scholarly journals The PE Ratio and the Predicted Earnings Growth – the Case of Poland

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 127-138
Author(s):  
Radosław Kurach ◽  
Tomasz Słoński
Keyword(s):  
Normal Level ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Average Rate ◽  
Equity Returns ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
Future Prospects ◽  
Earnings Growth ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Pe Ratio ◽  
Correct Signal

Abstract We examine the components of equity returns on the Polish capital market. To analyse the underlying complexity of returns we took into consideration the model designed by Leibowitz (1999). This model captures three factors: dividend yield, expected growth in earnings and expected change in price-to-earnings (PE) ratio. We applied this model to analyse the average discount/premium not only to particular shares but to market averages as well. Firstly, we examined the variation of PE across the companies (as adapted from Penman (1996)) to analyse the average rate of return and their striking distance of individual stocks from a ‘normal’ level. Then we checked the transitory earnings in the portfolios of high PE, whereby a fall in current earnings relative to sustainable level of earnings leads to a transitory high PE ratio. We expect that the effect of transience in current year earnings can be significant. Lastly, we analysed the individual companies in order to check what percentage of companies give a “correct” signal about future prospects.

PE Ratios, PEG Ratios, and Estimating the Implied Expected Rate of Return on Equity Capital

2004 ◽  
Vol 79 (1) ◽  
pp. 73-95 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter D. Easton
Keyword(s):  
A Priori ◽  
Equity Capital ◽  
Rate Of Change ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
Forecast Horizon ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Earnings Growth ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Downward Bias ◽  
Pe Ratio

I describe a model of earnings and earnings growth and I demonstrate how this model may be used to obtain estimates of the expected rate of return on equity capital. These estimates are compared with estimates of the expected rate of return implied by commonly used heuristics—viz., the PEG ratio and the PE ratio. Proponents of the PEG ratio (which is the price-earnings [PE] ratio divided by the short-term earnings growth rate) argue that this ratio takes account of differences in short-run earnings growth, providing a ranking that is superior to the ranking based on PE ratios. But even though the PEG ratio may provide an improvement over the PE ratio, it is arguably still too simplistic because it implicitly assumes that the short-run growth forecast also captures the long-run future. I provide a means of simultaneously estimating the expected rate of return and the rate of change in abnormal growth in earnings beyond the (short) forecast horizon—thereby refining the PEG ratio ranking. The method may also be used by researchers interested in determining the effects of various factors (such as disclosure quality, cross-listing, etc.) on the cost of equity capital. Although the correlation between the refined estimates and estimates of the expected rate of return implied by the PEG ratio is high, supporting the use of the PEG ratio as a parsimonious way to rank stocks, the estimates of the expected rate of return based on the PEG ratio are biased downward. This correlation is much lower and the downward bias is much larger for estimates of the expected rate of return based on the PE ratio. I provide evidence that stocks for which the downward bias is higher can be identified a priori.

TINJAUAN STUDI KELAYAKAN USAHA BADAN USAHA MILIK DESA (NAGARI) KAMANG HILIA SEJAHTERA KENAGARIAN KAMANG HILIA, KECAMATAN KAMANG MAGEK, KABUPATEN AGAM, PROVINSI SUMATERA BARAT

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 160
Author(s):  
Halkadri Fitra ◽  
Salma Taqwa ◽  
Charoline Cheisviyanny ◽  
Abel Tasman ◽  
Nurzi Sebrina
Keyword(s):  
Cash Flow ◽  
Net Present Value ◽  
Average Rate ◽  
Flow Analysis ◽  
Payback Period ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
Internal Rate Of Return ◽  
Present Value ◽  
Internal Rate

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat kelayakan aspek keuangan usaha grosir sembako Badan Usaha Milik Desa (Nagari) Kamang Hilia Sejahtera di Kenagarian Kamang Hilia Kecamatan Kamang Magek Kabupaten Agam Provinsi Sumatera Barat yang dilakukan pada tahun 2018. Penelitian bersifat deskriptif kuantitatif dengan menggunakan metode cash flow analysis, payback period, net present value, profitability index, internal rate of return, dan average rate of return. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa nilai net cash flow Badan Usaha Milik Desa (Nagari) Kamang Hilia Sejahtera adalah positif yaitu Rp.21.774.000, nilai payback period adalah 1,15 tahun, nilai net present value positif sebesar Rp.10.680.034,47, nilai profitability index adalah positif 1,37, sedangkan nilai internal rate of return adalah 46,7% dan nilai average rate of return adalah 57,23%. Berdasarkan standar penilaian maka semua metode yang digunakan memberikan kesimpulan bahwa usaha grosir sembako milik Badan Usaha Milik Desa (Nagari) Kamang Hilia Sejahtera dalam kategori layak untuk dilaksanakan.

scholarly journals Use of Probabilistic Cash Flows in Analyzing Investments Under Conditions of Risk and Uncertainty

1976 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 19-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
James W. Richardson ◽  
Harry P. Mapp
Keyword(s):  
Net Present Value ◽  
Average Rate ◽  
Capital Budgeting ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
Internal Rate Of Return ◽  
Risk And Uncertainty ◽  
Small Farm ◽  
Perfect Knowledge ◽  
Net Returns

Managers of business firms, large or small, farm or nonfarm, must make investment decisions under conditions of risk and uncertainty. However, in evaluating investments, the assumption of perfect knowledge has often been used to simplify the analysis. For example, an estimate of average annual net returns is frequently discounted into perpetuity to evaluate a real estate investment alternative. Capital budgeting literature suggests a number of approaches to evaluating alternative investments. However, use of concepts such as the payback period, average rate of return, internal rate of return and net present value embodies the assumption of perfect knowledge.

ANALISIS KELAYAKAN BISNIS CAFE PADA KHALIZTA COFFEE & RESTO KOTA PEMATANGSIANTAR

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 148-158
Author(s):  
Lika Pasaribu ◽  
Liharman Saragih
Keyword(s):  
Net Present Value ◽  
Average Rate ◽  
Payback Period ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
Internal Rate Of Return ◽  
Present Value ◽  
Internal Rate

Studi kelayakan bisnis merupakan penelitian yang bertujuan untuk memutuskan apakah sebuah ide bisnis layak atau tidak. Cafe Khalizta Coffee & Resto Kota Pematangsiantar merupakan salah satu café yang baru berjalan selama 11 bulan, sehingga akan diuji apakah usaha tersebut telah layak berdasarkan aspek keuangan. Berdasarkan hasil analisis didapat bahwa aspek keuangan  dikatakan layak, dengan nilai Payback Period (PP) 1 tahun 6 bulan 23 hari. Nilai Net Present Value (NPV) 1.186.386.674, nilai Profitability Index (PI) 2,68, nilai Internal Rate of Return (IRR) sebesar 101%,  nilai Average Rate of Return (ARR) 108 %  aspek keuangan dinyatakan layak dan dapat dilanjutkan

Manifestations of Wasaṭiyyah

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Hashim Kamali
Keyword(s):  
Practical Wisdom ◽  
Future Prospects ◽  
Continuity And Change ◽  
The Individual

This chapter advances a perspective on how Islam has manifested wasaṭiyyah in the exposition and implementation of its precepts and principles. Thus, it is noted that wasaṭiyyah has helped keep Islam focused on its center, although not entirely neglecting the peripheries. Reconciling and balancing the interests of continuity and change, and those of the individual and society, of past realities and future prospects, of this world and the hereafter through rational methods, consultative engagement, practical wisdom, and ijtihad (independent reasoning) has all in all manifested the reality of wasaṭiyyah in Islam. Suitable illustrations to support some of these statements are also provided.

Property investment: gearing and the equity rate of return

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (3) ◽  
pp. 323-328 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nick French
Keyword(s):  
Design Methodology ◽  
Investment Project ◽  
Equity Returns ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Bank Rate ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Practical Implications ◽  
Different Levels

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to comment upon the relatively straightforward but often misunderstood role of gearing (or leverage) on the potential equity return of a property investment. Design/methodology/approach This education briefing is an explanation of the upside and downside risk of borrowing (at different levels) to successful investment. Findings The use of gearing can greatly enhance equity returns but at an increased risk. Practical implications The process of borrowing at a bank rate below the return rate on an investment project can increase the equity return of the project as long as all incomes and discount rate remain at appropriate levels. Originality/value This is a review of existing models.

scholarly journals Impact of National Generic Dairy Advertising on Dairy Markets, 1984–95

1997 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 303-313 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harry M. Kaiser
Keyword(s):  
Return On Investment ◽  
Average Rate ◽  
National Level ◽  
Dairy Industry ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
Dairy Markets ◽  
High Return

AbstractThe impacts of generic dairy advertising on retail, wholesale, and farm dairy markets are estimated in this study at the national level. The results indicate that generic dairy advertising had a major impact on retail, wholesale, and farm markets for the dairy industry. The main conclusion of the study is that farmers are receiving a high return on their investment in generic dairy advertising, i.e., an average rate of return of $3.40 for every dollar invested over the period 1984–95. Moreover, the return on investment in advertising was higher in the most recent year, almost double the average for the previous 11 years.

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