scholarly journals The combination of serum NLR and D-dimer levels at diagnosis predicts overall survival in metastatic pancreatic cancer

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pei Mei ◽  
Qiong Gong ◽  
Yu-Ping Rong ◽  
Jian Chang ◽  
Qi Fang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Many studies have confirmed that the systemic inflammatory response and hypercoagulable state of the patient are related to the occurrence and development of various tumors, including pancreatic cancer. The aim of this research was to combine blood inflammatory factors and D-dimer into a new prognostic scoring system.Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 73 patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer between January 2015 and December 2018 at our institution. To identify the prognostic predictors, circulating inflammatory cells and D-dimer were analyzed.Results Univariate analysis showed that the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), CA19-9, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG PS) score and D-dimer levels were significantly associated with overall survival in patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer. Multivariate analysis suggested that only the NLR (p<0.026) and D-dimer level (p<0.012) were independent prognostic predictors. Then, we combined the NLR and D-dimer level to divide the cohort into three “NLRD” groups: “NLRD0”=NLR≤3.38 and D-dimer≤1.47, “NLRD1”=either NLR>3.38 or D-dimer>1.47, “NLRD2”=NLR>3.38 and D-dimer>1.47. Finally, we found that the NLRD2 group had the worst survival, with a median overall survival (OS) of 2 months (95%CI=1.450-2.550), while the NLRD0 group had the best outcome, with a median OS of 7 months (95%CI=5.897-8.121).Conclusions The scoring system combining the blood NLR with D-dimer levels provides important prognostic information for risk stratification in patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer and may help us identify patients who have a poor prognosis so that clinicians can develop personalized treatment strategies for these patients.

2018 ◽  
Vol 36 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 326-326
Author(s):  
Andrew Peter Dean ◽  
Dom Higgs ◽  
Adarsh Das ◽  
Madeline Rogers-Seeley ◽  
Sean Fennessy ◽  
...  

326 Background: CA19.9, NLR and PLR have all been proposed as prognostic in pancreatic cancer. We analysed correlation between NLR, PLR and rate of change of CA19.9. Methods: A total of 63 metastatic pancreatic cancer patients were identified from our database and evaluated retrospectively for blood count, NLR, PLR and serial CA19.9 levels during treatment. Daily Rate of Change of CA19.9 levels were calculated for the first 90 days (DRC90) of the patient’s treatment. Kaplan-Meir curves, univariate and multivariate Cox-regression analyses were calculated to assess the effects of these 3 markers on overall survival. Results: In a univariate analysis, PLR > 240, NLR > 5 and DRC90 > 0.4% were all significantly associated with deceased overall survival. The Cox proportional hazards model showed that NLR < 5 (HR 0.475, 95% CI 0.259 to 0.873, P = 0.017), PLR < 240 (HR 0.444, 95% CI 0.229 to 0.861, P = 0.016), and a DRC90 < 0.4% (HR 0.294, 95% CI 0.102 to 0.851, P = 0.024) were independent predictors of good prognosis (22.6 months vs. 9.6 months, 22.3 months vs 12.4 months and 23.9 months vs. 9.3 months respectively). In multivariate analysis, only a DRC90 < 0.4% was independently associated with a longer survival (HR 0.239, 95% CI 0.076 to 0.752, P = 0.014). The formula (F) {PLR + (NLRxNLR) + (DRC90 x 100)} was predictive for survival, as patients with F > 190 (HR 3.295, 95% CI 1.232 to 8.807, P = 0.017), having a significantly lower survival rate than patients with F < 190 (25.1 months vs. 10.6 months, log-rank P = 0.009). Conclusions: These findings indicate the prognostic utility of the rate of CA 19.9 decline - measured as a standardised daily percentage change in value over 90 days. Our data validates daily rate of change of CA 19.9 over 90 days as an independent variable that correlates with prognosis, independent of PLR and NLR. We also identified a novel formula - PLR + (NLRxNLR) + (DRC90 x 100) - as being predictive for survival. We would like to increase the sample size to further validate our initial findings and investigate possible relationships in combining these variables for better prognostication in metastatic pancreatic cancer.


2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 265-265
Author(s):  
Shuichi Mitsunaga ◽  
Kumiko Umemoto ◽  
Kazuo Watanabe ◽  
Hiroyuki Okuyama ◽  
Yusuke Hashimoto ◽  
...  

265 Background: The serum tumor-marker in monitoring response to chemotherapy is not valid in advanced pancreatic cancer (PC). S100 calcium-binding protein P (S100P) has been reported as a predictive diagnostic index for PC and may serve as an early marker to activity of chemotherapy. The aim of this study was to analyze the correlation between the efficacies of chemotherapy and the kinetics of tumor-markers including serum S100P, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) in prospective cohort of advanced PC. Methods: Patients who were treatment naïve for advanced PC with liver mets were eligible. Serum levels of S100P, CEA, and CA19-9 were measured at baseline and at one month later. The patients without monitoring of tumor-markers were excluded. A response of tumor-marker was defined as a decrease of at least 25%. Clinical data including radiological response according to the Response Evaluation Criteria In Solid Tumors ver. 1.1 were prospectively collected. S100P, CEA, and CA19-9 responses were tested in association with progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Results: Fifty patients were analyzed in this study (male: 64%, median age: 67 years, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status [PS] 0: 60%). All of 50 patients received chemotherapy (gemcitabine [GEM]: 13 pts, GEM doublets: 34 pts, 5FU-based regimen: 3 pts). PFS and OS were 2.8 and 6.1 months. Responses of S100P, CEA, and CA19-9 were founded in 50%, 16%, and 32% of all, respectively. Multivariate analysis for PFS in Cox regression hazard model was performed using age, gender, PS, CEA, CA19-9, and S100P, and revealed that the independent predictors to longer PFS were responses of S100P (HR to progression: 0.47, P=0.02) and CEA (HR: 0.29, P=0.01). S100P or CEA responders showed better OS in univariate analysis using log-rank test, compared to non-responders of S100P (responder vs. non-responder: 8.4 vs. 3.7 months, P=0.04) or CEA (12.0 vs. 5.9 months, P=0.02), but not in multivariate analysis. Conclusions: Biochemical response of S100P might be useful for monitoring response to chemotherapy in advanced PC, which warranted further study in relationship between serum S100P response and treatment efficacies.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e15729-e15729
Author(s):  
Michael Shusterman ◽  
Erin Jou ◽  
Andreas Kaubisch ◽  
Jennifer W. Chuy ◽  
Lakshmi Rajdev ◽  
...  

e15729 Background: The neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), a marker of systemic inflammatory response, has been suggested as a prognostic marker in patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAC). Black and Hispanic patients have been underrepresented in studies evaluating the significance of NLR in PAC. We investigated the prognostic significance of NLR in patients with advanced PAC treated at the Montefiore-Einstein Center for Cancer Care (MECCC) in the Bronx, NY. Methods: We included patients who were chemotherapy naive and treated for unresectable or metastatic PAC at MECCC between 2006 and 2015. Demographics, clinical characteristics and treatment data were collected. Overall survival was determined by the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional-hazards models were built to assess survival differences adjusting for clinically relevant and statistically significant variables. Results: 201 patients were included in the study. Median age was 65 (range 32, 90). 52% were male. 41 were White (19%), 71 Black (33%), 71 Hispanic (33%), and 33 Other (15.3%). 66 (30.6%) had unresectable disease and 135 (62.5%) metastatic disease. An NLR ≥ 4 was associated with a worse OS compared to an NLR ≤ 4 (median 10 vs. 16.4 months; HR 1.895; 95% CI 1.390, 2.585; P < 0.0001). Predictors of worse OS on univariate analysis were ever smoker status (HR 1.365; P = 0.05), metastatic disease (HR 1.736; P = 0.001), and albumin ≤ 3.5 g/dL (HR 2.558; P< 0.0001). An NLR ≥ 4 on multivariate analysis remained significantly associated with worse OS (HR 1.665; 95% CI 1.188, 2.334; P = 0.003) after adjusting for age, gender, ever smoker status, metastatic disease, and albumin. Conclusions: In a cohort with significant minority patient representation, an NLR ≥ 4 was associated with significantly worse overall survival in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer. An elevated NLR in advanced PAC may be an important independent predictor to risk stratify patients and predict poor OS in future analyses.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 669-669
Author(s):  
Yo-ichi Yamashita ◽  
Shinji Itoh ◽  
Mototsugu Shimokawa ◽  
Hiroshi Takamori ◽  
Kengo Fukuzawa ◽  
...  

669 Background: Although adjuvant chemotherapy with S-1 has improved overall survival and progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with resected pancreatic cancer, the duration evaluation of adjuvant chemotherapy with S-1 have not established yet. Methods: We did a randomized, multicenter, phase 2 trial undertaken at 15 hospitals in Japan. Patients who were Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance states of 0 or 1 and aged 20 years or older were eligible. Patients with resected pancreatic cancer were randomly assigned (in a 1:1 ratio) to receive S-1 [40 mg, 50 mg, or 60 mg according to body-surface area, orally administered twice a day for 28 days followed by a 14 day rest, every 6 weeks [one cycle], for up to four cycles (6 months)] or up to eight cycles (12 months). The primary end point was overall survival rate. Secondary endpoints included PFS and safety. Results: The population consisted of 82 patients in the S-1 for 6 months group and 82 patients in the S-1 for 12 months group. The 2-year overall survival rate was 71.4% in the S-1 for 6 months group and 65.4% in the S-1 for 12 months, and the median overall survival was 31.0 months in the S-1 for 6 months group and 26.3 months in the S-1 for 12 months group [hazard ratio (HR) 1.23, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.76-1.99, p = 0.377]. The PFS at 2 years was 56.8% in the S-1 for 6 months group, and 51.2% in the S-1 for 12 months. The HR for recurrence of S-1 for 6 months, compared with S-1 for 12 months, was 1.23 (95%CI 0.76-1.99, p = 0.392). Twenty-nine (35.3%) patients in the S-1 for 6 months group and 46 (56.0%) in the S-1 for 12 months group discontinued treatment before completion. In regard to patients completed treatment, the S-1 for 12 months group showed tendency to favorable prognosis on PFS compared with the S-1 for 6 months group (log-rank test; p = 0.175). Conclusions: In patients with resected pancreatic cancer, adjuvant chemotherapy with S-1 for 12 months is not superior to that for 6 months in terms of median overall survival and PFS. For patients who can tolerate adjuvant chemotherapy with S-1 for 6 months well, continuing treatment for up to 12 months may improve the prognosis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4119-4119
Author(s):  
Se-Il Go ◽  
Sang-Cheol Lee ◽  
Woo Kyun Bae ◽  
Dae Young Zang ◽  
Hyun Woo Lee ◽  
...  

4119 Background: Modified FOLFIRINOX (mFOLFIRINOX) consisting of 5-fluorouracil/leucovorin, irinotecan, and oxaliplatin has been assessed as second-line treatment of patients with advanced pancreatic cancer in retrospective and phase II studies. However, the result was not confirmed by randomized controlled trial. Methods: A randomized, open-label, phase III trial was conducted at 9 institutions in Korea. Patients with metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma (mPAC) and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0-1 who failed to first-line gemcitabine-based chemotherapy were randomly assigned to receive mFOLFIRINOX or S-1. The primary endpoint was overall survival. Results: A total of 80 patients were enrolled from March 2017 to December 2019. The accrual of patients was early terminated due to clear difference of efficacy in the interim analysis and expectation of poor recruitment due to conflicting adjuvant regimens. Objective response and disease control rates were 15.4% vs. 2.4% ( p= 0.041) and 66.7% vs. 36.6% ( p= 0.007) in the mFOLFIRINOX and S-1 arms, respectively. The median progression-free survival was 5.2 and 2.2 months in the mFOLFIRINOX and S-1 arms, respectively ( p= 0.002). The median overall survival was 9.2 and 4.9 months in the mFOLFIRINOX and S-1 arms, respectively ( p= 0.048). The adjusted hazard ratio of the mFOLFIRINOX arm to the S-1 arm for overall survival was 0.402 (95% confidence interval 0.223-0.725, p= 0.002). All grade 3-4 adverse events occurred in 56.5% and 17.1% in the mFOLFIRINOX and S-1 arms, respectively ( p< 0.001). However, only one patient in each arm prematurely discontinued treatment due to toxicity and there was no treatment-related mortality in both arms. Minimally important differences in the health-related quality of life were not observed in both arms. Conclusions: mFOLFIRINOX as second-line treatment in mPAC patients failed to gemcitabine-based chemotherapy demonstrated a survival benefit versus S-1 alone with acceptable toxicities. Clinical trial information: KCT0003534.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Naoto Iwai ◽  
Takashi Okuda ◽  
Junichi Sakagami ◽  
Taishi Harada ◽  
Tomoya Ohara ◽  
...  

Abstract Inflammation-based prognostic indicators have been developed to predict the prognosis in patients with pancreatic cancer. However, prognostic indices have not been established in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer, including those without indication for chemotherapy at diagnosis. This study aimed to identify the predictors in all patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer. We retrospectively analyzed data of 119 patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer from June 2006 to September 2018. The following laboratory parameters were evaluated: the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), modified GPS, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), C-reactive protein albumin (CRP/Alb) ratio, and prognostic nutritional index (PNI). We performed time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis, overall survival (OS) analysis, and univariate and multivariate analyses to determine the prognostic factors in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer. The cut-off value for NLR was determined to be 3.74. The 6-month OS rates in low and high NLR groups were 75.5% and 18.8% (P < 0.001). In the univariate analysis, advanced age (P = 0.003), metastatic pancreatic cancer (P = 0.037), no treatment (P < 0.001), worse Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG-PS) (P < 0.001), high GPS (P < 0.001), high modified GPS (P < 0.001), high NLR (P < 0.001), high PLR (P = 0.002), high CRP/Alb ratio (P < 0.001), and low PNI (P < 0.001) were identified as the prognostic factors. The multivariate analysis revealed that metastatic pancreatic cancer (P = 0.046), no treatment (P < 0.001), worse ECOG-PS (P = 0.002), and high NLR (P < 0.001) were independently associated with OS. We revealed that the high NLR could be an independent indicator of poor prognosis in patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuting Gao ◽  
Li Wei ◽  
Seok Jin Kim ◽  
Liang Wang ◽  
Yingzhi He ◽  
...  

BackgroundPrimary central nervous system lymphoma (PCNSL) is a highly aggressive and rare extranodal non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL). The MSKCC and the IELSG scores represent the most widely used prognostic models, but many changes have occurred in therapeutic protocols since their development. Moreover, many PCNSL patients cannot be classified using the IELSG score. We thus aimed to create a novel, effective and feasible prognostic model for PCNSL.MethodsWe included 248 PCNSL patients diagnosed with PCNSL. Our primary endpoint was the overall survival (OS) and we used the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis to determine the optimal prognostic cut-off value for LLR (lactate dehydrogenase-to-lymphocyte ratio), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (dNLR). Variable associated with OS were evaluated by univariate and multivariate analyses. 124 out of 248 patients were randomly selected as the internal validation cohort.ResultsBy univariate analysis, an age &gt;60 years, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG PS) &gt;1, treatment with radiotherapy alone, high-risk groups of Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) score, NLR &gt;4.74, dNLR &gt;3.29, and LLR &gt;166.8 were significantly associated with a worse OS. By multivariate analysis, the MSKCC score and LLR were confirmed as independent prognostic parameters for poorer OS. OS, however, was not significantly different between low- and intermediate-risk groups according to the MSKCC score, while LLR proved to be prognostically relevant and was thus used to develop a novel, effective three-tier PCNSL scoring system. Of 124 patients, 84 patients with survival data and LLR data were successfully validated by newly established PCNSL LLR scoring system.ConclusionsIn the present study, we demonstrate that a high LLR represents an independent unfavorable prognostic parameter in PCNSL patients which can be integrated into an effective prognostic model.


2018 ◽  
Vol 36 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 251-251
Author(s):  
Jasmin Radhika Desai ◽  
Bradley Scott Colton ◽  
Hongkun Wang ◽  
John Marshall ◽  
Sunnie S. Kim ◽  
...  

251 Background: Metastatic pancreatic cancer is a deadly disease, with a median survival that remains less than 12 months. However, more patients than ever before are surviving for more than 1 year, though it has been difficult to determine which patients have a better or worse prognosis. In the MPACT trial of gemcitabine + nab-paclitaxel vs gemcitabine alone, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) prior to treatment was found to be a promising prognostic marker. However, the significance of NLR has not been confirmed. We examined our institutional experience with assessing the prognostic value of the NLR for patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer treated with standard chemotherapies. Methods: We performed an IRB approved retrospective chart review of patients with metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Patients were eligible if a routine blood count from which an NLR would be calculated was available prior to initiating any chemotherapy. 41 patients were identified who were treated with either FOLFOX (n = 9), FOLFIRINOX (n = 8) or gemcitabine + nab-paclitaxel (n = 24). Patients were stratified into two groups: NLR < 5 and NLR > 5. The median progression free survival and overall survival were determined, and statistical analyses performed to observe any correlation to NLR. Results: In this review, patients with an elevated NLR (NLR > 5) had an improved PFS and OS when compared with patients with a decreased NLR (NLR < 5). OS was 12.2 months in NLR > 5 and 11.0 months in NLR < 5. PFS was 4.7 months and 3.6 months, respectively. When comparing patients that were treated with 5-FU based regimens, the overall survival was similar with the NLR > 5 of 11.5 months and the NLR < 5 group of 11.0 months. However, those patients treated with gemcitabine and abraxane had more of a difference; patients with an NLR > 5 had an OS of 16.0 months and NLR < 5, the OS was 11.5 months. Conclusions: Our single institution experience suggests that NLR could be a marker for prognosis for metastatic pancreatic cancer. However, our data contradicts the results of the MPACT trial where an increased NLR was associated with a worsened overall survival. Therefore, additional confirmatory studies will need to be performed to find the true prognostic value of the NLR.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
pp. 175883591987465 ◽  
Author(s):  
Josenon Gomes Costa ◽  
Victor Hugo Fonseca de Jesus ◽  
Marcos Pedro Guedes Camandaroba ◽  
Aldo Lourenço Abbade Dettino

Background: Advanced age is the most important risk factor for pancreatic cancer and about half of patients are diagnosed with metastatic disease. In the first-line setting, multidrug chemotherapy regimens were shown to be more effective than gemcitabine alone. However, the older population was under-represented in randomized clinical trials. We aimed to describe the clinical profile of older patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer and their survival outcomes. Materials and methods: This was a retrospective, unicentric study that included patients diagnosed with metastatic pancreatic cancer (non-neuroendocrine), aged 65 years and over. Results: The study population comprised 196 patients. The median age was 73 years; 67% of these patients presented Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG) ⩽ 1 and the median Charlson Comorbidity score was 10. Chemotherapy was given to 89% of the patients. The most frequently used chemotherapy regimens were gemcitabine (44%), 5-fluorouracil and oxaliplatin [FOLFOX; 26%], and 5-fluorouracil, oxaliplatin and irinotecan (FOLFIRINOX; 20%). Patients treated with FOLFIRINOX were younger and they presented better performance status. After a median follow up of 19.8 months, the median overall survival (OS) was of 7.2 months and the median time to first-line-treatment failure was 4.6 months. Among patients treated with chemotherapy, the median OS was highest for those treated with FOLFIRINOX (13.8 months), as compared with FOLFOX (7.0 months) or gemcitabine (6.7 months); p = 0.004. Nonetheless, treatment with FOLFIRINOX was associated with increased risk of severe toxicity ( p = 0.008). Conclusion: Older patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer benefit from palliative chemotherapy, and FOLFIRINOX is a therapeutic option in rigorously selected older patients.


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