Identification and Validation of Autophaggen-based Nomograms to Predict the Prognostic Value of Patients with Cervical Cancer

Author(s):  
JinQun Jiang ◽  
HongYan Xu ◽  
PingShen Zhao ◽  
Hai Lu

Cervical cancer is a common malignancy in women and has a poor prognosis.More and more studies have shown that autophagy disorder is closely related to the occurrence of tumors. However, the prognostic role of autophagy gene in cervical cancer is still unclear. In this study, we constructed the risk signatures of autophagy related genes to predict the prognosis of cervical cancer. The expression profiles and clinical information of autophagy gene sets were downloaded from the TCGA and GES52903 queues as training sets and validation sets. The cervical normal tissue expression profile data from UCSC XENA website is GTEx data as a supplement to TCGA normal cervical tissue. Univariate COX regression analysis of 17 different autophagy genes with the Consensus approach tumor samples from the TCGA is divided into six subtypes, and the clinical traits in the six subtypes have different distribution, with further then absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multiariable COX regression method finally got seven autophagy genetic risk model is constructed, in the training set, the survival rate of high risk group is lower than the low risk group (p < 0.0001), the validation set,The AUC area of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the training set is 0.894, and the verification set is 0.736. We find that the high and low risk score is closely related to the TMN stage (All P is less than 0.05).The nomogram shows that the risk score combined with other indicators such as age, G,T,M, and N better predicts 1-year, 2-year, 3-year survival, and the DCA curve shows that the risk model combined with other indicators produces better clinical efficacy.Then immune cells in 28 in the enrichment score, there were statistically significant differences, high and low risk most GSEA enrichment analysis, the main enrichment in G2 / M checkpoint high-risk score, Genes defining epithelial and mesenchymal transition, raised in response to the low oxygen levels (hypoxia) gene, gene is important to the mitotic spindle assembly, these are closely related with the occurrence of tumor . In conclusion, our constructed autophagy risk signature may be a prognostic tool for cervical cancer.

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Jinqun Jiang ◽  
HongYan Xu ◽  
YiHao Wang ◽  
Hai Lu

Autophagy is a process of engulfing one’s own cytoplasmic proteins or organelles and coating them into vesicles, fusing with lysosomes to form autophagic lysosomes, and degrading the contents it encapsulates. Increasing studies have shown that autophagy disorders are closely related to the occurrence of tumors. However, the prognostic role of autophagy genes in cervical cancer is still unclear. In this study, we constructed risk signatures of autophagy-related genes (ARGs) to predict the prognosis of cervical cancer. The expression profiles and clinical information of autophagy gene sets were downloaded from TCGA and GSE52903 queues as training and validation sets. The normal cervical tissue expression profile data from the UCSC XENA website (obtained from GTEx) were used as a supplement to the TCGA normal cervical tissue. Univariate COX regression analysis of 17 different autophagy genes was performed with the consensus approach. Tumor samples from TCGA were divided into six subtypes, and the clinical traits of the six subtypes had different distributions. Further absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariable COX regression yielded an autophagy genetic risk model consisting of eight genes. In the training set, the survival rate of the high-risk group was lower than that of the low-risk group ( p  < 0.0001). In the validation set, the AUC area of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.772 for the training set and 0.889 for the verification set. We found that high and low risk scores were closely related to TNM stage ( p  < 0.05). The nomogram shows that the risk score combined with other indicators, such as G, T, M, and N, better predicts 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates. Decline curve analysis (DCA) shows that the risk model combined with other indicators produces better clinical efficacy. Immune cells with an enrichment score of 28 showed statistically significant differences related to high and low risk. GSEA enrichment analysis showed the main enrichment being in KRAS activation, genes defining epithelial and mesenchymal transition (EMT), raised in response to the low oxygen level (hypoxia) gene and NF-kB in response to TNF. These pathways are closely related to the occurrence of tumors. Our constructed autophagy risk signature may be a prognostic tool for cervical cancer.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianfeng Zheng ◽  
Jinyi Tong ◽  
Benben Cao ◽  
Xia Zhang ◽  
Zheng Niu

Abstract Background: Cervical cancer (CC) is a common gynecological malignancy for which prognostic and therapeutic biomarkers are urgently needed. The signature based on immune‐related lncRNAs(IRLs) of CC has never been reported. This study aimed to establish an IRL signature for patients with CC.Methods: The RNA-seq dataset was obtained from the TCGA, GEO, and GTEx database. The immune scores(IS)based on single-sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA) were calculated to identify the IRLs, which were then analyzed using univariate Cox regression analysis to identify significant prognostic IRLs. A risk score model was established to divide patients into low-risk and high-risk groups based on the median risk score of these IRLs. This was then validated by splitting TCGA dataset(n=304) into a training-set(n=152) and a valid-set(n=152). The fraction of 22 immune cell subpopulations was evaluated in each sample to identify the differences between low-risk and high-risk groups. Additionally, a ceRNA network associated with the IRLs was constructed.Results: A cohort of 326 CC and 21 normal tissue samples with corresponding clinical information was included in this study. Twenty-eight IRLs were collected according to the Pearson’s correlation analysis between immune score and lncRNA expression (P < 0.01). Four IRLs (BZRAP1-AS1, EMX2OS, ZNF667-AS1, and CTC-429P9.1) with the most significant prognostic values (P < 0.05) were identified which demonstrated an ability to stratify patients into low-risk and high-risk groups by developing a risk score model. It was observed that patients in the low‐risk group showed longer overall survival (OS) than those in the high‐risk group in the training-set, valid-set, and total-set. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) for the four IRLs signature in predicting the one-, two-, and three-year survival rates were larger than 0.65. In addition, the low-risk and high-risk groups displayed different immune statuses in GSEA. These IRLs were also significantly correlated with immune cell infiltration. Conclusions: Our results showed that the IRL signature had a prognostic value for CC. Meanwhile, the specific mechanisms of the four-IRLs in the development of CC were ascertained preliminarily.


2021 ◽  
Vol 104 (1) ◽  
pp. 003685042110065
Author(s):  
Jing Wan ◽  
Peigen Chen ◽  
Yu Zhang ◽  
Jie Ding ◽  
Yuebo Yang ◽  
...  

Endometrial carcinoma (EC) is the fourth most common cancer in women. Some long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) are regarded as potential prognostic biomarkers or targets for treatment of many types of cancers. We aim to screen prognostic-related lncRNAs and build a possible lncRNA signature which can effectively predict the survival of patients with EC. We obtained lncRNA expression profiling from the TCGA database. The patients were classified into training set and verification set. By performing Univariate Cox regression model, Robust likelihood-based survival analysis, and Cox proportional hazards model, we developed a risk score with the Cox co-efficient of individual lncRNAs in the training set. The optimum cut-off point was selected by ROC analysis. Patients were effectively divided into high-risk group and low-risk group according to the risk score. The OS of the low-risk patients was significantly prolonged compared with that of the high-risk group. At last, we validated this 11-lncRNA signature in the verification set and the complete set. We identified an 11-lncRNA expression signature with high stability and feasibility, which can predict the survival of patients with EC. These findings provide new potential biomarkers to improve the accuracy of prognosis prediction of EC.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoxia Tong ◽  
Xiaofei Qu ◽  
Mengyun Wang

BackgroundCutaneous melanoma (CM) is one of the most aggressive cancers with highly metastatic ability. To make things worse, there are limited effective therapies to treat advanced CM. Our study aimed to investigate new biomarkers for CM prognosis and establish a novel risk score system in CM.MethodsGene expression data of CM from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) datasets were downloaded and analyzed to identify differentially expressed genes (DEGs). The overlapped DEGs were then verified for prognosis analysis by univariate and multivariate COX regression in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) datasets. Based on the gene signature of multiple survival associated DEGs, a risk score model was established, and its prognostic and predictive role was estimated through Kaplan-Meier (K-M) analysis and log-rank test. Furthermore, the correlations between prognosis related genes expression and immune infiltrates were analyzed via Tumor Immune Estimation Resource (TIMER) site.ResultsA total of 103 DEGs were obtained based on GEO cohorts, and four genes were verified in TCGA datasets. Subsequently, four genes (ADAMDEC1, GNLY, HSPA13, and TRIM29) model was developed by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. The K-M plots showed that the high-risk group was associated with shortened survival than that in the low-risk group (P &lt; 0.0001). Multivariate analysis suggested that the model was an independent prognostic factor (high-risk vs. low-risk, HR= 2.06, P &lt; 0.001). Meanwhile, the high-risk group was prone to have larger breslow depth (P&lt; 0.001) and ulceration (P&lt; 0.001).ConclusionsThe four-gene risk score model functions well in predicting the prognosis and treatment response in CM and will be useful for guiding therapeutic strategies for CM patients. Additional clinical trials are needed to verify our findings.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fei Li ◽  
Dongcen Ge ◽  
Shu-lan Sun

Abstract Background. Ferroptosis is a newly discovered form of cell death characterized by iron-dependent lipid peroxidation. The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between ferroptosis and the prognosis of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD).Methods. RNA-seq data was collected from the LUAD dataset of The Cancer Genome Altas (TCGA) database. We used ferroptosis-related genes as the basis, and identify the differential expression genes (DEGs) between cancer and paracancer. The univariate Cox regression analysis were used to screen the prognostic-related genes. We divided the patients into training and validation sets. Then, we screened out key genes and built a 5 genes prognostic prediction model by the applications of the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) 10-fold cross-validation and the multi-variate Cox regression analysis. We divided the cases by the median value of risk score and validated this model in the validation set. Meanwhile, we analyzed the somatic mutations, and estimated the score of immune infiltration in the high- and low-risk groups, as well as performed functional enrichment analysis of DEGs.Results. The result revealed that the high-risk score triggered the worse prognosis. The maximum area under curve (AUC) of the training set and the validation set of in this study was 0.7 and 0.69. Moreover, we integrated the age, gender, and tumor stage to construct the composite nomogram. The charts indicated that the AUC of cases with survival time of 1, 3 and 5 years are 0.698, 0.71 and 0.73. In addition, the mutation frequency of patients in the high-risk group was higher than that in the low-risk group. Simultaneously, DEGs were mainly enriched in ferroptosis-related pathways by analyzing the functional results.Conclusion. This study constructed a novel LUAD prognosis prediction model base on 5 ferroptosis-related genes, which can provide a prognostic evaluation tool for the clinical therapeutic decision.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 7016-7016
Author(s):  
Piyanuch Kongtim ◽  
Omar Hasan ◽  
Jorge Miguel Ramos Perez ◽  
Ankur Varma ◽  
Julianne Chen ◽  
...  

7016 Background: Molecular data and minimal residual disease (MRD) have been shown to influence outcomes in AML patients undergoing allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (AHCT). Here we developed and validated a novel AML-specific Disease Risk Group (AML-DRG) and revise our previously developed Hematopoietic Cell Transplant - Composite Risk (HCT-CR) model by incorporating molecular data and MRD status before transplant to predict post-transplant outcomes of patients with AML. Methods: The study included 1414 consecutively treated adult AML patients, who received first AHCT between 1/2005-8/2018 at our institution. Patients were randomly assigned into a training (N = 944) and validation set (N = 470). To develop the AML-DRG model, the coefficient of all significant AML-related variables in multivariable Cox’s regression analysis (MVA) in a training dataset was converted into scores.The AML-DRG was the sum of scores from all significant covariates, while the AML-HCT-CR was the sum of disease-related factors assessed by the AML-DRG model with the addition of weighted scores from patient-related factors. Results: Based on results of MVA, the following scores were assigned to each AML-related variable; 1 point to secondary AML; 1 point to the 2017 ELN adverse risk; 2 points to CR with MRD positive/unknown; and 4 points to active disease at transplant. These were used to generate the AML-DRG (low-risk score 0-2; intermediate-risk score 3-4; and high-risk score > 4) with significantly different OS with HR of 2.02 (P < 0.001), and 3.85 (P < 0.001) for intermediate and high risk group compared with low risk group. By adding 1 point for patients > / = 60 years or HCT-CI > 3 to the AML-DRG, we created 4 risk groups of AML-HCT-CR (low-risk: score 0-2; intermediate-risk: score 3; high-risk: score 4 and very high-risk: score ≥5) with distinct survival outcomes. The AML-DRG and AML-HCT-CR model had C-index of 0.672 and 0.715, respectively which were better compared with DRI, ELN2017 and cytogenetic risk model. Conclusions: Prognostic models incorporating molecular data and MRD status before transplant allow better stratification and improved survival estimates of AML patients post-transplant.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lihong Huang ◽  
Xinghao Yu ◽  
Zhou Jiang ◽  
Ping Zeng

The correlation between autophagy defects and oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) has been previously studied, but only based on a limited number of autophagy-related genes in cell lines or animal models. The aim of the present study was to analyze differentially expressed autophagy-related genes through The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database to explore enriched pathways and potential biological function. Based on TCGA database, a signature composed of four autophagy-related genes (CDKN2A, NKX2-3, NRG3, and FADD) was established by using multivariate Cox regression models and two Gene Expression Omnibus datasets were applied for external validation. Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway enrichment analyses were performed to study the function of autophagy-related genes and their pathways. The most significant GO and KEGG pathways were enriched in several key pathways that were related to the progression of autophagy and OSCC. Furthermore, a prognostic risk score was constructed based on the four genes; patients were then divided into two groups (i.e., high risk and low risk) in terms of the median of risk score. Prognosis of the two groups and results showed that patients at the low-risk group had a much better prognosis than those at the high-risk group, regardless of whether they were in the training datasets or validation datasets. Multivariate Cox regression results indicated that the risk score of the autophagy-related gene signatures could greatly predict the prognosis of patients after controlling for several clinical covariates. The findings of the present study revealed that autophagy-related gene signatures play an important role in OSCC and are potential prognostic biomarkers and therapeutic targets.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shenglan Huang ◽  
Jian Zhang ◽  
Xiaolan Lai ◽  
Lingling Zhuang ◽  
Jianbing Wu

Introduction: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignant tumors with poor prognosis. The tumor microenvironment (TME) plays a vital role in HCC progression. Thus, this research was designed to analyze the correlation between the TME and the prognosis of HCC patients and to construct a TME-related long noncoding RNA (lncRNA) signature to determine HCC patients’ prognosis and response to immunotherapy.Methods: We assessed the stromal–immune–estimate scores within the HCC microenvironment using the ESTIMATE (Estimation of Stromal and Immune Cells in Malignant Tumor Tissues Using Expression Data) algorithm based on The Cancer Genome Atlas database, and their associations with survival and clinicopathological parameters were also analyzed. Thereafter, differentially expressed lncRNAs were filtered out according to the immune and stromal scores. Cox regression analysis was performed to build a TME-related lncRNA risk signature. Kaplan–Meier analysis was used to explore the prognostic value of the risk signature. Furthermore, we explored the biological functions and immune microenvironment features in the high- and low-risk groups. Lastly, we probed the association of the risk model with treatment responses to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in HCC.Results: The stromal, immune, and estimate scores were obtained utilizing the ESTIMATE algorithm for patients with HCC. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that high scores were significantly correlated with better prognosis in HCC patients. Six TME-related lncRNAs were screened to construct the prognostic model. The Kaplan–Meier curves suggested that HCC patients with low risk had better prognosis than those with high risk. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and Cox regression analyses indicated that the risk model could predict HCC survival exactly and independently. Functional enrichment analysis revealed that some tumor- and immune-related pathways were activated in the high-risk group. We also revealed that some immune cells, which were important in enhancing immune responses toward cancer, were significantly increased in the low-risk group. In addition, there was a close correlation between ICIs and the risk signature, which can be used to predict the treatment responses of HCC patients.Conclusion: We analyzed the influence of the stromal, immune, and estimate scores on the prognosis of HCC patients. A novel TME-related lncRNA risk model was established, which could be effectively applied as an independent prognostic biomarker and predictor of ICIs for HCC patients.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Lv ◽  
ShuGuang Jin ◽  
Bo Xiang

Abstract BackgroundTreatment of neuroblastoma is evolving toward precision medicine. LncRNAs can be used as prognostic biomarkers in many types of cancer.MethodsBased on the RNA-seq data from GSE49710, we built a lncRNAs-based risk score using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operation (LASSO) regression. Cox regression, receiver operating characteristic curves were used to evaluate the association of the LASSO risk score with overall survival. Nomograms were created and then validated in an external cohort from TARGET database. Gene set enrichment analysis was performed to identify the significantly changed biological pathways. ResultsThe 16-lncRNAs-based LASSO risk score was used to separate patients into high-risk and low-risk groups. In GSE49710 cohort, the high-risk group exhibited a poorer OS than those in the low-risk group (P<0.001). Moreover, multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that LASSO risk score was an independent risk factor (HR=6.201;95%CI:2.536-15.16). The similar prognostic powers of the 16-lncRNAs were also achieved in the external cohort and in stratified analysis. In addition, a nomogram was established and worked well both in the internal validation cohort (C-index=0.831) and external validation cohort (C-index=0.773). The calibration plot indicated the good clinical utility of the nomogram. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) indicated that high-risk group was related with cancer recurrence, metastasis and inflammatory associated pathways.ConclusionThe lncRNA-based LASSO risk score is a promising and potential prognostic tool in predicting the survival of patients with neuroblastoma. The nomogram combined the lncRNAs and clinical parameters allows for accurate risk assessment in guiding clinical management.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-24
Author(s):  
Junyu Huo ◽  
Liqun Wu ◽  
Yunjin Zang

Background. An increasing number of reports have found that immune-related genes (IRGs) have a significant impact on the prognosis of a variety of cancers, but the prognostic value of IRGs in gastric cancer (GC) has not been fully elucidated. Methods. Univariate Cox regression analysis was adopted for the identification of prognostic IRGs in three independent cohorts (GSE62254, n = 300 ; GSE15459, n = 191 ; and GSE26901, n = 109 ). After obtaining the intersecting prognostic genes, the three independent cohorts were merged into a training cohort ( n = 600 ) to establish a prognostic model. The risk score was determined using multivariate Cox and LASSO regression analyses. Patients were classified into low-risk and high-risk groups according to the median risk score. The risk score performance was validated externally in the three independent cohorts (GSE26253, n = 432 ; GSE84437, n = 431 ; and TCGA, n = 336 ). Immune cell infiltration (ICI) was quantified by the CIBERSORT method. Results. A risk score comprising nine genes showed high accuracy for the prediction of the overall survival (OS) of patients with GC in the training cohort ( AUC > 0.7 ). The risk of death was found to have a positive correlation with the risk score. The univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses revealed that the risk score was an independent indicator of the prognosis of patients with GC ( p < 0.001 ). External validation confirmed the universal applicability of the risk score. The low-risk group presented a lower infiltration level of M2 macrophages than the high-risk group ( p < 0.001 ), and the prognosis of patients with GC with a higher infiltration level of M2 macrophages was poor ( p = 0.011 ). According to clinical correlation analysis, compared with patients with the diffuse and mixed type of GC, those with the Lauren classification intestinal GC type had a significantly lower risk score ( p = 0.00085 ). The patients’ risk score increased with the progression of the clinicopathological stage. Conclusion. In this study, we constructed and validated a robust prognostic signature for GC, which may help improve the prognostic assessment system and treatment strategy for GC.


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