Multivariate analyses on the hemodynamic risk factors of cerebral aneurysm rupture

Author(s):  
Yuji SHIMOGONYA ◽  
Shunichi FUKUDA
Author(s):  
Matthias Bechstein ◽  
Amarjargal Gansukh ◽  
Boldbat Regzengombo ◽  
Oyun Byambajav ◽  
Lukas Meyer ◽  
...  

Abstract Purpose Identification of country-specific demographic, medical, lifestyle, and geoenvironmental risk factors for cerebral aneurysm rupture in the developing Asian country of Mongolia. First-time estimation of the crude national incidence of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). Methods A retrospective analysis of all intracranial digital subtraction angiographies (DSA) acquired in Mongolia during the 2‑year period 2016–2017 (1714 examinations) was performed. During this period, DSA was used as primary diagnostic imaging modality for acute severe neurological symptoms in the sole hospital nationwide dedicated to neurological patients. The catchment area of the hospital included the whole country. Patients with incidental and ruptured aneurysms were reviewed with respect to their medical history and living conditions. The data was used to install a Mongolian aneurysm registry. Results The estimated annual crude incidence of cerebral aneurysm rupture was 6.71 for the country of Mongolia and 14.53 per 100,000 persons for the capital region of Ulaanbaatar. Risk factors common in developed countries also applied for the Mongolian population: A medical history of hypertension, smoking or the presence of multiple aneurysms led to a higher relative risk of rupture. In contrast, female gender was not associated with a higher risk in this national cohort. Males pursuing a traditional nomadic living may exhibit a specifically high risk of rupture. Conclusion Disease management of over 200 individuals/year with aSAH constitutes a socioeconomic burden in Mongolia. Efforts to raise awareness of the risk factors hypertension and smoking among the Mongolian population are desirable. Measures to improve the nationwide availability of modern neurovascular treatment options are currently under consideration.


2021 ◽  
pp. neurintsurg-2020-016811
Author(s):  
Jianjian Zhang ◽  
Xiao Li ◽  
Bing Zhao ◽  
Jin Zhang ◽  
Beibei Sun ◽  
...  

BackgroundIntracranial aneurysms (IAs) are common in the population and current imaging-based rupture risk assessment needs to be refined. We aimed to use four-dimensional CT angiography (4D-CTA) to investigate the associations of irregular pulsation of IAs with conventional risk factors and the estimated rupture risk.MethodsOne hundred and five patients with 117 asymptomatic IAs underwent 4D-CTA. Geometric and morphologic parameters were measured and the presence of irregular pulsation (defined as a temporary focal protuberance ≥1 mm on more than three successive frames) was identified on 4D-CTA movies. One- and 5 year aneurysm rupture risk were estimated using UCAS and PHASES calculators. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to investigate the conventional risk factors associated with irregular pulsation.ResultsIrregular pulsation was observed in 41.0% (48/117) of IAs. Aneurysm size (OR=1.380, 95% CI 1.165 to 1.634), irregular shape (OR=3.737, 95% CI 1.108 to 12.608), and internal carotid artery location (OR=0.151, 95% CI 0.056 to 0.403) were independently associated with irregular pulsation (P<0.05). Aneurysms with irregular pulsation had more than a 6-fold higher estimated rupture risk (1- and 5-year risk [95% CI], 1.56% [0.42%–3.91%], and 2.40% [1.30%–4.30%], respectively) than aneurysms without irregular pulsation (0.23% [0.14%–0.78%] and 0.40% [0.40%–1.30%], respectively) (P<0.001).ConclusionsIAs with irregular pulsation are associated with larger size, irregular-shape, and non-ICA origin, and have more than a 6-fold higher estimated 1- and 5-year rupture risk than aneurysms without irregular pulsation. Irregular pulsation should be validated in future longitudinal studies to determine its predictive value for aneurysm growth and rupture.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 225
Author(s):  
Łukasz Zwarzany ◽  
Ernest Tyburski ◽  
Wojciech Poncyljusz

Background: We decided to investigate whether aneurysm wall enhancement (AWE) on high-resolution vessel wall magnetic resonance imaging (HR VW-MRI) coexists with the conventional risk factors for aneurysm rupture. Methods: We performed HR VW-MRI in 46 patients with 64 unruptured small intracranial aneurysms. Patient demographics and clinical characteristics were recorded. The PHASES score was calculated for each aneurysm. Results: Of the 64 aneurysms, 15 (23.4%) showed wall enhancement on post-contrast HR VW-MRI. Aneurysms with wall enhancement had significantly larger size (p = 0.001), higher dome-to-neck ratio (p = 0.024), and a more irregular shape (p = 0.003) than aneurysms without wall enhancement. The proportion of aneurysms with wall enhancement was significantly higher in older patients (p = 0.011), and those with a history of prior aneurysmal SAH. The mean PHASES score was significantly higher in aneurysms with wall enhancement (p < 0.000). The multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that aneurysm irregularity and the PHASES score are independently associated with the presence of AWE. Conclusions: Aneurysm wall enhancement on HR VW-MRI coexists with the conventional risk factors for aneurysm rupture.


Author(s):  
Hiroyuki Tsuchie ◽  
Naohisa Miyakoshi ◽  
Yuji Kasukawa ◽  
Koji Nozaka ◽  
Kimio Saito ◽  
...  

Objectives: Differences in the mechanisms of subtrochanteric and diaphyseal atypical femoral fractures (AFFs) have been speculated in studies that have analyzed differences in the patients’ backgrounds. However, the etiologies of each type of AFF have not been investigated in detail. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the nature and etiologies of the risk factors for diaphyseal AFFs. Materials and Methods: Eighty consecutive Japanese patients with 91 diaphyseal AFFs (the AFF group) and 110 age-matched female patients with osteoporosis (the non-AFF control group) were included. Their clinical data were compared and the factors affecting AFFs were investigated. Furthermore, the etiologies of the risk factors for diaphyseal AFFs were examined. Results: Multivariate analysis revealed that femoral serrated changes, bisphosphonate or denosumab usage, and lateral and anterior femoral curvatures were the risk factors for diaphyseal AFFs (p<0.0011, p=0.0137, and p<0.0001, respectively). Multivariate analyses also revealed that serrated changes and low serum 25(OH)D levels affected the lateral curvature (p=0.0088 and 0.0205, respectively), while serrated changes affected the anterior curvature (p=0.0006); each significantly affected the femoral curvature. In addition, a high serum calcium (Ca) level, lateral femoral curvature, and anterior femoral curvature were the predictors of serrated changes (p=0.0146, 0.0002, and 0.0098, respectively). Conclusion: The risk factors for diaphyseal AFFs were bone resorption inhibitor usage, a strong femoral curvature, and serrated changes. A low serum 25(OH)D level and serrated changes are the risk factors for lateral curvature, while a high serum Ca level is a risk factor for serrated changes.


Circulation ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 125 (suppl_10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Amitava Banerjee ◽  
Sophie Taillandier ◽  
Jonas B Olesen ◽  
Deirdre A Lane ◽  
Benedicte Lallemand ◽  
...  

Background: The risk of stroke and thromboembolism (TE) in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) can be classified in commonly-used stroke risk stratification scores. The role of the pattern of atrial fibrillation in risk prediction is unclear in contemporary ‘real world’ cohorts. Methods: Patients diagnosed with NVAF in a four-hospital-institution between 2000 and 2010 were identified and included. Event rates of stroke/TE were calculated according to pattern of AF, i.e. paroxysmal, persistent and permanent, defined by consensus guidelines. Independent risk factors of stroke/TE were investigated by Cox regression. Results: Among 7156 patients with NVAF, 4176 (58.4%) patients with paroxysmal, 376 (5.3%) with persistent and 2604 (36.3%) with permanent NVAF patterns were included. In non-anticoagulated patients, the overall stroke/TE event rate per 100 person-years was 1.29 (95% CI 1.13–1.47). Paroxysmal NVAF patients were more likely to be female (p<0.001). Persistent NVAF patients were less likely to have prior history of stroke (p–0.002) and vascular disease (p<0.001), and more likely to have hypertension (p<0.001) and vitamin K antagonist therapy (p<0.001). Permanent NVAF patients were more likely to have diabetes (p<0.001), heart failure therapy (p<0.001) and less likely to have dyslipidaemia (p<0.001). Compared with paroxysmal NVAF, rates of stroke/TE (p=0.001), bleeding (p<0.001) and all-cause mortality (p<0.001) were significantly higher in permanent NVAF patients but not in persistent NVAF patients. In multivariate analyses, only previous stroke (hazard ratio, HR 2.58, 95% CI 2.08–3.21), vascular disease (HR 1.34,1.12–1.61), heart failure (HR 1.20,1.00–1.44), age≥75 years (HR 2.75, 2.16–3.50) and age 65–74 years (HR 1.60,1.22–2.09) increased stroke/TE risk, but persistent (HR1.13, 0.76–1.70) and permanent (HR 1.44,0.96–2.16) patterns of NVAF did not. Conclusion: In this large ‘real world’ cohort of NVAF patients, there were significant differences in rates of stroke, TE, death and bleeding between patterns of NVAF, however only previous stroke, age, heart failure and vascular disease (not pattern of NVAF) independently increased the risk of stroke/TE, death and bleeding in multivariate analyses. Therefore, the risk of stroke is similar across all patterns of NVAF and antithrombotic therapy should be based on clinical risk factors not NVAF pattern.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emi Fujii ◽  
Kazunori Fujino ◽  
Sachiko Tanaka-Mizuno ◽  
Yutaka Eguchi

Unexpected reintubation may occur, even if the risk factors are considered and a spontaneous breathing trial is successful. Reintubation is thought to be caused by various factors. Several studies have investigated the risk factors of reintubation, but most did not classify reintubation by cause. We retrospectively classified patients undergoing reintubation at intensive care unit by cause (respiratory insufficiency vs. nonrespiratory insufficiency) to examine the cause-specific risk factors of reintubation. A total of 262 patients were included; reintubation within 48 hours after extubation was performed in 12 patients (reintubation rate, 4.5%). After classification by cause of reintubation, the pressure of arterial oxygen to fractional inspired oxygen concentration (P/F) ratio exhibited a significant association with reintubation only in the respiratory insufficiency group (odds ratio (OR) 0.989, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.980 to 0.999, p=0.036, and OR 0.989, 95% CI 0.979 to 0.999, p=0.026, in the univariate and multivariate analyses, respectively). In the propensity score analysis, a P/F ratio ≤ 200 may be a risk factor for reintubation in the respiratory insufficiency group (OR 7.811, 95% CI 1.345 to 45.367, p=0.022). In the nonrespiratory insufficiency group, intubation duration was significantly related to reintubation (OR 1.165, 95% CI 1.012 to 1.342, p=0.033, and OR 1.163, 95% CI 1.004 to 1.348, p=0.044, in the univariate and multivariate analyses, respectively). In conclusion, a low P/F ratio at extubation may be a risk factor for reintubation due to respiratory insufficiency. In the nonrespiratory insufficiency group, intubation duration may be significantly related to reintubation. The risk factors for reintubation may differ by the cause of reintubation. Further large-scale randomized controlled trials are required.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-5 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ji Eun Song ◽  
Keun Young Lee ◽  
Ga Hyun Son

We investigated pregnancy outcome following transabdominal cerclage (TAC) in women with cervical insufficiency (CI) and explored parameters for predicting pregnancy outcomes following TAC. In this retrospective cohort study, we included 161 women with TAC. We considered demographic, obstetric, and gynecologic histories, pre- and postoperative cervical length (CL), and CL at 20–24 weeks as parameters for predicting outcomes following TAC. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify risk factors for predicting delivery before 34 weeks after TAC. 182 pregnancies occurred after TAC, and 290 pregnancies prior to TAC were identified. The rate of delivery <34 weeks significantly decreased following TAC (5% versus 82%,P<0.001). Univariate analysis demonstrated that a short CL (<25 mm) at 20–24 weeks and adenomyosis were associated with delivery at <34 weeks’ gestation following TAC (P=0.015andP=0.005, resp.). However, multivariate analysis demonstrated that only a short CL (<25 mm) at 20–24 weeks was a significant predictor (P=0.005). TAC is an efficacious procedure that prolongs pregnancy in women with CI. A short CL at 20–24 weeks may predict the delivery at <34 weeks’ gestation following TAC.


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