scholarly journals Impact of quadrivalent influenza vaccines in Brazil: a cost-effectiveness analysis using an influenza transmission model

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pascal Crepey ◽  
Louis Boiron ◽  
Rafael Rodrigo Araujo ◽  
Juan Guillermo Lopez ◽  
Audrey Petitjean ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Influenza epidemics significantly weight on the Brazilian healthcare system and its society. Public health authorities have progressively expanded recommendations for vaccination against influenza, particularly to the pediatric population. However, the potential mismatch between the trivalent influenza vaccine (TIV) strains and those circulating during the season remains an issue. Quadrivalent vaccines improves vaccines effectiveness by preventing any potential mismatch on influenza B lineages. Methods We evaluate the public health and economic benefits of the switch from TIV to QIV for the pediatric influenza recommendation (6mo-5yo) by using a dynamic epidemiological model able to consider the indirect impact of vaccination. Results of the epidemiological model are then imputed in a health-economic model adapted to the Brazilian context. We perform deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis to account for both epidemiological and economical sources of uncertainty.Results Our results show that switching from TIV to QIV in the Brazilian pediatric population would prevent 406.600 symptomatic cases, 11.300 hospitalizations and almost 400 deaths by influenza season. This strategy would save 3400 life-years yearly. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for the switch would be R$49.700 per life-year saved and R$26.800 per quality-adjusted life-year gained from a public payer perspective, and even more cost-effective from a societal perspective. Our results are qualitatively similar in our sensitivity analysis.Conclusions Our analysis shows that switching from TIV to QIV to protect children aged 6mo to 5yo in the Brazilian influenza epidemiological context could have a strong public health impact and represent a cost-effective strategy from a public payer perspective, and a highly cost-effective one from a societal perspective.

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Pascal Crépey ◽  
Louis Boiron ◽  
Rafael Rodrigo Araujo ◽  
Juan Guillermo Lopez ◽  
Audrey Petitjean ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Influenza epidemics significantly weight on the Brazilian healthcare system and its society. Public health authorities have progressively expanded recommendations for vaccination against influenza, particularly to the pediatric population. However, the potential mismatch between the trivalent influenza vaccine (TIV) strains and those circulating during the season remains an issue. Quadrivalent vaccines improves vaccines effectiveness by preventing any potential mismatch on influenza B lineages. Methods We evaluate the public health and economic benefits of the switch from TIV to QIV for the pediatric influenza recommendation (6mo-5yo) by using a dynamic epidemiological model able to consider the indirect impact of vaccination. Results of the epidemiological model are then imputed in a health-economic model adapted to the Brazilian context. We perform deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis to account for both epidemiological and economical sources of uncertainty. Results Our results show that switching from TIV to QIV in the Brazilian pediatric population would prevent 406,600 symptomatic cases, 11,300 hospitalizations and almost 400 deaths by influenza season. This strategy would save 3400 life-years yearly for an incremental direct cost of R$169 million per year, down to R$86 million from a societal perspective. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for the switch would be R$49,700 per life-year saved and R$26,800 per quality-adjusted life-year gained from a public payer perspective, and even more cost-effective from a societal perspective. Our results are qualitatively similar in our sensitivity analysis. Conclusions Our analysis shows that switching from TIV to QIV to protect children aged 6mo to 5yo in the Brazilian influenza epidemiological context could have a strong public health impact and represent a cost-effective strategy from a public payer perspective, and a highly cost-effective one from a societal perspective.


2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S387-S387
Author(s):  
A FISCHER ◽  
M Oppe ◽  
S Stypa ◽  
V Lukyanov ◽  
I Petrakis

Abstract Background Vedolizumab intravenous (IV), a gut selective humanised monoclonal antibody, is indicated for the management of moderately to severely active Ulcerative Colitis (UC) and has been shown in the only head-to-head clinical trial within UC to be superior to adalimumab (NCT02497469). Furthermore, the novel vedolizumab subcutaneous (SC) has recently been proven to be an effective treatment of UC (NCT02611830). The objective of this study is to estimate the comparative cost-effectiveness of vedolizumab IV with updated efficacy data, and vedolizumab SC for the first time. Both vedolizumab IV and SC have been compared with other publicly reimbursed biologics for the treatment of patients with moderate-to-severe UC from a Canadian public healthcare payer perspective. Methods A hybrid decision tree/Markov model was developed to simulate the clinical course of UC, translating the disease course into costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Comparative efficacy of vedolizumab SC, vedolizumab IV, adalimumab, infliximab IV, and golimumab were sourced from a network meta-analysis. Drug and disease management costs (2019 $CAD) were sourced from Ontario public payer schedules of benefits. Utilities were sourced from the literature. Clinical and economic outcomes were projected over a lifetime and discounted at 1.5% annually. Results Within a mixed bio-naïve/experienced population, vedolizumab SC resulted in slightly more QALYs than vedolizumab IV and dominated adalimumab (Table 1); vedolizumab SC yielded an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $CAD 6,727 per QALY and $CAD 52,673 per QALY relative to golimumab and to infliximab (for which the price of a biosimilar was used), respectively. Further scenario analysis within bio-naïve populations supported the robustness of the base-case results, demonstrating that vedolizumab SC or vedolizumab IV were either dominant or cost-effective across all scenarios. Conclusion Our analysis suggests that vedolizumab SC and vedolizumab IV are a cost-effective therapeutic alternative relative to other biologics for moderate-to-severe UC in Canada. Future research will expand the analysis across all biologic comparators as they are used in the real world.


Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 931
Author(s):  
Chi-Leung Chiang ◽  
Sik-Kwan Chan ◽  
Shing-Fung Lee ◽  
Horace Cheuk-Wai Choi

Background: The IMbrave 150 trial revealed that atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (atezo–bev) improves survival in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (1 year survival rate: 67.2% vs. 54.6%). We assessed the cost-effectiveness of atezo–bev vs. sorafenib as first-line therapy in patients with unresectable HCC from the US payer perspective. Methods: Using data from the IMbrave 150, we developed a Markov model to compare the lifetime cost and efficacy of atezo–bev as first-line systemic therapy in HCC with those of sorafenib. The main outcomes were life-years, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), lifetime costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Results: Atezo–bev demonstrated a gain of 0.44 QALYs, with an additional cost of USD 79,074. The ICER of atezo–bev was USD 179,729 per QALY when compared with sorafenib. The model was most sensitive to the overall survival hazard ratio and body weight. If we assumed that all patients at the end of the IMbrave 150 trial were cured of HCC, atezo–bev was cost-effective (ICER USD 53,854 per QALY). However, if all patients followed the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data, the ICER of atezo–bev was USD 385,857 per QALY. Reducing the price of atezo–bev by 20% and 29% would satisfy the USD 150,000/QALY and 100,000/QALY willingness-to-pay threshold. Moreover, capping the duration of therapy to ≤12 months or reducing the dosage of bev to ≤10 mg/kg would render atezo–bev cost-effective. Conclusions: The long-term effectiveness of atezo–bev is a critical but uncertain determinant of its cost-effectiveness. Price reduction would favorably influence cost-effectiveness, even if long-term clinical outcomes were modest. Further studies to optimize the duration and dosage of therapy are warranted.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Natalia Alfonso ◽  
Adnan A Hyder ◽  
Olakunle Alonge ◽  
Shumona Sharmin Salam ◽  
Kamran Baset ◽  
...  

Abstract Drowning is the leading cause of death among children 12-59 months old in rural Bangladesh. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of a large-scale crèche intervention in preventing child drowning. Estimates of the effectiveness of the crèches was based on prior studies and the program cost was assessed using monthly program expenditures captured prospectively throughout the study period from two different implementing agencies. The study evaluated the cost-effectiveness from both a program and societal perspective. Results showed that from the program perspective the annual operating cost of a crèche was $416.35 (95%C.I.: $222 to $576), the annual cost per child was $16 (95%C.I.: $9 to $22) and the incremental-cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per life saved with the crèches was $17,803 (95%C.I.: $9,051 to $27,625). From the societal perspective (including parents time valued) the ICER per life saved was -$176,62 (95%C.I.: -$347,091 to -$67,684)—meaning crèches generated net economic benefits per child enrolled. Based on the ICER per disability-adjusted-life years averted from the societal perspective (excluding parents time), $2,020, the crèche intervention was cost-effective even when the societal economic benefits were ignored. Based on the evidence, the creche intervention has great potential for reducing child drowning at a cost that is reasonable.


Author(s):  
Liam Kelly ◽  
Michael Harrison ◽  
Noel Richardson ◽  
Paula Carroll ◽  
Tom Egan ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Physical activity (PA) interventions capable of producing health benefits cost effectively are a public health priority across the Western world. ‘Men on the Move’ (MOM), a community-based PA intervention for men, demonstrated significant health benefits up to 52-weeks (W) post-baseline. This article details the economic evaluation of MOM with a view to determining its cost-effectiveness as a public health intervention to be rolled out nationally in Ireland. Methods Cost-effectiveness was determined by comparing the costs (direct and indirect) of the programme to its benefits, which were captured as the impact on quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). For the benefits, cost–utility analysis was conducted by retrospectively adapting various health-related measures of participants to generate health states using Brazier et al.’s (2002) short form-6D algorithm. This in turn allowed for ‘utility measures’ to be generated, from which QALYs were derived. Results Findings show MOM to be cost-effective in supporting an ‘at risk’ cohort of men achieves significant improvements in aerobic fitness, weight loss and waist reduction. The total cost per participant (€125.82 for each of the 501 intervention participants), the QALYs gained (11.98 post-12-W intervention, or 5.3% health improvement per participant) and estimated QALYs ratio costs of €3723 represents a cost-effective improvement when compared to known QALY guidelines. Conclusions The analysis shows that the cost per QALY achieved by MOM is significantly less than the existing benchmarks of £20 000 and €45 000 in the UK and Ireland respectively, demonstrating MOM to be cost-effective.


2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 87-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Parthan ◽  
N. Pruttivarasin ◽  
D. Taylor ◽  
D. Davies ◽  
G. Yang ◽  
...  

87 Background: The study assessed the cost-effectiveness of CyberKnife (CK) compared to surgery and radiation therapy for the treatment of prostate cancer (PC) from a third-party and societal perspective. Methods: For patients > 65 yrs with localized PC, a Markov model compared treatment with CK, intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT), surgery or proton therapy (PT). Following treatment, patients were at risk of long-term toxicity: genitourinary (GU); gastrointestinal (GI); and sexual dysfunction (SD). Long-term toxicity was defined as adverse events >grade 2 on Radiation Therapy Oncology Group scale occurring at least 12 months following treatment. Markov states included all possible combinations of GI, GU, and SD long-term toxicities, no toxicity, and death. During each year patients remained in the same Markov state or died. Costs and utilities were assigned using published sources. Toxicity probabilities were derived using meta-analytical techniques to pool results from multiple studies. It was assumed that long-term disease control would not differ across treatments. The model projected expected lifetime costs and quality adjusted life years (QALYs) for each treatment and incremental cost-effectiveness of CK vs comparators as cost per QALY gained. Costs from societal perspective included lost productivity. Extensive sensitivity analyses were conducted. Results: Surgery was the least expensive treatment option followed by CK. CK patients had higher expected QALYs (8.11) than other treatment options (7.72- 8.06). From a payer perspective, total lifetime costs were $25,904, $22,295, $38,915, and $58,100 for CK, surgery, IMRT and PT, respectively. Incremental cost per QALY gained for CK versus Surgery was $9,200/QALY. Compared to IMRT and PT, CK was less costly and resulted in higher QALYs (dominance). At a threshold of $50,000/QALY, CK was cost effective in 86%, 79%, and 91% of simulations compared to surgery, IMRT, and PT, respectively. From a societal perspective, CK costs $4,200/QALY compared to surgery and remained dominant vs IMRT and PT. Results were most sensitive to costs of surgery and CK. Conclusions: Initial CK costs are higher than surgery, but CK patients have better quality of life. CK patients have lower lifetime costs and higher QALYs than IMRT and PT patients. [Table: see text]


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e15003-e15003
Author(s):  
Linli Yao ◽  
Jiaqi Han ◽  
Longjiang She ◽  
Dong Ding ◽  
Mengting Liao ◽  
...  

e15003 Background: As standard third-line treatments for metastatic colorectal cancer, regorafenib and fruquintinib, compared with placebo, increase median overall survival by 2.5 months and 2.7 months, respectively. Given the incremental clinical benefit, we aim to estimate the cost effectiveness of regorafenib versus fruquintinib in the third-line treatment for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer from Chinese payer perspective. Methods: A mathematical Markov model was established to project the cost-effectiveness of regorafenib versus fruquintinib from the CONCUR and FRESCO clinical trials. Quality-adjusted-life-years (QALYs) were analyzed with extracted data from the trials. Willingness to pay (WTP) of $26508 was used. Drug costs were estimated from the perspectives of the health care system in the People’s Republic of China. One way sensitivity and scenario analyses were performed by varying potentially modifiable parameters of the model. Results: Fruquintinib, compared with regorafenib, provided an additional 0.028 QALYs (0.274 QALYs versus 0.246 QALYs) at less cost ($33536 versus $35607). Conclusions: Fruquintinib is more cost-effective than regorafenib as the third-line management for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer when WTP is $26508.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e22076-e22076
Author(s):  
Elena Parvez ◽  
Teodora Dumitra ◽  
Dimitra Panagiotoglou ◽  
Sarkis H. Meterissian ◽  
Sinziana Dumitra

e22076 Background: The MSLT-II trial demonstrated no survival benefit of completion lymphadenectomy (CLND) compared to nodal observation (NO) and subsequent therapeutic lymphadenectomy (TLND) in the case of macroscopic nodal relapse in patients with melanoma and SLN metastases. NO avoids the upfront cost and morbidity of CLND. However, patients followed with NO must undergo intensive surveillance and if TLND is required, it is associated with a higher complication rate than CLND. The cost-effectiveness of NO versus CLND in light of data from MSLT-II has not been previously studied. Methods: A Markov model with a 10-year time horizon was constructed to simulate two hypothetical cohorts of patients with SLN metastases undergoing NO and subsequent TLND for nodal recurrence or upfront CLND. Transition probabilities between disease states were derived from the MSLT-II trial. Remaining parameters including complication rates and health state utilities were obtained from an extensive review of the literature. Direct health care system costs were obtained from published US Medicare cost data and the literature. Primary outcomes were cost and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) saved. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was used to compare treatment strategies. Sensitivity analysis was performed in order to evaluate model uncertainty. A threshold of acceptance of $100,000/QALY was used. Results: Total projected cost over the study period for CLND was $28,609.87, while that of NO was lower at $20,865.27, resulting in $7,744.60 saved for the NO treatment strategy. Ten-year utility was 4.840 for CLND compared to 5.379 for NO, resulting in a gain of 0.539 QALYs in the NO arm. The NO strategy is dominant in the model as it results in both cost-savings and a gain in health effects, with an average ICER of -$14,368.46/QALY gained. Conclusions: From the payer perspective, the strategy of NO compared to CLND in patients with melanoma and SLN metastases is associated with an improvement in health outcomes and reduction in cost. Taking into account MSLT-II trial data, this study demonstrates NO is more cost-effective than CLND.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ching-Yu Wang ◽  
Phuong N. Pham ◽  
Sarah Kim ◽  
Karthik Lingineni ◽  
Stephan Schmidt ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTGeneric entry of newer anticoagulants is expected to decrease the costs of atrial fibrillation management. However, when making switches between brand and generic medications, bioequivalence failures are possible. The objectives of this study were to predict and compare the lifetime cost-effectiveness of brand dabigatran with hypothetical future generics. Markov micro-simulations were modified to predict the lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life years of patients on either brand or generic dabigatran from a U.S. private payer perspective. Event rates for generics were predicted using previously developed pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic models. The analyses showed that generic dabigatran with lower-than-brand systemic exposure was dominant. Meanwhile, generic dabigatran with extremely high systemic exposure was not cost-effective compared to the brand reference. Cost-effectiveness of generic medications cannot always be assumed as shown in this example. Combined use of pharmacometric and pharmacoeconomic models can assist in decision making between brand and generic pharmacotherapies.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 260
Author(s):  
Latif Ndeketa ◽  
Donnie Mategula ◽  
Dianne J. Terlouw ◽  
Naor Bar-Zeev ◽  
Christophe J. Sauboin ◽  
...  

Background: The RTS,S/AS01E malaria vaccine is being assessed in Malawi, Ghana and Kenya as part of a large-scale pilot implementation programme. Even if impactful, its incorporation into immunisation programmes will depend on demonstrating cost-effectiveness. We analysed the cost-effectiveness and public health impact of the RTS,S/AS01E malaria vaccine use in Malawi. Methods: We calculated the Incremental Cost Effectiveness Ratio (ICER) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted by vaccination and compared it to Malawi’s mean per capita Gross Domestic Product. We used a previously validated Markov model, which simulated malaria progression in a 2017 Malawian birth cohort for 15 years. We used a 46% vaccine efficacy, 75% vaccine coverage, USD5 estimated cost per vaccine dose, published local treatment costs for clinical malaria and Malawi specific malaria indicators for interventions such as bed net and antimalarial use. We took a healthcare provider, household and societal perspective. Costs were discounted at 3% per year, no discounting was applied to DALYs. For public health impact, we calculated the DALYs, and malaria events averted. Results: The ICER/DALY averted was USD115 and USD109 for the health system perspective and societal perspective respectively, lower than GDP per capita of USD398.6 for Malawi. Sensitivity analyses exploring the impact of variation in vaccine costs, vaccine coverage rate and coverage of four doses showed vaccine implementation would be cost-effective across a wide range of different outcomes. RTS,S/AS01 was predicted to avert a median of 93,940 (range 20,490–126,540) clinical cases and 394 (127–708) deaths for the three-dose schedule, or 116,480 (31,450–160,410) clinical cases and 484 (189–859) deaths for the four-dose schedule, per 100 000 fully vaccinated children. Conclusions: We predict the introduction of the RTS,S/AS01 vaccine in the Malawian expanded programme of immunisation (EPI) likely to be highly cost effective.


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