Relative Contributions of Tropical and Mid-Latitude Signals on Intraseasonal Precipitation Anomalies Over South China in Boreal Winter
Abstract The southern China (SC) exhibits a strong intraseasonal precipitation variability in boreal winter, but so far the relative contributions of the tropical Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and the mid-latitude intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) is unclear. This issue is addressed through a cluster analysis. The result shows that 53% of strong intraseasonal precipitation events are unrelated to the MJO. They are caused by southward propagation of a low-pressure anomaly in the lower troposphere from higher latitudes. Southerly anomalies associated with the low-pressure system transport high mean moisture from South China Sea, leading to moisture accumulation over SC. 47% of the events are accompanied by the MJO, and they can be further divided into two groups: one with enhanced MJO convection over the eastern Indian Ocean (termed as IO group), and the other over the Maritime Continent (termed as MC group). For the IO group, the SC precipitation is triggered by low-level southerly anomalies associated with an anomalous anticyclone over the western North Pacific (WNP) in association with suppressed MJO convection in situ, as well as the upper-tropospheric divergence related to a wave train excited from the MJO convection. For the MC group, both the upper-tropospheric wave train related to MJO and the southward propagation of low-pressure anomaly from higher latitudes in the lower troposphere contribute to trigger the SC precipitation.