-61
Author(s):  
N.V. Rudakov ◽  
N.A. Penyevskaya ◽  
D.A. Saveliev ◽  
S.A. Rudakova ◽  
C.V. Shtrek ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Infectious Diseases ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Preventive Therapy ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Prevention Strategy ◽  
Individual Risk ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Integral Assessment ◽  
Very High

Research objective. Differentiation of natural focal areas of Western Siberia by integral incidence rates of tick-borne infectious diseases for determination of the strategy and tactics of their comprehensive prevention. Materials and methods. A retrospective analysis of official statistics for the period 2002-2018 for eight sub-federal units in the context of administrative territories was carried out. The criteria of differentiation were determined by means of three evaluation scales, including long-term mean rates of tick-borne encephalitis, tick-borne borreliosis, and Siberian tick-borne typhus. As a scale gradation tool, we used the number of sample elements between the confidence boundaries of the median. The integral assessment was carried out by the sum of points corresponding to the incidence rates for each of the analyzed infections. Results. The areas of low, medium, above average, high and very high risk of tick-borne infectious diseases were determined. Recommendations on the choice of prevention strategy and tactics were given. In areas of very high and high incidence rates, a combination of population-based and individual prevention strategies is preferable while in other areas a combination of high-risk and individual strategies is recommended. Discussion. Epidemiologic zoning should be the basis of a risk-based approach to determining optimal volumes and directions of preventive measures against natural focal infections. It is necessary to improve the means and methods of determining the individual risk of getting infected and developing tick-borne infectious diseases in case of bites, in view of mixed infection of vectors, as well as methods of post-exposure disease prevention (preventive therapy).

scholarly journals Cardiovascular risk factors during cancer treatment: prevalence, incidence and prognostic relevance

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
J Caro Codon ◽  
T Lopez-Fernandez ◽  
C Alvarez-Ortega ◽  
P Zamora Aunon ◽  
I Rodriguez Rodriguez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Factor ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
Cancer Therapy ◽  
Cancer Patients ◽  
Individual Risk ◽  
Funding Source ◽  
Number Of Patients ◽  
All Cause Mortality

Abstract Background The actual usefulness of CV risk factor assessment in the prognostic evaluation of cancer patients treated with cardiotoxic treatment remains largely unknown. Design Prospective multicenter study in patients scheduled to receive anticancer therapy related with moderate/high cardiotoxic risk. Methods A total of 1324 patients underwent follow-up in a dedicated cardio-oncology clinic from April 2012 to October 2017. Special care was given to the identification and control of CV risk factors. Clinical data, blood samples and echocardiographic parameters were prospectively collected according to protocol, at baseline before cancer therapy and then at 3 weeks, 3 months, 6 months, 1 year, 1.5 years and 2 years after initiation of cancer therapy. Results At baseline, 893 patients (67.4%) presented at least 1 risk factor, with a significant number of patients newly diagnosed during follow-up. Individual risk factors were not related with worse prognosis during a 2-year follow-up. However, a higher Systemic Coronary Risk Estimation (SCORE) was significantly associated with higher rates of severe cardiotoxicity and all-cause mortality [HR 1.79 (95% CI 1.16–2.76) for SCORE 5–9 and HR 4.90 (95% CI 2.44–9.82) for SCORE ≥10 when compared with patients with lower SCORE (0–4)]. Conclusions This large cohort of patients treated with a potentially cardiotoxic regimen showed a significant prevalence of CV risk factors at baseline and significant incidence during follow-up. Baseline cardiovascular risk assessment using SCORE predicted severe cardiotoxicity and all-cause mortality. Therefore, its use should be recommended in the evaluation of cancer patients. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): This study was partially funded by the Fondo Investigaciones Sanitarias (Spain), Centro de Investigaciόn Biomédica en Red Cardiovascular CIBER-CV (Spain)

Long-term effects of an intensive prevention program (IPP) after acute myocardial infarction – the IPP Follow-up and Prevention Boost Trial

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
H Wienbergen ◽  
A Fach ◽  
S Meyer ◽  
J Schmucker ◽  
R Osteresch ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Risk Factor ◽  
Prevention Program ◽  
Study Endpoint ◽  
Funding Source ◽  
Risk Factor Control ◽  
One Year

Abstract Background The effects of an intensive prevention program (IPP) for 12 months following 3-week rehabilitation after myocardial infarction (MI) have been proven by the randomized IPP trial. The present study investigates if the effects of IPP persist one year after termination of the program and if a reintervention after &gt;24 months (“prevention boost”) is effective. Methods In the IPP trial patients were recruited during hospitalization for acute MI and randomly assigned to IPP versus usual care (UC) one month after discharge (after 3-week rehabilitation). IPP was coordinated by non-physician prevention assistants and included intensive group education sessions, telephone calls, telemetric and clinical control of risk factors. Primary study endpoint was the IPP Prevention Score, a sum score evaluating six major risk factors. The score ranges from 0 to 15 points, with a score of 15 points indicating best risk factor control. In the present study the effects of IPP were investigated after 24 months – one year after termination of the program. Thereafter, patients of the IPP study arm with at least one insufficiently controlled risk factor were randomly assigned to a 2-months reintervention (“prevention boost”) vs. no reintervention. Results At long-term follow-up after 24 months, 129 patients of the IPP study arm were compared to 136 patients of the UC study arm. IPP was associated with a significantly better risk factor control compared to UC at 24 months (IPP Prevention Score 10.9±2.3 points in the IPP group vs. 9.4±2.3 points in the UC group, p&lt;0.01). However, in the IPP group a decrease of risk factor control was observed at the 24-months visit compared to the 12-months visit at the end of the prevention program (IPP Prevention Score 10.9±2.3 points at 24 months vs. 11.6±2.2 points at 12 months, p&lt;0.05, Figure 1). A 2-months reintervention (“prevention boost”) was effective to improve risk factor control during long-term course: IPP Prevention Score increased from 10.5±2.1 points to 10.7±1.9 points in the reintervention group, while it decreased from 10.5±2.1 points to 9.7±2.1 points in the group without reintervention (p&lt;0.05 between the groups, Figure 1). Conclusions IPP was associated with a better risk factor control compared to UC during 24 months; however, a deterioration of risk factors after termination of IPP suggests that even a 12-months prevention program is not long enough. The effects of a short reintervention after &gt;24 months (“prevention boost”) indicate the need for prevention concepts that are based on repetitive personal contacts during long-term course after coronary events. Figure 1 Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Stiftung Bremer Herzen (Bremen Heart Foundation)

Relationship between country income, socioeconomic factors and control of cardiovascular disease risk factors in patients with type 2 Diabetes: insights from the global DISCOVER registry

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
A Malik ◽  
H Chen ◽  
A Cooper ◽  
M Gomes ◽  
V Hejjaji ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Type 2 Diabetes ◽  
Optimal Control ◽  
Risk Factor ◽  
Socioeconomic Factors ◽  
Funding Source ◽  
Risk Factor Control ◽  
Cv Disease

Abstract Background In patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D), optimal management of cardiovascular (CV) risk factors is critical for primary prevention of CV disease. Purpose To describe the association of country income and patient socioeconomic factors with risk factor control in patients with T2D. Methods DISCOVER is a 37-country, prospective, observational study of 15,983 patients with T2D enrolled between January 2016 and December 2018 at initiation of 2nd-line glucose-lowering therapy and followed for 3 years. In patients without known CV disease with sub-optimally controlled risk factors at baseline, we examined achievement of risk factor control (HbA1c &lt;7%, BP &lt;140/90 mmHg, appropriate statin) at the 3 year follow-up. Countries were stratified by gross national income (GNI)/capita, per World Bank report. We explored variability across countries in risk factor control achievement using hierarchical logistic regression models and examined the association of country- and patient-level economic factors with risk factor control. Results Among 9,613 patients with T2D but without CV disease (mean age 57.2 years, 47.9% women), 83.1%, 37.5%, and 66.3% did not have optimal control of glucose, BP, and statins, respectively, at baseline. Of these, 40.8%, 55.5%, and 28.6% achieved optimal control at 3 years of follow-up. There was substantial variability in achievement of risk factor control across countries (Figure) but no association of country GNI/capita on achievement of risk factor control (Table). Insurance status, which differed substantially by GNI group, was strongly associated with glycemic control, with no insurance and public insurance associated with lower odds of patients achieving HbA1c &lt;7%. Conclusions In a global cohort of patients with T2D, a substantial proportion do not achieve risk factor control even after 3 years of follow-up. The variability across countries in risk factor control is not explained by the GNI/capita of the country. Proportion of patients at goal Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Private company. Main funding source(s): The DISCOVER study is funded by AstraZeneca

scholarly journals Demographic and Risk Factor Differences between Children with “One-Time” and “Repeat” Visits to the Emergency Department for Asthma

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 486
Author(s):  
Pavani Rangachari ◽  
Jie Chen ◽  
Nishtha Ahuja ◽  
Anjeli Patel ◽  
Renuka Mehta
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Emergency Department ◽  
Risk Factor ◽  
Childhood Asthma ◽  
Medical Center ◽  
Academic Medical Center ◽  
Retrospective Chart Review ◽  
Primary Research ◽  
Ed Visits ◽  
The Individual

This retrospective study examines demographic and risk factor differences between children who visited the emergency department (ED) for asthma once (“one-time”) and more than once (“repeat”) over an 18-month period at an academic medical center. The purpose is to contribute to the literature on ED utilization for asthma and provide a foundation for future primary research on self-management effectiveness (SME) of childhood asthma. For the first round of analysis, an 18-month retrospective chart review was conducted on 252 children (0–17 years) who visited the ED for asthma in 2019–2020, to obtain data on demographics, risk factors, and ED visits for each child. Of these, 160 (63%) were “one-time” and 92 (37%) were “repeat” ED patients. Demographic and risk factor differences between “one-time” and “repeat” ED patients were assessed using contingency table and logistic regression analyses. A second round of analysis was conducted on patients in the age-group 8–17 years to match another retrospective asthma study recently completed in the outpatient clinics at the same (study) institution. The first-round analysis indicated that except age, none of the individual demographic or risk factors were statistically significant in predicting of “repeat” ED visits. More unequivocally, the second-round analysis revealed that none of the individual factors examined (including age, race, gender, insurance, and asthma severity, among others) were statistically significant in predicting “repeat” ED visits for childhood asthma. A key implication of the results therefore is that something other than the factors examined is driving “repeat” ED visits in children with asthma. In addition to contributing to the ED utilization literature, the results serve to corroborate findings from the recent outpatient study and bolster the impetus for future primary research on SME of childhood asthma.

scholarly journals Risk factors and risk factor cascades for communicable disease outbreaks in complex humanitarian emergencies: a qualitative systematic review

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. e000647 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charlotte Christiane Hammer ◽  
Julii Brainard ◽  
Paul R Hunter
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Factor ◽  
Communicable Disease ◽  
Disease Outbreaks ◽  
Poor Quality ◽  
Communicable Diseases ◽  
Individual Risk ◽  
Humanitarian Emergencies ◽  
General Terms ◽  
Complex Humanitarian Emergencies

BackgroundCommunicable diseases are a major concern during complex humanitarian emergencies (CHEs). Descriptions of risk factors for outbreaks are often non-specific and not easily generalisable to similar situations. This review attempts to capture relevant evidence and explore whether it is possible to better generalise the role of risk factors and risk factor cascades these factors may form.MethodsA systematic search of the key databases and websites was conducted. Search terms included terms for CHEs (United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs definition) and terms for communicable diseases. Due to the types of evidence found, a thematic synthesis was conducted.Results26 articles met inclusion criteria. Key risk factors include crowded conditions, forced displacement, poor quality shelter, poor water, sanitation and hygiene, lack of healthcare facilities and lack of adequate surveillance. Most identified risk factors do not relate to specific diseases, or are specific to a group of diseases such as diarrhoeal diseases and not to a particular disease within that group. Risk factors are often listed in general terms but are poorly evidenced, not contextualised and not considered with respect to interaction effects in individual publications. The high level of the inter-relatedness of risk factors became evident, demonstrating risk factor cascades that are triggered by individual risk factors or clusters of risk factors.ConclusionsCHEs pose a significant threat to public health. More rigorous research on the risk of disease outbreaks in CHEs is needed, from a practitioner and from an academic point of view.

scholarly journals A Critical Analysis of Risk Factors for Selected Tropical Diseases

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Faith-Michael Uzoka ◽  
Christie Akwaowo ◽  
Chinyere Nwafor Okoli ◽  
Victory Ekpin ◽  
Chukwudi Nwokoro ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Typhoid Fever ◽  
Demographic Data ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Personal Hygiene ◽  
Individual Risk ◽  
Tropical Diseases ◽  
Economic Implications ◽  
Frequency Distributions ◽  
The Individual

Abstract Aim: The aim of this study was to examine the impacts of different (non-clinical) risk factors on the populations’ predisposition to tropical diseases specifically Malaria, yellow fever, typhoid fever, chicken pox, measles, hepatitis B and UTI.Subject and Methods: Data for this study was obtained through patient diagnosis forms, distributed to physicians in Nigeria. A total of 2199 patient consultation forms were returned by 102 (out of 125) physicians, and considered useful for analysis. Demographic data of patients, physicians, and diagnosis outcomes were analysed descriptively through frequency distributions, aggregate analysis, and graphs, while the influence of risk factors on the disease manifestations (diagnosis outcomes) were determined using regression analysis.Results: Findings from our study demonstrated that the difficulty in diagnosing tropical disease was associated with significant increase in morbidity and mortality especially in patients with malaria, UTI and typhoid fever. Factors such as contact with an infected person and poor personal hygiene posed significant risk, while urbanization and homelessness, posed very low risks across all the diseases. Conclusion: The risk factors identified in our study exert differential and discriminating influences in the causation, predisposition, and transmission of these conditions, understanding the individual risk factors for each condition have significant socio-economic implications for people living in tropical and endemic regions, especially with respect to management and prevention of these conditions.

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