scholarly journals Temperature Shocks and Economic Growth: Evidence from the Last Half Century

2012 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 66-95 ◽  
Author(s):  
Melissa Dell ◽  
Benjamin F Jones ◽  
Benjamin A Olken

This paper uses historical fluctuations in temperature within countries to identify its effects on aggregate economic outcomes. We find three primary results. First, higher temperatures substantially reduce economic growth in poor countries. Second, higher temperatures may reduce growth rates, not just the level of output. Third, higher temperatures have wide-ranging effects, reducing agricultural output, industrial output, and political stability. These findings inform debates over climate's role in economic development and suggest the possibility of substantial negative impacts of higher temperatures on poor countries. (JEL E23, O13, Q54, Q56)

1983 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-66 ◽  
Author(s):  
Özay Mehmet

The recent crisis in Turkey has been described primarily as a political crisis caused by an unworkable political system under attack from organized terrorism from both the right and the left. While this may be valid as an immediate cause, there are some structural and ideological contradictions in the Turkish economic system which must also be highlighted. These contradictions have evolved gradually over the last half century in the course of Turkey's efforts to achieve industrial and economic growth. They have been exacerbated in particular by a process of lopsided industrialization after 1960 which, as in most other developing countries, has resulted in increased poverty and unemployment while achieving overall growth rates of 6 percent or better.


2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 375-385
Author(s):  
Mikhail S Komov

In modern conditions of development of integration processes in the world economy, special importance is attached to the transport sector. The formation of a single transport space (STS) in the regions creates additional opportunities for the economic development of the integrating countries. At the same time, the literature does not pay enough attention to the definition of the essence of the single transport space and the classification of integration associations according to the degree of its development. Therefore, there is a need to develop such a classification. The article substantiates the expediency of classification of integration associations according to the degree of development of a single transport space. The author's formal-logical classification is developed, which is based on three basic types of a single transport space: transport and logistics type provide a positive multiplier of integrated economic growth for all participating countries; innovative-logistic and customs-logistic types cause polarization in the action of the multiplier of integrated economic growth (in particular, both positive and negative growth rates of GDP values of the participating countries are possible); industrial and logistics type provide a zero multiplier of integrated economic growth for all participating countries. The conclusion is made about the possibility of unification and harmonization of transport space in the practice of integration associations on the basis of the developed classification.


2019 ◽  
pp. 44-74
Author(s):  
Justin Yifu Lin ◽  
Célestin Monga

This chapter refutes the linear and almost teleological approach in vogue in development economics on political and financial institutions. It briefly discusses the theoretical issues at hand and suggests that policies take into account the requirements of both time and place, which emphasizes the importance of the development level. The chapter acknowledges that institutional development problems are indeed major impediments to economic growth. But contrary to conventional wisdom, it argues that they are often correlated with the level of economic development. Seen from that perspective, the well-known weaknesses in the governance and financial sectors of many poor countries today often reflect their low level of development and the results of failed state interventions and distortions originating from erroneous economic development strategies.


Author(s):  
Harish C. Chandan

Religion can influence economic growth and economic growth can influence religiosity (Barro & Mitchell, 2004; Barro & McCleary, 2003; McCleary, 2007). Earlier, Weber (1904, 1930, 1958) had suggested that the protestant work ethic gave rise to capitalism and that other major world religions including Catholicism, Judaism, Islam, Hinduism, Buddhism, Confucianism, and Daoism were not conducive to capitalism. However, the data on predicted growth rates and the current majority religion for the 24 emerging economies (Yeyati & Williams, 2012; IMF WEO, 2010) suggest these emerging economies with high growth rates include a variety of geo-political regions representing many different religions, national cultures, and even “no-religion” affiliation. For the same majority religion, the economic growth rates and Hofstede’s (1980) national culture dimensions vary among nations. Thus, religion alone is not sufficient to explain the higher economic growth of the emerging economies. The economic growth is influenced by additional social, political, and macroeconomic variables including human capital, infrastructure, technological progress, political stability, capital formation, domestic credit to private sector, foreign domestic investment, inflation rate, exchange rate, and international trade. In a secular sense, the religious beliefs and cultural values related to work and social ethic are conducive to economic growth through entrepreneurship and organizational effectiveness.


10.12737/7806 ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 4-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Басовская ◽  
Elena Basovskaya

Econometric models of GDP’s crisis growth rates and factors of GDP’s recession rates have been received. The models allow predict the recession in Russia’s economy in 2015–2019. Decline in production during the crisis can reach 16–17%. Production decline duration can make 4–5 years. The crisis phenomena in economy at the level up to 80,7% have been caused by formation of adverse institutional environment under the influence of the laws adopted in 2003–2014. A new paradigm of economic policy is necessary for overcoming the crisis phenomena in economy, this policy is the one related to formation of institutions favoring to the economic growth and economic development, the policy aimed at the business development, at investment attraction, at domestic demand expansion.


10.12737/5223 ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 15-21
Author(s):  
Басовская ◽  
Elena Basovskaya

The new technique designed to assess sustainability of economic development of regions is based on applying diagnostics of system sustainability failure. Degree of sustainability is assessed by dispersion of economic growth rates. Risks of instability in economic development dynamics is assessed by an index, reflecting relative variations in economic growth rates. The author examines economic development dynamics of Ural Federal District as a whole and also of Kurgan, Sverdlovsk, Tyumen and Chelyabinsk regions, based on data for the period of 2000–2012. As is found out, the said regions differ in terms of periods of sustainable and unstable development and degrees of economic growth instability. It is also found, that Tyumen and Sverdlovsk regions are more stable in term of economic development than Kurgan and Chelyabinsk regions. As for economic development of Ural Federal District as a whole, it is comparable in terms of sustainability with that of the national economy. As correlation analysis shows, indicators of unstable economic development affect substantially the level of investments in regional economy. Economic growth instability has an adverse effect on the level of investments in regional economy.


Information ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 289
Author(s):  
Vladimir Balash ◽  
Olga Balash ◽  
Alexey Faizliev ◽  
Elena Chistopolskaya

In this article, we analyze the σ - and β -convergence, using the data of the socio-economic development of Russian areas, and discover the role of spatial autocorrelation in regional economic development. We are considering 80 areas of the Russian Federation for the period of 2010–2017. Moran coefficients were used to estimate spatial autocorrelation. We compare the Moran scatterplots for GDP per capita and GDP growth rates per capita in 2017 and in 2014. We study the impact on raising investment in leading capital and the costs of technological innovation. We evaluate a wide range of specifications of spatial econometric models for all kinds of weight matrices. We combine standard geographical proximity with specialization proximity to assess whether they are substitutes or additions to converging economic growth rates. The weight matrix of the neighborhood and specialization similarities are used. The weight matrix of specialization similarities of the regional economies is based on data on the structure of tax payments in 82 industries. The specialization structure of the region’s economy is related to its location. Clusters obtained by matrices of specialization proximity are well separable from each other in space. The connectivity within clusters and the boundaries between them become more apparent over time. It is shown that according to the results of estimation of conditional β -convergence models, the models of 2010–2014 and 2014–2017 differ significantly. There is a statistically significant β -convergence for the period 2010–2014. There is also the presence of spatial autocorrelation. Based on the results of valuation models constructed from data after 2014, it can be concluded that the coefficient estimates for the explanatory variables are not significantly different from zero, and accordingly there is no tendency towards regional convergence in terms of economic development. The results obtained in the work are stable for the proposed models and spatial weight matrices. Territorial proximity is a more important factor than the similarity of specialization for explanation the economic growth rates of Russian regions.


2007 ◽  
Vol 67 (4) ◽  
pp. 917-943 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert H. Bates ◽  
John H. Coatsworth ◽  
Jeffrey G. Williamson

Africa and Latin America secured independence from European colonial rule a century and half apart: most of Latin America by the 1820s and most of Africa by 1960. Despite the distance in time and space, they share important similarities. In each case independence was followed by political instability, violent conflict, and economic stagnation lasting for about a half-century. The parallels suggest that Africa might be exiting from a period of postimperial collapse and entering one of relative political stability and economic growth, as did Latin America almost two centuries ago.


2021 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Isaac Ulderico Mirti

Why are some countries wealthier than others? There are numerous ways to address this question; however, there is substantial literature in development economics suggesting that a nation’s colonial history plays an integral part in pre-determining who is rich, and who is poor. Previous studies suggest that among former African colonies, British or French colonies experienced marginally faster growth rates than Portuguese, Belgian, or Italian ones. This provides additional insight to suggest that differentiation in economic growth could be explained by a nation’s colonial history. This study attempts to understand the differential impacts of British and French colonialism on the economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa. By investigating the different approaches to colonizing, is it possible that one of these previous imperial powers better equipped their colonies with formidable institutions conducive for economic growth after independence?  


2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (17) ◽  
pp. 37-47
Author(s):  
Liudmyla Rybalchenko

The level of economic development and the economic growth rates in Ukraine are very uneven. On the basement of production function were analyzed the factors of economic development in Ukraine. The influence of the level of the insurance development on its economic growth was considered.


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