scholarly journals Comparative performance of multiple linear regression and artificial neural network models in estimating solute-transport parameters

Author(s):  
Mohammad Abdul Mojid ◽  
A.B.M. Zahid Hossain

Indirect estimate of solute-transport parameters through pedo-transfer functions (PTFs) is becoming important due to expensive and time-consuming direct measurement of the parameters for a large number of soils and solutes. This study evaluated the relative performance of PTFs of multiple linear regression (MLR) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models in predicting velocity (<em>V</em>), dispersion coefficient (<em>D</em>) and retardation factor (<em>R</em>) of CaCl<sub>2</sub>, NaAsO<sub>2</sub>, Cd(NO<sub>3</sub>)<sub>2</sub>, Pb(NO<sub>3</sub>)<sub>2</sub> and C<sub>9</sub>H<sub>9</sub>N<sub>3</sub>O<sub>2</sub> (carbendazim) in five agricultural soils. <em>V</em>, <em>D</em> and <em>R</em> of the solutes were determined in repacked soil columns under steady-state unsaturated water flow conditions. Textural class, particle size distribution, bulk density, organic carbon, relative pH, clay%, grain size, and uniformity coefficient of the soils were determined. MLR and ANN models were calibrated with the measured data of four soils and verified for another soil. Root-Mean Square Error (RMSE) is significantly smaller (0.015) and modelling efficiency (EF) is significantly larger (0.999) for ANN model than those (0.096 and 0.954, respectively) for MLR model. Negative Mean Absolute Error (MAE) (-0.0002) of MLR model indicates overestimation, while positive MAE (0.00003) of ANN model indicates minimal underestimation. The ANN model is less biased than the MLR model during prediction. Thus, the ANN model can significantly enhance pollution transport prediction through soils with good accuracy.

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 800-808
Author(s):  
G. T. Patle ◽  
M. Chettri ◽  
D. Jhajharia

Abstract Accurate estimation of evaporation from agricultural fields and water bodies is needed for the efficient utilisation and management of water resources at the watershed and regional scale. In this study, multiple linear regression (MLR) and artificial neural network (ANN) techniques are used for the estimation of monthly pan evaporation. The modelling approach includes the various combination of six measured climate parameters consisting of maximum and minimum air temperature, maximum and minimum relative humidity, sunshine hours and wind speed of two stations, namely Gangtok in Sikkim and Imphal in the Manipur states of the northeast hill region of India. Average monthly evaporation varies from 0.62 to 2.68 mm/day for Gangtok, whereas it varies from 1.4 to 4.3 mm/day for Imphal during January and June, respectively. Performance of the developed MLR and ANN models was compared using statistical indices such as coefficient of determination (R2), root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) with measured pan evaporation values. Correlation analysis revealed that temperature, wind speed and sunshine hour had positive correlation, whereas relative humidity had a negative correlation with pan evaporation. Results showed a slightly better performance of the ANN models over the MLR models for the prediction of monthly pan evaporation in the study area.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mingjun Li ◽  
Junxing Wang

Deformation predicting models are essential for evaluating the health status of concrete dams. Nevertheless, the application of the conventional multiple linear regression model has been limited due to the particular structure, random loading, and strong nonlinear deformation of concrete dams. Conversely, the artificial neural network (ANN) model shows good adaptability to complex and highly nonlinear behaviors. This paper aims to evaluate the specific performance of the multiple linear regression (MLR) and artificial neural network (ANN) model in characterizing concrete dam deformation under environmental loads. In this study, four models, namely, the multiple linear regression (MLR), stepwise regression (SR), backpropagation (BP) neural network, and extreme learning machine (ELM) model, are employed to simulate dam deformation from two aspects: single measurement point and multiple measurement points, approximately 11 years of historical dam operation records. Results showed that the prediction accuracy of the multipoint model was higher than that of the single point model except the MLR model. Moreover, the prediction accuracy of the ELM model was always higher than the other three models. All discussions would be conducted in conjunction with a gravity dam study.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles Gbenga Williams ◽  
Oluwapelumi O. Ojuri

AbstractAs a result of heterogeneity nature of soils and variation in its hydraulic conductivity over several orders of magnitude for various soil types from fine-grained to coarse-grained soils, predictive methods to estimate hydraulic conductivity of soils from properties considered more easily obtainable have now been given an appropriate consideration. This study evaluates the performance of artificial neural network (ANN) being one of the popular computational intelligence techniques in predicting hydraulic conductivity of wide range of soil types and compared with the traditional multiple linear regression (MLR). ANN and MLR models were developed using six input variables. Results revealed that only three input variables were statistically significant in MLR model development. Performance evaluations of the developed models using determination coefficient and mean square error show that the prediction capability of ANN is far better than MLR. In addition, comparative study with available existing models shows that the developed ANN and MLR in this study performed relatively better.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhonghui Thong ◽  
Jolena Ying Ying Tan ◽  
Eileen Shuzhen Loo ◽  
Yu Wei Phua ◽  
Xavier Liang Shun Chan ◽  
...  

AbstractRegression models are often used to predict age of an individual based on methylation patterns. Artificial neural network (ANN) however was recently shown to be more accurate for age prediction. Additionally, the impact of ethnicity and sex on our previous regression model have not been studied. Furthermore, there is currently no age prediction study investigating the lower limit of input DNA at the bisulfite treatment stage prior to pyrosequencing. Herein, we evaluated both regression and ANN models, and the impact of ethnicity and sex on age prediction for 333 local blood samples using three loci on the pyrosequencing platform. Subsequently, we trained a one locus-based ANN model to reduce the amount of DNA used. We demonstrated that the ANN model has a higher accuracy of age prediction than the regression model. Additionally, we showed that ethnicity did not affect age prediction among local Chinese, Malays and Indians. Although the predicted age of males were marginally overestimated, sex did not impact the accuracy of age prediction. Lastly, we present a one locus, dual CpG model using 25 ng of input DNA that is sufficient for forensic age prediction. In conclusion, the two ANN models validated would be useful for age prediction to provide forensic intelligence leads.


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