Prediction of Enterprise Financial Crisis based on Improved Neural Network

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. 4393-4402
Author(s):  
Xinchun Liu

Objectives: Neural network is a very important research model in human brain research, and it has been cross researched and applied in many disciplines and fields. Methods: However, there are some shortcomings in the neural network, such as long learning cycle and slow convergence speed. Results: Therefore, in this paper, the enterprise financial crisis prediction based on improved neural network was proposed. Then in the light of the shortcomings of the neural network, the optimization and improvement were carried out. After that, the genetic algorithm was introduced to update the neural network structure and improve the prediction accuracy of the neural network. Finally, the improved neural network was applied to the financial crisis prediction, and good results were achieved. Conclusion: It is proved that the research has good application value and promotion prospect.

2015 ◽  
Vol 740 ◽  
pp. 871-874
Author(s):  
Hui Zhao ◽  
Li Rong Shi ◽  
Hong Jun Wang

Directing against the problems of too large size of the neural network structure due to the existence of a complex relationship between the input coupling factor and too many input factors in establishing model for predicting temperature of sunlight greenhouse. This article chose the environmental factors that affect the sunlight greenhouse temperature as data sample. Through the principal component analysis of data samples, three main factors were extracted. These selected principal component values were taken as the input variables of BP neural network model. Use the Bayesian regularization algorithm to improve the BP neural network. The empirical results show that this method is utilized modify BP neural network, which can simplify network structure and smooth fitting curve, has good generalization capability.


2008 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 415-435 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ryosuke Hosaka ◽  
Osamu Araki ◽  
Tohru Ikeguchi

Spike-timing-dependent synaptic plasticity (STDP), which depends on the temporal difference between pre- and postsynaptic action potentials, is observed in the cortices and hippocampus. Although several theoretical and experimental studies have revealed its fundamental aspects, its functional role remains unclear. To examine how an input spatiotemporal spike pattern is altered by STDP, we observed the output spike patterns of a spiking neural network model with an asymmetrical STDP rule when the input spatiotemporal pattern is repeatedly applied. The spiking neural network comprises excitatory and inhibitory neurons that exhibit local interactions. Numerical experiments show that the spiking neural network generates a single global synchrony whose relative timing depends on the input spatiotemporal pattern and the neural network structure. This result implies that the spiking neural network learns the transformation from spatiotemporal to temporal information. In the literature, the origin of the synfire chain has not been sufficiently focused on. Our results indicate that spiking neural networks with STDP can ignite synfire chains in the cortices.


Author(s):  
Rached Dhaouadi ◽  
◽  
Khaled Nouri

We present an application of artificial neural networks to the problem of controlling the speed of an elastic drive system. We derive a neural network structure to simulate the inverse dynamics of the system, then implement the direct inverse control scheme in a closed loop. The neural network learning is done on-line to adaptively control the speed to follow a stepwise changing reference. The experimental results with a two-mass-model analog board confirm the effectiveness of the proposed neurocontrol scheme.


2014 ◽  
Vol 937 ◽  
pp. 308-312
Author(s):  
Xi Hua Du ◽  
Xiao Hui Wang

Based on the molecular topology information and adjacency matrix, the 38 electrical state indices of molecules of inhibitor of thymidylic acid-based synthetase as five-membered heterocyclic pyrimidine derivatives were calculated to provide theoretical basis for molecular design of new drugs. By using variable regression method, the best subset of structural parameters ofE1,E2,E7,E16andE31were optimized. When the five structural parameters were used as the BP neural network input neurons and the neural network structure of 5:3:1 was used, an ideal prediction model of biological activity was obtained. Its total correlation coefficientrand average relative error were 0.972 and 2.13%, respectively. The result showed that the biological activity andE1,E2,E7,E16andE31have a good non-linear relationship with the biological activity, and the results predicted by neural networks was better than that by multiple regression method. The test proved that the model had good robust and predictive capabilities. Our research would provide theoretical guidance for the development of new drugs of inhibitor of thymidylic acid-based synthetase with efficient and low toxicity.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. e0246483
Author(s):  
Yubo Peng ◽  
LingWu Wang ◽  
Shuiqing Yang

Different from many previous studies explain mobile social media usage from a technical-center perspective, the present study investigates the factors that influence citizens’ mobile government social media (GSM) continuance based on the valence framework. The research model was calculated by using data collected from 509 citizens who are the mobile GSM users in China. A structural equation modeling (SEM)-neural network (NN) method was employed to test the research model. The results of SEM indicated that the positive utilities included social value and hedonic value positively affect mobile GSM continuance, while the negative utility reflected by self-censorship negative affect mobile GSM continuance. This is further supported by the results of the neural network model analysis which indicated that hedonic value is more influencing predictor of continuous usage of mobile GSM, following by social value and self-censorship.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haoyang Hu ◽  
Zhihong Yuan

Abstract Retrosynthetic analysis is a canonical technique for planning the synthesis route of organic molecules in drug discovery and development. In this technique, the screening of synthetic tree branches requires accurate forward reaction prediction, but existing software is far from completing this step independently. Previous studies attempted to apply a neural network to forward reaction prediction, but the accuracy was not satisfying. Through using the Edit Vector-based description and extended-connectivity fingerprints to transform the reaction into a vector, this study focuses on the update of the neural network to improve the template-based forward reaction prediction. Hard-threshold activation and the target propagation algorithm are implemented by introducing mixed convex-combinatorial optimization. Comparative tests were conducted to explore the optimal hyperparameter set. Using 15,000 experimental reaction data extracted from granted United States patents, the proposed hard-threshold neural network was systematically trained and tested. The results demonstrated that a higher prediction accuracy was obtained than that for the traditional neural network with backpropagation algorithm. Some successfully predicted reaction examples are also briefly illustrated.


Author(s):  
Leonid A. Slavutskii ◽  
Elena V. Slavutskaya

The paper is devoted to the use of artificial neural networks for signal processing in electrical engineering and electric power industry. Direct propagation neural network (perceptron) is considered as an object in the theory of experiment planning. The variants of the neural network structure empirical choice, the quality criteria of its training and testing are analyzed. It is shown that the perceptron structure choice, the training sample, and the training algorithms require planning. Variables and parameters of neuro algorithm that can act as factors, state parameters, and disturbing influences in the framework of the experimental planning theory are discussed. The proposed approach is demonstrated by the example of neural network analysis of the industrial frequency signal of 50 Hz nonlinear distortions. The possibility of using an elementary perceptron with one hidden layer and a minimum number of neurons to correct the transformer saturation current is analyzed. The conditions under which the neuro algorithm allows one to restore the values of the main harmonic amplitude, frequency and phase with an error of no more than one percent are revealed. The signal processing in a «sliding window» with a duration of a fraction of the fundamental frequency period is proposed, and the neuro algorithm accuracy characteristics are estimated. The possibility to automate the neural network structure choosing for signal processing is discussed.


Author(s):  
Behzad Maleki ◽  
Mahyar Ghazvini ◽  
Mohammad Hossein Ahmadi ◽  
Heydar Maddah ◽  
Shahab Shamshirband

Nowadays industrial dryers are used instead of traditional methods for drying. In designing dryers suitable for controlling the process of drying and reaching a high quality product, it is necessary to predict the instantaneous moisture loss during drying. For this purpose, ten mathematical-experimental models with a neural network model based on the kinetic data of pistachio drying are studied. The data obtained from the cabinet dryer will be evaluated at four temperatures of inlet air and different air velocities. The pistachio seeds will be placed in a thin layer on an aluminum sheet on a drying tray and weighed by a scale attached to the computer at different times. In the neural network, data are divided into three parts: educational (60%), validation (20%) and test (20%). Finally, the best mathematical-experimental model using genetic algorithm and the best neural network structure for predicting instantaneous moisture are selected based on the least squared error and the highest correlation coefficient.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Yuliang Guo

Roller skating is an important and international physical exercise, which has beautiful body movements to be watched. However, the falling of roller athletes also happens frequently. Upon the roller athletes’ fall, it means that the whole competition is over and even the roller athletes are perhaps injured. In order to stave off the tragedy, the roller track can be analyzed and be notified the roller athlete to terminate the competition. With such consideration, this paper analyzes the roller track by using two advanced technologies, i.e., pattern recognition and neural network, in which each roller athlete is equipped with an automatic movement identifier (AMI). Meanwhile, AMI is connected with the remote video monitor referee via the transmission of 5G network. In terms of AMI, its function is realized by pattern recognition, including data collection module, data processing module, and data storage module. Among them, the data storage module considers the data classification based on roller track. In addition, the neural network is used to train the roller tracks stored at AMI and give the further analysis results for the remote video monitor referee. Based on NS3, the devised AMI is simulated and the experimental results reveal that the prediction accuracy can reach 100% and the analyzed results can be used for the falling prevention timely.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Xiali Li ◽  
Zhengyu Lv ◽  
Bo Liu ◽  
Licheng Wu ◽  
Zheng Wang

Computer game-playing programs based on deep reinforcement learning have surpassed the performance of even the best human players. However, the huge analysis space of such neural networks and their numerous parameters require extensive computing power. Hence, in this study, we aimed to increase the network learning efficiency by modifying the neural network structure, which should reduce the number of learning iterations and the required computing power. A convolutional neural network with a maximum-average-out (MAO) unit structure based on piecewise function thinking is proposed, through which features can be effectively learned and the expression ability of hidden layer features can be enhanced. To verify the performance of the MAO structure, we compared it with the ResNet18 network by applying them both to the framework of AlphaGo Zero, which was developed for playing the game Go. The two network structures were trained from scratch using a low-cost server environment. MAO unit won eight out of ten games against the ResNet18 network. The superior performance of the MAO unit compared with the ResNet18 network is significant for the further development of game algorithms that require less computing power than those currently in use.


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