ANALYSIS OF HISTORICAL DATA USING ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE TECHNOLOGIES FOR PREDICTING THREATS IN COMPLEX DISTRIBUTED SYSTEMS

2021 ◽  
pp. 39-45
Author(s):  
E. V. Palchevsky ◽  
O. I. Khristodulo ◽  
S. V. Pavlov ◽  
A. V. Sokolova
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Distributed Systems ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Mathematical Formulation ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Water Rise ◽  
Artificial Neural

A threat prediction method based on the mining of historical data in complex distributed systems is proposed. The relevance of the selected research topic is substantiated from the point of view of considering floods as a physical process of water rise, the level of which is measured at stationary hydrological posts. The mathematical formulation of the problem is formulated, within the framework of which an artificial neural network is implemented based on the free software library “TensorFlow”. An analysis of the effectiveness of the implemented artificial neural network was carried out, according to the results of which the weighted mean square-law deviation of the predicted water level value from the actual one when forecasting for one day at stationary hydrological posts was 0.032. Thus, the neural network allows predicting the flood situation with acceptable accuracy, which gives time for special services to carry out measures to counter this threat.

scholarly journals Intelligent Data Analysis for Forecasting Threats in Complex Distributed Systems

2020 ◽  
pp. paper79-1-paper79-12
Author(s):  
Evgeny Palchevsky ◽  
Olga Khristodulo ◽  
Sergey Pavlov ◽  
Artur Kalimgulov
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Distributed Systems ◽  
Water Level ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Mathematical Formulation ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Water Levels ◽  
Average Deviation ◽  
Artificial Neural

A threat prediction method based on the intellectual analysis of historical data in complex distributed systems (CDS) is proposed. The relevance of the chosen research topic in terms of considering the flood as a physical process of raising the water level, which is measured at stationary and automatic hydrological posts, is substantiated. Based on this, a mathematical formulation of the problem is formulated, within the framework of which an artificial neural network based on the freely distributed TensorFlow software library is implemented. The analysis of the effectiveness of the implemented artificial neural network was carried out, according to which the average deviation of the predicted water level when forecasting for one day at a stationary hydrological post was 3.323%. For further research on forecasting water levels, an algorithm is proposed for evaluating historical data at automatic posts, which will allow using these data to predict water levels according to the proposed method and at automatic posts. Thus, the neural network allows predicting the flood situation with acceptable accuracy, which allows special services to take measures to counter this threat.

scholarly journals Threat prediction in complex distributed systems using artificial neural network technology

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Evgeny Palchevsky ◽  
Olga Khristodulo ◽  
Sergey Pavlov
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Distributed Systems ◽  
Flood Control ◽  
Least Squares Method ◽  
Mathematical Formulation ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Water Levels ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
Forecasting Methods ◽  
The Neural Network

In the context of this article, a method for detecting threats based on their forecasting and development in complex distributed systems is proposed. Initially, the relevance of the research topic is substantiated from the point of view of the prospective use of various methods in the framework of threat management and their forecasting in complex distributed systems. Based on the analysis of these methods, a proprietary forecasting method based on the second generation recurrent neural network (RNN) was proposed. The mathematical formulation of the problem is presented, as well as the structure of this neural network and its mathematical model of self-learning, which allows achieving more accurate (with less error) results in the framework of threat prediction (in this case, the level of water rise at gauging stations) in complex distributed systems. An analysis was also made of the effectiveness of the existing and proposed forecasting methods, which showed the stability of the neural network in relation to other forecasting methods: the error of the neural network is 3-20% of actual (real) water levels; the least squares method reaches up to 34.5%, the numerical method in a generalized form - up to 36%; linear regression model – up to 47.5%. Thus, the neural network allows a fairly stable forecast of the flood situation over several days, which allows special services to carry out flood control measures.

scholarly journals Application of artificial neural networks to predict the deflections of reinforced concrete beams

2016 ◽  
Vol 38 (2) ◽  
pp. 37-46 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mateusz Kaczmarek ◽  
Agnieszka Szymańska
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Reinforced Concrete ◽  
Concrete Beams ◽  
Reinforced Concrete Beams ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Eurocode 2 ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Concrete Elements

Abstract Nonlinear structural mechanics should be taken into account in the practical design of reinforced concrete structures. Cracking is one of the major sources of nonlinearity. Description of deflection of reinforced concrete elements is a computational problem, mainly because of the difficulties in modelling the nonlinear stress-strain relationship of concrete and steel. In design practise, in accordance with technical rules (e.g., Eurocode 2), a simplified approach for reinforced concrete is used, but the results of simplified calculations differ from the results of experimental studies. Artificial neural network is a versatile modelling tool capable of making predictions of values that are difficult to obtain in numerical analysis. This paper describes the creation and operation of a neural network for making predictions of deflections of reinforced concrete beams at different load levels. In order to obtain a database of results, that is necessary for training and testing the neural network, a research on measurement of deflections in reinforced concrete beams was conducted by the authors in the Certified Research Laboratory of the Building Engineering Institute at Wrocław University of Science and Technology. The use of artificial neural networks is an innovation and an alternative to traditional methods of solving the problem of calculating the deflections of reinforced concrete elements. The results show the effectiveness of using artificial neural network for predicting the deflection of reinforced concrete beams, compared with the results of calculations conducted in accordance with Eurocode 2. The neural network model presented in this paper can acquire new data and be used for further analysis, with availability of more research results.

Watermelon Sorting Process by Frequency Identification and Artificial Neural Network

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Komsan Wongkalasin ◽  
Teerapon Upachaban ◽  
Wacharawish Daosawang ◽  
Nattadon Pannucharoenwong ◽  
Phadungsak Ratanadecho
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Selection Process ◽  
Network Processor ◽  
Data Set ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Frequency Identification ◽  
Sorting Process ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Reasonable Prediction

This research aims to enhance the watermelon’s quality selection process, which was traditionally conducted by knocking the watermelon fruit and sort out by the sound’s character. The proposed method in this research is generating the sound spectrum through the watermelon and then analyzes the response signal’s frequency and the amplitude by Fast Fourier Transform (FFT). Then the obtained data were used to train and verify the neural network processor. The result shows that, the frequencies of 129 and 172 Hz were suit to be used in the comparison. Thirty watermelons, which were randomly selected from the orchard, were used to create a data set, and then were cut to manually check and match to the fruits’ quality. The 129 Hz frequency gave the response ranging from 13.57 and above in 3 groups of watermelons quality, including, not fully ripened, fully ripened, and close to rotten watermelons. When the 172 Hz gave the response between 11.11–12.72 in not fully ripened watermelons and those of 13.00 or more in the group of close to rotten and hollow watermelons. The response was then used as a training condition for the artificial neural network processor of the sorting machine prototype. The verification results provided a reasonable prediction of the ripeness level of watermelon and can be used as a pilot prototype to improve the efficiency of the tools to obtain a modern-watermelon quality selection tool, which could enhance the competitiveness of the local farmers on the product quality control.

A Model on the Correlation between Composition and Mechanical Properties of Mg-Al-Zn Alloys by Using Artificial Neural Network

2005 ◽  
Vol 488-489 ◽  
pp. 793-796 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hai Ding Liu ◽  
Ai Tao Tang ◽  
Fu Sheng Pan ◽  
Ru Lin Zuo ◽  
Ling Yun Wang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Mechanical Properties ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Magnesium Alloys ◽  
Tensile Yield Strength ◽  
Data Set ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Prediction Of Mechanical Properties ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

A model was developed for the analysis and prediction of correlation between composition and mechanical properties of Mg-Al-Zn (AZ) magnesium alloys by applying artificial neural network (ANN). The input parameters of the neural network (NN) are alloy composition. The outputs of the NN model are important mechanical properties, including ultimate tensile strength, tensile yield strength and elongation. The model is based on multilayer feedforward neural network. The NN was trained with comprehensive data set collected from domestic and foreign literature. A very good performance of the neural network was achieved. The model can be used for the simulation and prediction of mechanical properties of AZ system magnesium alloys as functions of composition.

scholarly journals Применение искусственной нейронной сети в экспериментах по ядерному спиновому эху

2019 ◽  
Vol 45 (12) ◽  
pp. 16
Author(s):  
С.Н. Полулях ◽  
А.И. Горбованов
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Nuclear Spin ◽  
Spin Echo ◽  
Gaussian Form ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Network Application ◽  
Artificial Neural

The possibility of artificial neural network application to detect nuclear spin echo signals under conditions when the echo amplitude is comparable to the amplitude of the noise is demonstrated. Data obtained by superimposing the model echo signals of a Gaussian form on experimentally recorded noise signals is proposed to use for training the neural network.

scholarly journals Intrusion Detection for Industrial Control Systems Based on Open Set Artificial Neural Network

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Chao Wang ◽  
Bailing Wang ◽  
Yunxiao Sun ◽  
Yuliang Wei ◽  
Kai Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Intrusion Detection ◽  
Control Systems ◽  
Industrial Control ◽  
Industrial Control Systems ◽  
Open Set ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Center Loss ◽  
Artificial Neural

The security of industrial control systems (ICSs) has received a lot of attention in recent years. ICSs were once closed networks. But with the development of IT technologies, ICSs have become connected to the Internet, increasing the potential of cyberattacks. Because ICSs are so tightly linked to human lives, any harm to them could have disastrous implications. As a technique of providing protection, many intrusion detection system (IDS) studies have been conducted. However, because of the complicated network environment and rising means of attack, it is difficult to cover all attack classes, most of the existing classification techniques are hard to deploy in a real environment since they cannot deal with the open set problem. We propose a novel artificial neural network based-methodology to solve this problem. Our suggested method can classify known classes while also detecting unknown classes. We conduct research from two points of view. On the one hand, we use the openmax layer instead of the traditional softmax layer. Openmax overcomes the limitations of softmax, allowing neural networks to detect unknown attack classes. During training, on the other hand, a new loss function termed center loss is implemented to improve detection ability. The neural network model learns better feature representations with the combined supervision of center loss and softmax loss. We evaluate the neural network on NF-BoT-IoT-v2 and Gas Pipeline datasets. The experiments show our proposed method is comparable with the state-of-the-art algorithm in terms of detecting unknown classes. But our method has a better overall classification performance.

scholarly journals The implementation of optimized neural network to improve the accuracy of flow measurement by ultrasonic flowmeter

2019 ◽  
pp. 193-194
Author(s):  
Oleksandr Ihorovich Parfeniuk ◽  
Oleksandr Mykolaiovych Naumchuk ◽  
Olena Olehivna Poliukhovych ◽  
Pawel Mazurek
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Flow Measurement ◽  
Ultrasonic Flowmeter ◽  
Structural Scheme ◽  
Nonlinear Characteristics ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural

It is proposed the technology of intellectual measurement of expenses with the use of an artificial neural network for overcoming the constraints caused by nonlinear characteristics of ultrasonic flowmeters. It is presented structural scheme of the proposed technology and structure of the model of the neural network

Artificial Neural Networks

2011 ◽  
pp. 222-243
Author(s):  
Joarder Kamruzzaman ◽  
Ruhul Sarker
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Network Applications ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Neural Network Applications

The primary aim of this chapter is to present an overview of the artificial neural network basics and operation, architectures, and the major algorithms used for training the neural network models. As can be seen in subsequent chapters, neural networks have made many useful contributions to solve theoretical and practical problems in finance and manufacturing areas. The secondary aim here is therefore to provide a brief review of artificial neural network applications in finance and manufacturing areas.

Machine learning-based prediction of component self-alignment in vapour phase and infrared soldering

2019 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 163-168 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oliver Krammer ◽  
Péter Martinek ◽  
Balazs Illes ◽  
László Jakab
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Vapour Phase ◽  
The Self ◽  
Phase Method ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Artificial Neural

Purpose This paper aims to investigate the self-alignment of 0603 size (1.5 × 0.75 mm) chip resistors, which were soldered by infrared or vapour phase soldering. The results were used for establishing an artificial neural network for predicting the component movement during the soldering. Design/methodology/approach The components were soldered onto an FR4 testboard, which was designed to facilitate the measuring of the position of the components both prior to and after the soldering. A semi-automatic placement machine misplaced the components intentionally, and the self-alignment ability was determined for soldering techniques of both infrared and vapour phase soldering. An artificial neural network-based prediction method was established, which is able to predict the position of chip resistors after soldering as a function of component misplacement prior to soldering. Findings The results showed that the component can self-align from farer distances by using vapour phase method, even from relative misplacement of 50 per cent parallel to the shorter side of the component. Components can self-align from a relative misplacement only of 30 per cent by using infrared soldering method. The established artificial neural network can predict the component self-alignment with an approximately 10-20 per cent mean absolute error. Originality/value It was proven that the vapour phase soldering method is more stable from the component’s self-alignment point of view. Furthermore, machine learning-based predictors can be applied in the field of reflow soldering technology, and artificial neural networks can predict the component self-alignment with an appropriately low error.

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