A Predictive Model for Fertility Behavior of Women of Childbearing Age: Based on the Apriori Algorithm and Smooth Cut-Point Calculation

Author(s):  
Feng Chen ◽  
◽  
Xiuwu Zhang

We combine the Apriori data mining algorithm and smooth cut-point calculation to build a model that uses microscopic individual data to predict fertility behavior. The data of China’s migrant population from 2013 to 2015 are used to predict the reproductive behavior of migrant women. The accuracy of the prediction results is over 84%. The model also quantifies the extent to which the existing characteristics of individuals influence their reproductive behavior. The government can regulate individual fertility behavior based on the quantified scores.

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 246
Author(s):  
Luki Triyanto

Long-Acting and Permanent Method (LAPM) is a very effective method of contraception, but women of childbearing age majority use short-term contraceptive methods. The purpose of this study was to apply multinomial logistic regression analysis in predicting factors affecting Fertile Women in the use of LAPM in East Java Province in 2012. This research use secondary data that was result of Indonesia Demographic Health Surveys (IDHS) year 2012 using the number of 171 respondents. The results of this study indicated the variables that affected the use of LAPM of WUS age (p = 0.008), education level (p = 0,004), occupation (p = 0,029), source of family planning services (p = 0,000), residence area (p = 0.016). The conclusion of this study was age, educational level, occupation, source of FP services, and residential areas affecting the use of long-term contraceptive methods in women of childbearing age. Therefore the government  through the National Family Planning Coordinating Board (BKKBN),­ still pay attention to the family planning program and ensure every community to implement family planning programs and educate and promote family planning programs to resolve the problems of the population.


Author(s):  
Samsul Askhori

<p><strong><em>Introduction:</em></strong> <em>Until now, Sexually Transmitted Infections (STIs) are still a health problem in the world, both developed and developing countries continue to strive to face and find solutions to overcome this disease, although prevention efforts carried out in various countries do not seem to have yielded satisfactory results. The purpose of this study was to analyze the determinants of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) based on data from the 2017 North Sumatra IDHS. <strong>Method: </strong>This type of research is an observational analytic study using a cross-sectional study design based on data from the 2017 North Sumatra Province IDHS. The population of this study was women aged 15-49 years who have had sexual relations. After cleaning the data, 1728 samples were included in the study. The data analysis technique used the frequency distribution of categorical variables, the analysis of the relationship between the independent variable and the dependent variable used the chi-square test, then the multivariate analysis used logistic regression test. <strong>Result :</strong> The results showed that the prevalence of sexually transmitted infections among women of childbearing age in North Sumatra was 25% (95% CI = 23.7% - 27.7%). The results showed that there was a significant relationship between age, education level and area of residence with the incidence of sexually transmitted infections (STIs). Then the multivariate analysis showed that the area of residence variable was the most dominant risk factor in causing the incidence of sexually transmitted infections (STIs). It is hoped that the government can overcome the problem of STIs through interventions on risk factors by providing education related to STIs in the community, especially women of childbearing age.</em></p>


Author(s):  
Xiaojie Wang ◽  
Wenjie Nie ◽  
Pengcheng Liu

Son preference has been shown to influence the childbearing behavior of women, especially in China. Existing research has largely focused on this issue using cross-sectional data of urban or rural populations in China, while evidence from the rural-urban migrant women is relatively limited. Based on the data of China Migrants Dynamic Survey in 2015, we used logistic regression models to explore the relationship of son preference and reproductive behavior of rural-urban migrant women in China. The results show that the son preference of migrant women is still strong, which leads women with only daughters to have significantly higher possibility of having another child and results in a higher imbalance in the sex ratio with higher parity. Migrant women giving birth to a son is a protective factor against having a second child compared to women whose first child was a girl. Similarly, the effects of the gender of the previous child on women’s progression from having two to three children showed the same result that is consistent with a preference for sons. These findings have implications for future public strategies to mitigate the son preference among migrant women and the imbalance in the sex ratio at birth.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aissata Dieng ◽  
Jie He ◽  
Thomas G Poder

BACKGROUND In Canada, 11.5% to 15.7% of couples suffer from infertility. Anovulation, or failed ovulation, is one of the main causes of infertility in women. In Quebec, the treatment for ovulation induction and other services related to assisted reproductive technology (ART) have been partially reimbursed by the government since 2010. OBJECTIVE This study aimed to compare the willingness to pay (WTP) of women of childbearing age to receive drug treatment in the event of failed ovulation according to 3 different contingent valuation methods. METHODS The following elicitation techniques were used: simple bid price dichotomous choice (DC), followed by an open-ended question (DC-OE), and a simplified multiple-bounded discrete choice (MBDC). Each participant was randomly assigned to 1 of 3 elicitation techniques. Bid prices ranged from Can $200 to Can $5000. Of the 7 bid prices, 1 was randomly proposed to each participant in the DC and DC-OE groups. For the DC-OE group, if the answer to the DC bid price was <i>no</i>, respondents were asked what was the maximum amount they were willing to pay. For the MBDC group, each respondent was offered an initial bid price of Can $1500, and the subsequent bid price offer increased or decreased according to the answer provided. “<i>Do not know</i>” responses were considered as a “<i>no</i>”, and each individual was questioned as to their certainty after each choice. WTP values were estimated using probit and bivariate models; the Welsh and Poe model was also performed for the MBDC group. RESULTS The survey was conducted from 2009 to 2010 with a total sample of 680 women. Analyses were performed on 610 respondents (199 DC, 230 DC-OE, and 181 MBDC). Of the 70 respondents who were excluded, 6 did not meet the age criterion, 45 had an annual income less than Can $2500, and 19 did not respond to the WTP question. Mean WTP values were Can $4033.26, Can $1857.90, and Can $1630.63 for DC, DC-OE, and MBDC, respectively. The WTP for MBDC “<i>definitely yes</i>” and “<i>probably yes</i>” values were Can $1516.73 and Can $1871.22, respectively. The 3 elicitation techniques provided WTP value differences that were statistically significant (<i>P</i>&lt;.01). The MBDC was the most accurate method, with a lower confidence interval (Can $557) and a lower (CI/mean) ratio (0.34). CONCLUSIONS A positive WTP for ovulation induction was found in Quebec. Adding a follow-up question resulted in more accurate WTP values. The MBDC technique provided a more accurate estimate of the WTP with a smaller and, therefore, more efficient confidence interval. To help decision making and improve the effectiveness of the fiscal policy related to the ART program, the WTP value elicited with the MBDC technique should be used.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 112
Author(s):  
Natya Ayu Candrika Ramania

Family Planning Program is a government program designed as an effort to control population. The government initially recommends non-hormonal contraception, however in Indonesia, the use of non-hormonal contraception is less desirable by women of childbearing age. Most women of childbearing age in Indonesia prefer to use hormonal contraception. The study was conducted to determine the relationship between age, education, occupation, residential area, number of children alive, health insurance, husband’s support by determining the type of contraception in women of childbearing age in Indonesia. The study utilized secondary data obtained from the 2017 IDHS by using a cross-sectional design. The research sample is subjects who put the last type of contraception in a private midwivery and subjects who use implanted contraception, injections, pills, condoms, and IUD. The sample size in this study was 6,030 subjects. According to the study, several factors were found that showed a relationship with the determination of the type of contraceptives in Indonesia. These factors include age, level of education, employment status, residential area, number of children alive, and health insurance. However, the husband's support factor shows that it has no relationship with determining the type of contraceptives for women of childbearing age in Indonesia.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 68
Author(s):  
Dewi Aulia Nuraini ◽  
Abdu Nafan Aisul Muhlis

The rapid increase of population growth yearly is a problem that Indonesia generally faces. Various efforts to resolve this problem have been done by the government, one of which is the Family Planning Program and strategies for the use of contraception. Intra-Uterine Device (IUD) is one contraception type that remains unpopular, with only 6.6% of users in 2018. One of the factors assumed to affect the contraceptive use is spouse support. The aim of this study was to analyze and then summarize the findings on the correlation between husband support and the use of IUD in women of childbearing age. Ten studies with certain criterias that had been selected from various databases were used in the meta-analysis. The data were analyzed with the Comprehensive Meta-Analysis 2 trial version. Based on the analysis, husband support was a factor correlated with the use of IUDs in women of childbearing age (p = 0.000).


10.2196/13355 ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. e13355
Author(s):  
Aissata Dieng ◽  
Jie He ◽  
Thomas G Poder

Background In Canada, 11.5% to 15.7% of couples suffer from infertility. Anovulation, or failed ovulation, is one of the main causes of infertility in women. In Quebec, the treatment for ovulation induction and other services related to assisted reproductive technology (ART) have been partially reimbursed by the government since 2010. Objective This study aimed to compare the willingness to pay (WTP) of women of childbearing age to receive drug treatment in the event of failed ovulation according to 3 different contingent valuation methods. Methods The following elicitation techniques were used: simple bid price dichotomous choice (DC), followed by an open-ended question (DC-OE), and a simplified multiple-bounded discrete choice (MBDC). Each participant was randomly assigned to 1 of 3 elicitation techniques. Bid prices ranged from Can $200 to Can $5000. Of the 7 bid prices, 1 was randomly proposed to each participant in the DC and DC-OE groups. For the DC-OE group, if the answer to the DC bid price was no, respondents were asked what was the maximum amount they were willing to pay. For the MBDC group, each respondent was offered an initial bid price of Can $1500, and the subsequent bid price offer increased or decreased according to the answer provided. “Do not know” responses were considered as a “no”, and each individual was questioned as to their certainty after each choice. WTP values were estimated using probit and bivariate models; the Welsh and Poe model was also performed for the MBDC group. Results The survey was conducted from 2009 to 2010 with a total sample of 680 women. Analyses were performed on 610 respondents (199 DC, 230 DC-OE, and 181 MBDC). Of the 70 respondents who were excluded, 6 did not meet the age criterion, 45 had an annual income less than Can $2500, and 19 did not respond to the WTP question. Mean WTP values were Can $4033.26, Can $1857.90, and Can $1630.63 for DC, DC-OE, and MBDC, respectively. The WTP for MBDC “definitely yes” and “probably yes” values were Can $1516.73 and Can $1871.22, respectively. The 3 elicitation techniques provided WTP value differences that were statistically significant (P<.01). The MBDC was the most accurate method, with a lower confidence interval (Can $557) and a lower (CI/mean) ratio (0.34). Conclusions A positive WTP for ovulation induction was found in Quebec. Adding a follow-up question resulted in more accurate WTP values. The MBDC technique provided a more accurate estimate of the WTP with a smaller and, therefore, more efficient confidence interval. To help decision making and improve the effectiveness of the fiscal policy related to the ART program, the WTP value elicited with the MBDC technique should be used.


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