scholarly journals Machine Learning Approaches for Accurate Prediction of Relative Humidity based on Temperature and Wet-Bulb Depression

Author(s):  
Qi Luo ◽  
Manouchehr Shokri ◽  
Adrienn Dineva

The main parameters for calculation of relative humidity are the wet-bulb depression and dry bulb temperature. In this work, easy-to-used predictive tools based on statistical learning concepts, i.e., the Adaptive Network-Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Least Square Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) are developed for calculating relative humidity in terms of wet bulb depression and dry bulb temperature. To evaluate the aforementioned models, some statistical analyses have been done between the actual and estimated data points. Results obtained from the present models showed their capabilities to calculate relative humidity for divers values of dry bulb temperatures and also wet-bulb depression. The obtained values of MSE and MRE were 0.132 and 0.931, 0.193 and 1.291 for the LSSVM and ANFIS approaches respectively. These developed tools are user-friend and can be of massive value for scientists especially, those dealing with air conditioning and wet cooling towers systems to have a noble check of the relative humidity in terms of wet bulb depression and dry bulb temperatures.

Author(s):  
Mahdi Ghadiri ◽  
Azam Marjani ◽  
Samira Mohammadinia ◽  
Manouchehr Shokri

The main parameters for calculation of relative humidity are the wet-bulb depression and dry bulb temperature. In this work, easy-to-used predictive tools based on statistical learning concepts, i.e., the Adaptive Network-Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Least Square Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) are developed for calculating relative humidity in terms of wet bulb depression and dry bulb temperature. To evaluate the aforementioned models, some statistical analyses have been done between the actual and estimated data points. Results obtained from the present models showed their capabilities to calculate relative humidity for divers values of dry bulb temperatures and also wet-bulb depression. The obtained values of MSE and MRE were 0.132 and 0.931, 0.193 and 1.291 for the LSSVM and ANFIS approaches respectively. These developed tools are user-friend and can be of massive value for scientists especially, those dealing with air conditioning and wet cooling towers systems to have a noble check of the relative humidity in terms of wet bulb depression and dry bulb temperatures.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amevi Acakpovi ◽  
Alfred Tettey Ternor ◽  
Nana Yaw Asabere ◽  
Patrick Adjei ◽  
Abdul-Shakud Iddrisu

This paper is concerned with the reliable prediction of electricity demands using the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). The need for electricity demand prediction is fundamental and vital for power resource planning and monitoring. A dataset of electricity demands covering the period of 2003 to 2018 was collected from the Electricity Distribution Company of Ghana, covering three urban areas namely Mallam, Achimota, and Ga East, all in Ghana. The dataset was divided into two parts: one part covering a period of 0 to 500 hours was used for training of the ANFIS algorithm while the second part was used for validation. Three scenarios were considered for the simulation exercise that was done with the MATLAB software. Scenario one considered four inputs sampled data, scenario two considered an additional input making it 5, and scenario 3 was similar to scenario 1 with the exception of the number of membership functions that increased from 2 to 3. The performance of the ANFIS algorithm was assessed by comparing its predictions with other three forecast models namely Support Vector Regression (SVR), Least Square Support Vector Machine (LS-SVM), and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). Findings revealed that the ANFIS algorithm can perform the prediction accurately, the ANFIS algorithm converges faster with an increase in the data used for training, and increasing the membership function resulted in overfitting of data which adversely affected the RMSE values. Comparison of the ANFIS results to other previously used methods of predicting electricity demands including SVR, LS-SVM, and ARIMA revealed that there is merit to the potentials of the ANFIS algorithm for improved predictive accuracy while relying on a quality data for training and reliable setting of tuning parameters.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Yong Yang ◽  
Shuaishuai Zheng ◽  
Zhilu Ai ◽  
Mohammad Mahdi Molla Jafari

This study is aimed at modeling biodigestion systems as a function of the most influencing parameters to generate two robust algorithms on the basis of the machine learning algorithms, including adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and least square support vector machine (LSSVM). The models are assessed utilizing multiple statistical analyses for the actual values and model outcomes. Results from the suggested models indicate their great capability of predicting biogas production from vegetable food, fruits, and wastes for a variety of ranges of input parameters. The values that are calculated for the mean relative error (MRE %) and mean squared error (MSE) were 29.318 and 0.0039 for ANFIS, and 2.951 and 0.0001 for LSSVM which shows that the latter model has a better ability to predict the target data. Finally, in order to have additional certainty, two analyses of outlier identification and sensitivity were performed on the input parameter data that proved the proposed model in this paper has higher reliability in assessing output values compared with the previous model.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (8) ◽  
pp. 3156-3171
Author(s):  
Hiwa Farajpanah ◽  
Morteza Lotfirad ◽  
Arash Adib ◽  
Hassan Esmaeili-Gisavandani ◽  
Özgur Kisi ◽  
...  

Abstract This research uses the multi-layer perceptron–artificial neural network (MLP-ANN), radial basis function–ANN (RBF-ANN), least square support vector machine (LSSVM), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), M5 model tree (M5T), gene expression programming (GEP), genetic programming (GP) and Bayesian network (BN) with five types of mother wavelet functions (MWFs: coif4, db10, dmey, fk6 and sym7) and selects the best model by the TOPSIS method. The case study is the Navrood watershed in the north of Iran and the considered parameters are daily flow discharge, temperature and precipitation during 1991 to 2018. The derived results show that the best method is the hybrid of the M5T model with sym7 wavelet function. The MWFs were decomposed by discrete wavelet transform (DWT). The combination of AI models and MWFs improves the correlation coefficient of MLP, RBF, LSSVM, ANFIS, GP, GEP, M5T and BN by 8.05%, 4.6%, 8.14%, 8.14%, 22.97%, 7.5%, 5.75% and 10% respectively.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-26
Author(s):  
Ahmed Mahmoud ◽  
Hany Gamal ◽  
Salaheldin Elkatatny ◽  
Ahmed Alsaihati

Abstract Total organic carbon (TOC) is an essential parameter that indicates the quality of unconventional reservoirs. In this study, four machine learning (ML) algorithms of the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), support vector regression (SVR), functional neural networks (FNN), and random forests (RF) were optimized to evaluate the TOC. The novelty of this work is that the optimized models predict the TOC from the bulk gamma-ray (GR) and spectral GR logs of uranium, thorium, and potassium only. The ML algorithms were trained on 749 datasets from Well-1, tested on 226 datasets from Well-2, and validated on 73 data points from Well-3. The predictability of the optimized algorithms was also compared with the available equations. The results of this study indicated that the optimized ANFIS, SVR, and RF models overperformed the available empirical equations in predicting the TOC. For validation data of Well-3, the optimized ANFIS, SVR, and RF algorithms predicted the TOC with AAPE's of 10.6%, 12.0%, and 8.9%, respectively, compared with the AAPE of 21.1% when the FNN model was used. While for the same data, the TOC was assessed with AAPE's of 48.6%, 24.6%, 20.2%, and 17.8% when Schmoker model, ΔlogR method, Zhao et al. correlation, and Mahmoud et al. correlation was used, respectively. The optimized models could be applied to estimate the TOC during the drilling process if the drillstring is provided with GR and spectral GR logging tools.


2018 ◽  
Vol 32 (11) ◽  
pp. 1850132 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harpreet Singh ◽  
Prashant Singh Rana ◽  
Urvinder Singh

Drug synergy prediction plays a significant role in the medical field for inhibiting specific cancer agents. It can be developed as a pre-processing tool for therapeutic successes. Examination of different drug–drug interaction can be done by drug synergy score. It needs efficient regression-based machine learning approaches to minimize the prediction errors. Numerous machine learning techniques such as neural networks, support vector machines, random forests, LASSO, Elastic Nets, etc., have been used in the past to realize requirement as mentioned above. However, these techniques individually do not provide significant accuracy in drug synergy score. Therefore, the primary objective of this paper is to design a neuro-fuzzy-based ensembling approach. To achieve this, nine well-known machine learning techniques have been implemented by considering the drug synergy data. Based on the accuracy of each model, four techniques with high accuracy are selected to develop ensemble-based machine learning model. These models are Random forest, Fuzzy Rules Using Genetic Cooperative-Competitive Learning method (GFS.GCCL), Adaptive-Network-Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Dynamic Evolving Neural-Fuzzy Inference System method (DENFIS). Ensembling is achieved by evaluating the biased weighted aggregation (i.e. adding more weights to the model with a higher prediction score) of predicted data by selected models. The proposed and existing machine learning techniques have been evaluated on drug synergy score data. The comparative analysis reveals that the proposed method outperforms others in terms of accuracy, root mean square error and coefficient of correlation.


2018 ◽  
Vol 29 (1) ◽  
pp. 924-940 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed A. Ewees ◽  
Mohamed Abd Elaziz

Abstract This paper presents an alternative method for predicting biochar yields from biomass thermochemical processes. As biochar is considered a renewable and sustainable energy source, it has received more attention. Several methods have been presented to predict biochar, such as neural network (NN) and least square support vector machine (LS-SVM). However, each of them has its own drawbacks, such as getting stuck in a local optimum, which occurs in NN, and lack of uncertainty and time complexity, as in LS-SVM. Therefore, this paper avoids this limitation by using a hybrid method between the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and gray wolf optimization (GWO) algorithm. The proposed method is called ANFIS-GWO, which consists of two stages. In the first stage, GWO is used to learn the parameters of ANFIS using the training set. Meanwhile, in the second stage, the testing set is used to evaluate the performance of the proposed ANFIS-GWO method. Three experiments were performed to assess the performance of the proposed method. The first experiment used a set of UCI (University of California, Irvine) benchmark datasets to evaluate the effectiveness of ANFIS-GWO. The aim of the second experiment was to evaluate the performance of the proposed ANFIS-GWO method to predict biochar yield from manure pyrolysis. The third experiment aimed to estimate the values of input parameters of pyrolysis that maximize biochar production. The obtained results were compared to those of other methods, such as ANFIS using gradient descent, practical swarm optimization, genetic algorithm, whale optimization algorithm, sine-cosine algorithm, and LS-SVM. The results of the ANFIS-GWO method were >35% of the standard ANFIS and also better than those of other methods.


Entropy ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
pp. 547 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rana Muhammad Adnan ◽  
Zhihuan Chen ◽  
Xiaohui Yuan ◽  
Ozgur Kisi ◽  
Ahmed El-Shafie ◽  
...  

The study investigates the potential of two new machine learning methods, least-square support vector regression with a gravitational search algorithm (LSSVR-GSA) and the dynamic evolving neural-fuzzy inference system (DENFIS), for modeling reference evapotranspiration (ETo) using limited data. The results of the new methods are compared with the M5 model tree (M5RT) approach. Previous values of temperature data and extraterrestrial radiation information obtained from three stations, in China, are used as inputs to the models. The estimation exactness of the models is measured by three statistics: root mean square error, mean absolute error, and determination coefficient. According to the results, the temperature or extraterrestrial radiation-based LSSVR-GSA models perform superiorly to the DENFIS and M5RT models in terms of estimating monthly ETo. However, in some cases, a slight difference was found between the LSSVR-GSA and DENFIS methods. The results indicate that better prediction accuracy may be obtained using only extraterrestrial radiation information for all three methods. The prediction accuracy of the models is not generally improved by including periodicity information in the inputs. Using optimum air temperature and extraterrestrial radiation inputs together generally does not increase the accuracy of the applied methods in the estimation of monthly ETo.


2011 ◽  
Vol 268-270 ◽  
pp. 336-339
Author(s):  
Guo Lin Jing ◽  
Wen Ting Du ◽  
Quan Zhou ◽  
Song Tao Li

Fuzzy system is known to predict model in the electrodialysis process. This paper aimed to study fitting effect by ANFIS in a laboratory scale ED cell. Separation percent of NaCl solution is mainly as a function of concentration, temperature, flow rate and voltage. Besides, ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) based on Sugeno fuzzy model, its structure was similar to neural network and could generate fuzzy rules automatically, using the error back propagation algorithm and least square method to adjust the parameters of fuzzy inference system. We obtained fitted values of separation percent by ANFIS. Separation percent from experiments compared with the fitted values of separation percent. The result is shown that the correlation coefficient is 0.988. Therefore, it is verified as a good performance in the electrodialysis process.


Author(s):  
N. A. Pervushina ◽  
D. E. Donovskiy

The study focuses on the technique that allows smoothing the results of telemetric measurements by sliding piecewise-linear approximation. We calculated the model coefficients at smoothing, as well as coefficient dispersion, using the least square method (LSM). Moreover, we developed the algorithm for adapting the sliding window width depending on nature of the initial data location. We implemented the adaptation mechanism by means of a fuzzy logic inference system, which is of particular interest from the point of view of novelty of the approach and practical application in processing the results of telemetric measurements.


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