scholarly journals Dynamic sentiment spillovers among crude oil, gold, and Bitcoin markets: Evidence from time and frequency domain analyses

PLoS ONE ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (12) ◽  
pp. e0242515
Author(s):  
Xianfang Su ◽  
Yong Li

This paper examines the sentiment spillovers among oil, gold, and Bitcoin markets by employing spillovers index methods in a time-frequency framework. We find that the total sentiment spillover among crude oil, gold and Bitcoin markets is time-varying and is greatly affected by major market events. The directional sentiment spillovers are also time-varying. On average, the Bitcoin market is the major transmitter of directional sentiment spillovers, whereas the crude oil and gold markets are the major receivers. In particular, the sentiment spillover effects are major created at high-frequency components, implying that the markets rapidly process the sentiment spillover effects and the shock is transmitted over the short-term. Moreover, we also find that the sentiment spillover effects differ significantly in term of intensity and direction when compared with return and volatility spillover effects. The present study has certain applications for investors and policymakers.

2021 ◽  
pp. 135481662110584
Author(s):  
Ying Wang ◽  
Hongwei Zhang ◽  
Wang Gao ◽  
Cai Yang

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on tourism has received general attention in the literature, while the role of news during the pandemic has been ignored. Using a time-frequency connectedness approach, this paper focuses on the spillover effects of COVID-19-related news on the return and volatility of four regional travel and leisure (T&L) stocks. The results in the time domain reveal significant spillovers from news to T&L stocks. Specifically, in the return system, T&L stocks are mainly affected by media hype, while in the volatility system, they are mainly affected by panic sentiment. This paper also finds two risk contagion paths. The contagion index and Global T&L stock are the sources of these paths. The results in the frequency domain indicate that the shocks in the T&L industry are mainly driven by short-term fluctuations. The spillovers from news to T&L stocks and among these T&L stocks are stronger within 1 month.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Shuzhen Zhu ◽  
Zhen He ◽  
Suxue Wang

Through the construction of wavelet coherence analysis and frequency-domain spillover framework, this paper makes a comparative study of the volatility spillover effects of international economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on China’s Shanghai and Hong Kong stock market from a time-frequency perspective. To fully reflect the international EPU, this paper selects China, the United States, Australia, and the United Kingdom and uses the monthly EPU index of these countries and regions. China chooses China’s EPU index and Hong Kong’s EPU index. At the same time, the 5-minute high-frequency volatility of the Shanghai Composite Index (SSEC) and the Hang Seng Index (HSI) is selected to represent the Shanghai and Hong Kong’s stock market, respectively. It is found that there are obvious differences between the EPU and the dependence of the stock market in time domain and frequency domain, and the lead-lag relationship between them has time-varying characteristics. Static and dynamic spillover effects play a dominant role in the analysis of medium- and long-term spillover effects. In particular, the EPU and the risk spillover of the Hong Kong stock market are stronger than those of the Shanghai stock market, and the dynamic frequency-domain net risk spillover between them has frequency characteristics, and there are two-way and asymmetric risk spillovers. This provides a certain reference for policy makers to improve the safety management of financial markets and for market investors to optimize their portfolios.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qian Zhang ◽  
Yuan Ma ◽  
Guoli Li ◽  
Jinhui Ma ◽  
Jinjin Ding

In this paper, we focus on the accuracy improvement of short-term load forecasting, which is useful in the reasonable planning and stable operation of the system in advance. For this purpose, a short-term load forecasting model based on frequency domain decomposition and deep learning is proposed. The original load data are decomposed into four parts as the daily and weekly periodic components and the low- and high-frequency components. Long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network is applied in the forecasting for the daily periodic, weekly periodic, and low-frequency components. The combination of isolation forest (iForest) and Mallat with the LSTM method is constructed in forecasting the high-frequency part. Finally, the four parts of the forecasting results are added together. The actual load data of a Chinese city are researched. Compared with the forecasting results of empirical mode decomposition- (EMD-) LSTM, LSTM, and recurrent neural network (RNN) methods, the proposed method can effectively improve the accuracy and reduce the degree of dispersion of forecasting and actual values.


2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (6) ◽  
pp. 1017-1031 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Hu ◽  
Liguo Han ◽  
Rushan Wu ◽  
Yongzhong Xu

Abstract Full Waveform Inversion (FWI) is based on the least squares algorithm to minimize the difference between the synthetic and observed data, which is a promising technique for high-resolution velocity inversion. However, the FWI method is characterized by strong model dependence, because the ultra-low-frequency components in the field seismic data are usually not available. In this work, to reduce the model dependence of the FWI method, we introduce a Weighted Local Correlation-phase based FWI method (WLCFWI), which emphasizes the correlation phase between the synthetic and observed data in the time-frequency domain. The local correlation-phase misfit function combines the advantages of phase and normalized correlation function, and has an enormous potential for reducing the model dependence and improving FWI results. Besides, in the correlation-phase misfit function, the amplitude information is treated as a weighting factor, which emphasizes the phase similarity between synthetic and observed data. Numerical examples and the analysis of the misfit function show that the WLCFWI method has a strong ability to reduce model dependence, even if the seismic data are devoid of low-frequency components and contain strong Gaussian noise.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dongju Chen ◽  
Shuai Zhou ◽  
Lihua Dong ◽  
Jinwei Fan

This paper presents a new identification method to identify the main errors of the machine tool in time-frequency domain. The low- and high-frequency signals of the workpiece surface are decomposed based on the Daubechies wavelet transform. With power spectral density analysis, the main features of the high-frequency signal corresponding to the imbalance of the spindle system are extracted from the surface topography of the workpiece in the frequency domain. With the cross-correlation analysis method, the relationship between the guideway error of the machine tool and the low-frequency signal of the surface topography is calculated in the time domain.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shubhayu Bhattacharyay ◽  
John Rattray ◽  
Matthew Wang ◽  
Peter H. Dziedzic ◽  
Eusebia Calvillo ◽  
...  

AbstractOur goal is to explore quantitative motor features in critically ill patients with severe brain injury (SBI). We hypothesized that computational decoding of these features would yield information on underlying neurological states and outcomes. Using wearable microsensors placed on all extremities, we recorded a median 24.1 (IQR: 22.8–25.1) hours of high-frequency accelerometry data per patient from a prospective cohort (n = 69) admitted to the ICU with SBI. Models were trained using time-, frequency-, and wavelet-domain features and levels of responsiveness and outcome as labels. The two primary tasks were detection of levels of responsiveness, assessed by motor sub-score of the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCSm), and prediction of functional outcome at discharge, measured with the Glasgow Outcome Scale–Extended (GOSE). Detection models achieved significant (AUC: 0.70 [95% CI: 0.53–0.85]) and consistent (observation windows: 12 min–9 h) discrimination of SBI patients capable of purposeful movement (GCSm > 4). Prediction models accurately discriminated patients of upper moderate disability or better (GOSE > 5) with 2–6 h of observation (AUC: 0.82 [95% CI: 0.75–0.90]). Results suggest that time series analysis of motor activity yields clinically relevant insights on underlying functional states and short-term outcomes in patients with SBI.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (17) ◽  
pp. 8236
Author(s):  
Le Zhang ◽  
Hongguang Ji ◽  
Liyuan Liu ◽  
Jiwei Zhao

To study the crack evolution law and failure precursory characteristics of deep granite rocks in the process of deformation and failure under high confining pressure, granite samples obtained from a depth of 1150 m are tested using a TAW-2000 triaxial hydraulic servo testing machine and a PCI-II acoustic emission monitoring system. Based on the stress–strain curve and IET function, the loading process of the sample is divided into five stages: crack closure, linear elastic deformation, microcrack generation and development, macroscopic fracture generation and energy surge, and post-peak failure. The evolution trend and fracture evolution law of the acoustic emission signal event interval function in different stages are analyzed. In particular, the signals with an amplitude greater than 85 dB, a peak frequency greater than 350 kHz, and a frequency centroid greater than 275 kHz are defined as the failure precursor signals before the rock reaches the peak stress. The defined precursor signal conditions agree well with the experimental results. The time–frequency analysis and wavelet packet decomposition of the precursor signal are performed on the extracted characteristic signal of the failure precursor. The results show that the time-domain signal is in the form of a continuous waveform, and the frequency-domain waveform has multi-peak coexistence that is mainly concentrated in the high-frequency region. The energy distribution obtained by the wavelet packet decomposition of the characteristic signal is verified with the frequency-domain waveform. The energy distribution of the signal is mainly concentrated in the 343.75–375 kHz frequency band, followed by the 281.25–312.5 kHz frequency band. The energy proportion of the high-frequency signal increases with the confining pressure.


Author(s):  
Nader Trabelsi

Purpose This paper aims to investigate the connectedness of Islamic Stock Markets in five regional financial systems, namely, the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe (EU), GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) and APAC (Asia-Pacific Countries), and across different asset classes (i.e. bonds, gold and crude oil). Design/methodology/approach This methodology is inspired by Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) and Barunlik and Krehlik (2017) for performing dynamic variance decomposition network and for studying time–frequency dynamics of connectedness at different frequencies. Findings Results show that the nature of connectedness over the past decade is time–frequency dynamics. The decomposition of the total volatility spillovers is mostly dominated by the long-run component. Furthermore, dominant regions are the largest contributors of spillover index, with the lowest contribution in the system coming from the GCC market. Results also reveal a slightly higher volatility spillover index of Islamic than conventional equity indexes. Finally, the system that encompasses commodities and Islamic finance instruments, generates the much lower volatility spillover. Originality/value The findings have significant implications for portfolio managers who are interested in being able to predict asset returns, as well as for policymakers who are concerned with market stability.


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