Geo-information system of tuberculosis spread based on inversion and prediction

2020 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sergey Kabanikhin ◽  
Olga Krivorotko ◽  
Aliya Takuadina ◽  
Darya Andornaya ◽  
Shuhua Zhang

AbstractThe monitoring, analysis and prediction of epidemic spread in the region require the construction of mathematical model, big data processing and visualization because the amount of population and the size of the region could be huge. One of the important steps is refinement of mathematical model, i.e. determination of initial data and coefficients of system of differential equations of epidemiologic processes using additional information. We analyze numerical method for solving inverse problem of epidemiology based on genetic algorithm and traditional optimization approach. Our algorithms are applied to analysis and prediction of epidemic situation in regions of Russian Federation, Republic of Kazakhstan and People’s Republic of China. Due to a great amount of data we use a special software ”Digital Earth” for visualization of epidemic.

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Prasanna Kumar ◽  
Mervin Herbert ◽  
Srikanth Rao

This research study focuses on the optimization of multi-item multi-period procurement lot sizing problem for inventory management. Mathematical model is developed which considers different practical constraints like storage space and budget. The aim is to find optimum order quantities of the product so that total cost of inventory is minimized. The NP-hard mathematical model is solved by adopting a novel ant colony optimization approach. Due to lack of benchmark method specified in the literature to assess the performance of the above approach, another metaheuristic based program of genetic algorithm is also employed to solve the problem. The parameters of genetic algorithm model are calibrated using Taguchi method of experiments. The performance of both algorithms is compared using ANOVA analysis with the real time data collected from a valve manufacturing company. It is verified that two methods have not shown any significant difference as far as objective function value is considered. But genetic algorithm is far better than the ACO method when compared on the basis of CPU execution time.


2009 ◽  
Vol 628-629 ◽  
pp. 353-356 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guang Jun Liu ◽  
Tao Jiang ◽  
An Lin Wang

A robust optimization approach of an accelerometer is presented to minimize the effect of variations from micro fabrication. The sensitivity analysis technology is employed to reduce design space and to find the key parameters that have greatest influence on the accelerometer. And then, the constraint conditions and objective functions for robust optimization and the corresponding mathematical model are presented. The optimization problem is solved by the Multiple-island Genetic Algorithm and the results show that an accelerometer with better performance is obtained.


2006 ◽  
Vol 16 (05) ◽  
pp. 1419-1434 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. GONTAR ◽  
O. GRECHKO

An automatic procedure for generating colored two-dimensional symmetrical images based on the chemical reactions discrete chaotic dynamics (CRDCD) is proposed. The inverse problem of derivation of symmetrical images from CRDCD mathematical models was formulated and solved using a special type of genetic algorithm. Different symmetrical images corresponding to the solutions of a CRDCD mathematical model for which the parameters were obtained automatically by the proposed method are presented.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Feng Lin ◽  
Yi Huang ◽  
Huifang Zhang ◽  
Xu He ◽  
Yonghua Yin ◽  
...  

AbstractThis study focuses on evaluating the different policies of controlling the outbreak of COVID-19 in mainland China and in some European countries. The study is based on mathematical model which is a modified susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model. The model takes death and recovery into consideration which in convenience is called the susceptible-infected-recovered-death (SIRD) model. The criterion for the recovered patients is assumed by COVID-19 nucleic acid testing negative. The mathematical model is constructed by retrospective study. Determination of the parameters in the model is based on the epidemic bulletin supplied by the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China (NHC) from Jan 16 2020 to Mar 5 2020. The data cover the date when the epidemic situation is reported and the data showed that the epidemic situation is almost under control in China. The mathematical model mainly simulates the active cases and the deaths during the outbreak of COVID-19. Then apply the mathematical model to simulate the epidemic situations in Italy and Spain, which are suffering the outbreak of COVID-19 in Europe. The determination of the parameters for the 2 European countries is based on the data supplied by Worldometers. By comparing the difference of the parameters based on the same mathematical model, it is possible to evaluate the different policies in different countries. It turns out that the relatively easing control policies might lead to rapid spread of the disease.


2007 ◽  
Vol 539-543 ◽  
pp. 2491-2496 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ewa Majchrzak ◽  
Bohdan Mochnacki

In the paper the problem of casting and mould thermophysical parameters identification is discussed. So, it is assumed that in the mathematical model describing the thermal processes in the system considered the selected parameter (or parameters) is unknown. On the basis of additional information concerning the cooling (heating) curves at the selected set of points the unknown parameter can be found. The inverse problem is solved using the least squares criterion in which the sensitivity coefficients are applied. On the stage of numerical simulation the boundary element method is used. In the final part of the paper the examples of computations are shown.


2013 ◽  
Vol 334-335 ◽  
pp. 309-313
Author(s):  
Jozef Kačur ◽  
J. Minár ◽  
Hana Budáčová

Numerical modelling of unsaturated-saturated flow under centrifugation with moving arms is studied. A numerically efficient approximation is presented for mathematical model based on Richard's nonlinear and degenerate equation expressed in terms of effective saturation using Van Genuchten-Mualem ansatz with soil parameters in unsaturated zone. The method is suitable for determination of soil parameters via the solution of inverse problem in an iterative way. Using centrifuge offers significant time savings and provides us with many data for the parameter estimation. The present implementation of our method requires only very cheap measurements of global characteristics.


Author(s):  
Olexandr Pavlenko ◽  
Serhii Dun ◽  
Maksym Skliar

In any economy there is a need for the bulky goods transportation which cannot be divided into smaller parts. Such cargoes include building structures, elements of industrial equipment, tracked or wheeled construction and agricultural machinery, heavy armored military vehicles. In any case, tractor-semitrailer should provide fast delivery of goods with minimal fuel consumption. In order to guarantee the goods delivery, tractor-semitrailers must be able to overcome the existing roads broken grade and be capable to tow a semi-trailer in off-road conditions. These properties are especially important for military equipment transportation. The important factor that determines a tractor-semitrailer mobility is its gradeability. The purpose of this work is to improve a tractor-semitrailer mobility with tractor units manufactured at PJSC “AutoKrAZ” by increasing the tractor-semitrailer gradeability. The customer requirements for a new tractor are determined by the maximizing the grade to 18°. The analysis of the characteristics of modern tractor-semitrailers for heavy haulage has shown that the highest rate of this grade is 16.7°. The factors determining the limiting gradeability value were analyzed, based on the tractor-semitrailer with a KrAZ-6510TE tractor and a semi-trailer with a full weight of 80 t. It has been developed a mathematical model to investigate the tractor and semi-trailer axles vertical reactions distribution on the tractor-semitrailer friction performances. The mathematical model has allowed to calculate the gradeability value that the tractor-semitrailer can overcome in case of wheels and road surface friction value and the tractive force magnitude from the engine. The mathematical model adequacy was confirmed by comparing the calculations results with the data of factory tests. The analysis showed that on a dry road the KrAZ-6510TE tractor with a 80 t gross weight semitrailer is capable to climb a gradient of 14,35 ° with its coupling mass full use condition. The engine's maximum torque allows the tractor-semitrailer to overcome a gradient of 10.45° It has been determined the ways to improve the design of the KrAZ-6510TE tractor to increase its gradeability. Keywords: tractor, tractor-semitrailer vehicle mobility, tractor-semitrailer vehicle gradeability.


2014 ◽  
Vol 62 (1) ◽  
pp. 129-137
Author(s):  
A. Sawicki ◽  
J. Mierczyński

Abstract A basic set of experiments for the determination of mechanical properties of sands is described. This includes the determination of basic physical and mechanical properties, as conventionally applied in soil mechanics, as well as some additional experiments, which provide further information on mechanical properties of granular soils. These additional experiments allow for determination of steady state and instability lines, stress-strain relations for isotropic loading and pure shearing, and simple cyclic shearing tests. Unconventional oedometric experiments are also presented. Necessary laboratory equipment is described, which includes a triaxial apparatus equipped with local strain gauges, an oedometer capable of measuring lateral stresses and a simple cyclic shearing apparatus. The above experiments provide additional information on soil’s properties, which is useful in studying the following phenomena: pre-failure deformations of sand including cyclic loading compaction, pore-pressure generation and liquefaction, both static and caused by cyclic loadings, the effect of sand initial anisotropy and various instabilities. An important feature of the experiments described is that they make it possible to determine the initial state of sand, defined as either contractive or dilative. Experimental results for the “Gdynia” model sand are shown.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carmen Guguta ◽  
Jan M.M. Smits ◽  
Rene de Gelder

A method for the determination of crystal structures from powder diffraction data is presented that circumvents the difficulties associated with separate indexing. For the simultaneous optimization of the parameters that describe a crystal structure a genetic algorithm is used together with a pattern matching technique based on auto and cross correlation functions.<br>


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