scholarly journals CREDIT RISK MODELLING FOR INDIAN DEBT SECURITIES USING MACHINE LEARNING

2021 ◽  
Vol 24 ◽  
pp. 107-128
Author(s):  
Charumathi Balakrishnan ◽  
Mangaiyarkarasi Thiagarajan
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Classical Models ◽  
Credit Risk Model

We develop a new credit risk model for Indian debt securities rated by major credit rating agencies in India using the ordinal logistic regression (OLR). The robustness of the model is tested by comparing it with classical models available for ratings prediction. We improved the model’s accuracy by using machine learning techniques, such as the artificial neural networks (ANN), support vector machines (SVM) and random forest (RF). We found that the accuracy of our model has improved from 68% using OLR to 82% when using ANN and above 90% when using SVM and RF.

scholarly journals Credit Risk Assessment using Machine Learning Techniques

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 3482-3486
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Credit Risk Assessment ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Cart Algorithm

Analysis of credit scoring is an effective credit risk assessment technique, which is one of the major research fields in the banking sector. Machine learning has a variety of applications in the banking sector and it has been widely used for data analysis. Modern techniques such as machine learning have provided a self-regulating process to analyze the data using classification techniques. The classification method is a supervised learning process in which the computer learns from the input data provided and makes use of this information to classify the new dataset. This research paper presents a comparison of various machine learning techniques used to evaluate the credit risk. A credit transaction that needs to be accepted or rejected is trained and implemented on the dataset using different machine learning algorithms. The techniques are implemented on the German credit dataset taken from UCI repository which has 1000 instances and 21 attributes, depending on which the transactions are either accepted or rejected. This paper compares algorithms such as Support Vector Network, Neural Network, Logistic Regression, Naive Bayes, Random Forest, and Classification and Regression Trees (CART) algorithm and the results obtained show that Random Forest algorithm was able to predict credit risk with higher accuracy

scholarly journals Machine learning predictivity applied to consumer creditworthiness

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Maisa Cardoso Aniceto ◽  
Flavio Barboza ◽  
Herbert Kimura
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Default Prediction

AbstractCredit risk evaluation has a relevant role to financial institutions, since lending may result in real and immediate losses. In particular, default prediction is one of the most challenging activities for managing credit risk. This study analyzes the adequacy of borrower’s classification models using a Brazilian bank’s loan database, and exploring machine learning techniques. We develop Support Vector Machine, Decision Trees, Bagging, AdaBoost and Random Forest models, and compare their predictive accuracy with a benchmark based on a Logistic Regression model. Comparisons are analyzed based on usual classification performance metrics. Our results show that Random Forest and Adaboost perform better when compared to other models. Moreover, Support Vector Machine models show poor performance using both linear and nonlinear kernels. Our findings suggest that there are value creating opportunities for banks to improve default prediction models by exploring machine learning techniques.

Using Machine Learning Algorithms on Prediction of Stock Price

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 84-99
Author(s):  
Li-Pang Chen
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Historical Database ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

In this paper, we investigate analysis and prediction of the time-dependent data. We focus our attention on four different stocks are selected from Yahoo Finance historical database. To build up models and predict the future stock price, we consider three different machine learning techniques including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Support Vector Regression (SVR). By treating close price, open price, daily low, daily high, adjusted close price, and volume of trades as predictors in machine learning methods, it can be shown that the prediction accuracy is improved.

A Comparative Study of Different Machine Learning Algorithms for Disease Prediction

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (7) ◽  
pp. 172
Author(s):  
Anantvir Singh Romana
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Subsequent Treatment ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Disease Prediction ◽  
Classification Problems ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Neural Network Classifiers ◽  
Diagnostic Detection

Accurate diagnostic detection of the disease in a patient is critical and may alter the subsequent treatment and increase the chances of survival rate. Machine learning techniques have been instrumental in disease detection and are currently being used in various classification problems due to their accurate prediction performance. Various techniques may provide different desired accuracies and it is therefore imperative to use the most suitable method which provides the best desired results. This research seeks to provide comparative analysis of Support Vector Machine, Naïve bayes, J48 Decision Tree and neural network classifiers breast cancer and diabetes datsets.

scholarly journals Predictive modeling for peri-implantitis by using machine learning techniques

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomoaki Mameno ◽  
Masahiro Wada ◽  
Kazunori Nozaki ◽  
Toshihito Takahashi ◽  
Yoshitaka Tsujioka ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Demographic Data ◽  
Risk Indicators ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Complex Interactions ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Vector Machines

AbstractThe purpose of this retrospective cohort study was to create a model for predicting the onset of peri-implantitis by using machine learning methods and to clarify interactions between risk indicators. This study evaluated 254 implants, 127 with and 127 without peri-implantitis, from among 1408 implants with at least 4 years in function. Demographic data and parameters known to be risk factors for the development of peri-implantitis were analyzed with three models: logistic regression, support vector machines, and random forests (RF). As the results, RF had the highest performance in predicting the onset of peri-implantitis (AUC: 0.71, accuracy: 0.70, precision: 0.72, recall: 0.66, and f1-score: 0.69). The factor that had the most influence on prediction was implant functional time, followed by oral hygiene. In addition, PCR of more than 50% to 60%, smoking more than 3 cigarettes/day, KMW less than 2 mm, and the presence of less than two occlusal supports tended to be associated with an increased risk of peri-implantitis. Moreover, these risk indicators were not independent and had complex effects on each other. The results of this study suggest that peri-implantitis onset was predicted in 70% of cases, by RF which allows consideration of nonlinear relational data with complex interactions.

scholarly journals Heart disease prediction using machine learning techniques : a survey

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (2.8) ◽  
pp. 684 ◽  
Author(s):  
V V. Ramalingam ◽  
Ayantan Dandapath ◽  
M Karthik Raja
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Complex Data ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Vector Machines ◽  
Supervised Learning Algorithms ◽  
Life Threatening

Heart related diseases or Cardiovascular Diseases (CVDs) are the main reason for a huge number of death in the world over the last few decades and has emerged as the most life-threatening disease, not only in India but in the whole world. So, there is a need of reliable, accurate and feasible system to diagnose such diseases in time for proper treatment. Machine Learning algorithms and techniques have been applied to various medical datasets to automate the analysis of large and complex data. Many researchers, in recent times, have been using several machine learning techniques to help the health care industry and the professionals in the diagnosis of heart related diseases. This paper presents a survey of various models based on such algorithms and techniques andanalyze their performance. Models based on supervised learning algorithms such as Support Vector Machines (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbour (KNN), NaïveBayes, Decision Trees (DT), Random Forest (RF) and ensemble models are found very popular among the researchers.

A sentiment analysis system for social media using machine learning techniques: Social enablement

2018 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 569-581 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sujata Rani ◽  
Parteek Kumar
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Social Media ◽  
Sentiment Analysis ◽  
Media Analysis ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Learning Techniques

Abstract In this article, an innovative approach to perform the sentiment analysis (SA) has been presented. The proposed system handles the issues of Romanized or abbreviated text and spelling variations in the text to perform the sentiment analysis. The training data set of 3,000 movie reviews and tweets has been manually labeled by native speakers of Hindi in three classes, i.e. positive, negative, and neutral. The system uses WEKA (Waikato Environment for Knowledge Analysis) tool to convert these string data into numerical matrices and applies three machine learning techniques, i.e. Naive Bayes (NB), J48, and support vector machine (SVM). The proposed system has been tested on 100 movie reviews and tweets, and it has been observed that SVM has performed best in comparison to other classifiers, and it has an accuracy of 68% for movie reviews and 82% in case of tweets. The results of the proposed system are very promising and can be used in emerging applications like SA of product reviews and social media analysis. Additionally, the proposed system can be used in other cultural/social benefits like predicting/fighting human riots.

scholarly journals Sentiment Analysis using various Machine Learning and Deep Learning Techniques

2021 ◽  
pp. 385-394
Author(s):  
V Umarani ◽  
A Julian ◽  
J Deepa
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Sentiment Analysis ◽  
Naive Bayes ◽  
Naïve Bayes ◽  
Supervised Machine Learning ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Analysis Process ◽  
Learning Techniques

Sentiment analysis has gained a lot of attention from researchers in the last year because it has been widely applied to a variety of application domains such as business, government, education, sports, tourism, biomedicine, and telecommunication services. Sentiment analysis is an automated computational method for studying or evaluating sentiments, feelings, and emotions expressed as comments, feedbacks, or critiques. The sentiment analysis process can be automated using machine learning techniques, which analyses text patterns faster. The supervised machine learning technique is the most used mechanism for sentiment analysis. The proposed work discusses the flow of sentiment analysis process and investigates the common supervised machine learning techniques such as multinomial naive bayes, Bernoulli naive bayes, logistic regression, support vector machine, random forest, K-nearest neighbor, decision tree, and deep learning techniques such as Long Short-Term Memory and Convolution Neural Network. The work examines such learning methods using standard data set and the experimental results of sentiment analysis demonstrate the performance of various classifiers taken in terms of the precision, recall, F1-score, RoC-Curve, accuracy, running time and k fold cross validation and helps in appreciating the novelty of the several deep learning techniques and also giving the user an overview of choosing the right technique for their application.

scholarly journals Comparison of Machine Learning algorithm for COVID-19 Death Risk Prediction

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Praveeen Anandhanathan ◽  
Priyanka Gopalan
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Nearest Neighbour ◽  
Decision Tree Algorithm ◽  
The Past ◽  
Random Forest Method ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
The World

Abstract Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is spreading across the world. Since at first it has appeared in Wuhan, China in December 2019, it has become a serious issue across the globe. There are no accurate resources to predict and find the disease. So, by knowing the past patients’ records, it could guide the clinicians to fight against the pandemic. Therefore, for the prediction of healthiness from symptoms Machine learning techniques can be implemented. From this we are going to analyse only the symptoms which occurs in every patient. These predictions can help clinicians in the easier manner to cure the patients. Already for prediction of many of the diseases, techniques like SVM (Support vector Machine), Fuzzy k-Means Clustering, Decision Tree algorithm, Random Forest Method, ANN (Artificial Neural Network), KNN (k-Nearest Neighbour), Naïve Bayes, Linear Regression model are used. As we haven’t faced this disease before, we can’t say which technique will give the maximum accuracy. So, we are going to provide an efficient result by comparing all the such algorithms in RStudio.

scholarly journals Heart Disease Prediction using Machine Learning

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 700-704
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Heart Disease ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Disease Prediction ◽  
Nearest Neighbour ◽  
Decision Tree Classifier ◽  
Support Vector Classifier ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Tree Classifier

Deriving the methodologies to detect heart issues at an earlier stage and intimating the patient to improve their health. To resolve this problem, we will use Machine Learning techniques to predict the incidence at an earlier stage. We have a tendency to use sure parameters like age, sex, height, weight, case history, smoking and alcohol consumption and test like pressure ,cholesterol, diabetes, ECG, ECHO for prediction. In machine learning there are many algorithms which will be used to solve this issue. The algorithms include K-Nearest Neighbour, Support vector classifier, decision tree classifier, logistic regression and Random Forest classifier. Using these parameters and algorithms we need to predict whether or not the patient has heart disease or not and recommend the patient to improve his/her health.

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