scholarly journals Urban Flooding Risk Assessment Based on Numerical Simulation of Sub-catchment Area: A Case Study From Chengdu, China

Author(s):  
Xuejin Ying ◽  
Ting Ni ◽  
Mingxia Lu ◽  
Zongmin Li ◽  
Yi Lu ◽  
...  

Abstract Urbanization and climate change usually result in frequent urban flooding. Since the floods cannot be avoided, the scenario simulation combined with risk analysis is an effective way to assess the disaster level and reduce direct damage loss when facing the emergency management problems. Different from the whole city dimension, the paper proposed a sub-catchment multi-index hesitant fuzzy evaluation model for the community planning level, and takes Jinjiang District of Chengdu city as the research object. Firstly, based on the PSR (Pressure-State-Response) model, the risk assessment system has been established in three aspects, including the current situation of urban drainage, the basic geographic information, and the social influence. Secondly, A total of 14 evaluation indexes were selected, among which the pressure index came from the calculation results of ArcGIS and EPASWMM5 model such as runoff coefficient, maximum water depth, etc. Thirdly, the expert hesitate fuzzy evaluation method was used to obtain the weight of 14 indexes of each sub-catchment. Finally, the 224 evaluation results were compared, and the urban flooding disaster risk map has been drawn. It is mainly concluded that 160 medium-higher risk areas were mainly concentrated in high built-up area in study area. Furthermore, the evaluation model is very useful as a decision-making tool for mitigation of the flood hazard and its associated risk.

2013 ◽  
Vol 779-780 ◽  
pp. 1607-1612 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Jie Niu ◽  
Xin Mu ◽  
Chun Jiang Zhao ◽  
Hong Qi Wang

Based on the primary factors that influence site selection for National Strategic Reserve Depots of Refined Petroleum Products, this paper establishes a comprehensive system of evaluation indexes. In accordance with the different tiers of the index system, this paper puts forward an evaluation model based on the multi-tier fuzzy evaluation method. Then the evaluation model is proved to be reasonable, effective and feasible via case analysis and calculation.


2014 ◽  
Vol 919-921 ◽  
pp. 500-506
Author(s):  
Fei Li ◽  
Guang Zhang

As the leading of oil and gas exploration and development, oil-gas drilling operations with high investment, high technology, and other industries interchange and perennial wild characteristics, there are various HSE risks during operation. Constructing HSE risk assessment system of oil-gas drilling operations, using AHP to construct indicators were analyzed and compared, and calculate the index weight. Then build fuzzy evaluation matrix based on expert evaluation method, get fuzzy evaluation result is "high risk". Finally, from four aspects (people, object, environment, and management) proposed HSE control measures.


2013 ◽  
Vol 475-476 ◽  
pp. 1734-1737
Author(s):  
Xiao Bin Ding

High-tech projects have high risks involving wide range of links, high expense of investment, long period of development and production cycle, complicated operation system, etc. When evaluating the project's risk, a separate gray method or fuzzy theory model is not comprehensive, it should combine the gray method with the fuzzy evaluation model. From the fuzzy evaluation and gray evaluation method the gray clustering statistic could be obtained by use of grey cluster theory. It is necessary to construct fuzzy membership matrix of risk and establish a fuzzy and gray comprehensive evaluation method, and adequately adopt expert's evaluation information of the fuzziness and grayness. Finally, using concrete empirical analysis in aviation armament project risk assessment, the feasibility and the correctness of the model are verified.


2020 ◽  
Vol 64 (1-4) ◽  
pp. 1365-1372
Author(s):  
Xiaohui Mao ◽  
Liping Fei ◽  
Xianping Shang ◽  
Jie Chen ◽  
Zhihao Zhao

The measurement performance of road vehicle automatic weighing instrument installed on highways is directly related to the safety of roads and bridges. The fuzzy number indicates that the uncertain quantization problem has obvious advantages. By analyzing the factors affecting the metrological performance of the road vehicle automatic weighing instrument, combined with the fuzzy mathematics theory, the weight evaluation model of the dynamic performance evaluation of the road vehicle automatic weighing instrument is proposed. The factors of measurement performance are summarized and calculated, and the comprehensive evaluation standard of the metering performance of the weighing equipment is obtained, so as to realize the quantifiable analysis and evaluation of the metering performance of the dynamic road vehicle automatic weighing instrument in use, and provide data reference for adopting a more scientific measurement supervision method.


Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 420
Author(s):  
Zening Wu ◽  
Yuhai Cui ◽  
Yuan Guo

With the progression of climate change, the intensity and frequency of extreme rainfall have increased in many parts of the world, while the continuous acceleration of urbanization has made cities more vulnerable to floods. In order to effectively estimate and assess the risks brought by flood disasters, this paper proposes a regional flood disaster risk assessment model combining emergy theory and the cloud model. The emergy theory can measure many kinds of hazardous factor and convert them into unified solar emergy (sej) for quantification. The cloud model can transform the uncertainty in flood risk assessment into certainty in an appropriate way, making the urban flood risk assessment more accurate and effective. In this study, the flood risk assessment model combines the advantages of the two research methods to establish a natural and social dual flood risk assessment system. Based on this, the risk assessment system of the flood hazard cloud model is established. This model was used in a flood disaster risk assessment, and the risk level was divided into five levels: very low risk, low risk, medium risk, high risk, and very high risk. Flood hazard risk results were obtained by using the entropy weight method and fuzzy transformation method. As an example for the application of this model, this paper focuses on the Anyang region which has a typical continental monsoon climate. The results show that the Anyang region has a serious flood disaster threat. Within this region, Linzhou County and Anyang County have very high levels of risk for flood disaster, while Hua County, Neihuang County, Wenfeng District and Beiguan District have high levels of risk for flood disaster. These areas are the core urban areas and the economic center of local administrative regions, with 70% of the industrial clusters being situated in these regions. Only with the coordinated development of regional flood control planning, economy, and population, and reductions in the uncertainty of existing flood control and drainage facilities can the sustainable, healthy and stable development of the region be maintained.


2010 ◽  
Vol 163-167 ◽  
pp. 3110-3113
Author(s):  
Zheng Xi Gong ◽  
Jian Guo Yang

Reliability analysis is the premise for reinforcement and maintenance of an existing highway tunnel. In order to understand the structure reliability of an existing highway tunnel, a fuzzy mat-ter-element evaluation method was put forward based on entropy weight according to the fuzzy matter-element analysis method. Firstly, levels of inspection results were regarded as objects of matter-element and composite fuzzy matter-elements were constructed considering such factors and their evaluation indexes as cracks of concrete lining, lining thickness, concrete strength, cavities behind the lining and water leakage conditions. Secondly, reliability evaluation results of the existing tunnel structure were obtained by calculating the relevancy. Lastly, fuzzy matter-element evaluation model was effectively used to evaluate reliability of one highway tunnel structure.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Lanchun Zhang ◽  
Zhongwei Zhu ◽  
Bin Huang ◽  
Tianbo Wang

In order to improve the transmission efficiency and carrying capacity of conventional single-belt continuously variable transmission (CVT), one new type of dual-belt CVT is proposed in this paper. Under the situation that this new dual-belt CVT should be switched between single- and dual-belt modes frequently according to driver’s intention and road conditions, so five objective evaluation indexes of mode switching quality for the dual-belt CVT are proposed, considering the aspects of vehicle power, comfort, and transmission durability comprehensively. Then, the objective evaluation model of mode switching quality is established by the BP neural network optimized by the genetic algorithm. It is found that the prediction results are consistent with the subjective evaluation. After analyzing the influence of the selected five evaluation indexes on the prediction results, it is obvious that these five evaluation indexes of mode switching quality for dual-belt CVT are reasonable.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Guoyi Chen ◽  
Jiansheng Zhang ◽  
Shangmin Zhang ◽  
Bangquan Yan

With the fierce competition under the background of knowledge-based economy, tourism enterprises are increasingly aware that they must turn their focus from traditional products to customers for the sake of survival and development. Integrating the customer relationship management and knowledge management, the customer knowledge management (CKM) has aroused higher attention from the tourism enterprises. As for how to determine the factors influencing the Customer knowledge management competence (CKMC) of tourism enterprises and their weights, an index system was established for evaluating CKMC of tourism enterprises based on the balanced score card (BSC) and knowledge management process, the weight design and consistency check of the indexes were implemented using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and the overall evaluation value and concrete index scores at all levels were obtained via the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model. In the end, the scientificity and operability of the evaluation model were verified through an empirical analysis of China Youth Travel Service (CYTS). The results show that: (1) The business process, customer communication, system support, and market performance are important level I indexes used to measure the CKMC; (2) The key Level II factors influencing the CKMC of enterprises include customer knowledge sharing mechanism, timeliness of customer communication, degree of importance attached by senior leadership, and customer acquisition rate; (3) The evaluation model based on AHP and fuzzy evaluation method can objectively describe the overall up-to-standard degree of enterprises’ CKMC, and clearly identify the strengths and weaknesses. This research shows that the combination of AHP and fuzzy evaluation-based method is capable of more scientific and complete evaluation of CKMC, compensates for the deficiencies of single evaluation model, and provides a new method for the effective improvement of enterprises’ CKMC.


Author(s):  
Xiang Li ◽  
Weihua Wang ◽  
Weike Jing ◽  
Jin Shi ◽  
Fakun Zhuang

Abstract In recent years, ammonia leakage accidents occur frequently, which causes a great concern in China. Based on traditional risk analysis methods and the equipment characteristics, a risk evaluation method for small ammonia refrigeration units is proposed. The method includes a risk assessment model based on area division, a failure probability assessment method based on expert scoring system, a failure consequence assessment method based on regional population density and consequence mitigation measures, and a HAZOP risk correction method. Based on the proposed method, a risk assessment system of small ammonia refrigeration units is developed. This risk assessment method and system will provide a scientific basis to carry out the cold storage management in China.


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