scholarly journals DAMPAK TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA KREDIT, INFLASI DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI TERHADAP JUMLAH KREDIT BANK UMUM SWASTA NASIONAL YANG DISALURKAN DI INDONESIA

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-44
Author(s):  
Muhammad Rizki Saputra ◽  
Ryan Juminta Anward ◽  
Rizali Rizali
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Statistical Test ◽  
Economic Variable ◽  
Quarterly Data ◽  
Private Banks ◽  
Econometric Technique

The objective of this research is to (1) analyse the influence of loan interest rate, inflation and economic growth to loans disbursed by national private banks in Indonesia. This research uses quarterly data for ten years from 2007 to 2016. The methodology used in this research is time series econometric technique which is the unit root test, statistical test and classical assumption test. The result of this research shows that loan interest rate and inflation variable have a negative correlation and statistically is not significant to loans that disbursed by national private banks in Indonesia. While Indonesian economic growth and global economic variable have a positive correlation and statistically is significant to loans that disbursed by national private banks in Indonesia.

scholarly journals The effects of tax structure on economic growth: evidence from Pakistan economies

2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 109
Author(s):  
Mahfooz Khan ◽  
Saif Ul amin ◽  
Sammandar Khan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Study Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Long Run

The study has been conducted to find out the effects of fiscal policy on economic growth in Pakistan. Taxes are selected as a proxy for fiscal policy and GDP as an economic growth. In this study the time series analysis was used. The study used difference tests and models. These tests were unit root test which at different levels was used for stationary and non-stationary another model was co-integration the co-integration further used two tests one was trace test and second one was maximum Eigen value these tests used for long run relationships between taxes and GDP. In this study Granger causality test lag 2 and lag 4 also for checking the effects of taxes on Pakistan GDP. The objectives of the study are to find out the relationship between taxes and GDP and also to testify the random walk between taxes and GDP. The data were taken from 1981 to 2012. Taxes dealt as an independent and GDP as a dependent variable of the study. Data were collected from Federal Bureau of Statistics and from Pakistan economic survey. Time series analysis is used to testify the hypotheses. The results of Unit Root test shows that GDP and taxes has a unit root and it is non- stationary. GDP has no unit root and stationary in nature at 1st difference level. The results of co-integration shows that both taxes and GDP no co-integration at 5 % level of significance. The study concludes that there is no Co-integration between taxes and GDP. The study recommended that fiscal policy should make according to the situation of the country and the tax rate should be change with a smooth rate.

Do Financial Investment Decisions Affect Economic Development?

2019 ◽  
pp. 168-191 ◽  
Author(s):  
Serhat Yüksel ◽  
Pınar Tuğçe Kavak
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Mortgage Loans ◽  
Financial Investment ◽  
Quarterly Data ◽  
Analysis Process

The purpose of this chapter is to determine whether mortgage loans have an influence on economic growth in Turkey. In this context, as the variable of the mortgage, the ratio of the mortgage loans to the total loans is taken into consideration. Also, the increase ratio in GDP is used as an economic growth variable. In addition to this situation, quarterly data of these variables for the periods between 2005:1 and 2017:3 is examined. On the other hand, Engle-Granger cointegration analysis is considered in this study in order to reach this objective. In the analysis process, firstly, the variables are subjected to the ADF unit root test, and it is understood that both variables become stationary by taking first order differences. It is identified that there is a long-term relationship between mortgage loans and economic growth in Turkey. By considering these results, it is recommended to encourage mortgage loans in order to increase economic growth.

A revisit of the unemployment rate, interest rate, GDP growth and Inflation of Pakistan: Whether Structural break or unit root?

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 80-92
Author(s):  
Sara Muhammadullah ◽  
Amena Urooj ◽  
Faridoon Khan
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Structural Breaks ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Structural Break ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Unit Root Tests ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators

The study investigates the query of structural break or unit root considering four macroeconomic indicators; unemployment rate, interest rate, GDP growth, and inflation rate of Pakistan. The previous studies create ambiguity regarding the stationarity and non-stationarity of these variables. We employ Zivot & Andrews (1992) unit root test and Step Indicator Saturation (SIS) method for multiple break detection in mean. GDP growth and inflation rate are stationary at level whereas unit root tests fail to reject the null hypothesis of the unemployment rate and interest rate at level. However, Zivot and Andrew unit root test with a single endogenous break indicates that the unemployment rate and interest rate are stationary at level with a single endogenous break. On the other hand, the SIS method reveals that the series are stationary with multiple structural breaks. It is inferred that it is inappropriate to take the first difference of the unemployment rate and interest rate to attain stationarity. The results of this study confirmed that there exist multiple breaks in the macroeconomic variables considered in the context of Pakistan.

scholarly journals Assessing the Fiscal Sustainability of Government Finances in European Countries

2013 ◽  
Vol 52 (1) ◽  
pp. 87-93
Author(s):  
Yuriy Melnykov
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Statistical Approach ◽  
Fiscal Sustainability ◽  
European Countries ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate

This paper analyses the fiscal sustainability of government finances in the 27 EU countries and Norway using an empirical, statistical approach and ADF tests for a unit root in the time series of the differences between the GDP growth rate and the long-term interest rate, and the primary balance.

scholarly journals The Relationship between Tax Revenue and Economic Growth in Nepal: A Co-integration Approach

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 28-36
Author(s):  
Gautam Maharjan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Error Correction Model ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

The main objective of this paper is to examine the relationship between tax revenue and economic growth in Nepal. The 43 years' annual time series data from 1974/75 to 2016/17 of GDP, tax revenue and nontax revenue have been used to test the causal relationship of the variables. A unit root test, Engle-Granger’s co-integration and Error Correction Model have been applied for the data analysis. The variables have been found stationary after first differencing I(1) when Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test is employed. From Engel-Granger test, it has been found that the variables are co-integrated. The short-term coefficients are not significant, however error correction term (ECT) is significant and contains a negative sign in the error correction model (ECM). It validates the ECM model. The ECT has shown that the annual speed of adjustment from disequilibrium to equilibrium is 34.3 percent. So far as the relationship is concerned, there is a long run relationship between tax revenue and economic growth in Nepal controlling the non-tax revenue. The impact of tax revenue on economic growth could be a good impetus for the policy maker and planner to increase the collection of revenue for the country.

scholarly journals Trade Openness and Economic Growth Nexus: A Case Study of BRICS

2018 ◽  
Vol 54 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. G. Burange ◽  
Rucha R. Ranadive ◽  
Neha N. Karnik
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Jel Codes ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Econometric Technique

The article analyses a causal relationship between trade openness and economic growth for the member countries of BRICS by using an econometric technique of time series analysis. Member countries of BRICS adopted a series of liberalization reforms, almost simultaneously, from the late 1980s. The article attempts to study the impact of trade openness on their growth in GDP per capita. It captures structural composition of GDP and openness of trade in four aspects, that is, merchandise exports, merchandise imports, services export and services import. In India, the study found growth-led trade in services hypothesis. The article supports the growth-led export and growth-led import hypothesis for China and export- and import-led growth for South Africa. However, no causal relationship was evident for Brazil and Russia. JEL Codes: F43, C22

A New Non-Parametric Subspace-Based Approach for Unit Root Test

2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (01) ◽  
pp. 1950009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mehran Farahikia ◽  
Masoud Yarmohammadi ◽  
Hossein Hassani
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Statistical Testing ◽  
Block Bootstrap ◽  
Testing Methodology ◽  
Non Parametric

A new non-parametric subspace-based approach is introduced for unit root test in AR(1) process. The proposed approach contains block-bootstrap and spectrum properties of a time series as well as statistical testing methodology. The simulation result validates the proposed test and indicates its superiority compared with other existent procedures.

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