scholarly journals Artificial intelligence prediction of the effect of rehabilitation in whiplash associated disorder

PLoS ONE ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (12) ◽  
pp. e0243816
Author(s):  
Alberto Javier Fidalgo-Herrera ◽  
María Jesús Martínez-Beltrán ◽  
Julio Cesar de la Torre-Montero ◽  
José Andrés Moreno-Ruiz ◽  
Gabor Barton
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Overall Performance ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Trained Neural Network ◽  
Monte Carlo Cross Validation ◽  
Medium Correlation ◽  
Relevant Factors

The active cervical range of motion (aROM) is assessed by clinicians to inform their decision-making. Even with the ability of neck motion to discriminate injured from non-injured subjects, the mechanisms to explain recovery or persistence of WAD remain unclear. There are few studies of ROM examinations with precision tools using kinematics as predictive factors of recovery rate. The present paper will evaluate the performance of an artificial neural network (ANN) using kinematic variables to predict the overall change of aROM after a period of rehabilitation in WAD patients. To achieve this goal the neck kinematics of a cohort of 1082 WAD patients (55.1% females), with mean age 37.68 (SD 12.88) years old, from across Spain were used. Prediction variables were the kinematics recorded by the EBI® 5 in routine biomechanical assessments of these patients. These include normalized ROM, speed to peak and ROM coefficient of variation. The improvement of aROM was represented by the Neck Functional Holistic Analysis Score (NFHAS). A supervised multi-layer feed-forward ANN was created to predict the change in NFHAS. The selected architecture of the ANN showed a mean squared error of 308.07–272.75 confidence interval for a 95% in the Monte Carlo cross validation. The performance of the ANN was tested with a subsample of patients not used in the training. This comparison resulted in a medium correlation with R = 0.5. The trained neural network to predict the expected difference in NFHAS between baseline and follow up showed modest results. While the overall performance is moderately correlated, the error of this prediction is still too large to use the method in clinical practice. The addition of other clinically relevant factors could further improve prediction performance.

scholarly journals A Neural Network Application for a Lithium-Ion Battery Pack State-of-Charge Estimator with Enhanced Accuracy

Proceedings ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 58 (1) ◽  
pp. 33
Author(s):  
Gabriel C. S. Almeida ◽  
A. C. Zambroni de Souza ◽  
Paulo F. Ribeiro
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Lithium Ion Battery ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Lithium Ion ◽  
Time Estimation ◽  
State Of Charge ◽  
Battery Pack ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Real Time Estimation ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

A State-of-Charge (SOC) real-time estimation plays an essential role in effective energy management. This paper proposes the use of an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to design a state-of-charge estimator for a Graphite/LiCoO2 lithium-ion battery pack. The software MATLAB was used to develop and test several network configurations to find the ideal weights for the ANN. The results demonstrate that the Mean Squared Error (MSE) achieved renders the ANN as an effective technique. Thus, it predicted the battery bank’s SOC values with accuracy using only voltage, current, and charge/discharge time as inputs.

scholarly journals Prediksi Inflasi Indonesia Memakai Model ARIMA dan Artificial Neural Network

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wahyudin S
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Analysis Of Variance ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Statistics Analysis ◽  
Root Mean Squared Error ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Hidden Layer

Inflasi merupakan indikator makro ekonomi yang sangat penting. Berbagai macam metoda prediksi inflasi Indonesia telah dipublikasikan. Namun pencarian metoda prediksi inflasi yang lebih akurat masih menjadi topik menarik. Pada penulisan ini diusulkan sebuah metoda baru untuk prediksi inflasi memakai model ARIMA dan Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Data inflasi yang digunakan adalah data inflasi bulanan year-on-year dari tahun 2010 sampai dengan tahun 2018 yang diterbitkan oleh Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS). Pertama dibuat 2 model ARIMA yaitu model ARIMA tanpa siklus tahunan dan dengan siklus tahunan. Prosedur standar dan diagostics test telah dilakukan antara lain: summary of statistics, analysis of variance (ANOVA), significance of coefficients test, residuals normality, heterocesdacity, dan stability. Dari hasil perbandingan kinerja memakai Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) diperoleh bahwa model ARIMA dengan siklus tahunan lebih baik. Model tersebut berupa model ARIMA (2,1,0) (2,0,0) [12]. Kemudian, untuk meningkatkan kinerja prediksi inflasi, ANN telah dibuat berbasis model ARIMA tersebut. Model ANN memakai satu hidden layer dan dua neuron. Hasil pengujian menunjukkan bahwa model ANN menghasilkan RMSE yang lebih kecil daripada model ARIMA (2,1,0) (2,0,0) [12]. Hal ini kemungkinan disebabkan oleh kemampuan mengolah hubungan nonlinear antara variabel target dan variabel penjelas.

scholarly journals Nonlinear Aeroelastic System Identification Based on Neural Network

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 1916
Author(s):  
Bo Zhang ◽  
Jinglong Han ◽  
Haiwei Yun ◽  
Xiaomao Chen
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
System Identification ◽  
Control Surface ◽  
Identification Algorithm ◽  
Aeroelastic System ◽  
Structural Nonlinearity ◽  
Time Marching ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Trained Neural Network

This paper focuses on the nonlinear aeroelastic system identification method based on an artificial neural network (ANN) that uses time-delay and feedback elements. A typical two-dimensional wing section with control surface is modelled to illustrate the proposed identification algorithm. The response of the system, which applies a sine-chirp input signal on the control surface, is computed by time-marching-integration. A time-delay recurrent neural network (TDRNN) is employed and trained to predict the pitch angle of the system. The chirp and sine excitation signals are used to verify the identified system. Estimation results of the trained neural network are compared with numerical simulation values. Two types of structural nonlinearity are studied, cubic-spring and friction. The results indicate that the TDRNN can approach the nonlinear aeroelastic system exactly.

scholarly journals Prediksi Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) Menggunakan Algoritma Neural Network

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 24
Author(s):  
Imam Halimi ◽  
Wahyu Andhyka Kusuma
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Data Mining ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
T Test ◽  
Sliding Windows ◽  
Root Mean Squared Error ◽  
Squared Error

Investasi saham merupakan hal yang tidak asing didengar maupun dilakukan. Ada berbagai macam saham di Indonesia, salah satunya adalah Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) atau dalam bahasa inggris disebut Indonesia Composite Index, ICI, atau IDX Composite. IHSG merupakan parameter penting yang dipertimbangkan pada saat akan melakukan investasi mengingat IHSG adalah saham gabungan. Penelitian ini bertujuan memprediksi pergerakan IHSG dengan teknik data mining menggunakan algoritma neural network dan dibandingkan dengan algoritma linear regression, yang dapat dijadikan acuan investor saat akan melakukan investasi. Hasil dari penelitian ini berupa nilai Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) serta label tambahan angka hasil prediksi yang didapatkan setelah dilakukan validasi menggunakan sliding windows validation dengan hasil paling baik yaitu pada pengujian yang menggunakan algoritma neural network yang menggunakan windowing yaitu sebesar 37,786 dan pada pengujian yang tidak menggunakan windowing sebesar 13,597 dan untuk pengujian algoritma linear regression yang menggunakan windowing yaitu sebesar 35,026 dan pengujian yang tidak menggunakan windowing sebesar 12,657. Setelah dilakukan pengujian T-Test menunjukan bahwa pengujian menggunakan neural network yang dibandingkan dengan linear regression memiliki hasil yang tidak signifikan dengan nilai T-Test untuk pengujian dengan windowing dan tanpa windowing hasilnya sama, yaitu sebesar 1,000.

scholarly journals Forecasting Wind Power Generation Using Artificial Neural Network: “Pawan Danawi”—A Case Study from Sri Lanka

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Amila T. Peiris ◽  
Jeevani Jayasinghe ◽  
Upaka Rathnayake
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Power Generation ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Wind Farm ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Wind Power Generation ◽  
Training Algorithms ◽  
Training Algorithm ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Ann Models

Wind power, as a renewable energy resource, has taken much attention of the energy authorities in many countries, as it is used as one of the major energy sources to satisfy the ever-increasing energy demand. However, careful attention is needed in identifying the wind power potential in a particular area due to climate changes. In this sense, forecasting both wind power generation and wind power potential is essential. This paper develops artificial neural network (ANN) models to forecast wind power generation in “Pawan Danawi”, a functioning wind farm in Sri Lanka. Wind speed, wind direction, and ambient temperature of the area were used as the independent variable matrices of the developed ANN models, while the generated wind power was used as the dependent variable. The models were tested with three training algorithms, namely, Levenberg-Marquardt (LM), Scaled Conjugate Gradient (SCG), and Bayesian Regularization (BR) training algorithms. In addition, the model was calibrated for five validation percentages (5% to 25% in 5% intervals) under each algorithm to identify the best training algorithm with the most suitable training and validation percentages. Mean squared error (MSE), coefficient of correlation (R), root mean squared error ratio (RSR), Nash number, and BIAS were used to evaluate the performance of the developed ANN models. Results revealed that all three training algorithms produce acceptable predictions for the power generation in the Pawan Danawi wind farm with R > 0.91, MSE < 0.22, and BIAS < 1. Among them, the LM training algorithm at 70% of training and 5% of validation percentages produces the best forecasting results. The developed models can be effectively used in the prediction of wind power at the Pawan Danawi wind farm. In addition, the models can be used with the projected climatic scenarios in predicting the future wind power harvest. Furthermore, the models can acceptably be used in similar environmental and climatic conditions to identify the wind power potential of the area.

Conjugate Gradient Trained Neural Network for Intelligent Sensing of Manhole Gases to Avoid Human Fatality

2014 ◽  
pp. 257-280
Author(s):  
Paramartha Dutta ◽  
Varun Kumar Ojha
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Conjugate Gradient ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Nonlinear Problems ◽  
Pipeline System ◽  
Neural Network Learning ◽  
Pattern Recognition Problem ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Trained Neural Network

Computational Intelligence offers solution to various real life problems. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) has the capability of solving highly complex and nonlinear problems. The present chapter demonstrates the application of these tools to provide solutions to the manhole gas detection problem. Manhole, the access point across sewer pipeline system, contains various toxic and explosive gases. Hence, predetermination of these gases before accessing manholes is becoming imperative. The problem is treated as a pattern recognition problem. ANN, devised for solving this problem, is trained using a supervised learning algorithm. The conjugate gradient method is used as an alternative of back propagation neural network learning algorithm for training of the ANN. The chapter offers comprehensive performance analysis of the learning algorithm used for the training of ANN followed by discussion on the methods of presenting the system result. The authors discuss different variants of Conjugate Gradient and propose two new variants of it.

Anticipation of Demand in Supply Chains

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-45
Author(s):  
Youssef Tliche ◽  
Atour Taghipour ◽  
Béatrice Canel-Depitre
Keyword(s):  
Supply Chains ◽  
Information Sharing ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Demand Management ◽  
Inventory Level ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Interfirm Collaboration ◽  
Overall Performance

The main objective of studying decentralized supply chains is to demonstrate that a better interfirm collaboration can lead to a better overall performance of the system. Many researchers studied a phenomenon called downstream demand inference (DDI), which presents an effective demand management strategy to deal with forecast problems. DDI allows the upstream actor to infer the demand received by the downstream one without information sharing. Recent study showed that DDI is possible with simple moving average (SMA) forecast method and was verified especially for an autoregressive AR(1) demand process. This chapter extends the strategy's results by developing mean squared error and average inventory level expressions for causal invertible ARMA(p,q) demand under DDI strategy, no information sharing (NIS), and forecast information sharing (FIS) strategies. The authors analyze the sensibility of the performance metrics in respect with lead-time, SMA, and ARMA(p,q) parameters, and compare DDI results with the NIS and FIS strategies' results.

A Genetic Algorithm-Artificial Neural Network Method for the Prediction of Longitudinal Dispersion Coefficient in Rivers

2011 ◽  
pp. 358-374
Author(s):  
Jianhua Yang ◽  
Evor L. Hines ◽  
Ian Guymer ◽  
Daciana D. Iliescu ◽  
Mark S. Leeson ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Dispersion Coefficient ◽  
Longitudinal Dispersion ◽  
Longitudinal Dispersion Coefficient ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Training Examples ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Trained Neural Network

In this chapter a novel method, the Genetic Neural Mathematical Method (GNMM), for the prediction of longitudinal dispersion coefficient is presented. This hybrid method utilizes Genetic Algorithms (GAs) to identify variables that are being input into a Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) Artificial Neural Network (ANN), which simplifies the neural network structure and makes the training process more efficient. Once input variables are determined, GNMM processes the data using an MLP with the back-propagation algorithm. The MLP is presented with a series of training examples and the internal weights are adjusted in an attempt to model the input/output relationship. GNMM is able to extract regression rules from the trained neural network. The effectiveness of GNMM is demonstrated by means of case study data, which has previously been explored by other authors using various methods. By comparing the results generated by GNMM to those presented in the literature, the effectiveness of this methodology is demonstrated.

Prediction of Surface Roughness and Coefficient of Friction Using Artificial Neural Network in Tribotesting of Bio-Lubricants

2019 ◽  
Vol 895 ◽  
pp. 52-57 ◽  
Author(s):  
Prasanna Vineeth Bharadwaj ◽  
T.P. Jeevan ◽  
P.S. Suvin ◽  
S.R. Jayaram
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Surface Roughness ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Coefficient Of Friction ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Trained Neural Network ◽  
Lubrication Conditions ◽  
Good Agreement

Tribotesting is necessary to understand the behaviour of the material under various operating lubrication conditions. This paper deals with the training of an artificial neural network (ANN) model with Bio-lubricant properties and machining conditions for prediction of surface roughness and coefficient of friction in Tribotesting by Tool chip Tribometer. Experimental results obtained from Tool chip tribometer for tested bio-lubricants are compared with those obtained by ANN prediction. A good agreement in results recommends that a well trained neural network is competent enough to predict the parameters in Tribotesting process.

Identification of Complex System Based on Neural Network

2012 ◽  
Vol 433-440 ◽  
pp. 4342-4347
Author(s):  
Zhen Hai Dou ◽  
Ya Jing Wang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Complex System ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Model Identification ◽  
Complex Model ◽  
System Model ◽  
Mathematics Model ◽  
Identification Method ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Actual Output

In order to conquer the difficulty of building up the mathematics model of some complex system, model identification method based on neural network is put forward. By this method, according to actual sample datum, the complex model of crude oil heating furnace is identified at appropriate quantity of net layers and notes. The identification results show that output of model can basically consistent with the actual output and their mean squared error (MSE) almost is 0. Therefore, model identification method based on neural network is an effective method in complex system identification.

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